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Washington Nationals

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 26)

Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Full Slate Friday as we have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. With so many teams in action we’ll have a lot of different options both on the pitching front and stacking front. At first glance, this is shaping up to be an extremely fun-looking slate.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Hunter Brown vs. Oakland Athletics

Next up on the pick on Oakland train are the Houston Astros. While the Astros offense has been non-existent of late that’s of little concern to me here as we’ll be picking on them with the Astros rookie pitcher Hunter Brown. Brown has been extremely solid this season, pitching to a 3.20 ERA, and has 56 K’s in 50 innings of work.

Over his last 5 outings, Brown has reached at least 20 DK points in 3 of them. With a matchup today against a projected lineup that has a 25% k rate vs. righties this season, there’s definitely some upside for the young hurler. The projected lineup for the A’s tonight also has poor offensive metrics vs. righties, with just a .292 wOBA vs. them. I’ll be rocking Brown everywhere tonight.

Kevin Gausman vs. Minnesota Twins

Kevin Gausman has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. His ERA for the year is just a shade north of 3 and he has 81 K’s compared to just 11 walks. Over his last 6 starts he’s been over 27.5 DK 4 times. The only struggles were against the Red Sox and Orioles. Even in that Orioles game, a top team in baseball, he was able to get 17 points.

He’ll face off against a Twins team that in all honesty has an average lineup. They are just 2 games over .500 playing in a division where they are the only team over .500. He’s at one of his lowest price points that we’ve seen over the last month at $10.3k. Because of that, I’m all over him tonight. Pairing him with Hunter Brown gives us a double aces combo this evening that has skies the limit potential.

Alex Wood vs. Milwaukee Brewers

This is a wild card pick for me tonight. Alex Wood hasn’t pitched overly well this season, but he also hasn’t pitched much as he’s made just 6 starts. This is more matchup based for me tonight. The Brewers have been dreadful vs. lefties this season. The projected lineup tonight has just a .293 wOBA and a .147 ISO vs. lefties. They also have a 26% k rate.

They’ve been attacked against lefties all season and tonight will be no different, even though it’s Alex Wood. He’s far from safe, but there’s definitely some upside tonight with Alex Wood and his $6.3k salary.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Boston Red Sox vs. Brandon Pfaadt

The Red Sox get a strong matchup tonight vs. Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt has made 4 starts in his big league career, with 3 of them being clunkers. Against the Rangers he gave up 7 in 4, against Miami he gave up 6 in 5, and against the Pirates, he gave up 3 in 5. The only game he really pitched well in was against an average Giants lineup.

Through his first 20 innings in the big leagues, Pfaadt has given up 7 homers and 10 barrels. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits as both sides of the plate have been hammering. He’s going to have his hands very full tonight against a very good Red Sox lineup, even though they’ve been quiet for the last week or so.

I’m striving for some power with this stack so I’m going to go with the 4 guys that have some really solid numbers vs. righties this season. Alex Verdugo, Masataka Yoshida, Rafael Devers, and Jarren Duran all have ISO’s over .200 this season and wOBA’s well into the mid .300’s. They are all set to have really solid days in what should on paper be a plus matchup.

I will add though that the Red Sox bats are mostly cold so this stack does come with a level of risk. That said, with how poorly that Pfaadt has mostly pitched in the bigs, this seems like a great get-right spot for most of these guys. If you want to go for value, guys like Valdez, Casas, and McGuire will get you that at the bottom of the lineup.

Washington Nationals vs. Jordan Lyles

Jordan Lyles has been a lister for quite some time. He’s a pitcher that has historically given up just a ton of home runs. This year has been no different for the journeyman. His 2.22 HR/9 is the highest that it has been in his entire career. He’s already given up 14 in just 56 innings of work. That’s compared to the 26 he gave up last year in nearly 180 innings of work. He’s struggling this season and we want to attack him as much as possible, even with an inferior Nationals lineup.

The first guy I’m going to here is going to be their leadoff hitter, Lane Thomas. Thomas had himself a really strong last week of baseball. Over his last 24 AB, he’s produced 9 hits, 2 of which left the ballpark. He also combined for 11 runs and RBI over that stretch. Another guy in this lineup that has had a solid stretch of baseball is Jeimer Candelario. He’s produced 7 hits in his last 24 AB and has a .846 OPS.

Other bats that I’ll have interest in this stack are going to be Dominic Smith, Joey Meneses, and Corey Dickerson. Nothing in life is guaranteed, but one of these guys is going deep vs. a pitcher that is giving up homers at an epic pace.

I don’t normally write up Coors lineups, but I really like the Mets tonight too. Yes, I’m a Mets fan but they showed their potential for run-scoring last night when they put 10 in rather poor hitting conditions. Pete Alonso seemingly homers every game as he’s up to 19 now. Seabold has given up worse numbers to righties this season so feel free to load up on Alonso, Alvarez, and hopefully Vientos if Buck puts him in there. Other stacks tonight are the Yankees vs. Joe Musgrove and Rangers vs. Grayson Rodriguez.

MLB DFS Summary

This is going to be a fun slate with lots of options on both fronts. There will be plenty of value to get double aces tonight as well.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS Stack City (Apr. 14)

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

Tonight’s slates are going to be a bit odd. FanDuel has decided to add the 6:35/6:40 games while DraftKings has not. That 6:35 game between the Nationals/Pirates has the chance to be an MLB DFS friendly game so I’ll be including a FanDuel-only stack for those playing on FanDuel tonight.

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate

Colorado Rockies vs. Justin Steele

I try to avoid writing up hitters in Coors because it’s always such an obvious spot. It’s a hitters paradise and with limited options tonight, I’m going there. Steele pitched pretty well against the Brewers in his season debut. He was able to shut them out through 5 innings and only gave up 4 hits.

Steele did a great job keeping hitters off balance as they only had a 41% swing rate even though he lived in the zone almost 50% of the time. That said, pitching in Coors is a different animal and if we dig into Steele’s repertoire the Rockies are in good shape tonight.

While Steele throws his fastball around 44% of the time to righties, he also throws a sinker almost a quarter of the time as it’s his main secondary pitch. The first guy that comes to mind in this matchup is Connor Joe. While it’s a limited sample size, Joe has great numbers vs. this pitch. Last season he had a .636 slugging % against sinkers. I love him in this matchup tonight.

