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NFL DFS Conference Finals – Stix Picks

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

Let’s get right into it for the Conference Finals NFL DFS slate. This week’s article will simply be a ranking at each position for the players in my DFS player pool.

If you haven’t yet, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. Without further ado, let’s do this thing!

Cincinnati @ Kansas City (-7) / TOTAL (53.5)
San Francisco @ Los Angeles (-3.5) / TOTAL (45.5)

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes – regardless of price, Mahomes will be my quarterback this week on all NFL DFS formats. There’s no one on the slate with his floor or his upside. The rushing upside of late is also an added bonus to the best quarterback in the NFL. Mahomes dictates the outcome of this game and is gamescript proof in a game with a significantly higher expected pace than the late game in LA.

Ownership projections have Patrick Mahomes sitting around 45% owned and I think that’s about 20% too low. 55% of the field is in a rough path to the leaderboards if they’re going to fade Mahomes.

Honorable Mention: Joe Burrow, Matthew Stafford

NFL DFS Running Backs

Joe Mixon – the obvious number one back on this slate is Joe Mixon. He’s the only running back on this slate with 20+ carry upside out of the backfield and 5+ receptions in the passing game. Like many, the Bengals will need to control the pace the best they can to keep Mahomes off the field as their offensive line simply cannot handle a shootout pace like we saw the Bills do last week. The Chiefs’ defensive line is healthy and will certainly limit what Mixon can do on the ground, but I’m most interested in Mixon due to his passing game abilities, especially against a heavy blitz team like the Chiefs.

Projected ownership: 5%
Elijah Mitchell – like the Bengals, the only hope the 49ers have is to control the pace of this game and have it play out at a snail’s pace with 25+ carries for Elijah Mitchell. I don’t love taking opposing running backs against the Rams but on a two-game slate, there’s not many options. Mitchell is a fine play who may certainly be game-scripted out a bit if the Rams jump on it early.

Projected ownership: 35%
Cam Akers – it appears that Sean McVay has officially given Cam Akers the keys to the Rams’ backfield castle while giving him over 80% of the snaps for 20 carries last week (Sony Michel 20% and just three touches). I do think we’ll see a bit more Michel this week if the Rams get ahead by two scores early (I think they do), but the price-tag of Akers is too-low to avoid when he’s one of the few running backs who have pass-catching upside.

Projected ownership: 55%

Honorable Mention: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (20% ownership projection), Jerrick McKinnon

Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp – best WR option on the NFL DFS slate.

Projected ownership: 45%
Ja’Maar Chase – we talked about Ja’Maar Chase’s success against high-blitz rate teams all season long and there’s no reason to shy away from that now. He’s my clear WR2 on this slate who averaged 24.4 fantasy points per game against the AETY Model’s highest expected blitz rate opponents.

Projected ownership: 35%
Tyreek Hill – not a whole lot to say about Tyreek Hill, besides “thank you” for last week’s performance. Hill can always break a slate and certainly has some excellent matchups every way he lines up against this Bengals’ secondary. I honestly will not have a lot of exposure to him and that scares the hell out of me.

Projected ownership: 50%
Tee Higgins – Higgins’ price is just too low for the expected volume in a game where the Bengals’ will likely be chasing points from the get-go. Like Ja’Maar, Higgins has excelled in all aspects of the game this season but has had some of his better games against high-blitz teams, averaging 16.1 fantasy points per game in those matchups and a relatively higher red-zone share than Ja’Maar Chase. Tee Higgins will have a lot of single coverage with Charvarius Ward, which is something the AETY Model says to attack.

Projected ownership: 35%
Odell Beckham Jr. – Love the upside and pay-down off of Cooper Kupp. Odell Beckham will have a lot of single coverage and we’ve seen the red-zone targets take a massive swing upward of late… at the cheap price-tag, Odell Beckham offers us a lot of NFL DFS upside at significantly less ownership than most of the top tier wideouts on the slate.

Projected ownership: 20%
Deebo Samuel – I’m having a very hard time getting to Deebo Samuel this week after he was significantly banged up against the Packers’ last week and the lack of targets in the passing game. Like Tyreek Hill, he can break the slate and a fade scares me, but I’m likely to fade. He’s a stud and please do not let me scare you away from him… just letting you know where I’m at.

Projected ownership: 35%
Jauan Jennings – Jennings is surprisingly trailing Deebo Samuel by only four targets over the past seven games for the 49ers and is also active in the red-zone packages. With a list full of studs, I needed to add some value to this section of the article and I can’t think of anyone better (besides maybe one of the cheaper KC wideouts) than Jennings. The AETY Model gives a nice upgrade to slot receivers against the Rams and Jennings fits my narrative of the 49ers having to play catch-up to Stafford and the Rams.

Projected ownership: 5%
Byron Pringle – it’s hard to ignore his recent production and he’s a stackable piece to the only quarterback I’ll play this weekend. Pringle is seeing the majority of his work out of the slot and that’s the strong suit for the Bengals’ secondary in Mike Hilton.

Projected ownership: 25%
Mecole Hardman – I’m likely to full fade Byron Pringle in NFL DFS due to the heavy chalk on the “value wideout” and pivot down to Mecole Hardman. Hardman seems to be a feature on the Chiefs’ offense for gadget plays (which he certainly can provide significant upside through), but also running the majority of his snaps on the outside. There should be a handful of opportunities for Hardman to be on the outside in single coverage with one safety behind him (likely to shade towards Kelce/Hill)so… I’m calling for a Hardman long touchdown this weekend. Let’s go.

Projected ownership: 10%

Honorable Mention: Brandon Aiyuk, Tyler Boyd

Tight-Ends

Travis Kelce – clear top tight-end on this NFL DFS slate.

Projected ownership: 50%
George Kittle – Kittle has been a bit of a bust of late but with my projected gamescript of the 49ers playing from behind, this should be an excellent breakthrough spot for Kittle. Starting to love the idea of using both Kelce and Kittle together for the combined red-zone upside and differentiation with two tight-ends.

Projected ownership: 25%

3. CJ Uzomah – at the price, I’ll be very interested in punting down to Uzomah or paring him on the other side of Travis Kelce for a double tight-end build. I want as much exposure to this high-scoring affair as I can get.

Projected ownership: 25%

4. Tyler Higbee – love the red-zone upside, but not a big fan of playing Higbee when Uzomah is cheaper and in an arguably better gamescript.

Projected ownership: 35%

Defense / Special Teams

I’ll rarely write about defense and special teams, but prices considered, here’s who I’ll take a look at in my NFL DFS lineups:

Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate

3 years ago 0 comments

The Farmers Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi 3 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

Welcome everyone to The Farmers Open Final Ownership Projections, we are back in sunny California, everyone is playing nice and has put their campfires out and kept the matches out of the hands of the arsonists, so we should have nice weather, winds will be gusting to 20 early Friday morning, but with multiple course play and staggered starts there is no advantage for Showdown. This is an extremely loaded field and play starts early Wednesday, so get your lineups in before tomorrow morning.

There was a young golfer who had won his first tourney three weeks before. He asked a senior golf superstar, whose name I won’t mention (what would a “Tiger” chase?) a question about choosing the right friends since everyone was now attempting to be his new best friend. He also noticed the senior had on a nice Rolex and complimented him on it. He said, “it tells time just like all the others.” He then proceeded to tell the young duffer a story about the watch. “I had an acquaintance I asked the same question you are asking me about friends, and he told me that there are two kinds of friends, the first will show you his new Rolex, talk about how much it costs, talk about the respect it commands, and how impressed everyone is and the second type of friend will sit down with you and share exactly how to earn one yourself.” “Choose your friends wisely.”

We are a family here at Win Daily Sports, I can think of no group who works as hard as trying to help you all earn that Rolex, or whatever you dream of earning and owning. A friend of mine who has four world championships in DFS told me that golf DFS has become much more efficient, you have to work harder to hit the same goals you might have hit last year, and if you didn’t hit your goals, the same hard work applies. A lot of you have jobs, families, other responsibilities so you choose to subscribe and let us help you, and that’s what family and friends do. They help each other.

Sia hit his fourth outright/FRL in a row, it doesn’t get much better than that. Spencer had a monster week in head to head matchups, you really should check out the better golf podcast with Spencer and Stix, its worth the time. Joel is still counting money from SD takedowns and my crew and I are breaking in some new equipment and programs.

