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MLB Fantasy Stacks: Winning Edge for July 22

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 11-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. LHP C.C. Sabathia (NYY): 5.50 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I’m going to get down to the nitty gritty here with Sabathia against the Twins. C.C. Sabathia has changed his pitching repertoire with age and has essentially left his fastball by the wayside. He has turned to his cutter and sinker and has fared well to left handed batters. Righties, on the other hand have been a problem for Sabathia. He is allowing 2.00 HR/9 and 40% hard contact to them. On the road, Sabathia is allowing righties to slash to a .421 wOBA, .642 SLG, and .388 OBP over 30 innings. He has allowed 21 earned runs and nine home runs over that same span. Minnesota is showing a ton of power recently, slashing to a .316 wOBA, .277 ISO, and 95 WRC+ over the last two weeks.

Preferred Stack: Mitch Garver ($3400 FD|$5400 DK), C.J. Cron ($3400 FD|$3900 DK), Nelson Cruz ($4100 FD|$4400 DK), Miguel Sano ($3600 FD|$4500 DK), and Jonathon Schoop ($3000 FD|$3900 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): 5.65 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Aaron Brooks carries a 4.69 ERA, 5.59 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA on the season. He is allowing batters to slash to a .329 wOBA, .462 SLG, and .311 OBP. Small sample size in the road, but Brooks is allowing lefties to slash to a .396 wOBA, .612 SLG, and .348 OBP while surrendering 4 home runs across 10.1 innings. Brooks sticks to mainly three pitches: two seamer, four seamer, and slider. What do all of those pitches have in common? Atleast four batters through this Arizona order slash a .250 or better ISO to every pitch in Brook’s arsenal. After going through a slump, Arizona bats look to be back on track. They are slashing to a .348 wOBA, 207 ISO, and 111 WRC+, some of their best averages on the season.

Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte ($4000 FD|$5200 DK), Eduardo Escobar ($3900 FD|$5300 DK, and Christian Walker ($3500 FD|$4800 DK). Jake Lamb ($2700 FD|$4100 DK) and Carson Kelly ($2700 FD|$4300 DK) for value.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Homer Bailey (OAK): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

What’s the over/under that Homer Bailey makes it out of the first three innings in this matchup? Houston bats are rolling as of late, yet I see them still catching fairly low ownership. The Astros are right on par with their season averages, slashing to a .346 wOBA, .195 ISO, and 118 WRC+. Homer Bailey has had a fairly decent season, but he does struggle to right handed power. Righties are slashing to a .334 wOBA, .420 SLG, and .341 BABIP. Despite Homer having one of his better seasons, I still favor the Astros at home and look to them today in a three or four man stack in tournaments.

Preferred Plays: Alex Bregman ($4400 FD|$5000 DK), Yuli Gurriel ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4100 FD|$5100 DK), and Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4500 DK). Also consider: Jose Altuve ($4000 FD|$4500 DK).

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. LHP Ryan Borucki (TOR): 5.15 Runs

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Oscar Mercado ($3600 FD|$4900 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2800 FD|$4200 DK), Carlos Santana ($3900 FD|$4300 DK), and Jose Ramirez ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Pitching

  1. Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.70 Runs
  2. Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 3.90 Runs
  3. Daniel Ponce De Leon RHP (STL): (UPDATE)

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MLB

MLB DFS Stacks for July 18th: Twin Killings

Wes Anderson
written by Wes Anderson

When first glancing at tonight’s main slate you may focus in on the big-time aces taking the mound, but on a second look and you will see some good spots for some MLB DFS Stacks for July 18th. Check out four spots worth stacking in your FanDuel and DraftKings entries for tonight.

