The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock with all of your DFS PGA needs. This week at the 3M Open, you’ll find the model’s Top 50, Vegas odds, Data Golf World Ranks, key stats and my personal player pool.
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Personal Player Pool
Players priced between $12,000 and $10,000
Hideki Matsuyama – $11,100 Matsuyama’s game fits this course very well, like last week where he finished T13. Matsuyama projects to be one of the highest owned golfers in the 10,000 and up pricing. That should not stop you from adding him to your roster as Matsuyama has the second best Vegas odds.
Bryson DeChambeau – $10,500 Coming off a T8 at the Travelers Championship, DeChambeau ranks number one for the 3M Open. Like Matsuyama, his ownership should be near the top. He has the best Opportunity score among the highest priced golfers. I’ll look for him to make several birdies and be atop the leader board come Sunday.
Patrick Reed – $10,000 Reed has been playing well making the cut in his last three tournaments. With a T5 in last weeks RCM, I expect Reed to continue his success in a week where the course and field are similar. Look for Reed to take advantage of all three Par 5s at TPC Twin Cities.
Players Priced between $9,900 and $9,000
Joaquin Niemann – $9,300 Niemann has made the cut the last five times playing, with his last two finishes T5. He’s been one of the best in the field at gaining strokes with his ball striking. The industry expects Niemann to contend this week with his projected 20% ownership.
Tony Finau – $9,200 When was the last time you’ve seen Finau’s price be this cheap? His three straight missed cuts probably has something to do with it. With the wider fairways at the 3M Open, Finau should have better opportunities to gain strokes with his approach game.
Viktor Hovland – $9,100 Hovland has been impressive as a rookie in his three starts on tour. Two Top 15 finishes has Hovland rising quick, in both price and ownership. He gains massive strokes off the tee and with a course tailor made for bombers, expect Hovland to keep climbing the ranks.
Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000
Kevin Na – $8,600 Na was a bit of a surprise for me in the model. He’s middle of the field in every scoring category. What will help Na compete, though, is his short game and putting on the bent greens. Kevin Na is the exact opposite of Keegan Bradley and the perfect pivot.
Phil Mickelson – $8,500 Mickelson’s off the tee game has been atrocious going back several tournaments. In those tournaments, though, they’ve required accuracy off of the tee. At the 3M Open I believe that requirement will be negated by the wide fairways. Mickelson should be able to keep the ball out of trouble and do well with his short game. He is more of a GPP only play, his ownership should be around five percent.
Players priced between $7,900 and $7,500
Collin Morikawa – $7,900 Morikawa doesn’t appear in my Top 50 but I’m still gonna include him. He’s played well since turning pro with three made cuts and he gained 14 strokes total over that span. Morikawa is not surprising anyone anymore but with his consistent approach, I may look to add him to my cash lineup.
Peter Malnati – $7,800S Like Morikawa, Malnati had been a model of consistency. He’s made his last five cuts in a row and will look to improve on his T30 finishes. Malnati will be a staple in my cash games.
Lucas Glover – $7,700 The last two times I wrote up Glover he’s missed the cut. Granted, those were on tougher courses and better fields. Data Golf has him eighth in the field in world ranking. He’s the best in the field at Par 4s between 400 – 450 yards. Glover cannot miss the cut three times in a row, can he?
Sepp Straka – $7,500 Straka’s play last week salvaged my lineups. He received a decent price bump from last week but I don’t think that will stop the masses. Ball striking is a big weapon in his game and it should be expected to continue at the 3M Open.
Players priced between $7,400 and $7,000
Bud Cauley – $7,300 I honestly thought Cauley was going to play better last week. He needs to find his putter. He is more of a GPP only play. I expect Cauley to rebound this week.
Denny McCarthy – $7,100 McCarthy’s game scores well at Data Golf, as they have him ranked 77th in the world. That is a much better ranking than Vegas odds of 145/1. He played well last week and the 3M Open sets up similarly. McCarthy got the job done on the greens at the RMC and will need to continue the trend to succeed.
Wyndham Clark – $7,100 It’s funny that Clark and McCarthy are priced the same this week. Both are coming off Top 20s and both excel with the putter. One difference, though, is Clark is long off the tee. I prefer Clark to McCarthy for that sole reason as I believe bombers will have a slight advantage this week.
Players priced below $7,000
Sebastian Munoz – $6,700 Munoz missing the cut last week is not the greatest leadoff into the 3M Open. He lost strokes almost everywhere outside of around the green. Munoz is capable of scoring very well on Par 5s and that’s where I hope he makes his money this week.
Richy Werenski – $6,100 Did not expect to see Werenski on the sheet, did you? Neither did I. Not only is he on the Insight Sheet, but he’s the fourth ranked player! This is purely a stat related selection but he’s 30th or better in ball striking, approach, opportunities gained and DraftKings points. He has almost no positive recent form as he missed the cut four out of five times. He’s my Scott Stallings for the week. He will be less than one percent owned. PURE GPP FLIER!!