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Travis Kelce

NFL Week 8 DFS: Tight Ends

Jason Mezrahi 4 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Just like that and we are already in NFL Week 8. We have had a good run on tight ends and hope to continue providing value each week in my NFL DFS Tight Ends article. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s take a look at out NFL Week 8 DFS Tight Ends!

KYLE PITTS, ATL $6,300 DRAFTKINGS, $6,800 FANDUEL

It hasn’t taken long for Pitts to emerge as the #1 receiver in Atlanta and one of the best tight ends in the NFL. With each week that passes, Pitts is getting better and better. Carolina is middle of the pack against covering opposing tight ends but each week their defense has started to slip further down the list. In the past 4 games they lost, they have allowed 36, 21, 24, and 25 points after starting the season 3-0. The 3-0 start was more of a mirage while facing the Jets, Saints, and the Texans. This defense is attackable and Pitts is coming off of 3 weeks of increased targets, averaging 9 targets per game. Not only is Pitts getting targeted, he is racking up yardage with 2 back to back 100 yard receiving games. At a fair price on both sites Pitts is our highest projected tight end in both our projection model and optimizer projections for good reason. We have a nice total of 46 which is on the higher side of the slate and we have the Falcons projected at 24.5 points per Vegas. Lock in Pitts in both cash games and tournaments.

TJ HOCKENSON, DET $5,400 DRAFTKINGS, $6,200 FANDUEL

The Eagles secondary instills zero fear in me and I can see the Lions winning this game outright. This game has game stack potential and I love Swift and Hockenson from the Lions side. Hockenson is dealing with some knee and ankle injuries which has me slightly concerned but he has gutted it out each week without missing time. Please confirm prior to locking him Sunday, and make sure these injuries don’t take a turn for the worse. Hockenson has had a respectable start to the season through 7 games. He has averaged 51 yards receiving and 12.6 fantasy points per game and looks to build off that in a juicy matchup versus the Eagles. The matchup is ideal as the Eagles rank 24th against opposing tight ends and I expect this game to have some fireworks at a lower ownership of some of the higher profile games. I prefer paying up for Pitts in cash, but I will invest in some shares of Hockenson in tournaments in NFL Week 8.

NOAH FANT, DEN $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $5,800 FANDUEL

Nobody likes playing Broncos and every week Fant and Sutton are under owned and continue to perform regardless of the health and skill level of Teddy Bridgewater. This Washington defense is a shell of what it was last year and is currently allowing a league worse 300.6 passing yards per game. On top of that they currently rank 20th against opposing tight ends and that sets up well with Fant. Fant has average 12 fantasy points per game while only hauling in 3 touchdowns so if the touchdowns start falling Fant’s way we can see a nice uptick in production. Fant and the Broncos are coming off 4 straight weeks of difficult matchups and this is the first week in recent memory that Vegas has this team projected to score more than 24 points. With Jeudy looking like he has a chance to play in Week 8, I am not ready to go all in on Fant. Fant is a tournament play only for me and I will sprinkle in some shares to avoid some of the possible chalk at the position.

DALLAS GOEDERT, PHI $4,600 DRAFTKINGS, $5,400 FANDUEL

With Ertz out of town, Goedert steps into the primary tight end role and should no longer fight for targets with Ertz. He hasn’t had his breakout week due to the instability of this offense and the passing game in general. This Eagles team is a mess right now and the whole city of Philly including our guy Jon Jansen are back and forth crying about what team they hate more between the Eagles and 76ers. As a New Yorker I love to see it! But lets get back to football and why Goedert may be in line for his breakout game. I’m expecting this game to provide some fireworks and I want my shares of both offenses. I will have my game stacks, and will be riding Hurts and Goedert combinations along with Goff, Swift, and Hockenson. I think we shoot over the 48 point total Vegas has set and with no real consistent run game from either side I see a back and forth up paced game. At his price tag, Goedert is safe for both cash games and tournaments in NFL Week 8.

