DFSGhost 
CS:GO Slate Summary: ESL (8am EST)
- 4 matchups on DK
- Best of 3 series
CS:GO Slate Overview
Game #1: Natus Vincere (-175) vs GODSENT (+125)
The first of four matchups on the CS:GO slate sees NAVI taking on GODSENT. With electronic struggling mightily since returning from the player break, NAVI is seemingly relying on s1mple even more so than before – my issue, however, is less about his teammates poor play, and more so the fact that GODSENT hasn’t played a single match since the player break, while NAVI has already played 7 maps in three series. NAVI bans Vertigo first a 92% rate while GODSENT bans Mirage first 94% of the time. I expect NAVI to get creative with their map selection; while they typically select Dust2 first, at a 50% rate to be exact, they hold substantial advantages on both Inferno and Train, and I think they turn to the latter here with GODSENT selecting Nuke, where they’ve had much greater success online compared to LAN. As mentioned time and time again, s1mple is the man to own here: his 1.37 K/D and 0.80 KPR in the past three months puts him into elite company, while electronic will likely come in under owned due to the field’s recency bias.
Top Targets: s1mple ($10,200), electronic ($7,600)
Game #2: G2 (-225) vs OG (+162)
A rematch from one of the quarterfinals at ESL One, OG takes on G2 in our second matchup on the CS:GO slate. While OG almost came through as our live ‘dog pick last time out, they did manage to outscore G2 in DFS and lost in overtime on the third map of the series; win or lose, we want the highest scorers from that game and I think they’re severely underpriced here again. G2 bans Over pass first at a 92% rate while OG bans Vertigo first 94% of the time; it played out this way in previous matchups and it should continue here again. With OG making a questionable pick in Nuke last time, I think they’ll learn from their mistake and go to Inferno the time out, while G2 will likely counter with one of Nuke or Train despite only holding a win percentage advantage on the latter; since OG is comfortable on either Train or Dust2, expect them to later ban Mirage and be content with one of the two formers being left as the third possible map. With more preferable pay up options in the two matchups to follow, I have no interest in either kennyS or huNter- in this spot; I rather take a shot on nexa or even stoop down to AmaNek for value, while mantuu is ridiculously cheap if you’re targeting OG here: he has a 1.23 K/D and 0.72 KPR in the past three months, including a +1 or better performance in 8 of his last 9 maps played.
Top Targets (G2): nexa ($8,000), AmaNek ($6,600)
Top Targets (OG): mantuu ($6,800)
Game #3: Team Liquid (-400) vs Chaos (+275)
The focal points of our cash game build on this CS:GO slate starts in this third matchup, where TL faces Chaos for the third time since returning from the player break. In the two previous encounters, TL swept Chaos and I foresee them making it three in a row here. Both teams ban Vertigo and Train every matchup and today should be no different; with TL cruising on Inferno in previous matchups, they’re likely to continue their reign there while Chaos scrambles to find an edge on either Mirage or Nuke. With the addition of Grim, TL has bolstered their rostered like no other and their team members are still not priced accordingly; take advantage.
Top Targets: Grim ($7,800), Twistzz ($7,200), EliGe ($9,200) or NAF ($8,800)
Game #4:BIG (-450) vs AGO (+300)
The last matchup on the CS:GO slate is not one that you want to fade. BIG, the #4 team in the latest world rankings, had spent numerous weeks as the best team in the world and they are still potentially just that. While the only two maps that AGO has a better winning percentage on are Vertigo and Inferno, I expect them to turn to the former here while BIG will likely select Dust2, where they post a remarkable 87% win rate and are riding a 5-map winning streak. Team AWPer syrsoN will always be the focal point of their DFS production, and his 1.23 K/D and 0.75 KDR in the past 3 months shows just how great he’s been since the month of June when BIG won DreamHack in the summer. While he’s pricey, both he and tabseN make for great options, as well as k1to from a point/$ perspective.
Top Targets: syrsoN ($9,600), tabseN ($8,200), k1to ($7,000)
Other Options: XANTERES ($9,000), tiziaN ($7,400)
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