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Minnesota Twins

The Athletics’ Mike Fiers is a guy you can use MLB DFS Stacks against. He is allowing a 40.9% flyball rate and owns a 5.25 SIERA with a low 7.8% swinging strike rate. Not only is Fiers just a guy, but also the Twins’ lineup is stacked with hitters that destroy righties. As an offensive unit they have a .226 ISO and a .341 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

You can mix and match with the likes of: Nelson Cruz (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,500), Mitch Garver (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $5,200), Miguel Sano (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600), Jason Castro (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800), Eddie Rosario (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), Jorge Polanco (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600), Jonathan Schoop (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,000) and Max Kepler (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,500). All of these Twins’ batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks will face the Brewers’ Zach Davies in this one. Davies has a very impressive 2.89 ERA this season. But a bit of a deeper dig suggests that regression is on its way for the Milwaukee starter. Davies also owns a 5.26 SIERA and a 4.99 xFIP. With the Diamondbacks fresh off a thumping of the Rangers this seems like an appropriate spot for MLB DFS Stacks.

Davies has struggled against batters from the left side of the plate, so stack the left-handed Diamondbacks. Our Arizona DFS stacks will need to start with Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300). He has an ISO north of .230 versus right-handed pitching. Another Arizona bat worth considering is of course Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,200). He has an ISO above .210 versus righties in 2019.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Diamondbacks’ Merrill Kelly is allowing a 42% hard contact rate this season. The hard contact has led to a 4.87 SIERA and a 4.78 xFIP. So this is a perfect spot for MLB DFS Stacks. The Brewers crush righties. Milwaukee has five regulars that own ISOs over .200 against right-handed pitching.

The best of those five regulars, of course, is Christian Yelich (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700). The outfielder has a .413 ISO and a .490 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. But don’t sleep on Keston Hiura (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,000), Mike Moustakas (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,700), Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings: $4,500), and Yasmani Grandal (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $4,500). All of these members of the Brew Crew have ISOs over .250 against right-handed pitching this season.

Houston Astros

The Angels’ Matt Harvey has the highest SIERA on the slate with a 5.53 mark in 2019. He also has a very high 5.25 xFIP and is allowing hard contact at an alarming rate. 41.6% of his contact allowed has resulted in hard contact so it should not surprise you that he is allowing 1.84 HR/9 this season, which is also the highest on the main slate. The Astros have plenty of batters that should take advantage of this matchup against a right-hander.

You will want Astros that bat from the left side of the batter’s box. Harvey is allowing a .399 wOBA and a crazy high 51.9% hard contact to lefties this season. Consider beginning your MLB DFS Stacks here with Michael Brantley (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,500). The outfielder has a .202 ISO and a 143 wRC+ versus righties in 2019.

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MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 17

Ethan Thiel
written by Ethan Thiel

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Nick Pivetta (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Another game with rain out potential. At the moment it looks like the storms should hold off until after the game but i advise you to monitor the weather here as it looks shakey up and down the east coast tonight.

Nick Pivetta is on the mound this evening for the Phillies. He carries an average 5.81 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and 4.89 SIERA on the year. Pivetta has fairly identical splits, with batters slashing to a .360 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .340 OBP across 66.2 innings. He has given up 27 earned runs across 33 innings to right handed batters. He has also allowed 16 earned runs in 33 innings to left handed batters. The core of this Los Angeles Dodgers team is their left handed power and they have been tearing up right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .355 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 121 WRC+ over the last month to righties.

Preferred Stack: Cody Bellinger $4800 FD|$5800 DK, Max Muncy $3900 FD|$5100 DK, David Freese ($2800 FD|$4400 DK, A.J. Pollock $3300 FD|$3800 DK, and Joc Pederson $2800 FD|$4600 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

***Weather is a legitimate concern here, possible PPD. Pitching and bats risky. If you want to play a Boston stack, I would reserve it for GPP’s and monitor the weather.