Torrey Pines is very pricey golf real estate, if you plan on playing there, or purchasing the course, you may need some takedowns to help further that cause, let’s take a look at the ownership to help you get there.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYER	OWN %	SALARY
Rahm, John	26.7	11200
Finau, Tony	23.1	9100
List, Luke	17.8	7600
Zalatoris,Will	17.3	9200
Burns, Sam	16.7	9700
McNealy, Maverick	15.9	8200
Wise, Aaron	15.4	7500
Schauffele, Xander	15.1	10100
DeChambeau, Bryson	14.8	9900
Leishman, Marc	14.4	9000
Im, Sungjae	14.3	9300
Rose, Justin	14.2	7900
Palmer, Ryan	14.1	8100
Griffin, Lanto	13.6	7700
Berger, Daniel	12.2	10000
Davis, Cameron	12.2	7300
Scheffler, Scottie	11.9	9500
Gooch, Talor	11.4	8900
Thomas, Justin	11.1	10900
Matsuyama, Hideki	10.6	10600
Homa, Max	10.4	8400
Hughes, Mackenzie	9.9	7700
Conners, Corey	9.7	8800
Tringale, Cameron	8.3	7600
Johnson, Dustin	8.1	10300
Bramlett, Joseph	8.1	6700
Vegas, Jhonattan	7.9	7400
Hoge, Tom	7.9	7500
Reed, Patrick	7.8	8700
Wolff, Mathew	7.6	8500
Mitchell, Keith	7.2	7400
Snedeker, Brandt	7.0	7400
Horschel, Billy	6.9	7800
Day, Jason	6.9	500
Moore, Taylor	6.8	6900
Pereira, Mito	6.8	7400
Niemann, Joaquin	6.7	7700
Kim, Si Woo	6.6	7800
Molinari, Francesco	6.4	7600
Eckroat, Austin	6.2	6100
Spieth, Jordan	6.1	9400
Ortiz, Carlos	5.1	7300
Woodland, Gary	4.9	7300
Koepka, Brooks	4.6	9600
Theegala, Sahith	4.6	6500
Rodgers, Patrick	4.5	7100
Bradley, Keegan	4.4	7900
Whaley, Vincent	4.2	6800
Svensson, Adam	4.2	6900
Young, Cameron	4.1	6600
Kizzire, Patton	4.1	6800
Hadwin, Adam	3.9	7300
Jones, Matt	3.8	7200
Dahmen, Joel	3.8	7200
Clark, Wyndham	3.7	7200
Smalley, Alex	3.7	7100
Grillo, Emiliano	3.3	6700
Stanley, Kyle	3.1	6900
Pendrith, Taylor	3.1	6800
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan	3.1	8300
Fowler, Rickie	2.9	7200
Swafford, Hudson	2.8	7200
Riley, Davis	2.6	6800
Sigg, Greyson	2.3	6800
Stallings, Scott	2.2	6700
Noren, Alex	2.1	7500
Straka, Sepp	2.1	6300
Thompson, Michael	1.9	7100
Laird, Martin	1.8	6600
Barjon, Paul	1.8	6400
Poston, JT	1.8	6400
Pan, CT	1.7	6900
Jaeger, Stephan	1.6	6500
Hodges, Lee	1.6	7000
Ghim, Doug	1.6	7000
Frittelli, Dylan	1.5	6900
Lee, Danny	1.4	6800
Ramey, Chad	1.3	6600
Taylor, Nick	1.3	6500
Mickelson, Phil	1.3	7000
Rai, Aaron	1.3	7000
Higgs, Harry	1.1	6700
Novak, Andrew	1.1	6300
Champ, Cameron	1.1	7100
Wu, Dylan	1.1	6600
Uihlein, Peter	1.0	6200
Munoz, Sebastian	1.0	7000
Streelman, Kevin	0.9	7300
Spaun, JJ	0.9	6900
McCumber, Tyler	0.9	6300
Burgoon, Bronson	0.9	6400
Lebioda, Hank	0.9	6500
Huh, John	0.9	6500
Tway, Kevin	0.9	6200
Hardy, Nick	0.8	6700
Reavie, Chez	0.8	7000
Norlander, Henrik	0.7	6700
Mullinax, Trey	0.7	6200
Creel, Joshua	0.6	6000
Schenk, Adam	0.6	6600
Buckley, Hayden	0.6	6900
NeSmith, Matthew	0.6	6600
Piercy, Scott	0.6	6500
Kitayama, Kurt	0.6	6400
Sabbatini, Rory	0.6	6700
Ryder, Sam	0.5	6400
Tarren, Callum	0.5	6000
Streb, Robert	0.5	6600
Grant, Brent	0.4	6100
Lahiri, Anirban	0.4	6300
Chappell, Kevin	0.4	6100
Hahn, James	0.4	6400
Long, Adam	0.4	6800
Garnett, Brice	0.4	6400
Malnati, Peter	0.4	6300
Lipsky, David	0.3	6600
Wolfe, Jared	0.3	6200
Thompson, Curtis	0.3	6000
Smotherman, Austin	0.3	6000
Drewitt, Brett	0.3	6000
McGreevy, Max	0.3	6200
Kohles, Ben	0.2	6200
Lower, Justin	0.2	6100
Gutschewski, Scott	0.2	6000
Du Toit, Jared	0.2	6000
Villegas, Camilo	0.2	6400
Watney, Nick	0.2	6100
Trainer, Martin	0.2	6000
Dufner, Jason	0.1	6400
Wu, Brandon	0.1	6300
Kang, Sung	0.1	6100
Gligic, Michael	0.1	6100
Skinns, David	0.1	6100
Reeves, Seth	0.1	6100
Haas, Bill	0.1	6000
Noh, Seung-Yul	0.1	6000
Perez, Pat	0.1	6500
Stuard, Brian	0.1	6500
Redman, Doc	0.1	6400
Yu, Chun-an (Kevin)	0.1	6300
Byrd, Jonathan	0.1	6300
Walker, Jimmy	0.1	6200
Herman, Jim	0.1	6200
Cook, Austin	0.1	6100
Hagy, Brandon	0.1	6100
Montgomery, Taylor	0.0	6200
Alford, Ryan	0.0	6000
Sear, Max	0.0	6000
Block, Michael	0.0	6000
ALL OTHERS	0.0

These final ownership figures for The Farmers Open are accurate as of 17:44 CST. Heavy chalk may be higher by lock, especially the top tier.

My picks for The Farmers Open

Top Tier: Xander

Mid Tier: Niemann

Low Tier: Davis

Out in Left Play: Theegala

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing The Farmers Open Final Ownership Projections article, we really do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Spencer, ,Antonio, Isaiah and Patrick to help determine your rosters and lineups.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS Divisional Round – Stix Picks

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

Let’s get right into it for the Divisional Round NFL DFS slate. This week’s article will simply be a ranking at each position for the players in my DFS player pool. The Divisional Round is a bit better for cash games than last week was, but I will be limiting my exposure to strictly NFL DFS GPP tournaments.

Cincinnati @ Tennessee (-3.5) / TOTAL (47.5)
San Francisco @ Green Bay (-5.5) / TOTAL (47)
Los Angeles @ Tampa Bay (-3) / TOTAL (48)
Buffalo @ Kansas City (-2) / TOTAL (54)

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Josh Allen – He’s half man, half beast, half quarterback, and half running back. The AETY Model rates Josh Allen as the top quarterback on this slate projecting for over 280 passing yards, 50 rushing yards, 2.4 pass touchdowns, and 0.21 rushing touchdowns. Allen is matchup proof and playing like a MVP candidate of late as the rest of this Bills’ offense comes in absolutely rolling. This is going to be a great game with explosive offensive plays throughout… Enjoy it!
Joe Burrow – Joe Burrow is playing like a man possessed lately and I’ll go right back to the well against a pass funnel defense and a trash secondary for a 10% owned Joe Burrow.
Matthew Stafford – In terms of GPP lineups, Matthew Stafford is going to get the nod for me over the likes of Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, and Aaron Rodgers. Stafford is incredible against teams with a heavy blitz rate (Tampa blitzes the most out of anyone in the NFL) and will come into this matchup around 5% in ownership. There’s just too many weapons on this Rams’ offense in a game with the most expected pass attempts on the slate.
Patrick Mahomes – it’s Patrick Mahomes, at home, in a game with a 54-point total. He’s likely to lead this slate in ownership and the Bills aren’t the best of matchups. Having said that, it’s still Patrick Mahomes.
Aaron Rodgers – honestly, I’m not going to be playing any Aaron Rodgers this week due to the pace that the 49ers play at. If Shanahan has half a brain (sometimes I wonder, other times I marvel), he’ll take the air out of the ball as much as possible to protect his pass-funnel, underwhelming secondary, and most of all, to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field.

