It’s an unusually large (for a Monday) MLB slate with 12 games on tap. Games in CIN, WSH, NYY and ATL all have some rain concerns.
Jose Berrios, Red Sox at Twins ($9,600 FD, $10,300 DK): There is not a ton in the way of expensive pitchers that I really love on this slate. Soroka is coming off his worst start of the season and will be pitching in a park with weather that greatly favors offense, Castillo is due for a regression and like Soroka faces weather issues and a park that will not do him any favors, Clevinger is making his first MLB start in a long time and Corbin is on a three-game losing streak. So that leaves Berrios against a suddenly resurgent Red Sox team and offense (a trip to Camden can do wonders). He is GPP-only and let’s get our cash pitchers at a reduced price to spend on bats.
Kenta Maeda, Giants at Dodgers ($8,600 FD, $9,000 DK): Maeda will likely be the biggest favorite in Vegas as the NL-leading Dodgers take on a bad Giants team that is 26th in ISO vs. righties (.158), strikes out the 11th most frequently (23.5%) and their wOBA ranks 27th at .289. Maeda’s last start was a strange one in Anaheim, where he gave up five-runs and 36-pitches during the first inning of the game, then didn’t allow a hit to 13 consecutive batters. Manager Dave Roberts said Maeda needs to be more aggressive with his fastball so that change could come in this start. He could be my cash game pitcher on either site.
Lance Lynn, Indians at Rangers ($9,300 FD, $9,500 DK): Much like teammate Mike Minor, ex-Ranger Martin Perez and a few other veteran pitchers around the league, Lynn is in the midst of a resurgent season. Lynn has a 3.39 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over his last nine starts. He is 4-0 with a 4.91 ERA in six home starts, a park that is notoriously one of the tougher venues to pitch in across all of MLB. His 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings currently ranks 17th best in the A.L. In his previous two career starts against the Indians, he is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA. To me, it is between Lynn and Maeda as my cash pitchers with Maeda’s discount, weaker opponent (not that the Indians are the ’27 Yankees, don’t get me wrong), pitching without a DH and better park to work in making me lean towards Maeda. In favor towards Lynn is that Dave Roberts’ quick hook could allow Lynn to go deeper in the game than Maeda.
Bargain Basement Arm
Miles Mikolas, Marlins at Cardinals ($7,000 FD, $6,400 DK): One of the better pitchers in the NL in 2018 has fallen upon hard times in 2019. This has resulted in a DEEP discount in his pricing on both sites. This is a GPP-only pick because of his struggles this season. In his last seven appearances, Mikolas is 1-5 with a 4.93 ERA. He lasted just five innings in the Cardinals’ 9-0 loss to this same Marlins team last Wednesday, giving up eight hits and a grand slam. One thing Mikolas has going for him is that he has been much better at home this season, with a 2.87 ERA and .204 batting average against as compared to 7.76 and .346, respectively, on the road. At home, he has given up a very respectable five home runs in 47 innings, while on the road he has allowed nine in 31.1 innings.
DFS meteorologist concentrating on MLB and the NFL, I graduated from UMass-Lowell with a degree in meteorology in 1996. I worked at AccuWeather as a meteorologist for almost a decade. I combined my two loves, weather and sports, and like to think I help 1000s of DFS'ers out each day. Huge Boston sports fan, lover of nature and animals and a proud father of 4 boys (2 biological).