Happy Friday and it’ll be a good one with an eight-game NBA DFS Slate. There will be more to look into and where to find the plays. I’ll break down my core plays alongside my value plays. I’ll go over which game I’m targeting out of the five and why. On top of that, I’ll drop my two favorite bets for tonight’s action while using the brand-new Propbettor tool!
NBA DFS – Core Plays
Anthony Davis $10,300 – 57.40 DK Points – 5.57 Value Rating
I’d avoid this matchup if this were a healthy Philadelphia 76ers team with Joel Embiid. But with the 76ers down Embiid, Anthony Davis should find success tonight. Davis is averaging a double-double in his last five games with 20.2 points and 13.4 rebounds alongside 4.2 assists, 2.2 steals, and 1.8 blocks. He is filling the stat sheet. Both, Anthony Davis and LeBron James will have questionable tags heading into tonight’s game but we should get news early for them.
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Nicolas Batum $4,000 – 25.23 DK Points – 6.31 Value Rating
Sticking within the same game, Nicolas Batum is another player with a good matchup and his price is one to go after. With a value rating of 6.31, Batum could help free up other payup spots. He has faced the Lakers once already this season. He recorded 10 points, seven rebounds, four assists, and three steals in 28.9 minutes. Philadelphia will be in a pace-up spot as the Lakers average almost four more possessions per game than they do. This will benefit Nicolas Batum and the rest of the 76ers.
Chet Holmgren $7,400 – 41.53 DK points – 5.61 Value Rating
Tonight is a night to run double centers in lineups as Chet Holmgren is in a nice spot versus Toronto. Holgrem has been playing well lately, averaging a double-double in his last five games. He is averaging 18.2 points with 10.4 rebounds and 2.2 blocks per game. Toronto has shown that they can struggle versus Centers also. They are allowing them to average 22.7 points and 15.5 rebounds per game.
NBA DFS – Top Value Targets
Jordan Nwora $4,200 – 26 DK points – 6.19 Value Rating
We’re going back-to-back days of running it with Jordan Nwora. Nwora recorded 13 points with two rebounds and one steal in a loss to Sacramento last night. The Toronto Raptors will have their hands full with Oklahoma City tonight but Jordan Nwora could see extra minutes due to blowout potential. He’s averaging 12.4 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 1.2 steals in his last five games.
DeJon Jarreau $3,800 – 22.76 DK Points – 5.99 Value Rating
DeJon Jarreau has been logging minutes recently with four of his five games being 17 minutes or more. He didn’t score too well versus Golden State on Wednesday but he did log 10 rebounds and five assists. In his past five games, he’s averaging 4.4 5.4 rebounds, and 3.4 assists. His minutes may not be high but the way he has produced recently makes his $3.8k price tag something to go after with some good spots on tonight’s slate.
NBA DFS – Game To Target
Indiana Pacers (+160) versus Golden State Warriors (-192) – Total 240 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
There isn’t a single player above $9k in this matchup and it has the highest total of the night, plus a fast-paced environment. Indiana plays at the second-highest pace with 105.5 possessions per game while Golden State is ranked 7th with 103.9. For the pay-up spot players, Tyrese Haliburton is fourth with a value rating of 5.85 and a projection of 52.69 DK points. Stephen Curry would be next with a 5.10 value rating and a projection of 43.85. I would choose Curry over Haliburton on any slate currently.
Draymond Green and Myles Turner would start the discussion for cheaper options from this game. Turner is priced at $6.5K and with a projection of 35.46 DK points. Green is also priced the same but with a slightly higher projection of 36.01. Trayce Jackson-Davis could make for a solid center option if you don’t run Anthony Davis and Chet Holmgren together. Jackson-Davis is priced at $5k but holds a value rating of 5.99 and a projection of 29.93 DK points. These are only three players that can open up your lineups but overall, this game should provide good value with a total of 240 points.
NBA DFS – Best Bets
We have launched the all-new PropBetter tool for our Premium users and you do not want to miss out on it. It covers the main Sportsbooks and allows you to find the edge for player props for each book. It’s a one-stop shop for you so you don’t have to go on a scavenger hunt to find the best place to place your money!
Jaylen Brown over 3.5 Assists +100 (DK Sportsbook)
Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.2 assists in his last five games but gets a favorable matchup versus Detroit tonight. They are currently allowing 4.7 assists per game to the forward position. While three assists have been Brown’s sweet spot in these last five games, Detroit should allow him the opportunity to facilitate.
Myles Turner over 6.5 Rebounds -122 (FD Sportsbook)
Myles Turner pops up on the PropBettor tool with an edge of 13.72% and for good reason. Turner recorded seven rebounds in his first meeting versus Golden State this year and that was with only 22.7 minutes of play time. The Warriors allow centers to average nearly 15 boards per game this season. With the pace of play tonight, Myles Turner should be in good shape to hit the over.
