It’s been quite a ride. Through the best of times, the worst of times. Many periods later we find ourselves here on the final day of the NHL regular season. There are fifteen games on this giant slate so without further adieu, let’s dig in below. Aside from reading the 4/13 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
4/13 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*
New Jersey Devils (-175) at Washington Capitals (+150) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Boston Bruins (-275) at Montreal Canadiens (+230) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (-170) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+145) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Carolina Hurricanes (+100) at Florida Panthers (-120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Toronto Maple Leafs (+110) at New York Rangers (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Ottawa Senators (+115) at Buffalo Sabres (-135) – 7 Projected Goal Total
Detroit Red Wings (+200) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-240) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Minnesota Wild (-110) at Nashville Predators (-110) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (+135) at Colorado Avalanche (-155) – 6 Projected Goal Total
St. Louis Blues (+190) at Dallas Stars (-225) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Philadelphia Flyers (-120) at Chicago Blackhawks (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (+350) at Edmonton Oilers (-435) – 7 Projected Goal Total
Los Angeles Kings (-225) at Anaheim Ducks (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (-150) at Arizona Coyotes (+130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Vegas Golden Knights (-120) at Seattle Kraken (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total
4/13 NHL Favorite Line
Edmonton One – “Connor McDavid ($10,200), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins ($7,100)” (TWO-MAN STACK)
Even on such a huge slate, Edmonton sticks out. The Oilers are -435 money-line favorites in a seven-goal game. With their prices, of course, you’re instantly in a stars and scrubs situation salary-wise. However, on this large of a slate, we can find value elsewhere. So now it comes down to which Edmonton line you want to target, first, second, or a power-play combination. My lean is with the top line as they represent 3/5 top power-play skaters as opposed to solely one. However, Zach Hyman has had a very low ceiling recently and is expensive much like the other two skaters. I like the two-man build with Conor McDavid and RNH and we can look to save money on other spots.
4/13 NHL Second Favorite Line
Pittsburgh One – “Sidney Crosby ($7,900), Jake Guentzel ($7,500), Rikard Rakell ($6,100)”
It may be too little, too late for the Penguin’s playoff hopes. However, that probably won’t stop them from taking out their frustrations on the Blue Jackets. I’d say abysmal may be a kind way to describe Columbus at the moment. They come in losers of four straight with a goal differential of -114 for the season “second worst in the NHL this season”. Pittsburgh’s top line has been absolutely smashing both in terms of actual goals and peripheral stats. They have eight goals in their last ten games “tied for second in the NHL” and are second in SATF over that span “129”. I don’t know how much I really have to add here given the matchup. The Blue Jackets will just be happy the season is over and look not to surrender 7-8 goals.
10-Day Sample Size – Goals Scored
4/13 NHL Third Favorite Line
Buffalo Two – “Tage Thompson ($8,100), Dylan Cozens ($5,800), Jordan Greenway ($2,700)”
The Sabres defied expectations this season despite falling short of a playoff spot. On the final day of the regular season, they find themselves in a cushy seven-total matchup versus Ottawa. Of course, let’s turn to Buffalo’s second line over their top line. I mean what is playing Sabres in DFS if you don’t have Tage Thompson in there? Jordan Greenway is usable for salary relief. Considering how expensive the Edmonton combo and Pittsburgh lines listed above are, he may come in necessary if following the article. If you wanted a really unique build you could bring it back with Senators for a game stack. Ottawa’s top line is seventh among all NHL lines in SATF over the last ten games.
10-Day Sample Size – SATF “includes all shot attempts such as blocked shots and missed shots”
Defenseman and Goalie
Defenseman
Devon Toews – Colorado – $5,500 – He continues to be a nightly lock under $6,000 with Cale Makar out until at least the playoffs. Don’t overthink it.
Goalie
Juuse Saros – Nashville Predators – $7,300 – The Predators may be eliminated now. However, Saros has been on absolute fire as of late. His price is very fair as well, hovering just over $7,000. Considering this is a 5.5 total affair, it’s safe to say it probably won’t be any shootout.
4/13 NHL Best Bet
Florida Panthers (-120) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – Because I just know they will ruin things for the Islanders. The Panthers are just too hot right now (6-3-1 last ten games) to pass up in that sort of raucous home atmosphere.
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