CJ Cron will also make my Colorado stack as he has similar numbers to Joe, but a much larger sample size. Last season his slugging % was .576 against sinkers. These two both have the ability to do some damage against Steele tonight. With the Rockies, I’ll also make sure to mix in Kris Bryant and Brendan Rogers. Steele has a much tougher assignment tonight with the Rockies than he did with the Brewers. I do expect him to come back down to earth after his first outing.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cessa/Sanmartin

The Reds are using Cessa as an opener today and will most likely then go to Sanmartin since he was originally scheduled to throw today. This is a plus matchup for the Dodgers against both pitchers. Sanmartin struggled in his 2022 debut, giving up 5 ER in just 2 and a third innings vs. the Braves. Sanmartin hasn’t pitched much in the Majors yet, but so far from what we’ve seen is he really good against lefties, but struggles against righties as they have a .393 wOBA against him.

The Dodgers bats finally came alive yesterday, putting up 7 runs against Chris Paddack and the Twins. With an even better matchup today, I expect more of the same. I’m going to focus my efforts here with guys on the right side. The Dodgers have two of the best in the game in Mookie Betts and Trea Turner.

While those 2 will more than likely be my core in this lineup, Justin Turner, Will ‘not the one that slapped Chris Rock’ Smith, and Chris Taylor are the guys in this lineup that are very reasonably priced at $4.1k and below. Putting those guys in your lineup will help you afford the bigger bats.

Washington Nationals vs. Brubaker (FD Only)

The Nationals are in a great spot to produce tonight. JT Brubaker is just not a pitcher I’ll ever shy away from stacking against when playing MLB DFS. He now has 36 appearances in the big leagues and it’s been a struggle for him. While he induces a ton of ground balls at a 44% rate throughout his young career, when he does give up flyballs they tend to leave the park.

Last year his HR/FB% was 22%. That’s just not a good percentage. Both righties and lefties have similar numbers against him in terms of power, but I’m going to side with the lefties in this matchup because their flyball % jumps to 37% compared to just 28% for righties.

While Juan Soto is the premier name here and he’ll be in my core, Josh Bell is the guy that has been on fire so far to start the season. Over the first week of the season, Bell has 2 homers and an OPS of 1.049. The main pitch that he and his buddy Soto will see tonight from Brubaker is a slider. Both of them have great numbers vs. sliders. Soto has a .300 ISO against them and Bell has a .229 ISO. These guys are set up to do extremely well tonight.

Outside of those 2, Keibert Ruiz will also be an important piece to this stack. He’s started out the season hitting the ball hard with multiple barrels already and a 50% flyball rate. The Nationals will be a team this season where we’ll want to pick and choose our spots, this is one of those spots today if you’re playing on FanDuel.

Other Stacks I really like today are the Tigers vs. Greinke, Royals vs. Mize, and the Cubs vs. Freeland.

MLB DFS Main Slate Summary

We have a Coors slate! While I tend to try to find ways to avoid Coors when playing MLB DFS, we have limited options with a 6 and 8 game slate tonight with some decent pitchers on the hill or groundball artists. I do really love the spot for the Rockies tonight and they will more than likely be my main stack on DK. On FD, Washington will be more than likely be my core and I’ll look to sprinkle in some Rockies.

Good luck today and hope to see some green tonight!

3 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 07/27

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Tonight we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

With tonight being a full slate of games we’re bound to have a ton of pitching options right? Nope, think again. We have another slate of questionable pitching. Over the past week or so I’ve noticed a trend in which the top pitchers have been coming from the mid-tier and lower-tier. There are a couple of arms in that range that I’m going to focus on for tonight’s slate.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Kent Maeda ($8.3k) vs. Detroit Tigers – I’ll be honest, I’m not overly enthusiastic about attacking the Tigers lineup right now. They’ve shown a ton of upside of late and if Maeda proves to be the chalk today I may even consider the Tigers as a stack. With all that being said, the price point on Maeda just continues to be too hard to resist.

We’re in a period with pitching where it’s been extremely volatile and I really want some consistency with my pitcher. Over the last 2 months Maeda has only one start where he’s been less than 24 FD points and the majority of his starts have been in the 30’s.

Over the past month Maeda has really been solid. His K rate is sitting at 31% and he has a near 15% swinging strike rate. He’s also done an exceptional job of limiting hard contact with a higher soft contact rate than a hard one.

Facing the Tigers right now is not a safe pick, but at the price of Maeda tonight I just can’t not consider him.

Lance McCullers ($10.5k) vs. Seattle Mariners – Seattle exploded for 11 runs last night. They also struck out 14 times last night, with 9 against Luis Garcia in just 4.2 innings. No team in baseball has struck out more than the Mariners over the past week. They’ve struck out 73 times.

The next closest team is the Indians/Guardians with 59. In DFS strikeouts are what matters with pitching and we have a great combo on our hands tonight in this game. We have a high strike out team and a high strike out pitcher.

Of all the pitchers on the hill tonight, only Robbie Ray has a higher K rate over the past 30 days than McCullers. McCullers CSW of 33.6% over the last month is also second to none of everyone on the hill.

McCullers throws his sinker/slider combo more than 63% of the time. It’s a combo that the Mariners as a team have really struggled against this year. This is a really good spot for McCullers tonight.

Taylor Widener ($6.5k) vs. Texas Rangers – This is my wild card pick tonight. Anytime you pick a guy in this range you have to know the risks. I’m going here for a couple of reasons. The Rangers as a whole have been extremely bad of late.

Over the past week they have a 31% K rate and not generating any power with just a 4% barrel rate and 23% hard hit rate. Widener will rely on both his fastball and slider today. If he throttles up the usage of his slider (Matt Herges, if you’re reading this, do it) tonight he should be in for a solid night.

Rangers have a -22 run value this season vs. sliders. This has the potential to be a high risk/high reward type of pick tonight.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Chicago Cubs vs. Vladimir Gutierrez – Outside of Coors, no stadium is impacted more by the elements than Wrigley. If the wind is blowing in and it’s cool, it’s a pitcher’s paradise. If it’s warm and the wind is blowing out, it’s a hitter’s paradise.

