Week 3 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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Check back for updates closer to lineup lock on Sunday.
Quarterbacks:
Dak Prescott ($8,400 FD; $6,500 DK)
Dak is my top QB this week. Here is a little trick I used a lot last year. When the Cowboys are playing a bad defense just lock in Dak, Cooper and Zeke and boom, you have their entire offense (especially since Michael Gallup is out). The Cowboys are playing the Dolphins at home and whoooof, Miami is bad. Like, the worst team of a generation bad. The Cowboys are going to destroy them just like the Ravens and the Patriots already have. The Boys are currently 21 point favorites which just doesn’t happen in the NFL. There is NO WAY that Dak fails this week. Lock him in and tweet me when you cash with your lineups.
Stud Quarterback: Lamar Jackson ($8,500 FD; $7,000 DK)
Lamar Jackson’s price went down $200 this week on FanDuel for some reason. He is getting his third bad defense in the row in the Kansas City Chiefs. In the first two weeks Jackson has thrown seven touchdowns and ran for 126 yards (120 of them in game two). The Chiefs did not give up much to the Raiders last week, but besides the Dolphins, they probably have the worst offense in the NFL. In Week One the Chiefs got scorched by Gardner Minshew for 275 and two touchdowns in three quarters. Jackson now has a slew of wide receivers to targets and Ingram to help balance the offense on the ground. Jackson has over 30 fantasy points in both games this year, and there is no reason he can’t reach that again this week. Whether the Ravens are in the lead, or playing from behind, Jackson will get his through the air and/or on the ground.
Mid Quarterback: Josh Allen ($7,500 FD; $5,900 DK)
Is everyone finally on my fantasy darling Buffalo Bills QB this year? He gets it done through the air and on the ground and that is what you have to have in a NFL DFS Quarterback. This week is the Bills home opener and this kid is going to show off. Allen’s game logs are almost identical from Week One and Week Two. He has thrown for 250 yards and one touchdown in each game. He has also ran for about 30 yards and a rushing touchdown in each game. The Bills play the Bengals, and their defense is nothing to fear. He is my third favorite NFL DFS QB this week.
Mid Quarterback Pivot: Tom Brady
Notes: I am not on Mahomes as much as Dak and Lamar this week. I will get a few shares, but way more of Dak and Lamar
Quarterback Punts: None: You don’t need to punt this week.
Running Backs
Stud RB: Ezekiel Elliott ($8,800 FD; $8,900 DK)
Zeke is going vs. the Miami Dolphins. They gave up 59 points to the Ravens in week one and 43 to the Patriots in Week Two. They have given up two rushing touchdowns in both games. Zeke will get in the end zone and is the clear spend up player in NFL DFS at the RB position this week.
Stud Pivot: Saquon Barkley
Mid RB: Austin Ekeler ($7,600 FD; $7,200 DK)
Ok, he proved it to me. He is a threat on the ground and in the passing game. Are we all getting a good feel for how I play NFL DFS? I like players that can do multiple things. Houston has only given up one rushing touchdown this year, but they have given up three through the air, and Ekeler can catch. This makes him an even better on DraftKings because of the one point PPR structure. Ekeler has over 100 all-purpose yards in both games and four touchdowns. He should be a big part of the Chargers offense again this week.
Mid Pivot: Marlon Mack
Value Running Back: I will update closer to lock, waiting on some news.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Amari Cooper ($7,700 FD, $7,500 DK)
Just play Amari Cooper. Michael Gallup is hurt and they are playing the Dolphins as mentioned above. Cooper has gotten a touchdown in each game this year and he continues the streak this week. No doubt about it. I will be locking in the Cowboys core in my main NFL DFS lineup.
Stud Pivots: Antonio Brown, Keenan Allen
Mid WR: Kenny Golladay ($7,000 FD; $6,600 DK)
He got 10 targets in Week One and nine targets in Week Two. He is Matt Stafford’s number one receiver and he is priced very reasonably at 7K. The Lions play the Eagles this week, who are getting roasted by receivers so far this year. It will be in Philadelphia, and I expect a bounce-back from the Eagles, who just got embarrassed by Julio Jones last week during a nationally televised game on Sunday night. If the Eagles are winning, that is very good for Golladay because Stafford will have to air it out more.
Mid WR Pivots: Adam Thielen, Sammy Watkins
Value WR: Marquise Brown ($6,100 FD; $5,900 DK)
Hollywood Brown is the NFL DFS breakout receiver this season. I wasn’t convinced after he exploded in Week One, but after seeing him get targeted 13 times in Week Two I am hopping on board while he is still cheap. Lamar Jackson is my second favorite QB this week and Hollywood is his favorite receiver. He is fast, like his cousin Antonio, and is ready to become a star. He had 28.7 FanDuel points vs the Dolphins and 12.6 FanDuel points vs the Cardinals in week two (without a touchdown).
WR Value Pivots: Tyler Boyd, DK Metcalf, Will Fuller
Tight End
Stud TE: Mark Andrews ($6,800 FD, $4,600 DK)
He has over 100 yards and a touchdown in each game. He is coming on STRONG this season and gets the poor Kansas City defense. This should be a high scoring game and the Ravens are not going to quit targeting their surprising stud in this one. You can expect close to 10 targets and that’s enough opportunity for any tight end.
Stud TE Pivot: Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz
Value TE: Greg Olsen ($6,100, $3,700 DK)
The Cardinals are getting torched by tight ends. In Week One they gave up 131 yards and a touchdown to the Lions’ T.J. Hockenson in his first NFL game. In Week Two they gave up 121 and a touchdown to Mark Andrews. Are we noticing a pattern here? I am fine with Cam Newton possibly not starting (update closer to Sunday) because his backup will likely check it down more to Olsen (and McCaffrey). Olsen got 110 yards last week vs. the Bucs and he was a little beat up. I am going to stick with what’s working at tight end, and I expect low ownership.
TE Pivot: O.J. Howard (last shot)
Defense
- Cowboys
- Patriots
- Vikings
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