StixPicks 
To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive!” For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 6 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice before building your NFL DFS GPP lineups. Similar to the cash article, I’ll keep this article more brief and discuss in further detail in Discord due to a week of travel.
If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.
For those looking to get different and make a potential splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat (all of which are in the cash game article).
NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
It’s a tough week to be contrarian in my opinion. The pay-up for Josh Allen is damn-near bulletproof, while the value in Geno Smith against the Cardinals’ defense is also a fantastic spot. I’m just not confident there is much value getting different at the quarterback position this week. If I’m not using Allen or Smith, here’s where I’ll be:
- Lamar Jackson (10% ownership projection)- Only true quarterback on the slate who can regularly push the upside of a Josh Allen ceiling game. Stack Options: Mark Andrews, Devin Duvernay, JK Dobbins
- Kyler Murray (5% ownership projection) – Similar situation as Lamar Jackson but involved in a game with a significant higher total and a Seattle defense that grades 31st in overall Defense DVOA. Stack Options: Marquise Brown, Zach Ertz, Rondale Moore, Eno Benjamin
- Tom Brady (10% ownership projection) – Pittsburgh’s secondary is depleted and you know what you’re getting with Brady on a weekly basis (40+ pass attempts) for your NFL DFS GPP lineups. If anyone is going to make up the extra rushing fantasy points of Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Kyler Murray, it’s Tom Brady with the 4 passing touchdown upside. Stack Options: Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Leonard Fournette, Cameron Brate
Honorable Mention: Aaron Rodgers
NFL DFS GPP Running Backs
The running back position is where I truly believe we can get different. Yes, the value on Eno Benjamin is arguably impossible to pass up, but do we really need to go all in on 40% owned Rhamondre Stevenson, Kenneth Walker, and Darrell Henderson? Maybe your answer to that question is yes… just get different elsewhere. If you’re trying to get different at running back, here are the AETY Model options:
- Nick Chubb (5% ownership projection) – the clear RB1 if you’re paying up. New England will likely scheme to slow him down, but their run defense has been brutal all year long. It’s Nick Chubb.
- Leonard Fournette (10% ownership projection)
- Devin Singletary (8% ownership projection) – Probably my favorite NFL DFS GPP running back on the slate. Clear leverage off of the Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs chalk stack and in a fantastic matchup against the blitz-heavy and Cover-4 Kansas City defense. There will be plenty of action in the flats this weekend for Devin Singletary but if he can get in the box, he could be a slate changing play.
- JK Dobbins (1% ownership projection) – Priced right there with the Kenneth Walker and Darrell Henderson’s of the world with just as much touchdown equity (if not more). There is certainly risk to playing Dobbins as the snap share is always going to be questionable, but the AETY Model loves this spot for Dobbins against a bottom-8 run defense in the Giants.
Honorable Mention: Breece Hall, Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon
NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Everyone from the Cash Game Checkdown is in play for your NFL DFS GPP builds. Similar to the Quarterback position, sometimes great plays are just great plays. Here are some of the others I’ll be taking a look at to get different in my builds:
- Cooper Kupp (10% ownership projection) – 10% Cooper Kupp is all we need to say.
- Ja’Maar Chase (8% ownership projection) – No Tee Higgins. No Marshon Lattimore. Significantly less ownership with just as much upside as Stefon Diggs for $500 less on DraftKings.
- Marquise Brown (5% ownership projection) – As everyone plays the Eno Benjamin, Zach Ertz, and Rondale Moore value, the wide receiver with the best matchup on the slate and SECOND in the NFL in targets is going unowned in NFL DFS GPP contests. Marquise Brown is a priority play for me in Week 6.
- Mike Evans (5% ownership projection) – Slate breaking upside in this matchup against the Steelers. The big plays will be there on Sunday for Mike Evans and the ownership will solely go to Chris Godwin.
- DK Metcalf (15% ownership projection) – Not under the radar by any means, but he’s damn-near a must-play on FanDuel and a perfect leverage pivot off of Tyler Lockett chalk week. Metcalf has 50% of the Seattle red-zone targets so far this season… A big game is coming.
- Devin Duvernay (2% ownership) – Loved the usage last week while Bateman was out with an injury. Bateman is out again this week leaving a fantastic matchup on the inside of this Giants’ secondary for the swiss army knife of Devin Duvernay.
- Mecole Hardman (1% ownership) – My typical Mecole Hardman love but this is a fantastic buy-low spot as the Chiefs will likely be chasing points in this back-and-forth matchup against the Bills. I don’t really love any Chiefs’ wideout this week, so I don’t hate going the cheap route with a 1% Hardman.
Honorable Mention: JuJu Smith-Schuster, Allen Lazard, Wan’Dale Robinson
NFL DFS GPP Tight-Ends
- Travis Kelce (10% ownership projection)
- Mark Andrews (12% ownership projection)
- Zach Ertz (8% ownership projection)
- Dawson Knox (5% ownership projection) – Cheapest stack option for Josh Allen and a solid matchup against the zone blitz defense of the Chiefs. A very low floor, but a nice salary saving upside option for NFL DFS GPP lineups.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate.