Honorable Mention: Tom Brady

NFL DFS Running Backs

Elijah Mitchell – the only true weak spots in the Packers’ defense is their ability to stop the run and cover tight-ends. Elijah Mitchell, Devin Singletary, and Joe Mixon are the only “locks” at the running back position in terms of 15+ touches, so I’ll likely be rostering both of them in my main lineups. Again, my “story” for my lineups this weekend is Shanahan and the 49ers try to dictate this pace as much as possible and run the living hell out of the football.
Devin Singletary – 19+ touches in three straight games! On a slate with multiple “running back by committee” situations, I’m taking the route of playing the two who I know will see a ton of usage. Kansas City is the second worst run-defense on this slate (Packers) and rank 26th in pass DVOA against opposing running backs.
Joe Mixon – similar situation the both of the above, just with a tougher run defense in Tennessee and a higher price-tag in DFS. I do love the multiple touchdown upside and pass-catching ability Mixon brings to the table, but at 40% ownership, I’m having a hard time getting to him, although I want some Mixon. If I were to bet anyone to score two rushing TDs this weekend, it would be Mixon, as I project this game to go over the total and have plenty of red-zone opportunities for Mixon and the Bengals.
Aaron Jones – Jones is one of my favorite GPP targets this weekend mainly for what he can do in the passing game. As much as I respect the 49ers’ defense, I’m projecting a significant boost in the passing attack for Aaron Jones as the Packers will be without Marquez Valdes-Scantling. We know we will see a lot of A.J. Dillon as well, so temper your expectations a bit.
Giovani Bernard – Leonard Fournette is coming off of a significant hamstring injury and is ready to roll for this matchup against the Rams. My issue here is whether or not Bruce Arians was showing some gamesmanship in saying Leonard Fournette was not ready to return last week or the fact they simply did not need him to beat the Eagles.

It’s a very difficult situation to get a read on, but I’m planting my flag on the side that Fournette was not 100% ready to return last week and will be on a bit of a pitch-count this weekend and leaving Gio Bernard on the field in most passing down situations. At the $5K price-tag on DraftKings, I’m confident Gio Bernard will get the job done as he racked up ten targets just a week ago and we know Tom Brady will check down often. For what it’s worth, the Rams grade 24th in pass DVOA against opposing running backs.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – CEH is officially off the injury report and will suit up for Sunday Night’s game against the Bills. We’ll still see plenty of Jerick McKinnon and likely a splash of Derrick Gore, but the early-down and red-zone work should go back to CEH. In a game with a 54-point total, I want exposure to as many key players as I can.

Honorable Mention: Cam Akers, Leonard Fournette, Derrick Henry, AJ Dillon

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp
Ja’Maar Chase – At this price, I’ll do anything I can to roster Ja’Maar Chase against his former high school and LSU teammate, Kristian Fulton. When Chase is away from Fulton, he’ll see a banged up Janoris Jenkins who straight-up cannot handle Ja’Maar Chase.
Davante Adams – I likely won’t prioritize Adams this weekend due to his price-tag and the expected pace of this game. Yes, that scares the hell out of me, but it’s the stance I’m taking to prioritize others in my lineups. If you can find a nice way to fit him in without sacrificing the rest of your lineup, do so with confidence. We know Shanahan will try to scheme out Davante Adams but that simply doesn’t work. I’m banking on a reasonable output for Adams and using others in my lineup to keep me close.
Stefon Diggs – Stefon Diggs against Charvarius Ward, Mike Hughes, and L’Jarius Sneed at 10-15% ownership? Where do I sign? Again, I want all of the exposure to this game that I can afford and at $6,500 on DraftKings, Stefon Diggs makes for an excellent NFL DFS GPP play.
Tyreek Hill – on the other side of Diggs, Tyreek Hill’s price-tag is borderline criminal against a sub-par Buffalo Bills secondary. If they use some single, press-coverage, Hill will have a field day. If not, I still have plenty of confidence in Tyreek Hill to get 18+ DraftKings points and provide my lineup a chance to succeed.
Deebo Samuel
AJ Brown – ridiculously cheap WR1 against Eli Apple in a game the AETY Model projects to shootout a bit more than the public does.
Mike Evans
Tyler Boyd – a great value going up against the Titans who grade as the #1 expected fantasy point provider to opposing slot receivers.
Randall Cobb – min-price, punt-play without Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

Honorable Mention: Brandon Aiyuk, Odell Beckham, Allen Lazard, Tee Higgins, Mecole Hardman, Jauan Jennings, Tyler Johnson

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

Rob Gronkowski – the WR2 of a Tom Brady pass-happy offense.
Travis Kelce
George Kittle
Tyler Higbee – simply way too cheap for the expected production against a Tampa Bay secondary that struggles against opposing tight-ends and will have their hands full with Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham.
Dawson Knox

Honorable Mention: Josiah Deguara, CJ Uzomah, OJ Howard, Cameron Brate

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

I’ll rarely write about defense and special teams, but prices considered, here’s who I’ll take a look at:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams
Cincinnati Bengals
San Francisco 49ers
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs

3 years ago 0 comments

PGA Premium

The American Express Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi 3 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

Welcome everyone to The American Express Final Ownership Projections, this week we are in sunny California, which is presently sunny because no one has set fire to anything today. It’s a course rotation tourney, each golfer will play all 3 courses and the cut will be Saturday evening instead of the usual Friday. On Sunday those that survive the cut will play the stadium course (the toughest of the three) to determine the American Express champion.

There was some great intel on the Win Daily Golf show last night, industry titans Sia, Joel and Spencer gave us some value plays, longshots, and outright winners. They didn’t have first round leaders because Vegas hadn’t put out any lines yet, normally they do it far in advance of the show, since Sia has been hitting everything he plays, they decided to wait until his first round leaders were revealed. Vegas is now trembling at Sia’s feet, you gotta love it ! Joel has been busy counting all his takedown money and is still counting as we speak. More closets Joel.

Our resident whiz kid Spencer is very high on Jason Day, and has become the Day whisperer, except when Day tweaks his back and then Spencer has to shout over the moaning and groaning. Spencer had a great head to head week last week and is looking to do the same this week. Make sure you catch him and Stix on the Bettor Golf podcast, there is excellent analysis and forecasting on the current betting markets that can really help you with your DFS lineup. Stix even put out the hammer kid play(the video where a kid pummels himself accidently with a hammer) and this play is undefeated. The people at PETLCC (people for the ethical treatment of little curtain climbers) are not amused, but then they don’t gamble.

When your toddler progeny decides to climb up the curtains and have them come down on top of him, new drapes can be expensive, and curtain rods, windows, etc. There’s also the doctors bill for your young K2 climber so the best way to combat that is A. Don’t have kids or B. Have 10 or 12 and use the American Express ownership projections to help you take down those tourneys! Let’s take a look at the numbers before junior pours maple syrup down the crankcase of your new riding mower.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYER	OWN %	SALARY
Rahm, John	28.1	11300
Cantlay, Patrick	27.4	10900
Im, Sungjae	17.0	9900
Gooch, Talor	16.5	9700
Conners, Corey	16.2	9400