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 6.90 Runs

The Red Sox get a lofty 6.90 implied run total in this matchup against Aaron Sanchez (surprising, I know) and this is one we cannot ignore. I know we have some weather concerns here, so tune in with our weather man Mark for updates as we get closer to lock. Aaron Sanchez carries an average 6.22 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.62 SIERA. Sanchez is allowing batters to slash to a .362 wOBA, .456 SLG, and .388 OBP across 97 innings. He has allowed 67 earned runs in that span. Aaron Sanchez is a ground ball pitcher, averaging a 48% ground ball rate. Although he doesn’t give up many home runs, he has a .330 BABIP and LOB of 66%. The Red Sox are slashing to a .374 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks to right handed pitching. These are the best hitting numbers on the slate by a long shot.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4200 FD|$5700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), Andrew Benintendi ($3400 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4300 FD|$5400 DK).

Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Jesse Chavez (TEX): 5.45 Runs

We have Jesse Chavez taking on the Diamondbacks in Coors South this evening. Chavez carries a 3.84 ERA, 4.51 FIP, and 4.24 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing righties to slash .353 wOBA, .519 SLG, and .329 OBP. He has fallen off recently after having a somewhat successful start to the year. I expect him to stay in this rough patch and we will see his ERA line up with close to his FIP as the season comes to a close. Arizona batters are slashing to a .300 wOBA, .161 ISO, and 82 WRC+ in recent weeks. These are by no means the averages I look for when picking my stacks, but I feel with the ballpark upgrade to the bats and Chavez’s recent struggles we could end up with a nice lower owned Diamondbacks stack.

Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte ($3700 FD|$5200 DK), Eduardo Escobar ($3700 FD|$5200 DK), Christian Walker ($3000 FD|$4700 DK), Adam Jones ($2900 FD|$4200 DK), and Jarrod Dyson ($2700 FD|$4800 DK).

Honorable Mention

Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull (DET): 5.78 Runs

Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$5000 DK), Carlos Santana ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Jason Kipnis ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), Jose Ramirez ($3600 FD|$4400 DK). Jakob Bauers for value ($2900 FD|$3600 DK). Mike Freeman ($2100 FD|$3700 DK and Tyler Naquin ($2800 FD|$4000 DK) are also good value plays.

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (40-50 pitches) & RHP Gabriel Ynoa (BAL)

**Another trouble spot with weather otherwise I’d have them as the top stack. I think the game starts on time, but a good chance we do not get a full 9 innings.

Preferred Plays: Juan Soto ($4000 FD|$5500 DK), Howie Kendrick ($2600 FD|$4900 DK), Anthony Rendon ($4300 FD|$5500 DK), Victor Robles ($3400 FD|$4400), and Brian Dozier ($2600 FD|$3900 DK).

Pitching

  1. Chris Paddack (R) (SDP): 3.15 Runs
  2. Mike Clevinger (R) (CLE): 3.27 Runs
  3. Danny Duffy (L) (KCR): 5.01 Runs

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MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 6/29: Main Slate Breakdown

written by

For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will provide a game by game DFS breakdown for the six game main slate on Draftkings and FanDuel, and I also provide some preferred stacks.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

Over/Under: 12.5

Implied Run Total – LAD: 6.83 Runs

Implied Run Total – COL: 5.67 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Colorado tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying a .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both sides. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Max Muncy $4400 FD|$5400 DK. Cody Bellinger $5100 FD|$5800 DK. Matt Beaty $2800 FD| $3700 DK. Alex Verdugo $3800 FD |$4700 DK.

