Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets… It’s time to let her shine! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.
I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.
Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).
| Player Prop Description | Odds | Unit Risk |
| Marlon Mack O54.5 Rush Yds | -112 | 1.5 |
| Rodgers O252.5 P Yds | +100 | 1.5 |
| Anthony Miller O39.5 yds | -112 | 1.25 |
| Anthony Miller O3.5 Rec | +115 | 1 |
| Stefon Diggs O51.5 Rec Yds | -112 | 1 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick O234.5 P Yds | -112 | 0.5 |
| Julio Jones U90.5 Rec Yds | +101 | 1 |
| Todd Gurley O17.5 Rec Yds | -112 | 1 |
| Julio Jones U6.5 REC | +115 | 0.5 |
| Tyler Lockett O4.5 REC | -141 | 1 |
| Bridgewater P Yds > Carr P Yds | +111 | 0.5 |
| Darren Waller U4.5 REC | +110 | 0.5 |
| Curtis Samuel O3.5 REC | +125 | 1 |
| DJ Moore O5.5 REC | +110 | 0.5 |
| Lamar Jackson O219.5 P Yds | -112 | 0.5 |
| Lamar Jax P Yds > Baker P Yds | +130 | 0.5 |
| Jarvis Landry O4.5 REC | +120 | 0.5 |
| TY Hilton U63.5 Yds | -112 | 0.5 |
| Jack Doyle O30.5 Yds | -112 | 0.5 |
| Tyrod Taylor O219.5 P Yds | -112 | 2 |
| Keenan Allen O55.5 Rec Yds | -112 | 1 |
| Austin Ekeler O34.5 Rec Yds | -112 | 1 |
| Drew Brees U292.5 P Yds | -112 | 0.5 |
| Raheem Mostert O52.5 Rush Yds | -125 | 1 |
Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.
Cash with Flash Best Bets is obviously not offering any picks at the moment but that doesn’t mean that we sit idly by as we wait for the respective leagues to resume play.
Sports handicapping is a fulltime occupation and while we here at Cash with Flash Best Bets are enjoying not having to begin the day at 3:00 am ET, Cash with Flash Best Bets is still preparing for the start of the MLB season.
My book “Betting Baseball 101: Winning at the Sportsbook and Daily Fantasy Baseball” has just been released on Kindle and the paperback should be available sometime this weekend. If you do buy the book, please leave a review!!
Win Daily Sports and Cash with Flash Best Bets is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and get ready to make some Cash with Flash!!
Below is a short excerpt from Chapter Seven of the book and this strategy is something that you can begin today.
The Three Team Strategy
Something I find useful, especially early in the season, is limiting my action to just three teams.
The idea behind this system is to only focus on three teams and bet every game that these three teams are involved in.
Essentially you are chasing information about only these three teams and of course, you will have to handicap the opposing team. You are free to bet for or against your three teams of choice but you want to wager on just those three teams for at least the first thirty days of the new season.
Two things are going to happen; you will become an expert and know as much about your three teams as the most diehard fan and after maybe thirty days or so you will have handicapped nearly every MLB team.
The secret is to keep a notebook and track not only your three teams but every team that you handicap throughout the season. This is done so that you can become more knowledgeable about the teams and this should help make it easier to spot value.
Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests there’s no time like the present to get started. There is a ton of information available that you can use to prepare for a hopefully happy and profitable MLB betting season.
Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests checking the MLB win totals of your three chosen teams to examine, schedules, new additions and the pitching staff of each team.
The most important thing to do is get started. We have at least another month as well as the benefit of some Spring Training games to go on.
On this edition of the Win Daily Podcast, host Phil “Cash with Flash” Naessens and Zak Smith from Zak’s Puck Picks discuss NHL betting strategy and much more!
The NHL season may be on hiatus, but that doesn’t mean we can’t continue to prepare for the return of the season. Win Daily Sports NHL handicappers Phil Naessens and Zak Smith discuss several tips and tricks to help you become better at betting on the great sport of hockey. Join them as they discuss money line tactics, puck line tactics and several of the pitfalls and traps that can be bankroll busters for those wagering on NHL contests. Learn to become a better NHL handicapper with this podcast!
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Cash with Flash Best Bets is back for another day of sports betting picks. Monday was a difficult day but we still finished up at 2-2 so at least it wasn’t a losing day.
We have all sorts of March Madness conference tournaments happening plus the NBA and NHL seasons and it truly is a maddening time of the year.
Be sure that you are wise with your money during this period; it’s easy getting sucked into action with all the opportunities that are available to you.