Wolff, Mathew	15.3	9300
Henley, Russell	15.1	9000
Ancer, Abraham	14.7	9200
Scheffler, Scottie	12.3	10600
List, Luke	11.4	8000
Power, Seamus	11.4	9500
Vegas, Jhonattan	11.3	8100
Moore, Taylor	11.2	7300
Buckley, Hayden	11.1	7200
Reed, Patrick	11.1	8800
Finau, Tony	10.9	10200
Kim, Si Woo	10.9	7300
Knox, Russell	10.8	7800
Hadwin, Adam	10.5	7900
Fowler, Rickie	10.3	8500
Thompson, Michael	10.2	7500
Svensson, Adam	9.9	7000
Rose, Justin	9.7	8600
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan	8.9	8700
Zalatoris,Will	8.4	9100
Lee, KH	8.1	7400
Riley, Davis	8.1	6800
Munoz, Sebastian	7.8	7500
Hoge, Tom	7.8	7100
Putnam, Andrew	7.8	7100
Tringale, Cameron	7.2	8900
Glover, Lucas	7.1	7600
Varner III, Harold	6.9	7600
Woodland, Gary	6.9	7700
Kirk, Chris	6.7	7800
Ortiz, Carlos	6.6	8400
Day, Jason	5.5	7300
Mickelson, Phil	5.4	7400
Smalley, Alex	5.2	7200
Swafford, Hudson	5.2	6700
Whaley, Vincent	5.1	7100
McCarthy, Denny	4.9	7400
Howell III, Charlie	4.9	8000
Wu, Dylan	4.8	6900
Hickok, Kramer	4.6	7200
Steele, Brendan	4.5	7200
Streelman, Kevin	4.3	7400
Ramey, Chad	4.2	6800
Ghim, Doug	4.2	7500
Griffin, Lanto	4.1	7500
Merritt, Troy	4.1	7300
Lebioda, Hank	4.1	6700
Harman, Brian	4.0	7900
Long, Adam	4.0	7600
Pendrith, Taylor	3.6	7000
Rodgers, Patrick	3.6	7300
Rai, Aaron	3.6	7100
Pan, CT	3.4	6800
Grillo, Emiliano	3.2	7600
Noren, Alex	3.1	8400
Bramlett, Joseph	2.9	6500
Young, Cameron	2.7	6700
Schenk, Adam	2.7	7000
Novak, Andrew	2.5	6500
Sabbatini, Rory	2.5	6900
Kizzire, Patton	2.4	7300
Bryan, Wesley	2.4	6600
Stallings, Scott	2.3	6800
Lee, Danny	2.3	7800
Dufner, Jason	2.2	6600
Uihlein, Peter	2.2	6400
Sigg, Greyson	2.2	6700
Mullinax, Trey	2.2	6300
Norlander, Henrik	2.2	6900
Ryder, Sam	2.1	6400
Hardy, Nick	2.1	6900
Theegala, Sahith	2.1	6700
Moore, Ryan	2.1	6300
NeSmith, Matthew	1.9	6800
Perez, Pat	1.9	6400
Poston, JT	1.8	6400
Hagy, Brandon	1.7	6200
Hahn, James	1.7	6600
McCumber, Tyler	1.7	6600
Clark, Wyndham	1.6	6900
Todd, Brendon	1.6	7700
Straka, Sepp	1.4	6700
Frittelli, Dylan	1.3	6800
Burgoon, Bronson	1.3	6500
Snedeker, Brandt	1.2	6900
Piercy, Scott	1.2	7000
Huh, John	1.2	7100
Taylor, Nick	1.2	6700
Lashley, Nate	1.1	6500
Johnson, Zack	1.0	6900
Landry ,Andrew	0.9	7200
Champ, Cameron	0.9	7800
Molinari, Francesco	0.9	7000
Higgs, Harry	0.8	6800
Hodges, Lee	0.8	6400
McDowell, Graeme	0.8	6500
Spaun, JJ	0.8	6500
Redman, Doc	0.8	6400
Smotherman, Austin	0.8	6200
Duncan, Tyler	0.8	6500
Barjon, Paul	0.8	6100
Streb, Robert	0.7	6700
Kohles, Ben	0.7	6600
Reavie, Chez	0.7	7700
Kang, Sung	0.7	6100
Lahiri, Anirban	0.6	6400
Reeves, Seth	0.6	6200
Tway, Kevin	0.6	6500
Malnati, Peter	0.5	6200
Lipsky, David	0.5	6300
Sloan, Roger	0.5	6500
Hadley, Chesson	0.5	6200
Kitayama, Kurt	0.4	6200
Garnett, Brice	0.4	6400
Villegas, Camilo	0.4	6300
Kim, Chan	0.4	6100
Herman, Jim	0.4	6300
Drewitt, Brett	0.4	6200
Thompson, Curtis	0.4	6100
Skinns, David	0.3	6300
McGreevy, Max	0.3	6600
Lower, Justin	0.3	6300
Byrd, Jonathan	0.3	6400
Donald, Luke	0.3	6300
Wu, Brandon	0.3	6300
Cook, Austin	0.3	6200
Watney, Nick	0.3	6100
Gutschewski, Scott	0.3	6100
Van Der Walt, Dawie	0.2	6100
Haas, Bill	0.2	6100
Mendoza, Kyle	0.2	6000
Werenski, Richy	0.2	6300
Chappell, Kevin	0.2	6300
Gligic, Michael	0.2	6200
Walker, Jimmy	0.2	6200
Gay, Brian	0.2	6100
Noh, Seung-Yul	0.2	6100
Kraft, Kelly	0.1	6000
Love III, Davis	0.1	6000
Creel, Joshua	0.1	6000
Tarren, Callum	0.1	6000
Stuard, Brian	0.1	6600
Stroud, Chris	0.1	6100
Pak, John	0.1	6000
Trainer, Martin	0.1	6000
Vogel, TJ	0.0	6000
Blixt, Jonas	0.0	6000
ALL OTHERS	0.0

These final ownership figures for The American Express are accurate as of 18:34 CST. Heavy chalk may be higher by lock, especially the top tier.

My picks for The American Express

Top Tier: Rahm

Mid Tier: Noren

Low Tier: M. Thompson

Out in Left Play: Norlander

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Sia’s first Secret Weapon Play this season (dun dun dun) came through last week. Again. Hayden Buckley was owned by only 2 % of the field, had an incredibly cheap salary and he brought stunning value. Sia’s record is now 47-13, that’s almost 80 % winners. He does not have the luxury of picking any golfer, he is under intense strict protocols where his golfer pick must be in the six K range for salary and he must be owned by less than 5 % of the field. The most stringent restrictions available and he nails them time after time, not only that, he has been hitting outrights, first round leaders, and even first touchdowns on his lunch break. Sia is on fire folks. There is no truth to the rumor that the Bee Gees are his favorite group, allegedly he has asked Metallica to let Blake Shelton front the group. My money is on Sia, in fact, look for Metallica’s new album, “Home On The Range” coming soon to music sharing services.

Thank you again for reviewing The American Express Final Ownership Projections article, we really do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Spencer, ,Antonio, Isaiah and Patrick to help determine your rosters and lineups.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

3 years ago 0 comments

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The Sony Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi 3 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

Welcome everyone to The Sony Open Final Ownership Projections, this week we stay in Hawaii for a larger field loaded with talent for a regular cut after two days, so cut sweats are back ! You have your regular PGA pros that have seen this course a lot, some have been playing this course for over two decades. You also have your fresh off the farm team Korn Ferry players that dream of playing that long here. One well known golfer who withdrew is Bryson Dechambeau, who complained of a new hurt wrist, it probably has nothing to do with the fact that this is a short course, negating the power of long hitters, and his shots gained from iron shots from 0-100 yards is absolutely abysmal.

There was some great intel on the Win Daily Golf show last night, industry kingpins Joel and Spencer gave us some value plays, longshots, and first round leaders. Speaking of FRL, Sia was notably absent, word is last week he sold his hair to put even more money on Cam Smith, which hit for him, and that he didn’t want to show up looking like Rick from Pawn Stars with a shiny chrome dome. Allegedly there was an auction where the hair club for men out bid NASA for his locks. Apparently NASA wanted to see how those shimmering locks would do in zero gravity, and the president of the hair club for men said the new purchase would rocket them to the top of the Fortune 500. Allegedly he said with that type of hair he would gain total market dominance, then let out a BWA HA HA HA, while petting his new pet kitty he named Mr. Bigglesworth. When he stuck his finger in the corner of his mouth I tuned him out.