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight at home. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both sides. Rockies batters are slashing .368 wOBA, .187 ISO, and .497 SLG over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays: Ian Desmond $2900 FD | $4600 DK. Charlie Blackmon $4400 FD | $5500 DK. Nolan Arenado $4100 FD | $5000 DK. Greg Hampson $2700 FD | $3200 DK.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – PIT: 3.80 Runs

Implied Run Total – MIL: 5.70 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Pittsburgh Pirates – Jordan Lyles (RHP) on the mound tonight in Milwaukee. Lyles is sporting a 3.64 ERA, 3.67 FIP, and 4.74 SIERA on the season. He has true splits, carrying a .367 wOBA, .500 SLG, and .367 OBP to left handed batters. He has been particularly bad on the road against lefties. Pirates batters are slashing to a respectable .376 wOBA, .226 ISO, and .532 SLG against right handed batters over the last few weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays – Corey Dickerson $3100 FD | $4300 DK. Josh Bell $4500 FD | $5300 DK. Bryan Reynolds $3300 FD | $4500 DK. Colin Moran $2500 FD | $3900 DK. Elias Diaz $2500 FD | $3300 DK.

Milwaukee Brewers – Brandon Woodruff (RHP) on the mound for the Brewers tonight. He has a 4.01 ERA, 3.07 FIP, and 3.53 SIERA on the season. Woodruff has true splits, carrying a .335 wOBA, .441 SLG, and .341 OBP against left handed batters this season. Brewers batters are currently slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and have a .402 SLG. They are hitting slightly below their season average over the last two weeks. Jordan Lyles is awful on the road vs. lefties and Milwaukee bats have been a bit pedestrian lately. I think the Brewers crack things open tonight and score some runs.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Moustakas $3700 FD | $4700 DK. Yasmani Grandal $3300 FD | $4400 DK. Christian Yelich $4500 FD | $5700 DK. Eric Thames $2700 FD | $4200 DK

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – SEA: 3.20 Runs

Implied Run Total – HOU: 6.30 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Seattle Mariners – Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) on the mound in Houston. He carries a 5.11 ERA, 5.55 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Kikuchi has fairly similar splits and struggles quite a bit on the road. Kikuchi carries a .361 wOBA, .505 SLG, and .354 OBP against right handed batters. Everyone is waiting for the Astros to really break out again and I think this is a good spot for them to do so. Seattle batters are slashing to a .333 wOBA, .173 ISO, and .441 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting close to their season average.

Preferred DFS Plays – Daniel Vogelbach $3700 FD | $4000 DK. J.P. Crawford $3000 FD | $4200 DK.

Houston Astros – Justin Verlander (RHP) on the mound tonight at home. He carries a 2.67 ERA, 3.77 FIP, and 3.17 SIERA on the season. Verlander has a flyball rate of 46%, hard contact rate of 39%, and 1.65 HR/9. He has identical splits, carrying a .232 wOBA, .343 SLG, and 1.75 BABIP. Houston batters are hitting well above their season averages recently with a .448 wOBA, .337 ISO, and .647 SLG.

Preferred DFS Plays: Alex Bregman $4200 FD | $5100 DK. Jose Altuve $4000 | $4100 DK. Tyler White $2200 FD | $3200 DK. Jake Marisnick $2200 FD | $4000 DK. George Springer $4400 FD | $5400 DK.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – ARI: 4.20

Implied Run Total – SFG: 3.30

Weather Concerns: N/A

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound in San Francisco tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing a .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both sides. Greinke gets a ballpark boost and has the clear advantage against a weak SFG offense. Arizona batters are slashing to a .272 wOBA, .127 ISO, and .349 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Ketel Marte $4100 FD | $5200 DK. Eduardo Escobar $4200 FD | $4800 DK. Christian Walker $3000 FD | $4000 DK.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing to a .307 wOBA, .178 ISO, and .418 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – N/A

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – OAK: 4.40 Runs

Implied Run Total – LAA: 5.10 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Oakland Athletics – Brett Anderson (LHP) is on the mound in Anaheim tonight. Anderson has a 4.26 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 5.44 SIERA on the season. He is a ground ball pitcher with a hefty 52% GB rate. Anderson carries a .295 wOBA .383 SLG, and .304 OBP against him on the road. Oakland batters are slashing to a .371 wOBA, .273 ISO, and .580 SLG to left handed pitching over the last few weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays – Khris Davis $3400 FD | $3600 DK. Marcus Semien $3400 FD | $4100 DK. Ramon Laureano $3300 FD | $3900 DK. Mark Canha $2800 FD | $3600 DK. Matt Chapman $3700 FD | $4200 DK.

