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NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Talladega 4/24/21

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial as well to make sure you are ready and have an understanding of how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site that has contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and is the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

This week the NASCAR Xfinity Series is in Talladega for the second Superspeedway race of the season. I’m not going to lie, I hate these races. They are impossible to predict and are generally accident-filled. My first suggestion for these types of races is to play light. I usually play 5-6 lineups, but I will be scaling it down to 1-2 lineups because it just doesn’t make sense financially to spend all that money. If I do decide to make multiple lineups it will be to play $5-$10 in $1 or $2 contests.

How I build Superspeedway lineups

I will do my best to give you some of the plays who tend to fare well at these type of tracks and who actually has some upside in the field. One thing that I will hammer into you over this weekend is the fact that you will have salary left over, a lot of it. You do not, nor should you, spend all $50K because the best way to get on the right side of the cash line or even have a chance at a takedown will be to load up with 4-5 drivers starting 25th or lower. I know as a DFS player it is not in our nature to leaves thousands on the table, but when you look at optimal lineups throughout the years at superspeedways, it just makes sense. Usually, you have anywhere from $1.2K to over $3K salary remaining in the optimal lineups at these types of tracks. I can almost guarantee I will have $1K or more salary leftover in every lineup I build this week.

When building your lineups try to hold to this type of build

1 driver starting inside the top 15

1-2 drivers from 15th-25th

3-4 drivers starting 26th or lower

Yes, you will have salary leftover and that is ok.!

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kaulig Racing:

AJ Allmendinger ($10,600 – P11), Justin Haley ($9,200 – P5), Jeb Burton ($8,200 – P9)

Looking back to the two 2020 Talladega races you notice that Justin Haley swept them both. We also see that they had 5 top ten finishes with their 3 cars in the two races. With how well these cars ran I definitely have interest in running 1-2 of these cars in each lineup this week. Last season Jeb Burton raced the #8 for JRM, but he also had a good day in his one Talladega race. Burton came home 3rd in the June race with 2 fastest laps and 8 laps led. With these races being short, we are not chasing dominator poins but inteast finishing position and place differential. I think with all three of these drivers outside the top 5 they offer up limited PD upside, but they do have the potential to finish top 5 which is what we look for to pair with our place differential drivers from the back.

Austin Cindric ($9,600)

Starting Position: 1st

Cindric is a good superspeedway driver and even though he is on the pole for Saturday’s race, he has the potential to win. If you are playing one lineup, then maybe stay away from Cindric because he can kill your chances if he wrecks early. Typically the early wrecks come from the rear of the field but that’s not to say it can’t happen upfront. Last season in the October Dega race, Cindric wrecked out 75 laps in, but before that, he had finished top 5 in his previous two Talladega races.

Other Options (in order of preference): Noah Gragson ($10,000 – P4), Ryan Sieg ($9,800 – P17), Brett Moffitt ($9,000 – P17)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Jason White ($8,400)

Starting Position: 40th

White could be the chalkiest play of this tier, luckily DK priced him up some to try and limit his ownership but not enough in my opinion. White managed to avoid the chaos at Daytona and finished 10th after starting 40th earlier this year. I will probably have close to 100% ownership on White this week because he can’t really hurt you and if he is able to escape the carnage he should definitely find his way into the optimal lineup.

Alex Labbe ($7,500)

Starting Position: 30th

Labbe, like White, is too cheap for his upside in this race. Last season Labbe finished top 10 in both Talladega races and has never finished lower than 25th in four races here. If Labbe can navigate the wrecks, a top 10 is definitely a possibility for the #36 on Saturday.

Brandon Brown ($7,600)

Starting Position: 18th

In eight races at superspeedways since 2019, Brandon Brown has only one finish lower than 18th (26th at Daytona in 2020). Brown also has four top 10 finishes in those eight races and an 11th place finish. Brown is another driver who seems to know his way around these superspeedways and has some good place differential upside on Saturday.

Other Options: Landon Cassill ($7,100 – P32), Josh Berry ($8,100 – P6), Harrison Burton ($8,500 – P3), Ty Dillon ($7,900 – P16),

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

  1. Jeffrey Earnhardt ($6,300) – P33
  2. Matt Mills ($5,900) – P36
  3. Mason Massey ($6,600) – P31
  4. Timmy Hill ($5,000) – P27
  5. Ryan Vargas ($6,500) – P39
  6. Natalie Decker ($6,000) – P38
  7. Caesar Bacarella ($6,800) – P28
  8. Josh Williams ($5,600) – P15
  9. Jesse Little ($5,600) – P34
  10. David Starr ($5,200) – P26
  11. Gray Gaulding ($5,300) – P24

Make sure to check in discord throughout the day on Saturday as I may update the value plays if I find out more info on sponsors and potential start and park drivers.

Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

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