Haircuts these days run about 25 bucks, if you want to win 1000 haircuts worth of money let the ownership % help guide your team placement. Its another key tool to help you with your roster construction to beat the field. Lets take a look at the numbers for The Sony Open.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYER	OWN %	SALARY
Simpson, Webb	26.1	10500
Conners, Corey	25.3	9600
Im, Sungjae	21.8	10300
Gooch, Talor	21.3	9100
Henley, Russell	20.1	8500
Power, Seamus	19.2	8100
Leishman, Marc	18.1	10000
Smith, Cameron	17.9	11200
Dahmen, Joel	16.9	7600
McNealy, Maverick	16.7	8300
Ancer, Abraham	16.1	9700
McCarthy, Denny	13.9	7400
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan	12.4	7800
Hoge, Tom	11.9	7600
Smalley, Alex	11.9	7000
Steele, Brendan	11.3	7900
Kisner, Kevin	11.6	8900
Na, Kevin	10.9	9900
Swafford, Hudson	10.4	6800
Howell III, Charlie	9.7	8000
Matsuyama, Hideki	9.6	10600
Grillo, Emiliano	9.4	7300
Rai, Aaron	9.1	7700
Davis, Cameron	9.0	8000
Kirk, Chris	8.9	7900
Hubbard, Mark	8.9	6600
Mitchell, Keith	8.7	7600
English, Harris	8.6	9300
Bradley, Keegan	8.2	7400
Cink, Stewart	7.9	7200
Jones, Matt	7.8	8400
Kim, Si Woo	7.8	7700
Horschel, Billy	7.7	8700
Todd, Brendon	7.7	7500
McGreevy, Max	7.3	6900
Kokrak, Jason	6.7	8600
Ramey, Chad	6.6	7100
Palmer, Ryan	6.5	7800
Hardy, Nick	6.5	6600
Lee, KH	6.3	7000
Hickok, Kramer	5.5	6700
Van Rooyen, Erik	5.5	8200
Kizzire, Patton	5.4	7300
Schenk, Adam	4.9	7000
Norlander, Henrik	4.4	7100
Stuard, Brian	4.5	7200
Johnson, Zack	4.3	7200
Kucher, Matt	4.3	7500
Lebioda, Hank	4.1	6800
Long, Adam	4.0	7300
Buckley, Hayden	3.9	6700
Grace, Branden	3.6	7100
Knox, Russell	3.2	7100
Sabbatini, Rory	3.0	6900
Furyk, Jim	2.7	6500
Kim, Chan	2.6	6300
Stanley, Kyle	2.6	6700
Armour, Ryan	2.4	6300
Svensson, Adam	2.3	6400
Thompson, Michael	2.3	6900
Glover, Lucas	2.1	6800
Bryan, Wesley	2.1	6200
Pendrith, Taylor	2.0	7200
Young, Cameron	2.0	6800
Jaeger, Stephan	1.9	6500
Higgs, Harry	1.8	6900
Kanaya, Takumi	1.7	7400
Harman, Brian	1.6	7500
Malnati, Peter	1.5	6600
Moore, Ryan	1.5	6500
Hadley, Chesson	1.5	6100
Novak, Andrew	1.4	6300
Riley, Davis	1.3	6400
Sigg, Greyson	1.3	6700
Snedeker, Brandt	1.2	6900
Spaun, JJ	0.9	7000
Nakajima, Keita (a)	0.9	6800
Theegala, Sahith	0.9	6700
Kodaira, Satoshi	0.9	6200
Seiffert, Chase	0.9	6600
Mullinax, Trey	0.9	6400
Duncan, Tyler	0.8	6700
Whaley, Vincent	0.8	6600
Ryder, Sam	0.8	6400
Smotherman, Austin	0.8	6200
Gay, Brian	0.8	6100
Wu, Dylan	0.7	6300
Sloan, Roger	0.7	6500
Donald, Luke	0.7	6100
Chappell, Kevin	0.7	6000
Hoag, Bo	0.7	6300
McDowell, Graeme	0.6	6600
Huh, John	0.6	6900
Herman, Jim	0.6	6500
Walker, Jimmy	0.6	6300
Werenski, Richy	0.6	6200
Ogletree, Andy	0.6	6400
Hoshino, Rikuya	0.6	6500
Lipsky, David	0.5	6400
Kelly, Jerry	0.5	6000
Putnam, Andrew	0.5	6700
Lower, Justin	0.5	6100
Hossler, Beau	0.5	6200
Bramlett, Joseph	0.5	6200
Barjon, Paul	0.4	6000
Knous, Jim	0.4	6200
Hodges, Lee	0.4	6300
Cook, Austin	0.4	6300
Kang, Sung	0.4	6400
Kohles, Ben	0.4	6100
Van Der Walt, Dawie	0.4	6000
Percy, Cameron	0.4	6100
Trainer, Martin	0.3	6100
Reeves, Seth	0.3	6200
Wu, Brandon	0.3	6500
Villegas, Camilo	0.3	6200
Kraft, Kelly	0.3	6100
Gutschewski, Scott	0.3	6100
Gligic, Michael	0.2	6100
McLachlin, Parker	0.2	6000
Carll, Kevin	0.2	6000
Straka, Sepp	0.2	6600
Streb, Robert	0.2	7000
Poston, JT	0.2	6500
Skinns, David	0.2	6300
Haas, Bill	0.2	6100
Van Pelt, Bo	0.2	6200
Jung, Peter	0.1	6000
Tway, Kevin	0.1	6400
Lashley, Nate	0.1	6300
Li, Haotong	0.1	6200
McGirt, William	0.1	6100
Creel, Joshua	0.1	6000
Thompson, Curtis	0.1	6000
Okamura, Garrett	0.1	6000
Drewitt, Brett	0.1	6000
Tarren, Callum	0.0	6100
Wolfe, Jared	0.0	6000
Kitayama, Kurt	0.0	6300
ALL OTHERS	0.0

These final ownership figures for The Sony Open are accurate as of 18:01 CST. Heavy chalk may be higher by lock, especially the top tier.

My picks for The Sony Open

Top Tier: Na

Mid Tier: Conners

Low Tier: Cink

Out in Left Play: Nick Hardy

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Last week our ownership projections came in at 97.6 % accuracy, with one exception. Cam Smith and Sungjae I M were at 25 and 30 percent, and that number ended up flipping exactly the opposite. Early Thursday there were 180 swaps in 90 seconds for Smith over IM, this suggested an algorithm program change for players who were running 50+ teams, and it snowballed. The reason is they were 8200 and 8300 in salary which made for an incredibly easy swap, there were pundits, including our team, singing Smith’s praises which turned out to be solid intel. Smith’s to win probability kept dropping and it was picked up by the industry. We ran a program to verify this and it took longer so that by lock it was no longer relevant. We won’t ever share speculative information that can not be verified, except when it comes to Sia’s hair.

Thank you again for reviewing The Sony Open Final Ownership Projections article, we really do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Spencer, ,Antonio, Isaiah and Patrick to help determine your rosters and lineups.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 18 – Cash Game and GPP Checkdown

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

Huge Week 17 from the Win Daily Team!!! Congratulations to everyone who destroyed the slate. So many screenshots and so many 4-digit screenshots! Welcome back to the Week 18 NFL DFS Cash Game Checkdown, let’s stay hot. Another week of COVID-19 running wild, so PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU KEEP AN EYE ON YOUR LINEUPS ALL THE WAY UP UNTIL LOCK. With a lot of uncertainty in this slate, this will be a combined article.

The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:

High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)
VALUE PLAYS
Not a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE.
Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually fine to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinder your ability to cross the pay-line as 40% or more of the field is in the same boat. If you fade this player(s) and he has a great game, your lineup is likely toast… as you’re now behind 40% or more of the field. Make sense? If not, hit me up on Discord/Twitter @stixpicks to discuss further.

In my opinion, cash games are extremely important for long-term bankroll building and sustainability. I’ll consistently use at least 50% of my weekly bankroll towards cash games. It’s not sexy, but it works and allows me to take big shots in high dollar GPPs.

Long story short, if we hit our cash games each week, the worst we can do is break-even (not counting your GPP shots with the remaining 50% of your weekly bankroll). The weeks you hit both, you smash. The weeks you miss your GPPs, your cash game lineup will carry you. It’s my job to ensure you always hit those cash games.

If you haven’t yet, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. Without further ado, let’s do this thing!

*PLEASE note, the players in the Cash Game Checkdown are in play for GPP’s as well. They are high-floor and usually, high-ceiling players we always want to play. This article is simply to provide a different perspective on some ways you can make your GPP lineup different.

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Cash Game Pool:

Josh Allen – best matchup on the slate for a QB who will certainly be playing to win. There are some weather concerns but the safety with Allen’s legs of late make him a smash cash game play.
Tom Brady – the Bucs literally do not have a quality running back healthy and we know Brady and company are going to be on a mission to change the narrative regarding their team’s recent “issues”. Carolina’s pass defense is nothing special and with the likely 40+ pass attempt volume from Tom Brady, he’s a cash game staple again in Week 18.
Matt Stafford – despite the recent struggles the fantasy points are still plentiful for what we need in a cash game lineup. A matchup at home against a pass-funnel defense of San Francisco makes Stafford my favorite quarterback to roster in NFL DFS cash games and GPP lineups.

GPP Pool:

Ryan Tannehill – I’m hoping the ownership numbers drop significantly for Tannehill (currently projected for 10% ownership on Saturday morning), but I’m mainly looking for teams who will not pull their foot off the gas pedal, and the Titans fit that narrative. Fading the D’Onta Foreman chalk and leveraging that with the Titans’ passing attack with a Brandin Cooks or Nico Collins run-back sounds intriguing.
Taysom Hill – too cheap and the Saints must win. Lot of rushing upside and the passing game has actually been solid.

