Connect with us
Baseball Articles Projection Model Cheat Sheet Stacks Tool Matchups Tool Home Run Model Daily Video Golf Articles Projection Model Showdown Stats Football Articles Projection Model Cheat Sheets Season Long Rankings Totals Tool Nascar Articles Hockey Articles Other Sports Mixed Martial Arts Soccer League of Legends Soccer Cheat Sheet OffSeason Basketball Tools Optimizer Sports Betting Articles PrizePicks Model MLB Lines Model About Us Win Daily Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Our Community

Become part of our Family in our Expert Chat! This is where all the magic happens. We created a community which we consider a family of DFS players and Sports Bettors like yourself.

Expert Chat
Gold Membership Optimizer Membership Free Membership BetMGM PrizePicks Partners Sharp.App Download the App & Get One Free Month Monkey Knife Fight 100% Instant Deposit Match (up to $100) Thrive Fantasy Up to $100 Deposit Match DraftKings DFS 20% Deposit Up To $500 Bonus DraftKings SportsBook $1,000 Deposit Bonus; Bet $5, Win $280 FanDuel DFS 20% Deposit Bonus Up To $500 FanDuel SportsBook $1,000 Risk Free Bet; Bet $5, Win $280 Points Bet Up To $2,000 in Free Bets BETMGM $1,000 Risk Free 1st Bet Caesars $1,100 First Bet Match UniBet $500 Risk Free First Bet Prize Picks 100% Deposit Match up to $100 OwnersBox Up to $25 Deposit Bonus + Weekly Promo Codes Underdog Fantasy 100% Deposit Match up to $100 BetRivers 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Sugarhouse 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Administrator Quick Links wp-admin Membership Reports Members Subscriptions Transactions Content Access Rules Monster Insights Microsoft BI Administrator Quick Links 2 New Funnel New Page Theme Editor Affiliate Royale ACF Writer Quick Links wp-admin New Post All Posts New Sportsbetting Pick All Sportsbetting Picks Affiliate Quick Links Dashboard Data Analyst Quick Links NBA Proj Dashboard MLB Proj Dashboard NFL Proj Dashboard Golf Proj Dashboard Cheat Sheet Quick links Sign Up Log In Articles

Articles

MLB PGA Soccer Nascar LOL MMA NHL NFL NBA Learn Video Sports Betting
Tools

Tools

Top Tools

Optimizer

Projection Models

NFL MLB PGA NBA

Other Tools

NFL Cheat Sheet NFL Totals Tool NBA Cheat Sheet MLB Stacks Tool MLB Matchups Tool MLB Cheat Sheet PGA Showdown Stats Soccer Cheat Sheet
Community

Community

Expert Chat The Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Facebook Twitter Instagram Twitch Youtube Live
Memberships

Memberships

Partners

Partners

SportsBook Reviews

Academy

Academy

Links

Articles Videos Podcasts

Sports Betting

MLBMA Premium Notes 6.26.19 Daytime Four Pack

Published

on

Sports Betting

Managed to scrape out a small profit last night even after the Brad Hand meltdown, which I won’t mention any further or I’ll need a new keyboard. Bullpens are bad, and going under F5 with this juice ball is tough but that’s the cost of doing business here.

Due to the short slate today I was able to run the MLBMA algo for the early games, which I usually fade. The running theme lately has been asset protection until the bounces start going our way. We’ve missed OUs by a single run, and had wins blown by errors & blown saves. Rather than go on tilt or get emotional and overreact, I very simply scale down my bets into inevitable drawdowns. It sounds extremely simple and intuitive, until you speak to the average gambler who is irrationally determined to get it all back in one night in the midst of a cold streak (Which for MLBMA is still over 50% even during tough times). Here’s another tip on discipline; If you only bet 1%, you can take 10 losses in a row and only be down 9.6%. The average gambler with no concept of risk management routinely gambles +20% of their stack on any given night. This is a sure road to ruin.

Today’s Daytime Algo Hits

  • BOS F5ML (-345)
  • COL F5ML (-160)
  • NYY ML (-280)
  • KC/CLE O8.5 (-115)

I absolutely despise grading picks. Lately I’ve been finding success when getting multiple pings by playing games in Round Robin format. I do not advise that today; The heavy odds won’t guarantee a profitable day if you miss the wrong one. Again, don’t let anyone tell you what to play or how to play. Think of me as a very experienced guide on the matter, nothing more. There isn’t a person or algorithm on the planet with perfect predictive capabilities. Here’s a few ways to attack today’s slate.

  • 4 game parlay = +431
  • 3 game (minus BOS F5ML) = +316
  • COL F5ML + NYY ML = +120
  • COL F5ML + KC/CLE O8.5 = +203

I think I’m going to likely play all four games for a very small relative bet, and then a Round Robin on the remaining three (AB, AC, BC)

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

At Win Daily, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” Sure, we want to help you win that big DFS tournament. But we want you to have a greater enjoyment of Daily Fantasy Sports while you are doing it. Along the way, you also may learn some life lessons and gain some perspectives you may have never considered before.

Join Now

©2020 WIN DAILY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.

Published

on