If you want to win money on a consistent basis then you need to join Win Daily Sports. $19.99 per month gets you everything we have to offer here including Discord Chat access.
Bankroll Management
Can’t stress enough how important managing your bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financial situation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll management plan to help you reach them.
Discord
We’re abandoning the Slack Chat in favor of Discord. If you haven’t already done so, you will need to sign up for Discord with this link. Then use this link to gain access to the Win Daily Sports channel.
Cash with Flash Best Bets has the following NBA games for you to consider for tonight.
Cleveland Cavaliers +4 over the Chicago Bulls
The Bulls have won two of their previous three meetings but Cleveland covered the spread in two of those three games. The Bulls will be without their leading scorer Zach LaVive tonight and that’s a huge loss for Chicago. The Cavs enter Tuesday winners of two straight and is 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last five games. Chicago is 2-3 ATS over their last five games and Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests taking the four points and playing the Cavaliers to cover the spread tonight.
Dallas Mavericks -3.5 Points over San Antonio Spurs
The Mavericks are looking at a season series sweep over their Southwest Division rival San Antonio and I suspect Dallas will cover the spread tonight and then some. The Spurs are in a tailspin and can’t seem to stay healthy or two get out of their own way. Dallas is looking for a playoff spot and is coming off a home loss to Indiana. Dallas has covered the spread in two of their three meetings with the Spurs and they should do so again and especially so with Spurs forward LaMarcus Aldridge on the shelf with an injured shoulder. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests laying the wood and playing the Mavericks to cover the spread tonight.
Memphis Grizzlies -2 points over Orlando Magic
Orlando has been hot lately and enters this matchup on a two-game winning streak but they have a 13-20 road record and they are up against a Grizzlies team that has won four of its last five games and covered the spread in four of those five games. Memphis is 18-14 at home this season and appears healthier as Orlando will be without Evan Fournier who will miss an extended period of time with an elbow injury. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests laying the two points and playing the Grizzlies to cover the spread tonight.
The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.
Cash with Flash Best Bets is back for another day of sports betting picks. Friday was a better day as we finished with a 2-1 mark and the Portland Trail Blazers can’t seem to make up ground on the Grizzlies.
Cash with Flash Best Bets is on a 24-11 over the last six days and 13-8 for the week. Let’s see if we can keep us on the plus side.
Flash is giving away his picks tonight for FREE but if you want to win money on a consistent basis then you need to join Win Daily Sports. $19.99 per month gets you everything we have to offer here including Discord Chat access.
Bankroll Management
Can’t stress enough how important managing your bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financial situation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll management plan to help you reach them.
Discord
We’re abandoning the Slack Chat in favor of Discord. If you haven’t already done so, you will need to sign up for Discord with this link. Then use this link to gain access to the Win Daily Sports channel.
Cash with Flash Best Bets has the following NBA games for you to consider for tonight.
Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 218 Points
These two sides finished under the 216.5 point total in their previous meeting in January and I suspect the same will hold true in Cleveland tonight. The Cavaliers are banged up big time and they will have a short rotation tonight. Denver seems healthy and they allow the eighth fewest points in the NBA this season. Both sides are in the bottom third of the league in scoring and I think 218 points is a bit of a stretch tonight. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing UNDER 218 points in this matchup.
Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies OVER 234.5 Points
These two sides went well under the 240 point total in their previous meeting just five days ago but tonight will be the night when these two teams give us the high-scoring game we expected earlier in the week. Both squads are in the bottom third in points allowed and are two of the fastest-paced teams in the NBA this season. Trae Young is listed as questionable for tonight with some sort of illness. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing OVER 234.5 points in this matchup tonight.
Philadelphia 76ers -130 over Golden State Warriors
The Warriors have Stephen Curry back but they are going to have a difficult time tonight with the 76ers. At 10-23 away from Wells Fargo Center, the 76ers don’t instill much confidence and they will be missing Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons and Jason Richardson. That being said, Philadelphia still has plenty of firepower and should have enough to defeat the lottery draft bound Warriors at Chase Center. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing the 76ers to defeat the Warriors in this contest tonight.
Portland Trail Blazers -3 points over Sacramento Kings
The Kings aren’t a very good road team at all and Portland is a disappointing team that seems to play better at home. Portland has won two of their previous three meetings and covered the spread in both those games. Portland has a 20-11 record when listed as the favorite whereas Sacramento is 17-24 when listed as the underdog. Portland badly needs a victory tonight and Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests laying the three points and playing Portland to cover the spread tonight.
The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.
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