Honorable Mention: Kyler Murray

NFL DFS Running Backs

James Conner – no Chase Edmonds this week.
Alvin Kamara – another sub-10% week of Alvin Kamara
Jonathan Taylor – the Colts need to win and will ride Taylor against the putrid Jacksonville defense.
Devonta Freeman – 1% owned, cheap, dual-threat running back against the Steelers 27th ranked run defense.
Devin Singletary – double-digit home favorite against the Jets 26th ranked run defense (DVOA) and #1 matchup for fantasy points against.
David Montgomery – week in, week out we talk about the usage for David Montgomery and the fantasy salary remains roughly the same. Too cheap for a dual-threat running back who doesn’t leave the field.

Honorable Mention: Dalvin Cook, Sony Michel, D’Onta Foreman, Eli Mitchell, Rashaad Penny

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp – this one is easy. You lock him in cash and probably your top choice in GPP lineups as well. We all know about the record(s) Kupp can achieve and this is a game the Rams want to win and will do so via the pass.
Christian Kirk – way too cheap against Ugo Amadi and the inside of this Seattle secondary.
Mike Evans – sub-5% owned WR1 for one of my favorite quarterbacks on this slate. Evans is also going for his 8th consecutive 1000-yard season.
AJ Brown / Brandin Cooks – AJ Brown is a freak of nature and someone we want to play when he’s healthy and in a solid matchup. Sunday brings us that exact situation with Terrance Mitchell and Desmond King in coverage. Brandin Cooks on the other side is an excellent run-back and fits the AETY Model’s favorite situation of being a slot receiver against the Titans.
Marvin Jones / Laquon Treadwell – same matchup we loved Zay Jones in last week. The only difference here is both of these wide receivers are more expensive than Zay Jones was last week and the whole Trevor Lawrence as the quarterback throwing the ball.

Honorable Mention: Deebo Samuel, Justin Jefferson, Stefon Diggs, DK Metcalf, Michael Pittman Jr., Odell Beckham Jr., Cyril Grayson, Jakobi Meyers

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

George Kittle
Mark Andrews
John Bates
Rob Gronkowski
Zach Ertz
Tyler Higbee

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
Washington Football Team
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions

3 years ago 0 comments

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The Sentry Championship Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi 3 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

Welcome everyone to The Sentry Championship Final Ownership Projections, this week we travel to Hawaii for a small field loaded with talent for a no cut four day resort style course with fairways you could land a 747 on. Expect the scores to reflect a birdie fest and go north of 20 under. There is no truth to the rumor that Patrick Reed will strip off his clothes on the 12th hole and dance his way back to the clubhouse, there also has been no denial, so be prepared.

We have all been watching a great NFL season with Jonathon Taylor, Cooper Kupp, Devante Adams and the LSU freight train that is Burrow to Chase, seeing them reminded me of a game I saw in Houston where the Texans beat the Falcons 56 to who cares, all on the Watson to Hopkins hook ups. Hopkins went an entire season without ever dropping a ball thrown to him, AWS moved the parameters from 3 to 5 yards out and he still never missed catching a ball, it will probably never be duplicated again in the NFL. Now “Nuke” has been injured for the Cardinals, and the QB is fighting alleged injuries in court. The term that the NFL means not for long is still prevalent to this day. We are coming up on the very last week of football and our own Stix made the DK championship and will forever remember another Texan named Cooks, who he took out at the last second for another receiver that would have won him the tourney, such is the grind of DFS and congratulations to Stix, Stoweby, and Sia who was an inch away from a takedown just a week ago.

As we mourn the end of a football season we have reason to celebrate besides not seeing Antonio Brown go commando. The Masters (with Tiger?), The PGA Championship, The U.S. Open, The British Open, and the FedEx playoffs allow us 38 weeks of golf coming up with opportunities to make money each and every week.

The ownership projections are another key tool to help you with your roster construction to beat the field. Lets take a look at the numbers for The Sentry Championship. Keep in mind this is a small field so duplication is guaranteed, just remember that the winning team will probably come from how you roster the 6-7K range, so don’t overlook that group this week.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYER	OWN %	SALARY
Thomas, Justin	36.4	10600
Im, Sungjae	30.6	8200
Schauffele, Xander	30.1	9500
Smith, Cameron	26.4	8300
Burns, Sam	25.8	9100
DeChambeau, Bryson	24.9	10100
Rahm, John	23.4	11000
Morikawa, Collin	23.3	10800
Berger, Daniel	23.2	8400
Gooch, Talor	23.1	7600
Cantlay, Patrick	22.9	9700
Leishman, Marc	22.8	7500
Spieth, Jordan	22.8	8900
Reed, Patrick	20.3	7900
Power, Seamus	20.2	6600
Hovland, Viktor	17.7	10000
Kokrak, Jason	16.9	7700
Dahmen, Joel	16.1	6100
Matsuyama, Hideki	15.9	8700
Finau, Tony	14.9	8000
Ancer, Abraham	13.4	8100
Homa, Max	12.9	6700
Koepka, Brooks	11.8	8500
English, Harris	11.6	7800
Lee, KH	10.2	6000
Davis, Cameron	9.6	6200
Horschel, Billy	9.3	7000
Higgo, Garrick	7.9	6400
Van Rooyen, Erik	7.3	6100
Herbert, Lucas	6.9	6100
Na, Kevin	6.8	7100
Kim, Si Woo	6.6	6900
Jones, Matt	6.5	6000
Mickelson, Phil	5.4	6500
Grace, Branden	5.2	6300
Glover, Lucas	5.1	6000
Kisner, Kevin	4.9	6000
Cink, Stewart	3.9	6000

These final ownership figures for The Sentry Championship are accurate as of 17:12 CST. Heavy chalk may be higher by lock, especially the top tier.

My picks for The Sentry Championship

Top Tier: JT

Mid Tier: Cantlay

Low Tier: Gooch

Out in Left Play: Hebert

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Last night in the world famous Win Daily Sports Golf stream, industry titans Sia, Joel and Spencer (who has allegedly been tabbed to run the Los Alamos Nuclear Lab whenever he has a few free minutes) were talking about the first round leader. They were so sure of the pick they suggested taking back all your presents, returning them, and getting cash back to put on their choice for FRL. I took back all my wife’s gifts and upon returning home, was asked where in the hell are all your presents I bought you. I explained, then during a serious butt whipping from my misses, I explained perhaps her lack of enthusiasm was because she didn’t listen to the livestream. She said that was like when she’s out mowing the lawn and then I ask her when she’ll have my dinner ready. Women really are fascinating at times…..(smile).

Thank you again for reviewing The Sentry Championship Final Ownership Projections article, we really do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Spencer, ,Antonio, Isaiah and Patrick to help determine your rosters and lineups.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 17 – Cash Game and GPP Checkdown

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

Happy New Yeard to all and welcome back to the Week 17 NFL DFS Cash Game Checkdown! Another week of COVID-19 running wild, so PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU KEEP AN EYE ON YOUR LINEUPS ALL THE WAY UP UNTIL LOCK. As I had to postpone my family holiday plans last week with COVID, this will be a combined article so I can get back to spending time with my family.

The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:

High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)
VALUE PLAYS
Not a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE.
Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually fine to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinder your ability to cross the pay-line as 40% or more of the field is in the same boat. If you fade this player(s) and he has a great game, your lineup is likely toast… as you’re now behind 40% or more of the field. Make sense? If not, hit me up on Discord/Twitter @stixpicks to discuss further.

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Cash Game Pool:

Josh Allen – best matchup on the slate for a QB who’s averaged 32+ fantasy points per game over the past three weeks. Atlanta will likely have a hard time keeping it close, but the floor for Josh Allen is second-to-none in Week 17.
Jalen Hurts – A must-win game for the Eagles going up against a defeated Washington Football Team and their 27th ranked defense (DVOA). A tight-spread and divisional matchup that should offer us a lot of back and forth.
Trey Lance – If you need the chalk, salary relief play, Trey Lance is your guy. I don’t expect San Francisco to have a fantasy-point-friendly offensive attack here for Lance, but the price-tag and the rushing upside should be plenty to get him to 2.5x value, although I fear we may need 3-4x out of Lance to compete on this full slate.

GPP Pool:

Patrick Mahomes / Joe Burrow – one of the two games with a 50+ point-total and plenty of stacking options to go around. I always prefer Mahomes against a team with a low blitz rate and Cincinnati have one of the lowest blitz rates in the NFL. Burrow is obviously coming off of a legendary performance last week and should be pushed to pass early and often as the Chiefs continue their hot run on offense.
Matt Stafford – Quarterbacks against the Baltimore Ravens… need I say more? If there’s any bounce-back matchup for Stafford to get right, it’s this weekend in Baltimore.
Kyler Murray / Dak Prescott – highest total game on the board with little-to-no ownership. The AETY Model projects Dak Prescott to have the most pass attempts on this slate and volume is always something we’re interested in when rostering NFL DFS quarterbacks.

