Week 14 in NFL DFS is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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David also won back-to-back GPPs!
There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.
Quarterbacks:
Stud: Lamar Jackson ($8,700 FD)
He does not have an easy matchup, but he is also matchup proof. He should be lower owned than normal this week in NFL DFS and I have no problem playing him at that kind of ownership. Much like CMC, I do not fade Lamar Jackson. We have seen this Ravens team “mercy rule” a couple opponents so far this year. This offense is legit and it is all because of the MVP contender. Expect Lamar Jackson to do Lamar Jackson things again this week. Three to Four TD’s (either on the ground or through the air) isn’t out of the question.
Pivot: DeShaun Watson (way too cheap), Aaron Rodgers
Value: Sam Darnold ($7,700 FD)
Sam Darnold plays much better at home and get the visiting Miami Dolphins (31st in the NFL) this Sunday. The Dolphins have given up 28 passing touchdowns this season, which is only two behind the Arizona Cardinals. Pair Darnold up with Crowder, Anderson or Griffin in what I think will be a high scoring NFL DFS game.
Pivot: Ryan Tannehill, Ryan Fitzpatrick
Running Backs
Stud RB: Christian McCaffrey ($11,000 FD)
He is in another fantastic spot. I will have a ton of him.
Stud Pivot: Derick Henry, Nick Chubb
Value RB: DeVonta Freeman ($6,000 FD)
The Carolina Panthers are a team you want to target with running backs. They have allowed the most scores on the ground in the NFL this year. Freeman is CHEAP and the wide receivers all seem to be dealing with injury setbacks. If Freeman doesn’t come in looking rusty (like he tends to do sometimes) he should smash his cheap salary. This feels like Freeman’s best NFL DFS spot all year.
Pivots: Melvin Gordon, Leonard Fournette
Value: Powell, Laird (DK)
Punts/High Risk: Kareem Hunt, Sony Michel, Benny Snell (FD), Jaylen Samuels (DK)
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Stefon Diggs ($8,000 FD)
Adam Thielen is doubtful, Dalvin Cook is banged up and the Detroit Lions are ranked in the bottom of the NFL defending WR1’s. Diggs should receive around double digit targets here and get a few deep looks down the field. I am not in love with any of the other high priced receivers this week making Diggs a nice pivot from the bigger named superstar studs. Diggs is sliding under the radar this week and is literally in a better spot than everyone priced above him.
Stud Pivots: DaVante Adams, Julio Jones (if he plays, he should)
Mid WR:
Keenan Allen ($6,800 FD) Simply too cheap on FanDuel. He is the clear number one receiver for the Chargers and the Jags can be beat on the ground and through the air. Keenan Allen is this weeks Alshon Jeffrey.
DeVante Parker ($7,200 FD) He has over 10 targets in each of the last four weeks. He caught two touchdowns (almost three) last week and is clearly Fitzpatrick’s favorite target He gets the 23rd ranked pass defense in what I expect to be a high scoring game. His price went up, but so did his upside.
Zach Pascal ($6,100 FD) He is not a “true WR1” but he is the best thing that Jacoby Brisett has against the Tampa Bay poor pass defense. Another case of being too cheap in NFL DFS.
Pivots: Courtland Sutton, DJ Moore, James Washington
Punt Wide Receivers: Curtis Samuel, Sammy Watkins, Russell Gage
Tight End
Kyle Rudolph ($4,800 FD)
He has six touchdowns in the last six games. Thielen is out again and Dalvin Cook is beat up. The offense should run through Diggs, Rudolph and the running back (notice I didn’t say Cook there). When Thielen has been out it has helped Rudolph tremendously. The price for him makes no sense on FanDuel. Kyle Rudolph is a free square this week in NFL DFS.
Tight End Pivots: Jack Doyle, Ryan Griffin, Vance McDonald
Defense
- Packers
- Vikings
- Steelers
- Texans
- Punt: Bengals
I will tweet out when there are NFL DFS updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!
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