Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.
Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial as well to make sure you are ready and have an understanding of how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site that has contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and is the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series’ article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.
Finally, we have 1.5-mile oval racing this weekend! Now, even though it’s basic 1.5 oval racing, it’s a high tire wear track. What that means is drivers who charge out fast out of the gate will fall off at the end of a run and drivers who sit back and take care of their tires will have speed at the end of the run. Basically, it boils down to a lot of passing and pit strategy and makes for an interesting race.
NASCAR has decided to get rid of the competition caution this week which means our polesitter (Austin Cindric) has a chance to lead a lot more laps early on without the caution being waved 15 laps in. Teams pretty much always pitted at the competition caution last season and it messed with the momentum of the leaders.
NASCAR DFS: Dominators
Tyler Reddick ($11,700)
Starting Position: 38th
Homestead is one of Reddick’s best tracks in both the Cup and Xfinity Series. In three career Xfinity Series races, Reddick has three top 5 finishes as well as two wins. Reddick starts 38th, so we get the place differential upside needed to make value at this price
Noah Gragson ($11,300)
Starting Position: 23rd
Gragson was dominant at Homestead last season and had an average finish of 4th in his two races here. In both races, Gragson had top five a green flag speed and led a combined 60 laps. Gragson also had the fastest average speed late in a run in the second Homestead race meaning he takes care of his tires here and can pass late in a run.
Justin Allgaier ($9,900)
Starting Position: 19th
In the second race at Homestead, last season Allgaier had some bad luck towards the end of the race and finished 22nd, but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Allgaier ran inside the top 15 for nearly 85% of the race and had 14 fastest laps. Another sign that Allgaier had a good car was that his average position during the race was 10.6.
Other Options: Austin Cindric ($10,200), AJ Allmendinger ($11,000), Ty Dillon ($10,500), Harrison Burton ($9,600)
NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier
Riley Herbst ($8,700)
Starting Position: 29th
Herbst has burnt us both times so far this season with negative points in each race in 2021, but I think this week will be different. Last season in the #18 Joe Gibbs Toyota, Herbst finished 9th and 10th here at Homestead. In the second Homestead race in 2020 Herbst finished 9th, had an average running position of 11.4, and had the 8th best driver rating.
Myatt Snider ($8,300)
Starting Position: 10th
Snider has had a really solid start to his season with two finishes inside the top 13 in his first year as the full time driver for the #2 RCR Chevy. Last season at Homestead Snider the #93 for Ryan Sieg and finished 15th and 7th here. Snider is in much better equipment and with his momentum coming into this race I wouldn’t be surprised to see Snider up front at the end of the day.
Josh Berry ($7,800)
Starting Position: 20th
Josh Berry is back in the JR Motorsports #8 after a 27th place finish last week at the Daytona Road Course. Last season Daniel Hemric had a great day in this same car until a late race accident sent him to a 31st place finish. Hemric had this car in the top 15 for 92.7% of the race and an average running position of 7.7. Now, I am not saying Berry is as good of a driver as Hemric but starting from P20 Berry has some upside that could lead to a high upside low owned play.
Other Options: Jeffrey Earnhardt ($7,500), Justin Haley ($8,900), Alex Labbe ($7,200), Ryan Sieg ($8,000), Jeremy Clements ($7,000)
NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings
- JJ Yeley ($5,700) – P39
- Ryan Vargas ($6,900) – P35
- Stefan Parsons ($5,100) – P30
- Timmy Hill ($5,500) – P33
- Joe Graf Jr. ($4,600) – P16
- Gray Gaulding ($6,200) – P26
- Tommy Joe Martins ($5,900) – P27
- Matt Mills ($4,500) – P17
- Bayley Currey ($5,600) – P34
- Colby Howard ($4,900) – P28
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