MLBMA Daily Notes 5.28.19 CLE at BOS

204

OFFENSE

CLE vs LHP, (Last 7 Days)

• 91 PA
• .195/.311/.247 Triple Slash
• .558 OPS
• .052 ISO
• .262 wOBA
• 57 wRC+
• 33.9% Hard Hit Rate

BOS Home, (Last 10 Days)

• 76 PA
• .338/.382/.592 Triple Slash
• .973 OPS
• .254 ISO
• .404 wOBA
• 150 wRC+

STARTING PITCHING

David Price, 2019 (Last 6 Games Started)

• 29.2 IP
• 34 K : 7 BB
• 2.12 ERA / 2.85 FIP / 3.20 xFIP
• 1.01 WHIP
• .213/.261/.352 Triple Slash Allowed
• .613 OPSAA
• .264 wOBAA
• Very strong Statcast Data

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

Team	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
Indians	1.12	3.6	3.96	3.11	2.78
Red Sox	1.55	4.23	4.2	4.79	4.47

THE PLAY: BOS F5 ML

The Red Sox have a .348 team wOBA over the last seven days entering their strong split, and David Price has been great lately by any metric. The unknown in this equation is Plesac making his MLB debut. If you look at his MiLB stats, they are very strong. He’s a low ERA, low WHIP guy that I’m not expecting to get blown up ,but I still think he will be outmatched. I did consider playing the full 9 innings in this one but considering the heavy CLE bullpen advantage and Price’s inability to go beyond 6 IP (only 1x all of 2019), I think it’s wise to shorten this one. For the higher risk/reward players, there’s also a case to weigh in a percentage of F5 RL-0.5.

Let’s get it.