With less than a month left in the regular season, there won’t be too many huge slates like tonight’s slate. Of the eleven games, only three have totals set at six, indicating we should be in for a lot of goals.
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3/16 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Montreal Canadiens (+295) at Florida Panthers (-360) – 7 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (+120) at New York Rangers (-140) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Tamp Bay Lightning (+115) at New Jersey Devils (-135) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Colorado Avalanche (-140) at Ottawa Senators (+120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Chicago Blackhawks (+230) at Nashville Predators (-275) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Boston Bruins (-170) at Winnipeg Jets (+145) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (+115) at Edmonton Oilers (-135) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (-145) at Arizona Coyotes (+125) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Calgary Flames (+100) at Vegas Golden Knights (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Columbus Blue Jackets (+240) at Los Angeles Kings (-285) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Seattle Kraken (-170) at San Jose Sharks (+145) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
3/16 NHL Favorite Popular Line
New Jersey Two – “Nico Hischier ($6,800), Dawson Mercer ($4,800), Tomas Tatar ($3,700)”
You would have never thought a year ago that the Devils would be favored against the Lightning. Especially this late in the season. However, here we are. This line has been rolling for quite a while and this is a good spot to go back to the well. The peripheral stats here help to support their success “eight goals in their last ten and sixth in the NHL in SATF during that stretch”. On top of everything else, they are relatively affordable as well “partly because DraftKings hates Dawson Mercer”. I don’t mind just running this as a two-man without Tomas Tatar.
10-Day Sample Size – SATF “accounts for all shots including blocked and missed shots”
3/16 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Ottawa One – “Tim Stueztle ($7,100), Brady Tkachuk ($7,000), Claude Giroux ($5,600)”
The Avalanche have been in some shootouts lately. This game might be no exception and is pegged for a 6.5 total. Especially as +120 underdogs, I can’t imagine on such a large slate tons of people will be turning to Ottawa One. Nevertheless, they are eighth in the NHL in SATF “116” over their last ten games, so possess some strong peripheral numbers. As their seven goals during that span suggest, they are also transferring that production into goals. They make as good a wild card flier as any in large tournaments.
Defenseman and Goalie
Defenseman
Juuso Valimaki – Arizona – $4,100 – Valimaki is fairly cheap and quarterbacks the Coyotes’ top power-play unit. He is finally getting some production from his new role with double-digit DraftKings points in three straight.
Goalie
Linus Ullmark – Boston Bruins – $8,100 – When this guy is only the fifth most expensive goalie on a slate, you have to take a long look. His 1.97 GAA and .935 save % are pristine as was his streak of twelve straight games with double-digit DraftKings points prior to a letdown against Chicago. Here, with a six total, he is set up for a bounce back.
Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers – $7,800 – If looking to go a bit riskier, Igor Shesterkin is also in play. Pittsburgh is putting up plenty of shots so there should be volume. This is the type of spot we shoot for a peak performance between sufficient shot volume, Igor’s skills, and the Rangers favored status.
3/16 NHL Best Bet
Dallas (+115) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – The Stars are hot right now, it makes their status as an underdog here juicy.
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