Los Angeles Angels – Tyler Skaggs (LHP) is on the mound for the Angels this evening. He carries a 4.30 ERA, 4.25 FIP, and 4.40 SIERA on the year. Skaggs tends to be hot and cold and the last time he faced the A’s he ended up getting hit around a bit. The A’s lineup is full of right handed power and Skaggs is carrying a .310 wOBA, .407 SLG, and 318 OBP to them on the year. Angels batters are slashing .to a 266 wOBA, .073 ISO, and .305 SLG over the last two weeks, They are hitting well below their season averages over the last two weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Trout $4700 FD | $5600 DK. Shohei Ohtani $4100 FD | $5100 DK. Albert Pujols $3000 FD | $3900 DK. Kole Calhoun $3200 FD | $4300 DK.

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – STL: 3.71 Runs

Implied Run Total – SDP: 4.29 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

St. Louis Cardinals – Dakota Hudson (RHP) takes the mound in San Diego. He has a 3.36 ERA, 4.67 FIP, and 4.72 SIERA on the season. Hudson struggles mightily against left handed batters, carrying a 386 wOBA, .532 SLG, and .396 OBP so far this season. He has a massive ground ball rate of 62% and an extremely low fly ball rate of 17%. Cardinals batters are slashing .283 wOBA, .123 wOBA, and 74 WRC+. They have struggled all season with right handed pitching.

Preferred DFS Plays – Dakota Hudson $8400 FD | $6900 DK.

San Diego Padres – Chris Paddack (RHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He has a 3.18 ERA, 3.99 FIP, and 3.87 SIERA this season. Paddack has a 45% hard contact rate and 40% fly ball rate. He has identical splits, carrying a .261 wOBA, .370 SLG, and .257 OBP against both sides this season. The Cardinals have struggled a ton against righties as of late and Paddack certainly has the arm talent to get the QS and win against this porous Cardinals lineup. The only concern I have is Paddack is not an innings eater, averaging four or five IP per game. Padres batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .214 ISO, and .493 SLG against right handed pitching over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Chris Paddack $8100 FD | $8300 DK. Fernando Tatis Jr. $4000 FD | $5500 DK. Manny Machado $3900 FD | $4900 DK. Franmil Reyes $2800 FD | $4100 DK.

Dwehrj08’s Favorite DFS Plays

Top Pitchers

  1. Chris Paddack (Not an innings eater so tread carefully)
  2. Dakota Hudson
  3. Zack Greinke

Top Stacks

  1. Houston Astros
  2. Milwaukee Brewers
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks
  4. For good measure I will most definitely have exposure to Coors, as should you. This game isn’t my top priority but the implied run total here just simply cannot be ignored.

Home Run Call of Day: Matt Olson (OAK)

The Winning Edge
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MLB

The Winning Edge – 6.24 – Main Slate Breakdown – DraftKings and FanDuel MLB

written by

Good afternoon everyone! For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will cover a game by game breakdown for the seven game main slate on Draftkings and Fanduel.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

Over/Under: 10.5

Implied Run Total – TOR: 3.91 Runs

Implied Run Total – NYY: 6.63 Runs

Weather Concerns – N/A

Toronto Blue Jays – Aaron Sanchez (RHP) on the mound tonight for the Jays in New York. He is carrying a 5.49 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.43 SIERA on the season. He has identical splits, allowing .354 wOBA, .380 OBP, and .445 SLG on the season. Toronto hitters are slashing .346 wOBA .213 ISO, and 119 WRC+ to left handed pitchers over the last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Teoscar Hernandez, Eric Sogard, Vlad Guerro Jr., and Randal Grichuk.