It’s forecasted to be near 90 at first pitch tonight with wind blowing out to right center at more than 10 mph. This is going to be a high scoring game and I want a piece of the action. In this match-up I’m siding the Cubs as they’re facing a pitcher that is giving up fly balls at a 51% rate over the past month.

With giving up that many fly balls in this type of environment tonight, we have the potential for a little home run derby. Gutierrez gives up way more fly balls to lefties but he also has a .222 ISO against righties so we can really target him with the entire lineup.

If we look at the lefties first we’ll see they’ll get a heavy dose of curveballs. Anthony Rizzo ($3.3k) has a .325 ISO against right handed curveballs over the past few years and I’ll use him as a building block of this stack.

Other guys I’ll look to include based on success against sliders are Kris ‘future Met’ Bryant ($4k), Wilson Contrares ($3.1k), and Patrick Wisdom ($3k).

Washington Nationals vs. Matt Moore – Moore is on the list. He’s on the list of pitchers I make it a point to stack against. Last time out against the Braves it proved to be successful as he gave up 6 ER in 6 IP. The match-up tonight is even tougher for him as he’s facing a lineup that has been really good against lefties this year.

First the ‘Why’ as to why we’re attacking Moore. In his last 18 innings of work he’s given up a 40% hard hit rate, 44% fly ball rate, and just a 21% K rate. He’s the ideal type of pitcher to attack.

He is an extreme splits type of pitcher. We want to attack him with righties and the two guys right off the bat I want are Trea Turner ($4.3k) and Ryan Zimmerman ($2.6k). Both have ISO’s greater than .250 on the year and have long records of being successful against lefties.

While Moore is pretty good against lefties, I expect this game to go to the bullpen early so Juan Soto ($4.4k) should be included in any Nats stack tonight.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Garrett Richards – The Blue Jays somewhat disappointed last night in a great match-up vs. Pivetta. They get an equally good, if not better match-up tonight vs. Richards.

This going to be the fifth time they’ve faced Richards this year. In 3 out of the first 4 outings, they’ve managed to put up 4 runs against him. They just match up very well with him and his pitch type.

Guerrero ($4.5k), Springer ($4.3k), and Hernandez ($3.7k) are my favorite targets here as they crush fastballs and that’s what they’ll see the most tonight. If McGuire ($2.2k) is behind the plate again tonight he’ll make a nice cheap addition to this stack and gives you the wrap around with Springer.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

With pitching tonight we’ll want to exploit lineups that have not been hitting much of late and we’ll get that with both McCullers and Widener. We’ll also want to take advantage of the ideal hitting conditions in Chicago.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports . Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday Funday, 5/23

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

Today’s slate, like many Sundays, is void of true aces. We have some decent pitching options, but none that I’m 100% confident in. What I love about this slate though is that we have some of our normal targets.

With that being said, let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Hyun-Jin Ryu ($8.9k) vs. Tampa Bay Rays – We saw last night what lefties can do to the Rays. Ray struck out 7 in 7 last night and the only damage he gave up was a Mike Zunino home run. The heart of the lineup really gets neutralized when a lefty is on the mound.

Today we get another pretty good lefty in Ryu. In his last 3 starts Ryu has had 2 games of 6 k’s and 7 in his last one. With a match-up against the Rays, there’s definitely some upside in that number. For the season, the Rays are striking out at a near 31% clip with limited power numbers to lefites. That’s one of the worst marks of any team. Look for a successful afternoon from Ryu.

Max Fried ($8.5k) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – Fried has been pretty decent this season. Although he has a mid 5 ERA, both his SIERA and xFIP are hovering around the 4 mark which means he’s seen some bad luck on the season. He has a respectable K rate of around 25% but the sign that’s been the most encouraging is that he has a 26.5% soft hit rate.

With the Pirates being a soft hitting team, it really sets up well for Fried to have an upside type of game. They are striking out at a near 25% rate vs. lefties and a wRC+ of 79. At his price point today, I like Fried to get you some nice value. No reason to think he can’t get you 40+ points in this matchup.

Freddy Peralta ($9.9k) vs. Cincinnati Reds – I’ll be honest, I don’t love the match-up for Peralta today. For the season, the Reds have been really good against righties. The have a low strikeout rate of 22% and some meaty power numbers. Peralta, however, is the top pitcher on the slate with by far the highest K rate.

In DFS, K’s are king for pitchers. Peralta has only one outing this season where he’s had less than 7 K’s. He has a slate leading 39% K rate and there are only a few in the game with a higher K rate. Strike out pitchers will get their strike outs. While this is far from a safe match-up for Peralta, whenever he is on the mound he’s going to be a pitcher that needs to be in your pool.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Washington Nationals vs. Matt Harvey – The Harvey experiment in Baltimore has taken a turn for the worst. Luckily for us, Baltimore doesn’t have many other options on the horizon so they’ll continue to throw him out there. After a successful start to the year, Harvey has had 2 straight very rough outings, giving up 7 ER to his old team the Mets and 6 ER to the Rays.

Fanduel did price up the Nats a bit for today’s match-up with Harvey, but with the options laid out for pitching being on the cheaper end there’s no reason you aren’t able to squeeze the heart of the lineup in. I’m going to target Treat Turner ($4k), Juan Soto ($3.9k), Josh Bell ($3.5k), and Kyle Schwarber ($3.6k) in this one.

If you want to differentiate yourself a bit, you could also start this stack at Bell and add in Starlin Castro ($2.4k) and Josh Harrison ($3k). I’m a little sour on Soto right now. While he can get a hold of one at any moment, his negative launch angle really has me concerned.

Cleveland Indians vs. J.A. Happ – I’d love this lineup a lot more if Reyes was healthy. He left yesterday’s game after getting hurt on a swing. That said, I still really like the Indians vs. Happ today. Hap has by far the highest xFIP on the day. More than a full run higher than anyone else on the slate.

With most eyes being on the Nationals today, I think people will forget about the match-up here. Indians are far from a terrorizing lineup, especially without Reyes in there. Happ at this point in his career is just not. He’s given up 15 runs in his last 2 starts, albeit against the powerful lineup of the White Sox. He had been flirting with disaster all season but luck was on his side.

I probably won’t go full stack here, but I’m going to target the likes of Cesar Hernandez ($2.7k), Amed Rosario ($2.1k), and Jose Ramirez ($4k).

