MLBMA Daily Notes 6.7.19 SEA at LAA

165

OFFENSE

SEA Away vs LHP, 2019 (Last 30 Days)

• 111 PA
• .192/.270/.283 Triple Slash
• .553 OPS
• .091 ISO
• .248 wOBA
• 53 wRC+
• 29.7% K Rate
• 22.4% Hard Hit Rate

LAA vs LHP, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

• 192 PA
• .321/.396/.524 Triple Slash
• .920 OPS
• .202 ISO
• .386 wOBA
• 148 wRC+
• 14.1% K Rate
• 9.9% BB Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Marco Gonzales since May 1st, 2019 (7 Games Started)

• 32.1 IP
• 20 K : 13 BB
• 8.4% BB Rate
• 7.79 ERA / 5.90 FIP / 6.52 xFIP
• 1.76 WHIP
• .328/.394/.537 Triple Slash Allowed
• .931 OPSA
• .387 wOBAA
• 42.4% Hard Hit Rate
• Weak 2019 Statcast data (below)

Andrew Heaney, 2019 (2 Games Started)

• 11.0 IP
• 4.09 ERA / 4.88 FIP / 2.60 xFIP
• 0.73 WHIP
• 18 K : 1 BB
• 43.9% K Rate
• 2.4% BB Rate
• .175/.195/.475 Triple Slash Allowed
• .660 OPSA
• .272 wOBAA

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

Team	AVG	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
Mariners	0.229	1.39	4.42	5.69	6.17	6.06
Angels	0.262	1.52	5.34	3.74	4.80	4.19

THE PLAY: LAA F5 ML

The Angels bullpen has a walk-rate over 10 percent to go with the inflated 1.52 WHIP & 5.34 ERA, so I’d like to keep this one short and sweet. I would like to add one thing however, and it’s a strategy I’ve been employing to avoid the volatility of bullpens lately. I’ll bet the F5 and reassess after the decision. For example, if tonight’s game is a push after five innings, I will consider betting the game live IF I like the way Heaney pitched. So, if this game is 1-1 or 2-2 after five innings, I recommend placing your wager again live to try and take advantage of Marco’s poor ERA third time through the order. If the game is 5-5, take the push and run; We don’t want to be involved in a bullpen shootout.