Week 16 in NFL DFS is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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Quarterbacks:
Stud: Lamar Jackson ($9,300 FD)
The MVP frontrunner goes against the Cleveland Browns. There isn’t a concern with the Ravens sitting Lamar (that’s next week). Baltimore is still playing for the top seed in the AFC and will their offense will be a full go. Jackson is your cash game quarterback and possesses the highest upside for GPP’s. 25 FD points are his floor with 30+ upside in NFL DFS. He runs, he throws, he’s perfect. Easy lock as the top guy.
Pivot: Russell Wilson
Mid QB: Phillip Rivers ($7,500 FD)
If there was ever a time for Rivers to bounce out of his funk, it is against the Oakland Raiders. They have given up. They got embarrassed last week in the Black Hole finale and I think that was the last straw. Rivers is the quarterback of my favorite receiver (Keenan Allen) and low owned pass-catching running back (Austin Ekeler), so I have to like Rivers. The Raiders are sneaking up on the Arizona Cardinals as the worst pass defense in the league. They have given up 32 TDs on the season and show give up a minimum of two more here (I think we get more).
Mid Pivot: Matt Ryan
Punt: Drew Lock
Running Backs
Stud RB: Marlon Mack ($7,300 FD)
Welcome to Marlon Mack island. You may have drafted him in season-long with high expectations and he has let you down. Well if you are in your Championship this week, lock him in. The best team to target with running backs is the Carolina Panthers. We have been doing it for two months. We did it with Chris Carson last week and it worked out great so why would we stop now when we have a bell cow going against them at extremely low ownership? The Panthers have given up 26 touchdowns this season (seven more than the next closest team). He is going to be on my main NFL DFS team this week.
Stud Pivot: Alvin Kamara, Saquon Barkley, Mark Ingram
Mid RB: Joe Mixon ($7,800 FD)
The Dolphins have been making opposing offensive players look like studs all season. They resurrected Saquan Barkley last week and now it is Joe Mixon’s turn. He has run for over 136 yards in each of the past two games and three touchdowns in the last four. He is peaking right now and there is no reason to believe that it going to stop against one of the best defenses to target in the NFL. Get some Mixon, and don’t feel so dirty about it this week in NFL DFS.
Mid Pivot: Austin Ekeler (love him as a sneaky Pro Bowl snub against the Oakland Raiders. I am taking a big shot on him this week, especially on DraftKings.), Devonte Freeman
Value RB Pivot: DeAndre Washington, Patrick Laird (DK)
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Keenan Allen ($6,700 FD)
Load up, it’s Keenan Allen week. Go read the Phillip Rivers write up on why we want to target the Oakland Raiders. Perfect spot and the perfect price.
Stud Pivots: Michael Thomas (cash), Julio Jones, TY Hilton, Tyler Lockett (price a little high, but in a good spot)
Mid WR: DK Metcalf ($6,300 FD)
Although the Raiders are closing in, the Arizona Cardinals are still (by the numbers) the best defense to target with wide receivers. Metcalf has a significantly cheaper price tag than Tyler Lockett and gets basically the same volume and redone targets. It’s Week 16, we don’t have to keep reinventing the wheel in NFL DFS. In the next couple of weeks, I am going after what has proven to work the entire season.
Pivots: Michael Gallup, Courtland Sutton, Tyler Boyd (I usually like him just at home, but he is way too cheap), Terry McLaurin, Mike Williams (on non-Keenan Allen teams), DeVante Parker
NFL DFS Punt Wide Receivers: Russel Gage (love), Danny Amendola (DK), John Ross (huge punt)
Tight End Rankings
- Jacob Hollister (tight ends against the Arizona Cardinals win almost every week)
- Austin Hooper
- Mark Andrews
- Hunter Henry
- Jared Cook
Defense
- Steelers
- Ravens
- Broncos
- Colts
- Saints
I will tweet out when there are NFL DFS updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!
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