Houston Astros vs. Mike Foltynewicz – After giving up 11 homers through his first 7 starts of the year, Folty has managed to keep the ball in the park in his last 2 starts. Ironically, those 2 starts had 2 of his highest xFIPs this season.

Folty is someone that we should continue to target, especially when we have lineups like the Astros. The Astros faced Folty a couple of weeks ago, and although they only put up 3 runs against him, the metrics from that game indicated more could have been done.

Their hard + medium contact in that game was nearly 90%. With this being the 2^nd time they are seeing him this season, I like their chances of putting up a much bigger number than they did last time out. I’m going to build my Astros stack around Yordan Alvarez ($3.3k). He profiles extremely well against the pitches that Folty throws.

Today is the last game in Dunedin, FL. While I didn’t write up the Blue Jays, I really like them today. They will most likely face off against a tandem of Michael Wacha and Josh Fleming. Wacha appears to be the opener with Fleming potentially coming in after him. If a more detailed plan like this comes out later this morning, I’d move the Blue Jays into the top 3 stacks. The usual suspects would be in play here.

I’d be remiss if I also didn’t mention the Orioles. Corbin has been someone that we have targeted often this season. As evidenced by their game yesterday, they can tag lefties.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Is today the final start for Harvey as an Oriole? I hope not, but I’m going to target him like it is. This is setting up as a fun slate. Pitching, while mediocre, appears to be focused on only a handful of pitchers and offense looks to be spread out.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/15 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Some scattered T-storms in the Colorado vicinity tonight, so we’ll leave that game off our discussion since I don’t have to tell you to deploy bats in Coors if the game looks like it’ll play. Let’s get to it!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Trevor Bauer ($11,000)

We haven’t seen the Bauer ceiling game in a while, and I suspect this could be the night facing the offensively challenged Miami Marlins. There’s no need for a ton of analysis here in determining the top arm of this slate, as Carlos Rodon is an option, but was initially scheduled to start Thursday against the Twins and was pushed back after experiencing back and hamstring tightness. Add to that the prospect of some ugly weather in Chicago and he’s just not nearly as safe as Bauer — although there’s plenty of upside if that game plays without delay. I’ll let that determination fall to the weather watchers, but for me, it’s just easier to build around the chalky but upside-laden Bauer against a Marlins team that hits poorly on the road.

Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($8,600)

For two Saturdays in a row, I’m going to be using Anderson in the hopes he can avoid the big inning and settle down a little sooner than his previous start. The price has come up a bit (from $7,900) since last weekend, but Anderson’s opponent has a team total under 4 and he’s capable of striking out 8-10 batters. I’ll be using Bauer as my go to SP in most of my MLB DFS builds tonight, but Anderson makes plenty of sense on a relatively thin pitching slate without many “sure thing” candidates for 40+ fantasy points.

Contrarian GPP Value: Triston McKenzie

Domingo German might get a bit of ownership in MLB DFS tonight, as the Yankees take on the Orioles, but McKenzie is coming off his first win of the season on May 6, so he’s rested and ready. While the addition of Jarred Kelenic has added some firepower to the top of the Seattle batting order, the Mariners have a relatively high K rate (26.3% — tied with the Marlins) and there’s lots of upside at this price point for McKenzie — who’s tailor made for FanDuel scoring with his high walk (8.37 BB/9 in five starts) and K rates (12.93 per 9 IP). If he can keep the M’s off the bases and avoid the big fly, he should make value and get you the 30-40 FD points needed to pay off his meager $6,900 salary.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Houston Astros vs. TEX RHP Dane Dunning

I actually like Dunning a bit in MLB DFS — he’s got swing-and-miss stuff and is coming off a career-high 10K performance against the Mariners on May 9 where he settled down his demons and got back to throwing his effective slider. Unfortunately, the Astros offense has just the kind of firepower and plate patience to make Dunning’s day a long one (or short one, if we’re being honest). The miniscule team K rate (18.7% — lowest in the majors) is a great indicator for stacking against pitchers like Dunning who rely heavily on the K to get outs. While Dunning has fared better against LHB in the small sample of 2021 so far, the Astros are littered with lefty mashers and righties who maintain high wOBA against RHP. Yordan Alvarez ($4,300) is the highest-priced bat on Houston, but I’ll be looking closely at the red-hot Kyle Tucker ($3,400) as well as standard stackers Jose Altuve ($3,800), Alex Bregman ($3,700) and Michael Brantley ($3,100). In his last six games, Tucker has 3 HR, 10 hits and 9 RBI.

Value Stack: Philadelphia Phillies vs. TOR LHP Anthony Kay

The Phillies offer a bit of a discount from the Astros, but the upside is almost as high facing a young lefty in a minor league park with a high ERA (Kay: 10.24, with a 5.59 FIP). Rhys Hoskins ($3,300), J.T., Realmuto ($3,400), Andrew McCutcheon ($3,200) and just about any other Phillies hitter — Jean Segura ($2,800), Alec Bohm ($2,400) stand out as solid value options — made sense last night and they do again today. I like a few stacks today (more on that later), but this could end up being a huge leverage play on a day where they might get lower ownership than expected.

Contrarian Stack: Washington Nationals vs. ARI RHP Seth Frankoff

It’s hard to justify them as a contrarian play after they went off for 17 runs in Arizona last night, but some folks might consider it chasing ands other s will be naturally drawn to the Astros, Phillies and teams like the Indians (also a decent contrarian stack or one-off spot for one-off RHB like Jordan Luplow, Franmil Reyes and Jose Ramirez vs. SEA LHP Justus Sheffield). But the Nats are just loaded with hitters who are heating up like Trea Turner ($3,900), Juan Soto ($4,000) and Kyle Schwarber ($3,200), who has homers in consecutive games and went off for 40.4 FD points last night. Josh Bell ($3,000) and the underpriced Yan Gomes ($2,400) are solid options as well.

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday Funday – 04/18/2021

Jared Levitt 4 years ago

written by Jared Levitt

Welcome to the Sunday Funday version of Aces and Bases. We have an 8 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel.

Unlike past Sundays, today have some solid pitching that we can focus on. We have 2 aces priced as aces and 1 ace that’s well, not priced as an ace.

From a weather standpoint, today should be smooth sailing!

