Jared Levitt 
TGIF! It’s Friday and that means we have ourselves a pretty nice sized slate. Tonight, we’ll have 7 games of MLB DFS to navigate through. For the first time this season, I’ll also be able to recommend stacking against my favorite pitcher. Those who know, know. This slate does have a nice mix of studs to use on the mound, and bums to stack against.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Freddy Peralta ($9.3k on DK) vs. Seattle Mariners
Granted it was against the Mets, but Freddy Peralta looked absolutely dominant in his first outing of the season. Making it through 6 innings of work, Peralta struck out 8 hitters and has a WHIP of just .33. Yes, he barely let any baserunners on throughout his 6 innings of work. Most would say that using a pitcher against the Mariners is a questionable decision. The Mariners haven’t looked good at the plate to start the season.
Against righties, they own a massive 33% k rate and an OPS of just .541. Until they prove otherwise, we’re going to use pitchers, and especially dominant pitchers, against them. I recommended Shane Bieber against them the other night and he preceded to throw 6 innings of dominant ball. Freddy Peralta can do the same tonight.
Brady Singer ($8.7k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
The White Sox are going to be a team that we pick on often this season. Gone is Tim Anderson at the top of the lineup, and the rest of the lineup is starting to age. If we look up and down this lineup these days, it’s nothing that should strike fear in any pitcher. To start the season, they’ve been below average vs. righties. They have a nearly 24% k rate vs. them and just a .638 OPS.
They’ve been bad and we’ll pick on them with Singer tonight. Singer to his credit looked very dominant in his first outing this season. In that outing, he went 7 strong innings with 10 K’s and not allowing a single run. Can he have a repeat performance tonight? Against a weak White Sox lineup, I think he can.
Other pitchers I like tonight are going to be Spencer Strider vs. Arizona (tread lightly as the Dbacks are strong) and Hunter Greene vs. my Mets.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Patrick Corbin
It took a week into the season, but I can finally recommend stacking against Patrick Corbin. I honestly don’t know what Washington was thinking when they signed Patrick Corbin to this 6-year/$140 m contract. It’s been an abomination since he signed it and it’s going to continue to wreak havoc on them this season. The only saving grace for them is that this is it, the last year of the contract. Corbin’s first start of the season was not good.
He went just 4 innings against the Reds, allowing 4 ER. As has been the case throughout his Nationals tenure, he got eaten up by the long ball as he allowed 2 homers. He should continue to struggle tonight against a strong lineup in the Phillies. Splits-wise, we’ll want to prioritize the righties in this lineup as Corbin has historically been way worse against them.
That means we’ll start with guys like JT Realmuto, Trea Turner, Alec Bohm, and Nick Castellanos. All 4 of these guys stand a really strong chance of taking Corbin deep tonight. Of the bunch, who’s my favorite? Glad you asked! JT Realmuto is. I normally don’t like spending up on catcher, but when the matchup warrants it, I will. Tonight’s matchup warrants it is Corbin should excel in this matchup as he has a long history of crushing Corbin. After my righties, we can’t forget about Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Harper is always in play, regardless of the matchup.
Texas Rangers vs. Hunter Brown
While he didn’t allow an ER in his initial start against the Yankees, the advanced metrics tell a little bit of a different story. It shows a pitcher that got hit pretty hard and if it hadn’t been for some luck, this game could have ended quite a bit differently for him. In that start vs. the Yankees, Brown allowed a nearly 37% hard-hit rate. Couple that with a contact rate against him of 86%, we have a pitcher that allowed a good amount of hard-hit balls in play.
Giving up that much contact, and hard contact to boot, against a solid Rangers lineup, is going to be a huge challenge against a very good Rangers lineup. A Rangers lineup that has hit righty pitching very well to start the season. While the lefties will be in play here, I’m going to be a bit more focused on the righties as Brown has been a reverse splits pitcher so far in his young career. Righties have a slugging % of .490 vs. him, while lefties are at .372. That’s a pretty sizeable difference.
That has me on Marcus Semien to start. Semien has come out of the gates hitting the ball well. Through his first 6 games, Semien has reached base 11 times. He’s also scored a bunch of runs and driven in a bunch of runs. He’s pricey at $5k but should do well here. We also can’t forget about last year’s playoff sensation, Adolis Garcia. He’s off to a red-hot start, with 3 homers already and 6 RBI. Other than these 2, I also like guys like Corey Seager and Wyatt Langford. The value in this lineup tonight will be guys like Jared Walsh at $3.5k, Josh Smith at $2.3k, and Leody Taveras at $3.4k.
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Royals against Erick Fedde and Reds vs. Jose Quintana.
Favorite Prop Bets:
Keep an eye out here as I’ll be adding props throughout the day.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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