Matt Vecchio 
Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Xfinity Series race from Michigan International Speedway for the New Holland 250! Michigan is a 2-mile low tire wear intermediate track. Similar tracks to look to for comparisons are Kansas and Auto Club. Las Vegas, Texas, and Charlotte are other tracks the series has visited this season.
Dominator Points:
125 laps for a total of 87.5 dominator points
While it’s not necessary to chase dominator points in this race, I will suggest trying to get at least two dominators in each lineup. Looking over the four races from this season at similar tracks, we see that the average salary leftover is only $400. Looking at these lineups we see a pattern. In three out of the four lineups, there were three dominator-type plays and three punt value plays. In the fourth (Auto CLub), there was only one punt play but there were two $7K drivers and then three top tier ($9K+). Depending on how practice and qualifying I expect that we will look to build lineups similar to these.
NASCAR DFS: Michigan Preview
Going back to the optimal from earlier this season, only one driver has been in three of the four lineups and should come as no surprise that Justin Allgaier ($10,500) is that driver. Allgaier has been outstanding on these four tracks this season with an average finish of 6th place and is averaging 62.5 DKFP per race, the best of all regular Xfinity drivers. With how well Allgaier has done at these tracks in 2022, he is my top dominator on Saturday (pre-P&Q) with him averaging 41.3 laps led in these four races.
Another top tier driver who has been in multiple optimal lineups at this track type is Ty Gibbs ($10,900). Gibbs as popped in two of the four optimals at this track type in 2022 and he has an average finish of 7th. One thing that Gibbs hasn’t done in these races is lead laps. Gibbs is only averaging 2.3 laps led per race, but I am not going to be scared off by that. Gibbs has the ability to lead laps on any track type and he will need to put up some dominator points to make value at his price.
NASCAR DFS: Value Plays
Now that I have gone over two dominators who have been successful at this track type, lets look at a value play.
Ryan Ellis ($4,900) has appeared in the optimal lineup in 2 of the 4 races (he’s only raced in three). Ellis has the best place differential of any driver who has raced in three or more of these races at a +12. Ellis has two top 15 finishes in these three races and has an average finish at 18.7. If you want to build the stars and scrubs type builds I’ve mentioned in this article then you will need some good value and Ellis has the ability to be that play.
Ellis’ teammate on Saturday Josh Bilicki ($5,400) is another value play that could be a good play on Saturday. Bilicki has been decent in 2022 in his four Xfinity races. It’s either boom or bust for Bilicki with two finishes of 13th or better and has two finishes of 28th or lower.
NASCAR DFS: Other potential plays
Since we don’t have any practice or qualifying numbers to look at I am going to just list a few other drivers who I think could fair well on Saturday. Make sure you check in discord early Saturday afternoon for my updated player pool.
- Josh Berry ($10,300) – Only driver with a better average finish then Allgaier is Berry (5th) in these races among Xfinity Series regulars.
- Noah Gragson ($10,700)
- John Hunter Nemechek ($9,600)
- Jeb Burton ($7,500) – Burton has an average finish of 14.5 in the four races at comparable tracks this season.
- Anthony Alfredo ($7,300)
- CJ McLaughlin ($6,200)
Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!
Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).
There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022, check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)