So pour yourself your favorite Sunday morning cocktail (bloody with old bay around the rim and some bacon strips as a “stirrer”) and let’s dig in to some today’s main slate on FanDuel!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Today’s first ace is Shane Bieber ($11.5k). Over the past two weeks Bieber has an unreal 40% k rate. While unsustainable, it is a pretty insane number. He had 23, yes 23 k’s over his last 2 starts. Bieber is one of the top young arms in the league and he’s been performing up to the task. While the Reds will most likely throw out 3 lefties in the top 5 today, none of them scare me off of Bieber.

Ace #2 – Gerrit Cole ($11k) vs. the Rays. I’ll be honest, I most likely will not go here today but he’s an ace and should always be in the convo when starting. Like Bieber, Cole also has an unreal K rate over the past 2 weeks. Almost 45%. Unsustainable, but extremely impressive. What has me off Cole today has nothing to do with Cole, but his team. The Yankees have really struggled against the Rays. And because of that, I’m worried about the coveted win.

Ace #3 – Freddy Peralta ($8.5k) vs. the Pirates. He’s my guy today. Over his last 2 starts he has 18 k’s. I should preface that with saying that it was against the Cubs who are a shell of their championship team from a few years ago. The expected lineup vs. Peralta today has a 23% k rate vs. righties. While that isn’t a crazy high number, Peralta’s discounted price from the other aces on the slate has me less concerned with it. Peralta is also really limiting hard contact. Over his past 2 starts he’s only and an 18.8% hard hit rate and a 37.5% soft hit rate. People just aren’t squaring him up.

One guy I didn’t write up that I also really like is Aaron Nola ($8.5k) vs. the Cardinals. Nola has elite stuff and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up as one of the top arms today.

MLB DFS: The Bases

The year was 2016. It was the NL Wild Card game. Mets vs. Giants. MadBum vs. Thor. I knew before the game started the Mets had no shot. Bumgarner was one of the top pitchers in the game. Add in the playoff atmosphere and he was even better. Flash forward to 2021 and we now lick our chops when he’s on the mound as he is always a top target to attack. He had a 5.79 xFIP over his last 2 starts with a 41% hard hit rate. I absolutely love the Washington Nationals today. Turner ($3.8k), Soto ($4.2k), and Bell ($3.1k) should all be in your lineup today.

Stack #2 – Kansas City Royals vs. Robbie Ray. This isn’t 100% safe. When Ray is on, he’s an elite arm. When he’s off, he’s off! While his first start didn’t look bad, his underlying metrics told a different story. His xFIP was 1.5 runs higher than his era said. None of the contact he gave up was soft. The royals expected lineup today has a .347 wOBA against lefties and only a 20% k rate. Love Merrifield ($3.9k), Soler ($2.7k), and Perez ($3.3k) if he plays.

Stack #3 – Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chad Kuhl. Kuhl has really struggled of late. In his last 2 starts he’s pitched to a, rubs eyes, an 8.42 xFIP. That’s just not gonna cut it. This Brewers lineup has the ability to put up a big number. In 2 of their last 3 games they’ve scored 6 and 7 runs. Bradley ($2.4K), Hiura ($2.5k), Shaw ($2.6k), and Garcia ($2.8k) are all very cheap and in great spots. Love the spot here.

MLB DFS Sunday Funday Summary

As with every Sunday slate, make sure to keep an extra eye on lineups. With it being getaway day, players (especially catchers) tend to get today as an extra day off.

Enjoy today’s slate. It has the makings of a really fun slate. Some really solid pitchers and some lineups in really great spots.

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4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

10/26 DFS MLB: World Series Showdown and Prop Picks

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Are you ready for an exciting Game 4 of the World Series? Our 10/26 DFS picks for MLB will make you ready – to take down the GPPs and win your cash games!

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10/26 DFS MLB: DK Showdown(8:07 p.m. EST)

Thegame: World Series Game 4 – Houston Astros at Washington Nationals, 8:07 p.m.EST

The projected implied totals have this game about dead even at4.25 runs apiece. The 8.5 total is the highest of the series so far.

10/26 DFS SP Strategy andGame Notes

A quick word on starting pitching: Patrick Corbin (DK $15,600/$10,400) is worth a look even at his high price for his strikeout upside, but the Astros lineup doesn’t whiff at the rates the Dodgers did, so I’m not nearly as intrigued by his impressive but small-sample 17.58 K/9 rate this postseason. Last night’s winning GPP entries didn’t have any shares of the pitchers, so I’ll be fading both and focusing on adding the right bats. We nailed Victor Robles yesterday and need more of those calls to take down a GPP.

I’ll mix in some shares of Corbin and Jose Urquidy (DK $11,700/$7,800) who’s got some upside but will pitch about 4.0 IP maximum – since he hasn’t reached 50 pitches in either of his postseason outings. Those Urquidy outings have been effective (16.62 K/9, 2.08 ERA, 2.98 FIP in 4.1 IP), but he’d likely need to exceed 12 DK points to make him a viable GPP option, so I’ll have limited exposure.

Let’s get tothe bats.

10/26 DFS Hitters

I’m partial to George Springer, Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez on Houston for their ability to hit Corbin’s main offerings of fastballs and sliders, but since Alvarez sits, we’ll use Michael Brantley. Once again, I’ll have more shares of the Astros in GPPs than Nats hitters. For Washington, I’ll be using larger shares of Soto, Rendon and Eaton, who has multiple hits in three straight games and is almost as expensive as Jose Altuve.

10/26 DFS Washington Nationals bats

Juan Soto (DK $16,200/$10,800)

Soto scuffled abit at the plate last night, but he draws a perfectly exploitable matchupagainst a hittable Astros opener and RHP-only bullpen. I’m not going to fadehim in this spot.

Anthony Rendon (DK $16,500/$11,000)

Rendon destroys fastballs and remains a key part of the Natslineup. He’s just too expensive (the most expensive in the Showdown, actually) touse in every lineup, and there’s better value out there on the Houston sidethis game. But he hasn’t homered since the Dodgers series, so he’s due.

Adam Eaton (DK $13,800/$7,600)

Eaton has multiple hits in there straight and we listed him as avalue play along with Robles. Both were in the winning GPP last night. Whilethe price has come up for the Nats’ two-hitter, he had a .152 ISO vs. RHPs thisseason and he’s on a hot streak – and that’s plenty of reason to keep usinghim.