New York Yankees – CC Sabathia (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Yankees at home. He is carrying a 4.14 ERA, 5.66 FIP, and 4.29 SIERA on the season. Sabathia has true splits, allowing .379 wOBA, .561 SLG, and .352 OBP against right handed batters. He is also allowing 2.14 HR/9. New York hitters are slashing .380 wOBA, .232 ISO, .366 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, well above their season average.

Preferred Plays: Luke Voit, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, DJ Lemahieu, and Gleyber Torres.

New York Mets @ Philidelphia Phillies

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – NYM: 4.76 Runs

Implied Run Total – PHI: 5.26 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible late game shower

New York Mets – Steven Matz (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Mets in Philly. Matz is carrying a 4.28 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.37 SIERA on the sesason. Matz has reverse splits, allowing .401 wOBA, .563 SLG, and .397 OBP to left handed batters. He is also allowing 40% hard contact and 1.83 HR/9. Mets batters are slashing .306 wOBA, .182 ISO, .262 BABIP, and .419 SLG. They are hitting close to their season average over their last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso, Michael Conforto, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano.

Philadelphia Phillies – Zach Eflin (RHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.83 ERA, 4.02 FIP, and 4.51 SIERA. Eflin is allowing only .221 BABIP on the season. Philly batters are slashing .332 wOBA, .155 ISO, .300 BABIP, and .412 SLG against left handed pitching over the last few weeks, close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Zach Eflin, Scott Kingery, Jay Bruce, Rhys Hoskins, Bryce Harper, and JT Realmuto.

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – KCR: 4.34 Runs

Implied Run Total – CLE: 5.72 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible PPD. 55% Precip. 7pm-10pm (EST)

Kansas City Royals – Brad Keller (RHP) on the mound for the Royals in Cleveland. He carries a 4.45 ERA, 4.35 FIP, and 5.41 SIERA on the season. Keller has identical splits, allowing .311 wOBA, .343 OBP, and .367 SLG. He has a low HC% and FB% all while only allowing .56 HR/9 this season. Royals batters are slashing .275 wOBA, .115 ISO, and .271 BABIP to right handed pitchers over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brad Keller

Cleveland Indians – Adam Plutko (RHP) takes the mound at home. He carries a 4.55 ERA, 6.25 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA on the season. Plutko is allowing .391 wOBA, .655 SLG, and .305 OBP on the year. He is also allowing 2.93 HR/9. Despite the inflated numbers, Plutko does offer strike out upside. Indians batters are slashing .341 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .327 BABIP over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Adam Plutko, Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Oscar Mercado, Jose Ramirez, and Francisco Lindor.

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

Over/Under: 9

Implied Run Total – CHW: 3.88

Implied Run Total – BOS: 5.14

Weather Concerns – N/A

Chicago White Sox – Lucas Giolito (RHP) is on the mound in Boston tonight. He is sporting a 2.74 ERA, 3.09 FIP, and 3.62 SIERA on the season. Giolito has excellent splits, allowing .252 wOBA, .267 OBP, and .304 SLG to both hands this season. White Sox batters are slashing .353 wOBA, .192 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last two weeks, well above their season avearges.

Preferred Plays: Luery Garcia, Jose Abreu, James McCann, and Eloy Jimenez.

Boston Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He is carrying a 4.71 ERA, 4.00, and 3.98 SIERA on the season. Rodriguez is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing .392 wOBA, .610 SLG, and 7 home runs through 18 innings pitched against left handed batters. Red Sox batters are slashing .392 wOBA, .243 ISO, and 139 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks. The Red Sox are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Christian Vasquez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, and Jackie Bradley Jr..

