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The U.S. Open: Initial Picks

We have another major on our hands as this week the PGA Tour heads to Torrey Pines for The U.S. Open. This is a long 7600 yard Par 71 which will test all facets of a golfer’s game. On a track like this being long with the driver certainly helps, but APP, ARG and PUTT are also quite important. Greens will be hard to hit so do not underestimate the golfer who can keep it in the fairway or the golfer who can get up and down from a tough spot ARG. More on course dynamics and metrics on tonight’s PGA Livestream at 8:00 EST.

Jon Rahm (11200) – I don’t love anyone in this elite range, but Rahm feels like the most consistent option.  Even if you leave out Rahm’s incredible three round performance at the Memorial, the stats show he’s still been cruising on most SG metrics.  Add to that the putter seems to be working its magic. 

Collin Morikawa (9500) – Hasn’t done much in the two U.S. Open’s he’s been a part of, but I’m not too concerned with that.  He’s the best T2G player in this field and I think that makes up for his lack of length off the tee. Short game is always a risk with Collin so keep that in mind before going all-in.

Viktor Hovland (9200) – Been going back and forth on Hovland this week but the value at this price is undeniable.  Hovland doesn’t really have a weakness in any of the metrics I’m looking at other than not being particularly long.  I’m willing to take my chances from the fairway at the U.S. Open. 

Patrick Cantlay (9100) – I’m always looking for upward trajectory and Cantlay appears to have found his game after a pretty bad stretch.  Not many weaknesses in his game other than some recent difficulties at the 200+ proximity so I’m willing to take the value.  Before I leave the 9k range, I do want to point out that Rory McIlroy almost made my list.  His price and upside considerations warrant some shares in your lineups.

Scottie Scheffler (8500) – Comes with a bit of volatility, and therefore, prefer him in GPP over cash, but his upside is undeniable. He’s been excellent OTT and good on APP. The putter can be a problem at times, but he gains just as much as he tanks in that department.

Louis Oosthuizen (8100) – This guy dials in at majors and dials in at US Opens.  His track record in both is stellar and his recent form has also been excellent.  Add to that an excellent short game and great with his irons.  A great value in spite of being relatively short OTT.

Paul Casey (7900) – Always considered a value play and for good reason.  Casey grades out really well in the SG metrics and has great U.S. Open form and great recent form.  He will be popular, but I’m likely to play him in both Cash and GPP.

Abraham Ancer (7900) – Another great ball striker who has been contending over the last couple of months.  His ARG game and 200+ proximity game have been hurting him lately, but I’m willing to take my chances as everything else is elite.  If choosing between Ancer and Casey (a discussion had in Discord yesterday) my preference is Casey.

Jason Kokrak (7600) – One of my favorite values on the board.  He’s top 10 OTT and Top 20 on APP.  His short game can sometimes give him issues, but at this price I’m happy to take the upside.  I should note that Casey, Ancer and Kokrak will all be popular plays this week and if you’re looking for lower owned pivots, Sam Burns and Gary Woodland are volatile, but present the upside I’m looking for in a contrarian play.

Charley Hoffman (7200) – Due to this elite field, Hoffman has been moved to a price that creates a lot of value.  The last 24 rounds he’s been excellent OTT and APP and it’s the ARG game that has really hurt him.  That certainly may hurt him again this week, but I think he’s worth a few shares to round out your lineups.

Kevin Streelman (7100) – A short hitter who has been extremely consistent as of late.  I don’t love the U.S. Open course fit for Streelman and the 200+ proximities may present some issues, but I do think shorter hitters can succeed at Torrey Pines, particularly this time of year where there will be much more run out on the fairways compared to early in the year.

Cameron Young (6800) – A real leap of faith if you want to roster Young, but I’d say that about literally anyone in the 6k range this week.  Young was excellent on the Korn Ferry Tour last month with back to back 1st place finishes.  He’s come back to reality so far in June but clearly the upside is there.

Richard Bland (6600) – You won’t find much on the PGA Tour but the recent results on the European Tour are impressive enough to take a shot.  He’s finished 3rd, 1st and 27th over his last three.  You’re looking for cut makers at this price range and the recent form is showing he’s capable of just that.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 36-10. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Store and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night as weather may be a factor in the final adjustments of your U.S. Open lineups.

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