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Rocket Mortgage Classic: Initial Picks

The PGA Tour is in Detroit this week for The Rocket Mortgage Classic. This Par 72 7330 track will favor bombers, but it is certainly not a pre-requisite to be long. My focus will be on OTT and APP somewhat equally and I’ve honed in a bit on APP proximities between 75-150. Finally, I’m looking for golfers who have shown that they have the potential to get hot with the putter. We will have more on the course and all the players on the Win Daily PGA Livestream Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks for The Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Bryson DeChambeau (11400) – Truth is I’m not huge on Bryson this week, but I felt the need to put him in the article because his upside is massive.  I don’t love his APP game from shorter proximities, but he checks out everywhere else.  Not a ton of shares for me, but I will play him.

Webb Simpson (10400) – We haven’t seen him much this year and he’s not very long OTT and I’m hoping that keeps ownership down.  Webb is only 9th in my model, but I see him as fully rested and ready to attack the rest of 2021.  His T2G game is elite and he’s also a surprising 5th SG Par 5 last 24 rounds. He finished 8th here last year.  I’ll note I also like Hideki and Reed in this elite range.

Jason Kokrak (9500) – Number 1 in my model.   He’s great in the BS department and can get scorching hot with the putter.  Only weakness is ARG, but I don’t think that will be a big issue for him this week.  All systems go on Kokrak.

Gary Woodland (8600) – In spite of last week’s MC, it feels like Woodland’s game is back on the rise.  He rates out very high in my model and I’m happy to be early on him.  A GPP play only.

Garrick Higgo (8300) – He’s gained BS three tournaments in a row and it’s mainly the ARG game that has led to the consecutive MCs.  He’s gained PUTT in 3 of the 4 tournaments he’s played on the PGA Tour.  Plenty of upside here for Higgo at The Rocket Mortgage.

Emiliano Grillo (8200) – Another guy who had a somewhat surprising MC last week at the Travelers, but I like the fact that he is always solid with the BS and the fact that he can get hot with the putter (it doesn’t happen often, but it’s starting to happen more and more).

Cameron Tringale (8100) – Was a DFS darling a few short months ago, but the game has fallen off a bit.  He also missed the cut last week at the Travelers, but overall, I like what I’m seeing from his game, particularly with the putter and the shorter APP proximities. 

Brendon Todd (7900) – Doesn’t feel like the best course fit, but I like what I’m seeing from him lately.  He gained almost 6 strokes T2G last week but finished a pedestrian 30th due to a poor putter.  The BS is turning around and historically his putter can get hot. 

Hank Lebioda (7200) – Hammerin’ Hank came through for us last week with a Win Daily Secret Weapon Special (100+ DK points from a guy who was 1.5% owned is gigantic).  His final score was a little misleading as he gained almost 6 strokes PUTT and wasn’t great BS.  I expect the BS to bounce back and if the putter stays hot, watch out.

Beau Hossler (7000) – Either the last couple of tournaments were a mirage or Beau has found something with two Top 20 finishes in a row.  In a Rocket Mortgage tournament that doesn’t have much talent below 7500 I’m willing to take a chance that Hossler has found something. 

Satoshi Kodaira (6800) – Had a couple bad days at the Travelers after a red-hot start on Thursday, but still managed to place 36th.  Prior to last week he had gained BS in four straight tournaments.  He has also gained PUTT in a big way in four straight.  This is great upside for a guy priced this low.

Adam Schenk (6500) – His metrics aren’t great, but he has managed to make cuts lately (he’s made 6 of his last 8 cuts but hasn’t had a Top 20 since the Valspar.  Add to that he’s finished 30th and 42nd on this track and there’s some arguable value at this price.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 38-10. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all The Rocket Mortgage late tips, lineup changes and weather reports.

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