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MLBMA Daily Notes 6.7.19 SEA at LAA

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OFFENSE

SEA Away vs LHP, 2019 (Last 30 Days)

  • 111 PA
  • .192/.270/.283 Triple Slash
  • .553 OPS
  • .091 ISO
  • .248 wOBA
  • 53 wRC+
  • 29.7% K Rate
  • 22.4% Hard Hit Rate

LAA vs LHP, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

  • 192 PA
  • .321/.396/.524 Triple Slash
  • .920 OPS
  • .202 ISO
  • .386 wOBA
  • 148 wRC+
  • 14.1% K Rate
  • 9.9% BB Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Marco Gonzales since May 1st, 2019 (7 Games Started)

  • 32.1 IP
  • 20 K : 13 BB
  • 8.4% BB Rate
  • 7.79 ERA / 5.90 FIP / 6.52 xFIP
  • 1.76 WHIP
  • .328/.394/.537 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .931 OPSA
  • .387 wOBAA
  • 42.4% Hard Hit Rate
  • Weak 2019 Statcast data (below)
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

Andrew Heaney, 2019 (2 Games Started)

  • 11.0 IP
  • 4.09 ERA / 4.88 FIP / 2.60 xFIP
  • 0.73 WHIP
  • 18 K : 1 BB
  • 43.9% K Rate
  • 2.4% BB Rate
  • .175/.195/.475 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .660 OPSA
  • .272 wOBAA

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

TeamAVGWHIPERAFIPxFIPSIERA
Mariners0.2291.394.425.696.176.06
Angels0.2621.525.343.744.804.19

THE PLAY: LAA F5 ML

The Angels bullpen has a walk-rate over 10 percent to go with the inflated 1.52 WHIP & 5.34 ERA, so I’d like to keep this one short and sweet. I would like to add one thing however, and it’s a strategy I’ve been employing to avoid the volatility of bullpens lately. I’ll bet the F5 and reassess after the decision. For example, if tonight’s game is a push after five innings, I will consider betting the game live IF I like the way Heaney pitched. So, if this game is 1-1 or 2-2 after five innings, I recommend placing your wager again live to try and take advantage of Marco’s poor ERA third time through the order. If the game is 5-5, take the push and run; We don’t want to be involved in a bullpen shootout.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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