Week 8 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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David also won back-to-back GPPs!
There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.
Note: We have two very obvious high priced quarterbacks in great spots this week.
Quarterbacks:
Stud Quarterback: Deshaun Watson ($8,400 FD)
Last week Aaron Rodgers torched the Oakland Raiders and now it is Deshaun’s Watson turn. The Raiders have given up 16 receiving touchdowns this year which is tied for second worst in the NFL. The Houston Texans have thrown for 13 touchdowns (we have also seen several dropped aka Fullered) which is tied for fifth in the league. Watson should not have trouble at home this Sunday dishing it to Hopkins. If the air game isn’t working (it should) then Watson is one of the most capable scrambling QBs in the league. He is an easy NFL DFS play, but he will also be a popular one. He will not be the reason you lose this week.
Stud Quarterback: Russell Wilson ($8,600 FD)
The Seahawks are next in line to embarrass the Atlanta Falcons who have completely given up on the season. They just traded away Sanu and lost Matt Ryan (questionable) to an ankle injury. You can beat the Dirty Birds however you want, through the air or on the ground. Wilson is an MVP candidate with wheels. He should will be able to run whenever a play breaks down and launch a few bombs to Lockett and Metcalf when the Falcons defensive backfield breaks down again. Another easy play, your only worry is if Chris Carson scores multiple times. Having Wilson on one team and Carson on another would be a good hedge. One of them is going nuts.
Stud QB Pivot: Tom Brady
Mid QB: Matt Stafford ($7,700 FD)
Stafford looked sharp last week against a tough Vikings squad throwing for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Matt tends to play better at home and gets a easier defense in the Giants this weekend. The New York football Giants give up 8.9 yards per reception, which is second worst in the NFL. Stafford has great receiving options with Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr, T.J. Hockenson and now Ty Johnson. He is my favorite mid tier NFL DFS quarterback this week.
Mid QB Pivot: Josh Allen (I always have a share, I am not going to miss the big game and the Eagles have been giving up a lot of big games lately.
Punt QB: Matt Schaub (if Matt Ryan is out)
Running Backs
Stud RB: Leonard Fournette ($7,700 FD)
I am going back to him this week. He has only got in the end zone one time this season, which is bizarre. He has 645 all purpose yards in his last four games. In the same time frame he has 101 rushes and 18 targets. When he gets in the end zone, he will officially break the slate. The Jaguars take on the NY Jets, who just gave up three rushing touchdowns to Sony Michel, in Jacksonville on Sunday. He is my favorite spend up at RB in NFL DFS.
Stud Pivots: Chris Carson, Le’Veon Bell
Note: Todd Gurley is in an obvious spot, I just don’t trust him
Cheap RB: Ty Johnson ($5,200 FD)
Lock him in. He is now starting for the Detroit Lions and is a step up from Kerryon Johnson. The Giants are 28th worst against the run and 25th worst against the pass. Johnson can run as well as catch (four for four last week). He is going to exceed value and if he gets in the end zone a couple times you will have a hard time cashing without him. He is a main RB target in my NFL DFS lineups this week.
Pivots: Chase Edmonds (David Johnson is likely to miss, tough matchup but he is too cheap)
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: DeAndre Hopkins ($8,200 FD)
I mentioned under Deshaun Watson why I want to target the Raiders defensive backfield. Hopkins has gotten targeted 12 times each of the last two games. With Will Fuller now injured, Hopkins is beyond the main focal point of his QB. I feel like we can finally get a real breakout game from the the elite Hopkins. I’m calling him to crush 100 yards and get in the end zone twice. He is set up to possibly be the highest scoring NFL DFS WR on the slate.
Stud Pivots: Michael Thomas (No Kamara would help), Cooper Kupp (expecting low ownership after last week let down),
Mid WR: Kenny Golladay ($6,700 FD)
He is my top receiver to stack with Matt Stafford against the Giants. I think the Lions win this game and look impressive doing it. The Giants are bad against receivers and this week they go back to Golladay, instead of Marvin Jones.
Update: Mid WR Pivots: Allen Robinson, Tyler Lockett, D,J. Chark
Value WR: Courtland Sutton ($6,000 FD)
Emmanuel Sanders just got traded and Sutton is the wide receiver of the future for the Broncos. If he doesn’t get double digit targets in this game I will be shocked. The Colts have given up 11 touchdowns this season (not terrible) and give up 8 yards per catch to receivers (not good). Joe Flacco is going to have to force the ball to Sutton here if they they want a chance to win. Sutton knows he has to step up now the Sanders is going, and this will be his first attempt at doing it. He is too cheap in NFL DFS.
Value WR Pivots: Golden Tate, John Brown, Tyrell Williams, Calvin Ridley (like him more if Ryan plays), Kenny Stills
Milli-Maker A.J. Brown, Adam Humphries, Jaron Brown
Tight End
Tight End: Austin Hooper ($6,600 FD)
Whether it is Matt Ryan at QB or Matt Schaub I still like Hooper as my top tight end. He has already proven what he can do with Ryan however I think his upside is just as high with Schaub. If the latter is in he will be checking it down more, as he doesn’t have the arm that Ryan possess. This should mean more targets for Hooper. The Falcons play the Seahawks who ranked 30th in covering the TE. We also have to consider the fact that Sanu was just traded to the Patriots which also helps Hooper’s case to get more targets. In a game where the Falcons will need to be throwing the second half, I like one of the best tight ends in the league, Austin Hooper.
Tight End Pivots: Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Jared Cook (if healthy AND Brees is back), Cameron Brate (if O.J. Howard misses)
Defense
- Patriots (not with Tom Brady)
- 49ers
- Rams
- Seahawks (Pair with Carson, not Wilson and receivers)
- Lions (Pair with Ty Johnson, not Stafford and receivers)
I will tweet out when there are updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!
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