Spotlight Value: Yan Gomes (DK $8,700/$5,800)

If Kurt Suzuki sits, this is a no-brainer value to mix in. Gomes will be guaranteed ABs at his home park, and despite the fact he likes to hit lefties better (.217 ISO vs. LHPs in 2019) than righties, he’s still sporting a .151 ISO against RHPs – an acceptable figure at this low price. He’s not a must-play, but he’s worth using in GPPs for his power and guaranteed ABs if Suzuki is unavailable. I still like Robles too, but he’s expensive now.

Other 10/26 DFS options:Trea Turner (DK $15,000/$10,000), Ryan Zimmerman (DK $11,100/$7,400), VictorRobles (DK $12,300/$8,200)

10/26DFS Houston Astros bats

George Springer (DK $14,700/$9,800)

Springer is starting to heat up and make things happenoffensively. He reached base three times last night and had a pair of SBs, andhe matches up extremely well against LHP Patrick Corbin. I think Corbin couldrocked from the first pitch he throws, and Springer has hit 36 leadoff homeruns in his career already.

Alex Bregman (DK$13,500/$9,000)

He’s cheaper than Adam Eaton now. Let that sink in, then plug himinto all your cash games and most of your GPPs. Yesterday’s 0-5 showingfeatured just one K, and he destroys LHPs, so I’m far from fading him.

Jose Altuve (DK $14,100/$9,400)

Altuve is a fine play in GPPs and his price has come down. We can probably build a few lineups stacking the Astros 1-4 hitters at these prices, and filling in with value plays from Washington and/or some low-cost relievers.

Spotlight Value: MichaelBrantley ($10,200/$6,800)

The price on Brantley just refuses to come up, and he’s coming offtwo straight two-hit games – last night’s being the best of the series so far.He does come out of the lineup in the later innings for a defensive replacement,but he can do enough damage in his first three ABs to neutralize that.

Other 10/26 DFS options: Yuri Gurriel (DK $10,800/$7,200), Carlos Correa (DK $11,400/$7,600), Josh Reddick (DK $6,300/$4,200), Robinson Chirinos (DK $7,500/$5,000) or Martin Maldonado ($6,000/$4,000) – whomever gets the start

Sample DK GPP lineup #1 (Houston-heavy,no SP)

CPT – A. Bregman ($13,500)

UTIL – G. Springer ($9,800)

UTIL – J. Altuve ($9,400)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($6,800)

UTIL – J. Reddick ($4,200)

UTIL – Y. Gomes (5,800)

Sample DK GPP lineup #2(Balanced w/Nats closer)

CPT – J. Soto ($16,200)

UTIL – G. Springer ($9,800)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($6,800)

UTIL – M. Maldonado ($4,000)

UTIL – A. Eaton ($9,200)

UTIL – S. Doolittle ($3,800)

Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (w/Corbin and Nats closer)

CPT – Y. Gomes ($8,700)

UTIL – P. Corbin ($10,400)

UTIL – S. Doolittle ($3,800)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($6,800)

UTIL – J. Soto ($10,800)

UTIL – A. Eaton ($9,200)

Sample DK GPP Lineup #4 (Urquidyand Osuna)

CPT – G. Springer ($14,700)

UTIL – J. Urquidy ($7,800)

UTIL – R. Osuna ($4,000)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($6,800)

UTIL – A. Bregman ($9,000)

UTIL – R. Zimmerman ($7,400)

10/26 DFS Hitters for FDSingle-game

You know the routine – no pitchers to consider so we can have somefun with the hitters!

Sample FD GPP lineup #1(Astros-dominant)

MVP (2x) – Bregman ($7,500)

All-Star (1.5x) – G. Springer ($9,500)

UTIL – Eaton ($7,000)

UTIL – R. Chirinos ($4,500)

UTIL – Brantley ($6,000)

Sample FD GPP lineup #2(Nats-dominant)

MVP (2x) – Soto ($9,000)

All-Star (1.5x) – Rendon ($8,000)

UTIL – Gomes ($4,000)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($6,000)

UTIL – Bregman ($7,500)

Sample FD lineup (Balanced)

MVP (2x) – Springer ($9,500)

All-Star (1.5x) – Rendon ($8,000)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($6,000)

UTIL – V. Robles ($5,000)

UTIL – R. Zimmerman ($6,500)

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Home Run Derby: Bregman, Springer and Soto

Goal 0.50 – 2x: We can get ahead of the odds here and bank on one of these three going deep on Saturday night in Game 4. Getting 4x for two homers isn’t a bad get either.

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6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

10/23 DFS MLB: World Series Showdown and Prop Picks

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The World Series continuestonight in Houston after a big win from the Nats – so check out our 10/23 DFSpicks for MLB at Win Daily Sports.

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10/23 DFS MLB: DK Showdown (8:07p.m. EST)

The game: World Series Game 2 – Washington Nationals atHouston Astros, 8:07 p.m. EST

10/23 DFS SP Strategy and Picks

Last night’s top Showdown entries had Max Scherzer, but noGerrit Cole, as the Houston ace struggled to put way batters, gave up five ERand notched just six Ks. It also had Sean Doolittle, so my lineups with Coleand Osuna yesterday were on the right track – I just had the wrong winning team.

Stephen Strasburg’s postseason numbers are almost asridiculous as Cole’s were heading into last night’s matchup, so I’ll considerhim the analog to Cole’s 1A yesterday. The Nationals hurler has less than one-quarterof the postseason experience that Justin Verlander does, and his metrics in thatmuch smaller sample are superior:

Strasburg: 1.10 ERA, 2.07 SIERA, 12.51 K/9,1.10 BB/9, 0.90 WHIP, 35.6 K% (41.0 IP)
Verlander: 3.26 ERS, 3.09 SIERA, 9.98 K/9, 2.75BB/9, 1.03 WHIP, 27.8 K% (176.2 IP)

We’ll have shares of both in our lineup builds, though I’llbe taking more Strasburg in cash games given Verlander’s propensity to serve upthe long ball:

Verlander has a career postseason 1.17 HR/9 and0.93 for his entire career
Strasburg has a career postseason 0.44 HR/9 and0.89 for his entire career

I still think playingboth in cash games is viable, and I’ll shift more GPP ownership to Verlander.