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

Over/Under: 11.5

Implied Run Total – ATL: 5.45

Implied Run Total – CHC: 6.12

Weather Concerns – N/A

Atlanta Braves – Julio Teheran (RHP) takes the mound at Wrigley this evening. He is sporting a 3.40 ERA, 4.36 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Teheran has identical splits, carrying .288 wOBA .311 OBP, and .347 SLG to both hands. I consider Teheran a viable pitching option in GPP’s. Braves hitters are slashing a massive .426 wOBA, .271 ISO, .386 BABIP, and 161 WRC+ over the last two weeks. To put it simply, they are on absolute fire.

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr..

Chicago Cubs – Jon Lester (LHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He carries a 4.13 ERA, 4.47 FIP, and 4.16 SIERA on the season. Lester has identical splits, allowing .390 wOBA, .329 OBP, and .464 SLG to both hands. He is also allowing 81% contact on his pitches, 41% of that being hard contact. Cubs batters are slashing ,291 wOBA, .163 ISO, .253 BABIP, and 78 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Kyle Schwarber, Wilson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward.

LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – LAD: 4.25 Runs

Implied Run Total – ARI: 3.75 Runs

Weather Concerns – Dome

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Arizona tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both hands. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Clayton Kershaw, Max Muncy, Joc Pederson, and Cody Bellinger.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both hands. Arizona batters are slashing .339 wOBA, .218 ISO, and .306 BABIP over the last two weeks, They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte, Eduardo Escobar, Ildemaro Vargas, and Carson Kelly.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – COL: 3.75

Implied Run total – SFG: 3.75

Weather Concerns – N/A

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight in San Francisco. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both hands. Rockies batters are slashing a slate high .427 wOBA, .220 ISO, .438 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Jon Gray, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, David Dahl, and Nolan Arenado.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing .334 wOBA, .182 ISO, and .321 BABIP recently. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brandon Belt and Alex Dickerson

Dwehrj08’s favorite plays

Top Pitchers:

  • Clayton Kershaw
  • Jon Gray
  • Julio Teheran

Top Stacks:

  • Atlanta Braves
  • New York Yankees
  • Toronto Blue Jays

Home Run Call: Austin Riley (ATL)

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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/29: Bright Reds

Marshall Rosen
written by Marshall Rosen

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 29th action:

EARLY SLATE

Cincinnati Reds

The Pirates’ Steven Brault is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Pittsburgh. The left-handed pitcher has a robust 7.11 ERA. And his other numbers for this season aren’t any better. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA and a 5.85 xFIP. The Pittsburgh starter also is getting hit hard with a 44.9% hard contact rate, making the Reds look like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.

The building blocks for this stack will be Eugenio Suarez (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900) and Nick Senzel (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,900). Both of these right-handed bats have at least a .300 ISO against lefties in 2019. And while he doesn’t have great numbers against southpaws this season, how do you not chase yesterday’s three home run performance by Derek Dietrich (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,900)?

Other Reds to look at it include: Kyle Farmer (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,800) and Yasiel Puig (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200). Both Cincinnati bats have over .200 ISOs against lefties in 2019.

Seattle Mariners

The Rangers’ Drew Smyly is struggling this season with a 6.15 ERA and is allowing 2.14 HR/9. With seven Mariners owning an ISO of over .200 against southpaws in 2019, the Texas starter’s struggles should continue in this one.

These seven players should be the emphasis of your stack: Jay Bruce (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,300), Domingo Santana (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300), Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,800), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,400), Omar Narvaez (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,200) and Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,500).

Los Angeles Angels

Since returning to the big leagues, the Athletics’ Daniel Mengden has been hit really hard by opposing offenses. In fact, he has allowed a 50% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in him having a 6.07 SIERA and a 6.11 xFIP. The Angels’ offense should be able to hit some balls awfully hard against the young Oakland right-hander here and make for a great value play to combine with Cincinnati or Seattle.

Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,500), Kole Calhoun (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,100),Albert Pujols (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500), Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,500) and Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900)all have produced at least a 45% hard contact rate against righties in 2019.

