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The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock with all of your DFS PGA needs. This week at the 3M Open, you’ll find the model’s Top 50, Vegas odds, Data Golf World Ranks, key stats and my personal player pool.

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Personal Player Pool

Players priced between $12,000 and $10,000

Hideki Matsuyama – $11,100
Matsuyama’s game fits this course very well, like last week where he finished T13. Matsuyama projects to be one of the highest owned golfers in the 10,000 and up pricing. That should not stop you from adding him to your roster as Matsuyama has the second best Vegas odds.

Bryson DeChambeau – $10,500
Coming off a T8 at the Travelers Championship, DeChambeau ranks number one for the 3M Open. Like Matsuyama, his ownership should be near the top. He has the best Opportunity score among the highest priced golfers. I’ll look for him to make several birdies and be atop the leader board come Sunday.

Patrick Reed – $10,000
Reed has been playing well making the cut in his last three tournaments. With a T5 in last weeks RCM, I expect Reed to continue his success in a week where the course and field are similar. Look for Reed to take advantage of all three Par 5s at TPC Twin Cities.

Players Priced between $9,900 and $9,000

Joaquin Niemann – $9,300
Niemann has made the cut the last five times playing, with his last two finishes T5. He’s been one of the best in the field at gaining strokes with his ball striking. The industry expects Niemann to contend this week with his projected 20% ownership.

Tony Finau – $9,200
When was the last time you’ve seen Finau’s price be this cheap? His three straight missed cuts probably has something to do with it. With the wider fairways at the 3M Open, Finau should have better opportunities to gain strokes with his approach game.

Viktor Hovland – $9,100
Hovland has been impressive as a rookie in his three starts on tour. Two Top 15 finishes has Hovland rising quick, in both price and ownership. He gains massive strokes off the tee and with a course tailor made for bombers, expect Hovland to keep climbing the ranks.

Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000

Kevin Na – $8,600
Na was a bit of a surprise for me in the model. He’s middle of the field in every scoring category. What will help Na compete, though, is his short game and putting on the bent greens. Kevin Na is the exact opposite of Keegan Bradley and the perfect pivot.

Phil Mickelson – $8,500
Mickelson’s off the tee game has been atrocious going back several tournaments. In those tournaments, though, they’ve required accuracy off of the tee. At the 3M Open I believe that requirement will be negated by the wide fairways. Mickelson should be able to keep the ball out of trouble and do well with his short game. He is more of a GPP only play, his ownership should be around five percent.

Players priced between $7,900 and $7,500

Collin Morikawa – $7,900
Morikawa doesn’t appear in my Top 50 but I’m still gonna include him. He’s played well since turning pro with three made cuts and he gained 14 strokes total over that span. Morikawa is not surprising anyone anymore but with his consistent approach, I may look to add him to my cash lineup.

Peter Malnati – $7,800S
Like Morikawa, Malnati had been a model of consistency. He’s made his last five cuts in a row and will look to improve on his T30 finishes. Malnati will be a staple in my cash games.

Lucas Glover – $7,700
The last two times I wrote up Glover he’s missed the cut. Granted, those were on tougher courses and better fields. Data Golf has him eighth in the field in world ranking. He’s the best in the field at Par 4s between 400 – 450 yards. Glover cannot miss the cut three times in a row, can he?

Sepp Straka – $7,500
Straka’s play last week salvaged my lineups. He received a decent price bump from last week but I don’t think that will stop the masses. Ball striking is a big weapon in his game and it should be expected to continue at the 3M Open.

Players priced between $7,400 and $7,000

Bud Cauley – $7,300
I honestly thought Cauley was going to play better last week. He needs to find his putter. He is more of a GPP only play. I expect Cauley to rebound this week.

Denny McCarthy – $7,100
McCarthy’s game scores well at Data Golf, as they have him ranked 77th in the world. That is a much better ranking than Vegas odds of 145/1. He played well last week and the 3M Open sets up similarly. McCarthy got the job done on the greens at the RMC and will need to continue the trend to succeed.

Wyndham Clark – $7,100
It’s funny that Clark and McCarthy are priced the same this week. Both are coming off Top 20s and both excel with the putter. One difference, though, is Clark is long off the tee. I prefer Clark to McCarthy for that sole reason as I believe bombers will have a slight advantage this week.

Players priced below $7,000

Sebastian Munoz – $6,700
Munoz missing the cut last week is not the greatest leadoff into the 3M Open. He lost strokes almost everywhere outside of around the green. Munoz is capable of scoring very well on Par 5s and that’s where I hope he makes his money this week.

Richy Werenski – $6,100
Did not expect to see Werenski on the sheet, did you? Neither did I. Not only is he on the Insight Sheet, but he’s the fourth ranked player! This is purely a stat related selection but he’s 30th or better in ball striking, approach, opportunities gained and DraftKings points. He has almost no positive recent form as he missed the cut four out of five times. He’s my Scott Stallings for the week. He will be less than one percent owned. PURE GPP FLIER!!

Thank you for reading. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily DFS (@WinDailyDFS) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news.

Stat source: FantasyNational

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This week we’ll go over the Rocket Mortgage Classic from last week and get you ready for the upcoming 3M Open right here on WIN DAILY.

Recap of the Rocket Mortgage Classic

Raise your hand if you had Nate Lashley in your player pool. Don’t worry about it, no one did. DraftKings never added him, so it’s not your fault. Past him though, the top of the leaderboard was a mixed bag of players you may not have expected: Redman, Roach and Potter to name a few.