Morenotes:

Verlander has faced these Nats hitters 274times and yielded just 4 homers to them, posting a .248/.306/.365 slash, withAsdrubal Cabrera having the most experience and success (21-for-76 with 3 HR).
The Astros are again about one-run favoriteswith an implied total of about 4.0 to the Nats’ 3.0. Last night’s game finishedtwo runs over the projected total (one for each team, but reversed), so it’snot worth throwing these numbers out just yet.
Once again, stay tuned to the starting lineups– we could get some value from unlikely sources.

10/23 DFS Hitters

We’ll stick to the overall theme of the playoffs here, as that seemed to play out last night save for the solo shot by Ryan Zimmerman and the better plate approach from Yordan Alvarez, which we can get behind a bit more here. My player writeups for yesterday were a bit long because it was Game 1, so I’ll stick to one key thought for each player here and you can refer back to my previous writeup if you need more info.

10/23 DFS Washington Nationalsbats

AnthonyRendon (DK $14,400/$9,600)

Rendon has not faced Verlander before and is still a dangerous batin the heart of a solid lineup. We have to consider him, especially since he’sbeen quiet and has no trouble hitting RHPs. His price jumped $200 too (because theSPs don’t cost as much), so he’s definitely in play for GPPs.

TreaTurner (DK $13,500/$9000)

My writeup on Turner wasspot-on yesterday and it applies again today. If he’s on base, he’s in business.And he does have power (.200 ISO in 2019). I’ll have shares, though maybe notas much as last night.

JuanSoto (DK $13,200/$8,800)

Again – the analysis wassolid, but I didn’t trust him enough to warrant the top captain spot in my GPPbuilds. He’s a hitter who thrives on confidence, but his ownership will bethrough the roof for Game 2. You’ll need some shares, just don’t go overboard.

SpotlightValue: Kurt Suzuki (DK $9,300/$6,200)

Last night’s valuespotlight didn’t play, but his replacement did, and he hit a homer. Tonight, werun the same risk if they decide to roll out Yan Gomes instead of Suzuki – who’s14-for-42 career off Verlander with just 4 Ks – a stat which stuck out as muchas any considering Verlander’s 24.7% career K rate.

Other options: Howie Kendrick (DK $12,900/$8,600), Adam Eaton (DK $10,500/$7,000), Victor Robles (DK $10,200/$6,800)

10/23 DFS Houston Astros bats

JoseAltuve (DK $14,700/$9,800)

Altuve ended up 1-for-5last night and still reached double digit points on DK, so a multi-hit gamemakes him worthy of usage in our builds, and consideration as the main hitterfor our Astros-heavy lineups. He’s 2-for-5 off Strasburg in his career, whichain’t much – but it’s a start.

AlexBregman (DK $14,100/$9,400)

The guy is due. Bregman took a gift pitch from Sean Doolittle right over the heart of the plate yesterday because he was overthinking location and looking away – and he’ll likely not make that same mistake again. I trust his bat and his approach, so we’re going back to the well with him against Strasburg (2-for-3 career).

Yordan Alvarez (DK $12,300/$8,200)

I’m fully aboard the Alvarez redemption train, as theyoung slugger went 2-for-3 in Game 1 and could easily break through with adinger tonight. He did hit 27 in 357 ABs during the regular season, and he’s beenon a homerless slump for far too long.

CarlosCorrea (DK $12,000/$8,000)

Correa was one of the fewAstros that actually looked overmatched by Scherzer last night (1-for-5, 3 Ks),even though the Nats’ pitcher didn’t have his best stuff. It’s possibly hisback was bothering him a bit, so I’m going to reduce my shares, which weremassive for Game 1.

SpotlightValue: Robinson Chirinos (DK $7,500/$5,000)

It’s catcher day in Game 2 of the World Series. Thevalue is there, and the guy has plenty of power (18 HRs in 388 ABs in 2019).Catchers also have a knack for hitting mistake pitches very well, and Strasburgdoes make mistakes.

Other 10/23 DFS options: Yuri Gurriel (DK $11,700/$7,800), George Springer (DK $13,800/$9,200), Michael Brantley (DK $10,800/$7,200), Josh Reddick (DK $8,100/$5,400)

SampleDK Cash or GPP lineup (Strasburg up top, no Verlander – $700 left)

CPT – S. Strasburg ($15,900)

UTIL – J. Soto ($8,800)

UTIL – A. Eaton ($7,000)

UTIL – J. Reddick ($5,400)

UTIL – G. Springer ($9,200)

UTIL – S. Doolittle ($3,000)

SampleDK GPP lineup (Verlander up top, no Strasburg)

CPT – J. Verlander ($17,100)

UTIL – Bregman ($9,400)

UTIL – Y. Alvarez ($8,200)

UTIL – R. Chirinos ($5,000)

UTIL – A. Eaton ($7,000)

UTIL – R. Osuna ($3,000)

SampleDK Lineup (Houston heavy with $500 left)

CPT – Y. Alvarez ($12,300)

UTIL – J. Verlander ($11,400)

UTIL – A. Cabrera ($7,400)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($5,600)

UTIL – K. Suzuki ($6,200)

UTIL – R. Chirinos (5,000)

SampleDK GPP Lineup (Houston-heavy with $2,100 left)

CPT – A. Bregman ($14,100)

UTIL – J. Verlander ($11,600)

UTIL – Y. Alvarez (8,200)

UTIL – R. Chirinos ($5,000)

UTIL – K. Suzuki ($6,200)

UTIL – R. Osuna ($3,000)

SampleDK GPP Lineup (No pitchers)

CPT – J. Soto ($13,200)

UTIL – T. Turner ($9,000)

UTIL – Y. Gurriel ($7,800)

UTIL – R. Zimmerman ($6,000)

UTIL – K. Suzuki ($6,200)

UTIL – M. Brantley ($7,200)

10/23 DFS Hitters for FDSingle-game

Here we can just load upon hitters and try to find the bombs in the MVP and All-Star spot.

