12/30 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

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This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 12/30 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

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Top Line

Pittsburgh One – Evgeni Malkin, Bryan Rust, Jake Guentzel

Given that it is only a one-game slate, the options here are fairly limited. That being said, it would be hard to overlook the Pittsburgh top line in any format, particularly in cash games. They are far and away from the top line on the slate and any effort to fade the three of them is solely to try to be contrarian. The Penguins top line is the third-ranked line in the NHL over the last ten games with 8 full line goals and strong supporting stats during that span. Pittsburgh has a high 3.95 implied goal total and is a -230 home favorite as of the time of writing. Bryan Rust is still criminally underpriced on FanDuel and remains underpriced relative to his peers on DraftKings. He should be the first skater in your lineup given his recent form.

12/30 NHL DraftKings Rankings

1. Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins – $8,800
2. Tristan Jarry – Pittsburgh Penguins – $7,500
3. Evgeni Malkin – Pittsburgh Penguins – $10,200
4. Jake Guentzel – Pittsburgh Penguins – $9,400
5. Thomas Chabot – Ottawa Senators – $8,600
6. Kris Letang – Pittsburgh Penguins – $8,400
7. Mark Borowiecki – Ottawa Senators – $4,800
8. Colin White – Ottawa Senators – $2,200
9. Brady Tkachuk – Ottawa Senators – $9,200
10. Anthony Duclair – Ottawa Senators – $8,000

12/30 NHL FanDuel Rankings

1. Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins – $9,500
2. Jake Guentzel – Pittsburgh Penguins – $13,500
3. Kris Letang – Pittsburgh Penguins – $12,500
4. Thomas Chabot – Ottawa Senators – $10,500
5. Evgeni Malkin – Pittsburgh Penguins – $16,000
6. Jared McCann – Pittsburgh Penguins – $8,000
7. Alex Galchenyuk – Pittsburgh Penguins – $7,500
8. Brady Tkachuk – Ottawa Senators – $14,500
9. Anthony Duclair – Ottawa Senators – $11,000
10. Juso Riikola – Pittsburgh Penguins – $6,000

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Bryan Rust/Evgeni Malkin/Brady Tkachuk – Over 2.5 Points – Provided Pittsburgh’s high implied goal total, two of the three Pens on the top line should help to put this prop bet over.

Evgeni Malkin – Over 0.5 Assists – Evgeni Malkin is the most expensive skater on the slate, but we can get around that on MKF. An assist is certainly not a tall ask with such a high total.

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