Honorable Mention: Taysom Hill, Tom Brady

NFL DFS Running Backs

Ronald Jones – as safe as they come for cash games and still a great piece for GPP lineups.
Jonathan Taylor – highest floor on the slate at the running back position.
David Montgomery – this guy’s usage rate is through the roof and is priced in the mid-tier against the Giants 27th ranked run defense (DVOA).
Darrel Williams – with CEH likely out, Darrel Williams is the auto-play value running back for a team with the second highest team total on the slate.
Alvin Kamara – Kamara under 5% owned against a weak run defense… I’m interested in GPP formats.
Devin Singletary – RB1 on the team with the highest implied team total on the slate against a Falcons’ 25th ranked run defense (DVOA).

Honorable Mention: Joe Mixon, Jaret Patterson (if Gibson is OUT), Sony Michel, Javonte Williams, Boston Scott

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Jaylen Waddle – Slot receivers against the Titans. Add in that Waddle is also the number one target on Miami and projected for an expected 33% target share… that is an excellent start for all NFL DFS formats.
Cooper Kupp – We all know about the potential record Cooper Kupp is enclosing on and it’s certain Matt Stafford does as well. I find it very improbable Kupp finds a way to get the record but in this matchup against the Ravens, Kupp will do everything he can to get the yardage or reception record and that would lead to a MONSTER fantasy outing.
CeeDee Lamb / Michael Gallup / Amari Cooper – Gallup will likely be the golden child for cash games at the low price-tag, but the upside of CeeDee Lamb and/or Amari Cooper in NFL DFS GPP builds.
Zay Jones – A cheap punt wide receiver who has been slowly coming on of late with back-to-back double digit fantasy outings and a ~21% target share in the month of December. The Colts’ roster is riddled with COVID right now and we know healthy or not, the weak spot of this defense is its’ secondary. As a touchdown underdog, we should see a nice gamescript for the Las Vegas Raiders passing game.
Ja’Maar Chase / Tee Higgins / Tyler Boyd – Although I don’t really love the recency bias on Tyler Boyd due to a broken play long touchdown, I want to get a piece of the Bengals offense in some way in my GPP lineups. At this point, I prefer to just take the savings on Tee Higgins over Ja’Maar Chase, but the Chiefs blitz A LOT and that should lead to the “X”, Ja’Maar Chase being the first read for Joe Burrow.
Christian Kirk – Too cheap for an inside, top-receiver against the Cowboys’ secondary.
DeVonta Smith – Excellent leverage off of what likely will be a Boston Scott chalk week. I love investing in teams that have something on the line this time of the year and DeVonta Smith should be in for a field day against an awful Washington secondary.
Braxton Berrios – only game in town with Eli Moore and Jamison Crowder OUT.
Courtland Sutton – Drew Lock’s #1 target in addition to Tim Patrick and Jerry Jeudy OUT.

Honorable Mention: Tyreek Hill, AJ Brown, Brandin Cooks, Stefon Diggs, DK Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, Michael Pittman Jr.

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

Travis Kelce
Rob Gronkowski
Dallas Goedert
Zach Ertz

Honorable Mention: John Bates, Cole Kmet, George Kittle

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

I’ll rarely write about defense and special teams in the Cash Game Checkdown. I believe it’s much more important to lock in your key skill position players and hopefully a solid defense fits your build. Prices considered, here’s who I’ll take a look at:

Philadelphia Eagles
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
New Orleans Saints
Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans – GPP only. Leverage off of a 25% owned Trey Lance.

3 years ago 0 comments

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Stix Picks: Week 16 NFL DFS GPP

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive!” and it’s a great day to get ready for the Week 16 NFL DFS GPP slate! Happy Holidays to everyone! I’ll make this article a bit more brief as we all have other things to do this weekend than read NFL articles. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 1 6 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice before building your NFL DFS GPP lineups.

In addition, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2021 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat.

It’s a rather condensed player pool for me this week. There are a lot of low-total games and then a couple higher-total games with great fantasy players all around. I’ll be focusing most of my energy there. Games I’m most interested in getting exposure to:

LAR/MIN
BAL/CIN
CHI/SEA

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD)

Stafford is likely to be the most popular quarterback on this slate and usually that is an auto-fade for me, but the AETY Model loves this matchup and I personally do as well. Sony Michel and Darrell Henderson are the clear GPP leverage plays here, but I have such a hard time handicapping that backfield and truly believe this is a ceiling-situation for Stafford and the passing attack. I’ll eat the Stafford chalk and get different elsewhere in my builds.

Key Pairing(s): Cooper Kupp, Odell Beckham Jr., Van Jefferson, Tyler Higbee
Key Run-back(s): Justin Jefferson, Tyler Conklin, Alexander Mattison

Joe Burrow ($5,900 DK / $7,100 FD)

As written in the Cash Game Checkdown, I love the savings in Joe Burrow this weekend at home, against a pass-funnel Baltimore defense that is decimated. At 5-8% ownership (projected), Burrow has all of the boxes checked for a great NFL DFS GPP lineup signal caller.

Key Pairing(s): Ja’Maar Chase, Tee Higgins, CJ Uzomah, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon
Key Run-back(s): Mark Andrews, Hollywood Brown

*UPDATE: No Huntley and no Lamar Jackson… Likely will not force a run-back on the Baltimore side. This game got a lot less sexy.

Russell Wilson ($6,100 DK / $7,500 FD)

It wouldn’t be my style if I didn’t include a 1-2% owned flyer for the weekend… Welcome back, Russell Wilson! The Bears’ secondary is full of practice squad players and should provide Wilson and company multiple paths to a ceiling fantasy outing, finally, in 2021. There are many concerns with this Seattle offense (mainly that they have nothing to play for) but I will roll the dice with confidence that Russ gets back to cooking in Week 16, at home against the Bears.

Key Pairing(s): DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett
Key Run-back(s): Darnell Mooney, Cole Kmet, Allen Robinson (if active)

Honorable Mention: Tom Brady

NFL DFS GPP Running Backs

James Robinson – best matchup on the slate. Hard to ignore and do not care about ownership.
Miles Sanders – double-digit home favorite running back at 10% ownership. Easy pivot in the value range of chalk running backs (Ronald Jones, David Montgomery, James Robinson, etc.)
Najee Harris – Everyone will be paying down at running back leaving a true, 20+ touch, dual-threat workhorse under 10% in ownership. Chris Jones is back for Kansas City, other than that, Najee Harris is in an excellent spot.
Cordarrelle Patterson – another dual-threat, high-upside running back with a matchup against Detroit. Atlanta has the highest implied team total they’ve had in weeks so I love to see the trust Vegas has in this offense in Week 16.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – double-digit home favorite running back at 5% ownership… If Kelce and Hill are not activated, CEH is in for heavy usage on Sunday against a terrible Pittsburgh run defense (30th in run defense DVOA). I’m still interested if they’re active.
Josh Jacobs – 3-down running back against the Denver Broncos run defense at 5% ownership? Yep.
Michael Carter – I’ll go right back to the well in a game with two horrible defenses, the week after Michael Carter chalk let-down the whole DFS community.

Honorable Mention: Sony Michel, Joe Mixon, Damien Harris, Saquon Barkley

NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers

Ja’Maar Chase – just in love with the matchup this week. Super affordable on FanDuel. Tee Higgins is also a fine play, but I prefer the “X” wide receiver against a blitz’ heavy Baltimore defense.
DK Metcalf – Russell Wilson’s #1 target. The blowup game is coming and coming soon. Tyler Lockett is also a fine play. I’m very interested in the double stack because if I’m rostering Russ in NFL DFS GPP lineups, I will need him to have a ceiling game to fight off the Stafford, Herbert, and Hurts good chalk. If Russ goes off, I like the odds of DK and Lockett going off together, if Russ fails, my lineup as a whole will fail.
DJ Moore – only game in town for a run-back to Tom Brady stacks with Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski. Carolina will have to move the ball through the air if they want to keep this one competitive.
Darnell Mooney – Easy, affordable, run-back to my Russel Wilson lineups who should see a good bit of Ugo Amandi.
Odell Beckham Jr. – Everyone is simply going to stack Stafford and Cooper Kupp, which is fine, they’ll likely crush, but I will be adding Odell Beckham into that stack as well in hopes Stafford has a ceiling game and the 3-5% owned Odell Beckham is the difference maker for my builds. Odell absolutely destroyed Cam Dantzler in coverage earlier this year when Baker Mayfield overthrew or under-threw Beckham in a game which should have produced 2+ Beckham touchdowns… Stafford won’t make those mistakes.
Marvin Jones – highest upside of these salary saving Jacksonville wideouts and the sportsbooks agree, as Jones has the highest receiving yard props he’s had in months. The only downside is Trevor Lawrence.