SampleFD lineup #1 (Astros-dominant)

MVP (2x) – Altuve($9,500)

All-Star (1.5x) – Alvarez($6,000)

UTIL – Eaton ($7,000)

UTIL – Turner ($7,500)

UTIL – Chirinos ($4,500)

SampleFD lineup #2 (Nats-heavy)

MVP (2x) – Rendon($8,500)

All-Star (1.5x) – Soto($8,000)

UTIL – Gurriel ($6,000)

UTIL – Suzuki ($5,500)

UTIL – A. Cabrera($6,000)

Sample FD lineup #3 (Balanced)

MVP (2x) – Bregman($9,000)

All-Star (1.5x) – Soto($8,000)

UTIL – Springer ($8,500)

UTIL – Chirinos ($4,500)

UTIL – Zimmerman ($5,000)

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Pick the Players for Most Fantasy Points — Goal: 19.50, Prize: 5x

Springer, Soto and Altuve

We hit on the 2x bet with the Soto HR last night and tonight were going back to the well with him and couple of hot-hitting, speedy Astros. Making 20 fantasy points among the three seems like a great wager at 5x, so lets go for it!!

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6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

10/17 DFS MLB: ALCS Showdown

Brandon C. Williams 6 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

NOTE: This 10/17 DFS MLB preview was written on 10/16 but still applies due to postponement.

The 10/17 DFS MLB guide focuses on Showdown, one that could see runs aplenty.

The Astros toss out Zack Greinke. He’ll be opposed by Yanks hurler Masahiro Tanaka, who put Houston’s bats in cold storage in an impressive Game 1 win. Both offenses have yet to really flex their respective muscles, something that could change tonight.

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10/17 DFS Showdown: HOU @ NYY

MVP/Captain (2X)

Jose Altuve, 2B, HOU (DK $15,900, FD $9500)

Altuve slammed his fourth homer of the postseason on Tuesday, setting the tone for Houston’s 4-1 win. He’s hitting .375/.412/.813 in October with half of his 12 hits going for extra bases. Though he has just one steal in the postseason, Altuve remains a threat to swipe if the Yankees have their guard down.

All-Star (1.5X, FanDuel Only)

Gleyber Torres, 2B, NYY (FD $13,200, DK $7500)

If Altuve is the present, then Torres has already called dibs as the future at second base. Like Altuve, Torres went deep on Tuesday and comes into tonight hitting .417/.500/1.000 with a pair of homers. He’s hit in each of New York’s six postseason games and is the one bat in the Pinstripes lineup that could put up 20 Fantasy points in an instant.

Dial U for Utility

Utility

Yordan Alvarez, OF, HOU (DK $14,100, FD $6500)

Remember the first moments of Creed v. Drago in Rocky IV when Apollo kept jabbing and jabbing…until Ivan finally let loose and…you know the rest. That’s Alvarez’s bat, which is languishing at .207 in the postseason. He has yet to record a hit in the ALCS, but — as mentioned previously — Alvarez homered every 11.59 at-bats in the regular season. I’ll call my shot: if they play tonight, Alvarez goes deep.

Utility

Yuli Gurriel, 1B, HOU (DK $11,700 FD $6000)

Like Alvarez, Gurriel has scuffled in the ALCS. Like Alvarez, Gurriel has the type of bat that can explode in any given swing. Although he didn’t hit well against the Yankees in the regular season (.214 batting average), three of his six hits were for extra bases. You’ll take a 1-for-4 from Gurriel if that one hit was an extra base knock with runners on.

Utility

Gary Sanchez, C, NYY (DK $9600, FD $5500)

There is officially no in-between when it comes to my Utility picks. Sanchez has just two hits in 21 postseason at-bats this season. Oh, lest we forget: Sanchez also has 10 strikeouts. Either this Showdown lineup hits it big or it’s going to be money blown away.

I’d bet on the former…This 10/17 DFS MLB Showdown feels like the long green coming my way.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

10/14 DFS MLB NLCS Showdown

Brandon C. Williams 6 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

Game 3 of the NLCS heads to Washington, where the Nationals toss Stephen Strasburg against Cardinals hurler Jack Flaherty in a must-win for the Redbirds (8:38 PM Eastern, TBS). The 10/14 DFS MLB Showdown could be a challenge in finding runs as both pitchers have mostly had their A-game stuff in the postseason.

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10/14 DFS Showdown: STL @ WAS

MVP/Captain (2X)

Anthony Rendon, 3B, WAS (DK $15,300, FD $9500)

Our 10/14 DFS MLB NLCS Showdown play. With Flaherty and Strasburg on the bump, chances are one decisive swing is all that will be needed. If so, I’m running with Rendon and his .346/.457/.577 with a 1.034 OPS. Keep in mind, Rendon was dominant at home in the regular season, where he hit 20 of his 34 homers along with a 1.042 OPS.

All-Star (1.5X FanDuel Only)

Marcell Ozuna, OF, STL (DK $12,900, FD $8000)

Right now, Ozuna may be the only bat worth trusting in the Cards lineup. He can do damage with runners on base, but Dexter Fowler (.260 OPS) and Kolten Wong (.608 OPS) have been ineffective in the postseason. If the Cards don’t want Tuesday to be an elimination game, Ozuna and his .818 OPS with runners in scoring position (regular season) had better be used.

Dial U for Utility

Utility

Howie Kendrick, 1B/2B, WAS (DK $13,200, FD $5500)

Kendrick: For Hire is a must in either Showdown format. He went .500 (11-for-22) versus the Cardinals during the regular season and has two hits and a run scored in the first two games of the NLCS. Keep in mind that Kendrick also recorded a career-best .228 Isolated Power and 45.5% hard contact rate.

Utility

Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, STL (DK $12,300, FD $7500)

On the surface, his numbers looked OK, but Goldschmidt did fall from 5.2 WAR to 2.9 while watching both his Isolated Power and BABIP take significant hits. He’s here because he’s still capable of changing the complexion of a game (or series) if his 47.5 hard contact rate can merge with his 39.4% fly ball rate at the opportune time. If theres a 10/14 DFS MLB NLCS Showdown difference maker, he is it.

Utility

Kirk Suzuki, C, WAS (DK $11,100, FD $4500)

I wouldn’t be surprised if Yan Gomes gets the start behind the plate for the Nats, but Suzuki is there for defense. Sleeper play for the 10/14 DFS MLB Showdown sleeper? Yup. He’s hitless in the postseason (0-for-16), a strange reason why I find him appealing. Sooner or later, a lagging bat will make up for lost time, so don’t be shocked if Suzuki rises up.

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6 years ago 0 comments

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