Week 7 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!
David also won back-to-back GPPs!
There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.
Quarterbacks:
Stud Quarterback: Josh Allen ($7,700 FD; $6,500 DK)
One of my favorite quarterbacks just got the week off to prepare for the dreadful Dolphins at home. Perhaps the Dolphins’ best chance to win a game this season came and went last week when the Redskins visited Miami after the Dolphins had a bye week. I love what the Bills are doing this year and there is no way they lose this game. Allen is a dual-threat QB who threw for a combined 455 yards and five touchdowns while running for a combined 230 yards and two touchdowns in two games against the Dolphins last season. If he can get close to his average against a team that is worse than they were last year, we are all in for a big day. Miami allows 9.7 yards to opposing receivers (dead last in the NFL) and they are right there with the Bengals for worst defense against the rush. In short, Allen will be in my main NFL DFS lineup this Sunday.
Stud Quarterback: Jared Goff ($7,800 FD; $6,200 DK)
I love him this week. He goes up agains the Falcons, who are just terrible covering the pass. Goff has plenty of options to throw to and they come to Atlanta with a questionable running back situation. Over the last three weeks, the quarterback facing the Falcons has won the milli-maker (twice on DraftKings, once on FanDuel). Goff bounces back in a big way in Atlanta.
QB Pivots: Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson
Note: I am really very high on the two guys listed above (Allen, Goff) but I will list a couple high risk punts for you below.
Update: Gardner Minshew, Andy Dalton, Jacoby Brissett
Update: Daniel Jones (coming off him, looks like rain in NY)
Running Backs
Stud RB: Leonard Fournette ($7,900 FD, $7,000 DK)
The Bengals have given up over 200 more yards than any other team on the ground this year (it should be noted the Dolphins have had a bye week). They have allowed a league-high nine rushing touchdowns. Fournette has been coming on strong the last few weeks. He has gotten over 20 carries in each game the last three weeks and he is more involved in the passing attack. We love three-down backs, remember? In Fournette’s last three games, he has exactly 500 all-purpose yards. This has also been against formidable defenses in the Saints, Panthers and Broncos (to a lesser extent). He should be in for another 25 touches on Sunday and is an easy pick for my top NFL DFS RB of the week.
Stud Pivots: Saquan Barkley (like him more if it is raining in NY), Dalvin Cook
Mid RB: Josh Jacobs ($6,700 FD; $5,000 DK)
He just seems too cheap for a guy that is not splitting carries and coming off a bye week. He will also contribute a bit in the passing game, especially if Ty Williams is out. The Raiders should realize that you want to keep Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense off the field, so running the ball is a good way to do that. The Packers are allowing 4.9 yards per carry and have given up seven rushing touchdowns in six games. I can see Jacobs touching the ball here about 20 times and paying off that low NFL DFS salary. I will admit I am not 100% sold on Jacobs this week but he looks like the best of the bunch. I never love starting a guy from the West Coast on a 1PM ET game time, but this week I am willing to make an exception. Update: Ty Williams is out, making me like Jacobs even more.
Mid Pivots: Chris Carson, Marlon Mack. Derrick Henry
RB Punts: Frank Gore, Chase Edmonds (if David Johnson sits), Lat Murray is now in play with Kamara being ruled out. Tough matchup, but cheap price and will get RB1 workload. I will have a few shares but he won’t be near my main lineup.
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Cooper Kupp ($7,800 FD; $7,400 DK)
The Falcons are getting roasted by everyone and stacking against them is making money for a host of people. I am not going to try to fix what isn’t broke. Kupp is my (and Goff’s) favorite receiver. Last week his targets were down (six) but prior to that he got 17, 15 and 12 targets and scored over 20 FanDuel points in every game. If he does not get over 10 targets and a touchdown, I will be shocked. There is no way this guy puts up a dud performance. Rams HC Sean McVay is the kind of coach that attacks what works, and against the Falcons, that’s throwing the ball. Goff is going to bounce back from a bad performance against one of the league’s best defenses (49ers) and throw for over 300 yards. Kupp should be the wide receiver that benefits the most.
Note: If you decide to fade Kupp ( I wouldn’t) you should put another Rams WR on your team.
Stud Pivots: T.Y Hilton, Keenan Allen, Robert Woods
Mid WR: John Brown ($5,900 FD; $5,500 DK)
A speedy wide receiver against the Dolphins that fits perfectly with my top quarterback? Yes, please! Brown has been a fantastic addition to the Bills, as he has become more reliable in his featured role. He has only scored once this year, but there is not a better spot for a get-right game than against the Dolphins. Take into account they have had two weeks off to game plan and the matchup gets even juicier for the Bills and Brown.
Update: Mid WR Pivots: D.J. Chark (like more than John Brown now), Brandin Cooks
Value WR: Tyler Boyd ($5,600 FD; $5,600 DK)
What do we do when there is blood on the streets? We clean it up! This is of course in reference to the stinker that Boyd put up last week against the Ravens, but hey I called it. You only play Boyd at home. It is very simple. Seven of his eight touchdowns in 2018 came at home. This year at home, he has over 10 receptions in both games along with a touchdown. Boyd has put up at least 17 FanDuel points at home. Love him as a cheap NFL DFS play this week.
Update: WR Value Pivots: Calvin Ridley, Auden Tate, Larry Fitzgerald
Update: DraftKings Milli-Maker Darts: Allen Lazard, Darius Slayton (if not raining), Zay Jones
Tight End
Tight End: Evan Engram ($6,800 FD; $6,500 DK)
The Giants confirmed on Friday that Engram will return to the starting lineup. We profit off the Cardinals every week and we are going to do it again Sunday. I am locking him in as my top NFL DFS tight end.
Tight End Pivots: Mark Andrews, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry
Defense
- Bills
- 49ers
- Bears
- Packers
I listed four defenses but I am very, very high on the Bills and 49ers.
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