Honorable Mention: Justin Jefferson, Diontae Johnson, Courtland Sutton

NFL DFS GPP Tight-Ends

Mark Andrews – highest floor on the slate at the tight-end position and easy run-back to Bengals’ stacks.
UPDATE: Downgrade with Josh Johnson.
Rob Gronkowski – other than Antonio Brown, he’s the only trusted game in town for Tom Brady.
Kyle Pitts – A cheap, sub-5% owned Kyle Pitts against the Lions’ secondary? You’re getting a stud wide receiver at an affordable tight-end price tag.
Cole Kmet – Cheap run-back who gets a significant amount of snaps from the slot (Ugo Amandi). Nick Foles has a career of data that supports rostering his top tight-end.

Honorable Mention: Tyler Higbee, Tyler Conklin, CJ Uzomah

Thank you all for the support and good luck this week! Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 16 – Cash Game Checkdown

brgrewe@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Happy Holidays to all and welcome back to the Week 16 NFL DFS Cash Game Checkdown! Another week of COVID-19 running wild, so PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU KEEP AN EYE ON YOUR LINEUPS ALL THE WAY UP UNTIL LOCK. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:

High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)
VALUE PLAYS
Not a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE.
Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually fine to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinder your ability to cross the pay-line as 40% or more of the field is in the same boat. If you fade this player(s) and he has a great game, your lineup is likely toast… as you’re now behind 40% or more of the field. Make sense? If not, hit me up on Discord/Twitter @stixpicks to discuss further.

*Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week 14, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

Lock in Cooper Kupp, lol.
Great week for value running backs.
Just because a player is not mentioned in this article, does not mean they are not cash viable.
AETY Model Projections change throughout the week, please ensure you check out our final projections before lock!
I update this article periodically through the week. Be sure to check back on Saturday night for any additions/revisions!!

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD)

Matt Stafford is arguably the safest quarterback on the slate as he’s surpassed the 20-point clip in all but four games this season. The Vikings’ defense is always one we like to pick on and the AETY Model agrees as Stafford grades out as the number one quarterback on this main slate, in addition to the Rams grading first in Adjusted Expected Team Totals.

Jalen Hurts ($6,400 DK / $7,700 FD)

Ridiculously cheap on DraftKings as the algorithms did not get done in time before Hurts was announced the starter on Tuesday Night Football (that sounds weird). With this rushing upside in a cakewalk divisional matchup, the only reason I can think of to fade Hurts would be the double-digit favorite narrative of this game, in addition to a healthy Miles Sanders. With Jake Fromm likely to start for New York, I cannot find a gamescript to where the Giants keep this one close and Hurts’ pushing the pace.

Joe Burrow ($5,900 DK / $7,100 FD

Incredible value here this week against a Baltimore secondary we’ve been picking on for the past month (and the same one, if not worse now than when Burrow had a career day against them in Week 4). The same reason we loved Aaron Rodgers last week is the same reason I love Burrow this week. Baltimore’s defense is the definition of a pass funnel and both teams will be extremely motivated to win this football game, which should keep it going back and forth.

Honorable Mention: Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes (if Kelce/Hill are active)

NFL DFS Running Backs

Ronald Jones ($5,100 DK / $5,400 FD)

With Leonard Fournette on the IR, lock in Ronald Jones in your NFL DFS cash games.

Alexander Mattison ($6,800 DK / $5,500 FD)

Stone cold lock on FanDuel with Dalvin Cook out. On DraftKings, I’ll personally look elsewhere, as I do not love to attack this Rams defensive line in a gamescript I think Stafford and the Rams control.

Josh Jacobs ($6,000 DK / $6,800 FD)

Way too cheap for the three-down running back with a top-three opportunity share, at home, against the 23rd ranked run defense (DVOA).

James Robinson ($5,900 DK / $8,200 FD)

A true, RB1 who just saw 84% of the snaps in Week 15 under run-heavy interim head coach, Darrel Bevell and a matchup against the worst defense in the NFL… Yea.

Justin Jackson ($4,200 DK / $5,400 FD)

With Austin Ekeler out, we will 100% see a committee at the running back position for the Chargers, but Justin Jackson will certainly lead the way. My concern here is how much we’ve been seeing Josh Kelley inside the 5-yard line, but at $4,200 on DraftKings, we only need 10+ fantasy points to hit value in our cash game lineups.

Honorable Mention: David Montgomery, Najee Harris, Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp ($9,100 DK / $9,800 FD)

Lock him in.

Antonio Brown ($4,900 DK / $7,000 FD)

On DraftKings, you lock him in your cash game lineup. With no Mike Evans and no Chris Godwin, this one is easy.

Diontae Johnson ($7,500 DK / $7,400 FD)

The only one close to Cooper Kupp’s target share on this slate is Mr. Diontae Johnson with an adjusted expected target share of 29%. The floor is just so safe for Diontae Johnson regardless of the matchup, but if the Chiefs’ get their studs back healthy, the pace of this game should setup nicely for another high-output for Diontae Johnson.

Ja’Maar Chase ($7,100 DK / $7,100 FD) or Tee Higgins ($6,200 DK / $6,500 FD)

If we love Joe Burrow, we love his top targets in the passing game against this decimated Baltimore secondary.

DK Metcalf ($6,400 DK / $6,700 FD)

Despite the low-scoring performances, DK Metcalf has still lead this Seahawks receiving core in target share since the return of Russell Wilson. The AETY Model absolutely loves the Seahawks’ passing attack this week, which is scary, but the Chicago Bears’ secondary is literally all second stringers or practice squad players (yes, I consider Kindle Vildor a true second-stringer). Metcalf’s air yards continue to climb and we’re just awaiting the massive breakout game for 2021. It should be this week.

Laquon Treadwell ($3,500 DK / $5,300 FD)

If you need a punt-play, look no further than Laquon Treadwell. With Laviska Shenault on the COVID-19 IR, Treadwell should get a decent bump up in targets (which have been coming at a consistent basis over the past few weeks, as is).

Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen, Russell Gage, Josh Palmer (if you fade Justin Jackson, use Palmer’s value).

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

As we wait to hear more on the status of Travis Kelce, here are my top interests at the tight-end position. As of now, with all of this value, I’ll likely be prioritizing paying up at the tight-end spot…

– Mark Andrews
– Rob Gronkowski
– Kyle Pitts
– Dallas Goedert

Honorable Mention: Cole Kmet

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

I’ll rarely write about defense and special teams in the Cash Game Checkdown. I believe it’s much more important to lock in your key skill position players and hopefully a solid defense fits your build. Prices considered, here’s who I’ll take a look at:

Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Chargers
Buffalo Bills
Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos
Atlanta Falcons

New: NFL DFS Cash Game Lock Plays

Cooper Kupp
Ronald Jones
Antonio Brown (DK)
James Robinson (DK)
Josh Jacobs

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Quarterbacks

NFL DFS Running Backs

Wide Receivers

Tight-Ends

Defense / Special Teams

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

NFL DFS Running Backs

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Cash Game Pool:

GPP Pool:

NFL DFS Running Backs

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Cash Game Pool:

GPP Pool:

NFL DFS Running Backs

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD)

Joe Burrow ($5,900 DK / $7,100 FD)

Russell Wilson ($6,100 DK / $7,500 FD)

NFL DFS GPP Running Backs

NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers

NFL DFS GPP Tight-Ends

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD)

Jalen Hurts ($6,400 DK / $7,700 FD)

Joe Burrow ($5,900 DK / $7,100 FD

NFL DFS Running Backs

Ronald Jones ($5,100 DK / $5,400 FD)

Alexander Mattison ($6,800 DK / $5,500 FD)

Josh Jacobs ($6,000 DK / $6,800 FD)

James Robinson ($5,900 DK / $8,200 FD)

Justin Jackson ($4,200 DK / $5,400 FD)

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp ($9,100 DK / $9,800 FD)

Antonio Brown ($4,900 DK / $7,000 FD)

Diontae Johnson ($7,500 DK / $7,400 FD)

Ja’Maar Chase ($7,100 DK / $7,100 FD) or Tee Higgins ($6,200 DK / $6,500 FD)

DK Metcalf ($6,400 DK / $6,700 FD)

Laquon Treadwell ($3,500 DK / $5,300 FD)

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

NFL DFS Defense / Special Teams

New: NFL DFS Cash Game Lock Plays

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