The NFL DFS Divisional Round is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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NFL DFS Playoff Weekend Note: This week we have a two-game Saturday slate, a two-game Sunday slate, and a four-game Sat-Sun slate. The two games slates are basically a Showdown Slate without the MVP spot. I encourage you to not scramble your entire lineup by pivoting off all of the best plays. Instead, make a solid lineup and take a shot on one or two guys and/or defense. You will notice some of my NFL DFS punts are way off the radar. That’s what you have to do on such a small slate.
Please listen to Podcasts. The entire Win Daily Crew has broken down the slate on multiple podcasts. We get much deeper on those than we can on these articles.
I refer to FanDuel pricing.
Quarterbacks:
QB1: Lamar Jackson ($9,400 FD) He is expensive but he also has the highest floor and ceiling. It is not impossible to get him in your lineups. He is the NFL MVP and we all know why. He is my top guy.
QB2: Patrick Mahomes ($8,600 FD) While he has not been as elite as last year he is passing the eye test after sustaining an ankle injury early in the year. The Chiefs are coming off a “bye” and Andy Reid is fantastic in these situations (in the regular season). They are playing at home against the Houston Texans who rank 29th in NFL DFS pass defense.
QB Punt: Deshaun Watson ($8,300 FD) I am not as high on him as the other two guys, so that’s why I listed him as a punt. I think the Texans lose which means more throwing for Watson and he should have Will Fuller back (for at least part of the game). He ran 14 times last week and that just adds value to him and his arm. If I had 10 lineups, I would put him in one.
NFL DFS Running Backs
Stud RB 1: Aaron Jones ($8,200 FD) He should get 75% of the snaps in a very cold game in Green Bay that I think the Packers win. The offense runs through him, Rodgers and Adams. He is also involved in the passing game, which makes me like him on DraftKings as well.
Stud RB 2: Derrick Henry ($9,600 FD) He is priced high but that’s because he will probably run it over 20 times and he looks unstoppable right now.
Mid RB 1: Raheem Mostert ($6,700 FD) Way too cheap for the 49ers top RB. Easy NFL DFS play.
Mid RB 2: Damien Williams ($6,900 FD) He is the lead running back on a Chiefs team that I expect to role on Sunday. He is also involved in the passing game. I like players that can score in multiple ways.
Mid RB 3: Mark Ingram ($7,500 FD) Make sure he is playing, and not limited. He does not get as many touches as Henry or Jones but he can do a lot with a little less, especially in a game the Ravens should win easily. I don’t have a problem playing him with Lamar Jackson. It has worked several times this season.
NFL DFS Punt RB: Punt = high risk and high reward. Again, it’s a two or four-game slate, depending on what you choose. You are going to need to get weird on one or two plays.
Punt RB 1: Duke Johnson ($5,600 FD) I like him better on DraftKings in a play from behind game because of the PPR structure.
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
NFL DFS Wide Receivers:
Stud WR: Devante Adams ($8,400 FD) Target Monster and Rodgers focuses heavily on the guys he trusts (which is not a lot). Easy play that should bust like Michael Thomas did last week.
Stud WR 2: Tyreek Hill ($7,900 FD) He is probably in the best spot of any receiver on the slate against the Texans. TyFreak can explode and the first game of the playoffs, at home against a bad defense feels like the right spot to attack.
NFL DFS Mid WR rankings:
Deebo Samuels ($6,100) He has been very steady the past month and a half and is priced too cheap.
Emanuel Sanders ($5,700 FD) I just want one 49ers receiver unless I have Jimmy G at QB. I prefer Samuels but I do like Sanders too. If you make two teams use one on each.
Tyler Lockett ($6,700 FD) He is the most talented receiver on the team, he is cheaper than Metcalf and they should be playing from behind. Makes sense right?
Punt WR Rankings: Marquise Brown, Willie Snead, Sammy Watkins, David Moore
NFL DFS Tight End Rankings
- Mark Andrews ($6,800 FD)
- Travis Kelce ($7,500 FD)
- George Kittle ($7,400 FD)
- Jimmy Graham ($5,000 FD)
Defense
- Ravens
- 49ers
- Chiefs
- Packers
I will tweet out when there are NFL DFS updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!
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