Week 12 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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David also won back-to-back GPPs!
There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.
Quarterbacks:
Stud Quarterback: Russell Wilson ($8,200 FD)
I feel safe with Russell Wilson this week. He is the only viable dual-threat quarterback with a positive matchup this Sunday. Wilson is one of the frontrunners for MVP and he will have another chance to impress against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. He, of course, can also scramble and keep the offense alive by running downfield and hopefully getting into the end zone. I think he is being overlooked. I will take him as my top spend up in NFL DFS this week.
Stud Pivot: Matt Ryan – He should have to throw it a lot here. It is difficult to run on the Tampa defensive front and the Falcons are down to their third string RB.
Stud Pivot 2: Drew Brees
Mid QB: Carson Wentz ($7,300 FD)
Another guy that is going under the radar in a potential shootout. We love his tight ends this week and he should finally have a healthy core of wide receivers. Miles Sanders is getting worked into the offense more and he too can catch passes. He is a very sneaky Mid-tier NFL DFS quarterback.
Mid QB pivots in Order: Baker Mayfield, Derek Carr, Sam Darnold, Ryan Tannehill (if you play any of these mid-tier guys you need to pair him with a WR or TE on the same team)
Running Backs
Stud Running Back: Christian McCaffrey ($10,500 FD)
I am not worried about any matchup for CMC. He is a better play on DK because of the PPR structure but if you can fit him on FanDuel you won’t regret it.
Stud RB: Alvin Kamara ($8,300 FD)
He gets one of my favorite rush defenses to pick on in the Carolina Panthers. They have given up five more rushing touchdowns than any other team in the league. My concerns are he is very chalky and “splitting” carries with Lat Murray which scares me. However, Kamara is far superior in the passing game which makes him more elite on DraftKings. I will have my fair share of Karma on both sites but not be going over 50% on him. I will also have some pivot teams with Latavius Murray in large GPP contests.
Stud Pivots in Order: Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, Leonard Fournette, Saquon Barkley
Mid RB: Jaylen Samuels ($6,900 FD)
If JuJu and Johnson are out Samuels will not only be the probable starter at RB, he will also be treated as a WR2. He goes against the Bengals who have given up the second-most touchdowns to the running backs this season. With the Steelers so thin on offense Samuels should see plenty of opportunity on Sunday to exceed his NFL DFS salary. I like him better on DraftKings because of his pass-catching ability.
Pivots: Bo Scarbrough (next best option in the tier, not loving it though)
Value RB: Latavius Murray, Kareem Hunt, Derrius Guice
Note: Nick Chubb has a great matchup against the Dolphins, he can certainly have a breakout game, but so can OBJ, or Landry, or Hunt. Trying to pin down which Brown to go with is difficult if not impossible. It seems safe to say you want a least one of these guys in your lineup Sunday. I am going to have some Chubb lines and a few Kareem Hunt at his cheap price and wait for a garbage-time touchdown. Hunt will be in a few of my milli maker lines, not my main/cash or single entries.
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Mike Evans ($8,000 FD)
I am taking a stand on Mike Evans this week. He is my favorite high priced receiver with price and ownership factored in. He goes against the Falcons, who everyone suddenly wants to quit targeting. I know they have looked good the past two weeks but I think there are other reasons besides they have just suddenly become elite. The Saints overlooked them after a bye and we all saw Kyle Allen crumble against them last week. Was that poor QB play or good defense? Mike Evan has traditionally gone off against the Falcons and I know he is getting double-digit targets here. I am going with him at what I expect to be low NFL DFS ownership.
Stud Pivots: Julio Jones, Michael Thomas (both great options), Julian Edelman (DraftKings)
Mid WR: DK Metcalf ($6,700 FD)
Tyler Lockett will probably play, but he isn’t going to be 100%. The Seahawks are going to need to lean on their next best receiver against a poor Earles defense. Metcalf is the 7th highest targeted wideout in the red zone this season. He will be on my main NFL DFS lineup and I am going to do my best to pair him up with Russell Wilson.
Mid WR Pivots: OBJ, Calvin Ridley, Jamison Crowder
Value WR: Terry McLaurin, Russell Gage, James Washington (if JuJu and Johnson out), Josh Gordon (if Lockett isn’t 100%)
Tight End
Ryan Griffin ($5,600 FD)
I have been on him for weeks and everyone is finally catching up. Griffin is in another smash spot this week against the 30th ranked Oakland Raiders. He has four touchdowns in five weeks. He is still cheap enough to let you fit your stud backs and receivers.
Tight End Pivots: Zach Ertz, Jacob Hollister, Dallas Goedert, Ben Watson
Defense
- Steelers
- Saints
- Bills
- Punt: Redskins
I will tweet out when there are updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!
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