DAN ARNOLD, JAC $2,800 DRAFTKINGS $4,900 FANDUEL

If we need value on the slate, we can look to Arnold in a nice matchup versus the Seattle secondary which is really struggling this year. I think Vegas has this game wrong with only putting a 43.5 total on the game. I haven’t bet it yet, but once I talk to my guys at the Sharp App, I will lock it in. Remember you can download the Sharp App for free and get access to all of our sports betting pros. The Seahawks are allowing 280 passing yards per game and are ranked 17th against opposing tight ends. Arnold is tied for target share over the past 2 weeks with Shenault and is just getting out targeted by Jones Jr. With the matchup slightly better for Arnold over the receiving core, we can see a uptick in targets which would lead to even more fantasy production. So if you need the savings in Week 8 look to Arnold in tournaments.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 8 DFS Tight Ends article and the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, covering cash games and tournaments, and we will have articles, videos, and podcasts so lock in with us in whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last minute news.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL Week 7 DFS: Tight Ends

Jason Mezrahi 4 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Just like that and we are already in NFL Week 7. We have had a good run on tight ends and hope to continue providing value each week in my NFL DFS Tight Ends article. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive in to this NFL Week 7 slate and talk some DFS Tight Ends!

TRAVIS KELCE, KC $7,600 DRAFTKINGS, $8,200 FANDUEL

This is a pay up week for tight ends. The low end is dicey and with the 3 expensive tight ends being in great spots, I don’t want to take to many shots on cheap tight ends. I can see 3 top end tight ends put up 20+ points in Week 7, so lets start with the best one in Kelce. The over in this game has pushed up to 57.5 and has been climbing since the week started. The Chiefs are in a great spot and are projected to put up 31.5 points. Listen we know how good this offense is and the Titans defense can be exposed through the passing game. The Titans are allowing 276 passing yards and 384 total yards per game. Looking back at the past 3 games the Titans have allowed 31, 19, and even 27 points to the Jets. Kelce has somewhat disappointed us the past 3 weeks putting up 6, 17, and 17 which I hope that bring downs his ownership. It’s still early as I’m writing this on Wednesday morning, but he is currently sitting at only 14% ownership which is a nice number to get Kelce at. I will be locking in shares of each of the tight ends listed in this article and I will be over the field in Week 7 on Kelce.

DARREN WALLER, LV $6,700 DRAFTKINGS, $6,800 FANDUEL

The Eagles secondary instills zero fear in me and probably less in Waller’s mind. Waller has been rather stagnant since his Week 1 outburst of 29.5 points. People have long forgotten about Waller and we may see sub 10% ownership on him in Week 7. Waller finds a great spot against the Eagles who currently rank 22nd versus the tight end position. The Eagles defense has shown strives but they have been exposed by the Bucs, Chiefs, and the Cowboys and I believe Carr and Waller are playing inspired ball since the departure of Gruden. Waller is currently sitting as the second highest projected player in our optimizer projections and I will take the discount on Kelce in spots. For every 2 shares of Kelce, I will have one share of Waller in Week 7.

MARK ANDREWS, BAL $6,000 DRAFTKINGS, $5,900 FANDUEL

Mark Andrews is coming off a monster Week 5 and nice performance in Week 6 as well. Andrews had 11 receptions on 13 targets and rumbled for 147 yards receiving with 2 touchdowns in Week 5 and followed that up with a 17 point performance in Week 6. We have a total of 47 with Baltimore favored by 6, so this game should be high scoring and close through 4 quarters if Vegas has this game projected correctly. After what the Ravens did to the Chargers last week I do have some concern that the Bengals won’t be able to keep pace in this one but the price tag is still very affordable on Andrews. The discount is large, the floor is safe, and the upside is still there where Andrews is a solid play for cash and still warrants attention for tournaments. My ownership will be spread across the top 3 tight ends I just mentioned and just like Waller, I will have 1 share of Andrews for every 2 shares of Kelce.

DALLAS GOEDERT, PHI $4,600 DRAFTKINGS, $5,400 FANDUEL

With Ertz out of town, Goedert steps into the primary tight end role and should no longer fight for targets with Ertz. His price tag has dropped after being out a week due to Covid-19, but this is a great landing spot to buy shares of Goedert in Week 7. This should be a great spot for him against the Raiders who currently rank 24th against opposing tight ends. This game has a over of 49 and I believe the game shoots over 50 points in a back and forth game for four quarters. I’m expecting a lot of passing as both these teams don’t really run the ball well which should keep the pace up for 4 quarters. As long as all the practice reports seem positive throughout the week, I love Goedert and his price tag in Week 7.