The Insight Sheet’s results were par (pun intended) for the industry average on the week. Out of the 24 players in my personal player pool, only 14 made the cut. It did include Top 25 players such as Danny Lee (3%), Sepp Straka (4%) and Patrick Reed (8%). This is the first week that my personal player pool did not include the winner (second place this week). We’ll look to right the ship at the new 3M Open.

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The Basics

Course: TPC Twin Cities
Par: 71
Length: 7,468
Greens: Bent, Larger than tour average (Cannot find true yardage at this point)
Fairways: Wider than tour average (Some holes, 35 – 40 yards wide)
Architect: Arnold Palmer

Course Fit

Like last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, the 3M Open is a brand new stop on the tour. The tournament will be held at the TPC Twin Cities course located north of Minneapolis, Minnesota. The venue was a 17-year staple on the Champions tour (2001 – 2018). For the last seven years on the senior tour TPC Twin Cities ranked first or second in birdies. Similar to last week, I fully expect the 3M Open to be a birdie fest.

With low scoring almost guaranteed, we want to look at courses with easy scoring layouts. The Top 10 in Strokes Gained Total and their collective DraftKings points for such layouts are displayed below.

SG: Total on easy to score courses
Last 50 rounds

Fairway width and location of hazards is a huge part of scoring. Golfers having the ability to choose where to land the ball instead of forcing a shot is crucial. This chart shows the Top 10 in SG: TOT and DK points for easy to hit fairways.

Top 10 in strokes gained total for easy to hit fairways.
Last 50 rounds

Putting will be vital for golfers to succeed this week at the 3M Open. Below are the Top 10 golfers in SG: Putting (bent grass) and their respective putting baselines.

Strokes Gaines Putting on Bent Grass
Last 50 rounds

This article was written before prices are available. Based off these three charts above though, I would take a serious look at Jason Day.

Player Fit – Back End

Below we’ll find the official scorecard from the PGA media guide.

With the anticipation of a low scoring affair, we’ll need to determine which holes to target for a birdie attempt. After reading Chris Hollander’s write up on Twitter, I agree with his assessment. Chris recognizes that holes 1, 4-6, 10, 12, 16 and 18 should all play below par this week. Four of them are Par 4’s with a distance of 400 – 450 yards (six on the course total). The remaining scoring holes are Par 5’s between the distance of 550 – 600 yards and one Par 3.

Golfers who put themselves in position to score DK points will be key to our player pools. For that measure, we’ll include Opportunity Gained and Strokes Gained Putting (bent grass).

Last 50 rounds. Evenly weighted.

The chart above shows the Top 10 ranked in the model with all of the categories listed. Day’s name once again pops up along with DeChambeau and Finau showing up several times.

Final Recap

With the 3M Open, at TPC Twin Cities, becoming a new stop for the PGA tour, drawing data was scarce. Last week with the unknown, I weighted my model to be very balanced, more so than normal. Unfortunately it did not have the greatest success. With similar conditions to last week I’ll be tilting my model to be more birdie/point heavy. Performing this action will hopefully provide a better player pool to choose from.

Course Setup:
Easy to score
Easy to hit fairways
Bent grass greens

Player efficiencies:
Opportunity gained
Par 4 scoring: 400 – 450 yards
Par 5 scoring: 550 – 600 yards
Strokes gained putting

Thanks for reading and I hope this article is a great starting place for your DFS research. Look out for the Insight Sheet dropping Wednesday. It will include my model’s Top 50 with Data Golf World Rankings, Vegas Odds, and analysis on my personal player pool.

While this artice, The Range, will remain FREE, the Insight Sheet will only be free for a limited time. Make sure you don’t miss out. Sign up for our Premium Gold membership right here!

Please leave a comment below or reach out on Twitter if you found this helpful and any questions you may have.

Stats source: FantasyNational

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By Jason Mezrahi

The hardest thing to do in the fantasy industry is to qualify for a live final championship event. With only 125 tickets available and 25 already awarded to other DFS players time is running out. There are 100 seats left and I need to find a way in. I personally haven’t been going hard in qualifiers over the past year or so but I’m getting the itch again and I am officially making it my goal for MLB DFS 2019 to earn my ticket to sunny San Diego and a shot at $500,000. San Diego is one of my favorite cities in the U.S. so it provides some extra motivation for me personally.

I’m not a big multi entry player and I never max entry into any tournaments because its not my style and I honestly don’t have the time so it’s going to be an uphill battle with FanDuel running most of their qualifying tournaments at low entry fees and high entrants.

Saturday night is going to be my best shot yet with Fanduel having a $222 entry with only 136 entrants. It’s a seven game slate which also provides a nice edge for me as I like the 6-8 game slate range. The Qualifier will fill up early so if you want your shot I would highly suggest getting in now before you go to sleep and wake up to see it already full.

With the way the slate is shaping up at first glance I think ownership will be spread out across several pitchers and stacks so I’m personally not going into the tournament playing the ownership game and just going to focus on the matchups after I make a deep dive into the numbers tomorrow afternoon.

The goal of this article was to lay out one of my goals for the MLB season and I think putting goals on paper and out in the universe make them real and make you accountable to make sure you work your hardest to make sure they come to reality. Simply put, this is my personal goal for my DFS season.

My ultimate goal is to make you the reader, the best DFS player you can be and for you to truly understand the necessary mindset and process it takes to be at your best in DFS and life. I wish you all the best MLB season of your career.

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