MAIN SLATE

Arizona Diamondbacks

Winning DFS lineups for today’s slate will likely be loaded with Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies will be running Jeff Hoffman out to the bump. The right-handed starter has not fared well at Coors Field in his career. Hoffman has allowed a .303/.376/.541 slash line in 86.1 innings pitched in Colorado. Hoffman also has a 5.20 xFIP and 5.7% K-BB% in those contests. Look for the Diamondbacks to take advantage of this matchup in a big way tonight.

The Diamondbacks’ build must start with Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,700). The third baseman is red hot. He has scored double-digit fantasy points per game for a week now.  His hot streak should continue on Wednesday. Escobar has crushed against righties this season. He owns a .250 ISO and a .351 wOBA against them. You can build around Escobar with a combination of Adam Jones (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,300) and Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) as well. Each of these Diamondbacks’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies have had Robbie Ray’s number throughout his career. In 106 at-bats against the current Colorado roster, the Arizona starter has allowed a .302/.395/.586 slash line with a .982 OPS. Of the 32 hits Ray has allowed to the current Rockies’ hitters, 16 of them have been for extra bases. And seven of those have left the yard. The success against Ray should continue tonight as the Rockies’ offense has a.209 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

When building your Rockies’ stack, of course you will want to start the construction with Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,600). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .466 ISO and a .516 wOBA versus them. Also, he has killed Ray in the past. Arenado has a 1.289 career OPS against the Diamondbacks’ pitcher.

You also need to consider Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,500DraftKings: $3,900). The outfielder has an ISO of .321 versus lefties in 2019.He also has a 1.289 career OPS versus Ray. Chris Iannetta (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,700), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,100), DanielMurphy (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,100), Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,100) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500)should all be considered. Each of those Rockies’ hitters have .200-plus ISOsagainst left-handed pitching in 2019.                                                                                                                                              

Kansas City Royals

The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez has struggled this season. The Right-hander has a5.09 SIERA and a 5.81 xFIP. Lopez has also allowed a 53.6% flyball rate and a40.9% hard contact rate. In addition to his 2019 struggles, Lopez has also hada difficult time with the Royals in his career. Against the current Royals’roster, the Chicago starter has allowed a .301 batting average and a .382 on-basepercentage.

Hunter Dozier(FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100) and Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,400) are great building blocks to a Royals’ stack. Both KansasCity hitter have ISO’s of at least .275 against right-handed pitcher but theyalso have .900-plus OPS against flyball pitchers.

Alex Gordon (FanDuel:$3,400 DraftKings: $4,800) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,500)also have produced at least a .200 ISO against righties in 2019. While WhitMerrifield (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200) has a .364 wOBA and a 127 wRC+against right-handed pitching this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

The St.Louis Cardinals will be starting Genesis Cabrera. The left-handed pitcher has a6.35 ERA in Triple-A this season. In 39.2 innings pitched for the Memphis Cardinals,Cabrera has allowed 43 hits and 19 walks that have led to 28 earned runs. ThePhillies are likely going to provide a rude welcome the Cardinals’ starter.

Jean Segura (FanDuel:$3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), J.T. Realmuto (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600),Scott Kingery (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (FanDuel: $4,400DraftKings: $4,900) and Bryce Harper (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,500) allwill be part of the welcoming party. Each of these players have recorded atleast a .200 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

Baltimore Orioles

The Tigers’Ryan Carpenter has had a rough go to the start of his 2019 campaign. He isallowing 3.21 HR/9 while maintaining a 9.00 ERA. While we usually stack againstthe Orioles, today you want to stack with the Orioles.

This stackwill of course start with Trey Mancini (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000).While he is not a cheap part of the stack, he is an owner of a .283 ISO and a.430 wOBA versus lefties this season.

The other bat to consider starting the Baltimore stack with is Pedro Severino (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,900). Severino has a .300-plus ISOs against lefties this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

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