It’s November 2nd and the Hot Shot is on the second night of a back-to-back. Tonight, we have a fairly large twelve-game slate. There are plenty of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. Aside from reading this 11/2 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
11/2 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Los Angeles Kings (-115) at Ottawa Senators (-105) – 7 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-115) at Detroit Red Wings (-105) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Carolina Hurricanes (+100) at New York Rangers (-120) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
New York Islanders (-125) at Washington Capitals (+105) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Tampa Bay Lightning (-162) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+136) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Toronto Maple Leafs (+105) at Boston Bruins (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total
New Jersey Devils (-125) at Minnesota Wild (+105) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (+110) at Edmonton Oilers (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Montreal Canadiens (+110) at Arizona Coyotes (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (+142) at Vegas Golden Knights (-162) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Nashville Predators (+114) at Seattle Kraken (-135) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (-205) at San Jose Sharks (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
11/2 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Vancouver Two – “J.T. Miller ($6,500), Brock Boeser ($6,100), Phil Di Guiseppe ($3,300)” – Prioritize the first two skaters
We’ve seen the Canucks have some big games before this season. Early on they ripped Edmonton to shreds. However, let’s face it this pick is mostly about their opponent, the lowly Sharks. San Jose has lost all nine of their games to start the season and has allowed 35 goals, second-most in the NHL. I like the New Jersey Devils too facing the team that has allowed the outright most “38” the flailing Minnesota Wild. However, Minnesota’s issue is merely one of poor form, whereas the Shark’s issues run much deeper. It may come as no surprise to anyone that they are the largest underdogs on this twelve-game slate at +175.
Vancouver’s second line has been its best statistically, tied for fourth in the NHL among lines with seven full-line goals. Their peripheral stats support their production to date as they are also ninth in the NHL in SATF “103”. Phil Di Guiseppe is an add-on only if you need to save some salary. Otherwise, on this large of a slate, I would prioritize the other two and aim for three pairs of two-man stacks.
11/2 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Los Angeles One – “Anze Kopitar ($5,600), Kevin Fiala ($6,200), Quinton Byfield ($3,700)”– prioritize the first two skaters
This game does have an early start and there’s a seven projected game total so perhaps they won’t be that contrarian. That said, with so many big names on the slate, will people really be piling on the Kings’ top line? As is ownership won’t be too much of an issue with twelve games. Statistically, this line is solid as they are sixteenth in the NHL in SATF “88” so not too far off of Vancouver Two listed above in that regard.
While both of the Kings’ lines are in play, I passed on the second line. Alex Laferriere only has two points across nine games. The pairing of Pierre-Luc Dubois and Kevin Fiala does not have much production to date either despite a solid SATF “97”, good for eleventh in the NHL. Fiala may have 12 points but 11 of them have been assists and that won’t cut it for $6,200 on this slate. Pierre-Luc Dubois is averaging below a point per game with six points “3 goals, 3 assists” in nine games. Meanwhile, Anze Kopitar has nine points in nine games “4 goals, 5 assists” and Adrian Kempe has the same nine points “3 goals, 6 assists” and we save $100 on salary with the pair.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
K’Andre Miller – New York Rangers -$2,900 – Solid production for a sub $3,000 punt. K’Andre Miller has seven points in nine games so far “1 goal, 6 assists” making his production a rarity among the now defensive-minded Rangers. He is averaging 7.4 DraftKings points per game and at this price, we will gladly take that.
Dakota Mermis – Minnesota Wild – $2,900 – Seeing more minutes due to a number of injuries. Dakota Mermis has four points in seven games but that includes two goals. If we use the two defensemen listed, the top two skaters from each line listed and our top goaltender below, it leaves $6,100 for a third two-man stack.
Goalie
Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders – $7,900 – With our pair of two-man stacks from above leaving $5,180 in salary, picking a goalie is our next move. This pulls from one of the two 5.5 total games on the slate, a phenomenon seldom seen in the last two years. Ilya Sorokin maybe not living up to his standards so far with a 2.99 GAA and a .910 SV % but Vegas is trying to yell at us that regression should be in order. The host Capitals have only scored 19 goals this season, tied for third-worst in the NHL. It is doubtful Nicklas Backstrom’s sudden departure for health reasons will help their cause.
11/2 NHL Best Bet
Edmonton ML (-130) – DraftKings – The Oilers have been fairly shitty as of late, coming into this at 2-5-1. They have also allowed a lot of goals “32” as opposed to Dallas’ 18 goals allowed to date. However, they did have to do without Connor McDavid for a few games, so you know, hurts a bit when you’re missing the best player in the world. With Dallas coming in on the second night of a back-to-back, Edmonton should also miss out on facing Jake Oettinger in net as well. Instead, they get to face crappy journeyman backup goalie, Scott Wedgewood. This seems like a solid get-right spot for the Oilers now that the gang is back together.
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