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Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.14

We have had ourselves a wild couple of weeks but we have seen a lot of success on the tail end of this NBA season. It is without a doubt a roller coaster and not for the faint of heart. But fear not, we have everything you need to help you find success no matter the scenario including our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet. Additionally, you cannot set and forget your lineups at the end of the season so be sure that you stay in our discord so that you can follow the news live as it breaks so you always know the best value pivots to give you the edge to take down your contests. Let us not waste any more time and get into Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.14. 

Right now there are two critical components to your build over the last few days of this NBA regular season. Picking the right value (Duh, I know) and targeting studs from teams who still have something to play for. Right now the Wizards and Bull are the only two teams still in the hunt and the Hornets and Pacers could still slide into the 9th and 10th seed for the east and the Warriors and Grizzlies are fighting for the 8th seed in the west. For those of you who don’t know the NBA added a 9th vs 10th seed and will have a “play-in” mini-tournament with the 7th, 8th, 9th, and 10th seed from each division for a “play-in” tournament. These teams want at least the 8 seed because the 9-10 contest is single elimination where the 8-9 seeds get two chances. Three of these teams play tonight: Washington, Memphis, and Golden State. Additionally, the Mavericks, Trailblazers, and Lakers are all fighting to stay out of the “play-in”

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.14

Point Guard:

Russell Westbrook, Wizards, $12,000:

I don’t care if he is 12.8K I am still in on this until we hit the playoffs. No need for an explanation.

Steph Curry, Warriors, $10,500:

The best perimeter shooter in the NBA against the worst perimeter defense is enough to sell me. But now the Pelicans have nothing to play for and the Warriors are trying to lock down that 8 seed. Keep the injury news in mind here as Steph is questionable tonight.

Ja Morant, Grizzlies, $8,400:

You see the 3rd of my three-point guards on here and you should know what I’m recommending. We just so happen to get the added benefit of the worst defense in the NBA against a reasonably priced Ja Morant. He’s been a little boom-bust all year but I am willing to take a chance here with potentially low ownership considering how poorly he played against the Kings the other night.

Shooting Guard:

Raul Neto, Wizards, $ 4,500:

With no Beal I’m going under the assumption that Neto will get the start next to Westbrook and Russ is like Oprah with the assists right now (you get a bucket, and you get a bucket! sorry). There are a couple of other guys on the Wizards I like but Neto is the only one I’m fairly confident will be in the starting rotation this early. 

Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Pelicans, $6,400:

The Pelicans may be out of it but they have no problems playing spoilers and Alexander-Walker looks like the guy who will be running the show tonight. I don’t like playing Bledsoe simply due to how much he underperforms in smash spots. I’d much rather have the guy who can shoot, rebound, assist, steal, and block. Clearly NAW is that guy. Even in the scenarios his usage is at 24% but with Golden State scoring NAW is gonna need to take over so I would not be surprised to see him surpass 30% usage.

Small Forward:

Luka Doncic, Mavericks, $10,800:

Luka has been a pretty hot mess over the last week or so. Especially after his ejection. You can tell that he has been playing timid but the are trying to stay out of the “play-in” and he needs to step up and take over. Toronto’s top 4 guys are out so I see no reason for him to no go at least 6x or maybe more tonight.

Jae’Sean Tate, Rockers, $6,400:

Far end on the spectrum the Rockets chose to put their young guys in and play thin till the wheels fall off. Great news for us as we get talented and underpriced players for our builds. Tate is a double-double threat any given night and now he gets to attack a Clippers defense who is great “ON PAPER” but can be exploited. What are streams an you will understand why.

Power Forward:

Jaren Jackson Jr, Grizzlies, $5,800 :

Triple J against the Kings backcourt? Sign me up boss, he’s sitting at right around 26% usage, and Memphis cant afford to lose a game right now. My only concern is that he rarely sees over 24 minutes. If we can get a little lucky tonight and get 30 he’s gonna demolish value.

Rui Hachimura, Wizards, $ 4,900:

Without Beal on the court, Rui slides into the teams’ number two option with a 5.3% usage increase at just under 24% and I would really expect that to be a bit higher tonight. Rui has been dealing with nagging injuries all year and is just now getting back to a full allotment of minutes and with the torrid scoring pace the Wizards have been on lately I do not see a scenario where Rui does not take at least 18 shots tonight. 

Also Consider: KJ Martin JR: $7,000

Center:

Kelly Olynyk, Rockets, $8,200:

Like I said above I am waiting on Houston news for value but I made an error the other night and I do not want to make it again. We knew Houston had to dress eight guys to play and while Kelly was one of them, I really thought he was “available” and not available until it was too late and he went off. My bust. I know he is $8,100 and that may seem steep but this isn’t a fluke. He really is a good player and always has been. He has just been buried on the Heat depth chart behind guys like Bam and Jimmy. His price just reflects his role and ability now. If the Rockets run the bare minimum rotation again and Kelly is starting, he deserves a look tonight. 

Nikola Jokic, Nuggets, $11:000

Blowout risk about here but let is just say it does go nuts and Denver is up 100-70 in the 3rd quarter. How did the get those points? Likely it’s from a triple double from Jokic in three quarters so I’m not scared. Also, a lesser known secret, Detroit beats the spread at home some 70 percent of the time this season. so It may prove closer than expected.

 Also Consider:

Jaxon Hayes: $4,500

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.14. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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