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Isaiah’s Protocol for the NBA DFS slate on 1/19

Isaiah’s Protocol for the NBA DFS slate is built around DraftKings pricing but is good across the industry with some slight adjustments to salaries on the various sites.

We’re looking at a limited 2 game NBA DFS slate today and it’s imperative to nail down a solid core of players. Miami is in San Antonio and favored by 1, with a 221 implied total. The Pacers travel to Denver as 1.5 underdogs, with an implied total of 111. Denver is a little banged up right now with Murray, Harris, and Millsap already ruled out. There is some value on this NBA DFS slate coming out of Denver. I may look to get some of the Pacer pieces facing that value instead.  Of the 4 teams, 3 have solid defenses, so I’ll be looking to target the Miami Heat as much as possible tonight. Be sure to check in with us in the WinDaily chat rooms on Discord for any updates on the news.

THE STUD

Jimmy Butler ($8200) Don’t overthink this as you’re going to want Jimmy “Buckets” on your roster. I’ve been targeting the Spurs at the 2 spot for weeks, and tonight will be no exception. Butler has a 25.2% usage rate and scores 1.22 FP/min. San Antonio ranks 24th in DEFF, and 26th in DvsA. Jimmy had an off game against the Spurs just 4 days ago when he posted a 12/3/4 stat line, with a block and steal for 25.25 DKFPTS. I’m hoping this keeps his ownership down. In his other 3 games last week he averaged 48 DKFPTS. I expect a bounce-back performance on this NBA DFS slate tonight from Butler.

THE CORE

Demar Derozan ($8400) The only reason I didn’t put Derozan in my stud column is that Miami ranks 3rd in DvsA and 12th in DEFF. Demar has a 26.9% usage rate and scores 1.14 FP/min. He has been playing great this season and averaging 46 DKFPTS over his last 10 games. Derozan just dropped almost 50 DKFPTS in Miami on Wednesday posting a 30/5/7 stat line with 2 steals, going 12 for 14 from the field. Getting another 50 burger for $8400? Yes, please.

Domantas Sabonis ($7900) Sabonis has been dealing with some knee soreness lately but hasn’t been listed on the injury report in his last couple games. He got into some foul trouble last time out against K-Towns, limiting his overall performance. On the season he carries a 22.9% usage rate and scores 1.23 FP/min. Denver ranks 20th in DEFF and 22nd in DvsA. I know Jokic looms in the paint, but Jerami Grant is the one who will be asked to slow Sabonis down. This is a blatant mismatch. Something similar to the 47.8 DKFPTS he dropped on Denver last time out will be a steal for his salary on this NBA DFS slate.

Others: The only reason I’m not including Malcolm Brogdon, Will Barton, and Bam Adebayo in this section is a salary strategy at this point, which you will see in a minute. They are all still fine plays in my opinion. I’ll consider them pivots once when we get more ownership news available.

Value

These guys aren’t the normal value plays you’re accustomed to seeing on an NBA DFS slate. I’m trying not to dig too deep on the salary scale in this limited player pool.

T.J. Warren ($6000) The matchup here is risky against Will Barton as Denver ranks 2nd in DEFF and 10th in DvsA. However, as I alluded to above, you’re going to have to find some salary relief somewhere. Warren is a listed starter and has been logging north of 30 minutes in all but one of his last 10 games. He carries a 21.3% usage rate and scores .86 FP/min. I expect a slight bump in those stats going against a depleted Nugget team. If he scores anything close to the 34.3 DKFPTS he put up against a full-strength Denver team last time, he gets me 6X value on his salary on this NBA DFS slate.

Kendrick Nunn ($5600) The only reason I think Nunn is priced this low is that Tyler Herro was active for the last game, but didn’t play. Justice Winslow remains out for this contest. Nunn is still the starter, but he has gotten a huge bump in minutes when Herro and Winslow have been out. Goran Dragic is also in this mix. Kendrick carries a 23.1% usage rate and.90 FP/min. The Spurs rank 20th in DEFF and 17th in DvsA against the PG position. Nunn shoots a lot in his average 30 minutes a game and hits on a 46% on the season. He just put up a 33/3/4 stat line against the Spurs on Wednesday for 48.25 DKFPTS. He shot 13 for 18 from the field, and 5 for 7 from behind the arc in that game. Once again, I love targeting that guard spot against San Antonio.

Building your roster this way willallow you to fill out the rest with starters like Jones Jr., Morris, Robinson,or Grant. You can also consider guys like Beasley, or Plumlee if you like.

I highly encourage all readers to join myself, and the rest of the WinDaily team in the Discord chat rooms as we break down and discuss our favorite plays of the NBA DFS slate. Thank you for reading my content and feel free to leave a comment, or hit me up on Twitter @IsaiahsProtocol. GOOD LUCK AND HAVE FUN

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