Week 2 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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Check back for updates closer to lineup lock on Sunday.
Quarterbacks:
Stud Quarterback: Lamar Jackson ($8,700 FD; $6,700 DK)
Lamar Jackson played almost perfectly in Week 1 vs the Miami Dolphins. I know that Miami defense looked particularly bad, but Jackson also looked fantastic throwing for 324 yards and five touchdowns. Can you imagine if he would have run for more than six yards?! Jackson faces the Arizona Cardinals this week, who just gave up 385 yards and three touchdowns to Matt Stafford at home. Jackson is going to be chalky, but like I said with Dalvin Cook last week, that doesn’t mean he is a bad play. He will be popular for a reason. He is in another great NFL DFS spot.
Patrick Mahomes: ($9,000 FD; $7,500 DK)
It feels like it is going to be another week where MVP Patrick Mahomes is going to be in a great matchup and low owned. People will fade him because there is a questionable tag by his name and because Tyreek Hill is out. Mahomes did just fine on his ankle last week and Hill basically missed the entire game. This was also vs an overhyped, yet good defense in Jacksonville. Mahomes will look to Kelce, Watkins and his pass catching backs a lot this week. The MVP will hit Kelce for at least one touchdown, and makes right for missing him in the end zone last week.
Mid Quarterback: Tom Brady ($7,800 FD; $6,400 DK)
The Patriots are going to win this game and Vegas thinks it’s going to be by a lot (-19). Tom Brady should tear them up the first three quarters before this game gets out of hand and he either gets pulled, or hands it off the entire fourth quarter. I like the NFL DFS price on Brady, and honestly don’t love a lot of other quarterbacks. I will have a Brady team.
Quarterback Punts: Josh Allen, Andy Dalton
Running Backs
Stud RB: Saquon Barkley ($9,200 FD; $9,200 DK)
It feels like a Saquon week and it has not been hard to fit him in my lineups. The Giants open at home vs the the Buffalo Bills and should absolutely feed Barkley. He looks elite again this year and gets a much easier matchup than the Cowboys were last week. He only got 11 carries, but a lot of that was game script. The Giants fell behind early and threw the ball more than they would have liked. Barkley did get six of those targets, though. Look for the Giants to control the tempo of this game more with getting Barkley going early and often. Lev Bell got his vs the Bills last week, Barkley will too.
Stud Pivot: Ezekiel Elliot
Mid RB: Mark Ingram ($7,500 FD; $6,000 DK)
Ingy impressed his first week as the new Baltimore Ravens featured back. He got 14 carries, 107 yards and two touchdowns before the Ravens pulled their starters. The Cardinals defense did fine against Kerryon Johnson last week, holding him to 49 yards, but I am not that high on Johnson to begin with. Ingram is a vet and never takes a play off. The Ravens trust him to move the chains and give him looks in he red zone. The Ravens defense will also be popular and it is a good idea to pair running backs with defenses. The more the ball turns over, the better the chances that the Ravens are winning, and therefore looking to the run game more.
Mid Pivot: Josh Jacobs
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Sammy Watkins ($7,400 FD; $7,200 DK)
He is going to be popular, but man, has he earned it. If you want to fade him vs the Oakland Raiders based on ownership, I get it, but he is in another ideal spot this Sunday. He looked as good as ever in week one catching three touchdowns for 198 yards. There is no Tyreek Hill for a few weeks so Watkins and Kelce are both going to be putting up monster numbers. The Broncos were beating the Oakland Raiders by giving their receivers the opportunities to come up with big plays, whether that was getting them in a little space or throwing the deep ball. Both of these Watkins excels at and I have to get a few NFL DFS shares of him on Sunday.
Stud Pivots: Adam Thielen
Mid WR: Tyler Boyd ($6,300 FD; $6,500 DK)
I will be highly invested in Tyler Boyd this week. The San Fransisco 49ers head to Cincinnati this Sunday and to try and spoil the Bengals’ first home game. Boyd has shown us in the past what he can do as a number one receiver vs a poor defense. Once A.J. Green went down last year, Boyd had three games with over 100 yards and was targeted the most on the Bengals. Targeting the San Fran D should also be profitable in NFL DFS this year. They may have held the Tampa to under 200 yards through the air last week, however I put that more on Winston’s struggles. Boyd had 11 targets and eight receptions for 60 yards in Seattle last week. This week he will do much, much more.
WR Midrange Pivots: Will Fuller, Cooper Kupp, DK Metcalf
Value WR: Tyrell Williams ($5,900 FD; $4,400 DK)
Oakland should have to throw it a lot here vs the visiting Chiefs. Williams was targeted seven times in their win against the Broncos and emerged as the clear top option for the Raiders. The Chiefs are also struggling in the secondary, much like last year. The Jaguars backup QB was able to come in for the injured Nick Foles last week, and put up 275 yards with two touchdowns. Tyrell Williams at $5,900 on FanDuel feels underpriced for his role in the offense. When the Raiders get in the redzone he should be the first one targeted. He pulls his weight here and exceeds value.
WR Punt: Damion Willis
Tight End
Stud TE: Travis Kelce ($8,000 FD; $7,300 DK)
Lock. No Tyreek Hill gives the best tight end in the league a tremendous boost. He is getting in the end zone this week, at least once. Patrick Mahomes told reporters after last weeks win that he “owed Kelce lunch” for missing him in the end zone last week. He makes up for it this week vs the Oakland Raiders. Kelce may be the highest priced NFL DFS tight end this week, but he may also be the highest scoring.
Stud TE Pivot: Evan Engram
Value TE: T.J. Hockenson ($6,000 FD; $3,000 DK)
He got nine targets for 131 yards and a touchdown in his first NFL game. It is safe to say Stafford trusts him already. I don’t expect him to exceed what he did in Week 1 but at $6,000 on FanDuel he is a safe NFL DFS play with upside.
TE Pivot: Darren Waller
Defense
- Ravens
- Titans
- Giants (punt)
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