RICKY SEALS-JONES, WAS $3,700 DRAFTKINGS $5,400 FANDUEL

I loaded up last week on Ricky and I’m ready to go back to the well in Week 7. With Logan Thomas out and a good matchup versus the Packers, Seals-Jones could bring solid value to our DFS lineups again. Ricky played 82 out of the 83 snaps in Week 5 and hauled in 4 receptions for 58 yards and a touchdown in Week 6. The Packers passing defense has been good, but if they have a weakness in the passing game its through the tight end position. The Packers defense has yet to face too many solid passing attacks, and I’m not saying that Washington is one of them but at this price tag we don’t need much. The Packers should take a lead, which will have Washington playing from behind and forcing them to air it out to keep pace. Ricky is a tournament only play which could pay off nicely in Week 7.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 7 DFS Tight Ends article and the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, covering cash games and tournaments, and we will have articles, videos, and podcasts so lock in with us in whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last minute news.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Seahawks at Steelers 10.17

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Seahawks at Steelers 10.17.

If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going. If you go all in on a showdown and tilt because it didn’t work out, it is on you.

Vegas Script: Total: 43, Steelers -4.5

Yuck. That is all I have to say about this contest with the injury situation in Seattle. This will not be the prettiest game in the world but it should be a fun one to target for fantasy. Who would have thought that in 2021 we would be seeing Geno Smith starting a football game. I think the total is pretty spot on but I am not quite sold that a Seahawks team post legion of boom, without Chris Carson, and without Russell Wilson would only be 4.5 point dogs on a road game in Pittsburgh. One thing I am interested to see is the Steelers O-line and whether the league worst 2.3 seconds per throw will improve since this should be the easiest pass rush that the Steelers have faced to date. I do plan on taking a few shots on Big Ben in the event that he does get enough time to throw. I do not like the circumstances that he is dealing with but I am nowhere near as low on him as a QB as most others are. But that is the beauty of fantasy sports, we get to put some money on it and reap the rewards if we are correct.

Captains:

Chalk: Najee Harris, $17,700:

The clear cut chalk in tonight’s game is Najee and I really do not think anyone will be within 5%. Najee as a rookie is already top three in the NFL in touches and leader in targets five weeks into the season and this game script is perfect for him to have a huge showing. If all goes to plan Najee will likely be the raw points leader when it is all said and done but there are a few options below that I think we can roll with to get a little different and get a little better value at captain in order to fit one extra “stud” in your build.

Pivot: Dionte Johnson, $14,700:

With no Juju tonight there are a handful of extra targets to go around tonight and even as bad as Big Ben looks this year Dionte’s big play ability and his 10-12 targets a game against this week Hawks D could be a points bonanza so as far as pivots go he is my main guy. My choice to go with Dionte over Claypool is simply due to the number of targets and I think Chase has slightly higher ownership as a captain so I am splitting the smallest of hairs here.

Contrarian #1: Chase Claypool, $13,200:

Chase is a beastly human being and he regularly turns 5 yard slants into 40 yard TD’s because of how strong he is. If you choose to roll with him as your captain over Dionte you are not going to see me complaining about it. My only concern as I noted above is that Dionte gets around double the targets as Claypool any given week but he can very easily turn 6 targets into 120 yards and 2 TD’s.

Contrarian #2: DK Metcalf, $15,000:

With Geno throwing the football I am in no way confident about the receiving corps of the Seahawks but if I had to choose one I am going to go for the bigger target with the inaccurate arm of Smith. Smith is going to make some terrible throws tonight but a physical talent like DK should be able to win a number of the 50/50 balls tonight and potentially convert them into big plays downfield. This will likely be the only time you will also see a players like DK in a showdown slate at sub 5% in the captain spot. Do not go overweight on this one as I have minimal confidence here but the leverage it provides is substantial if his talent can overcome the shortcomings at the QB position.

Contrarian#3: Ben Roethlisberger, $16,500:

Yes I know Ben has played like garbage this season but if we feel confident about Harris in the receiving game, Dionte Johnson, and Chase Claypool then it stands to reason that the person throwing the ball to them will have a good game as well. Ben has had the least amount of time to throw in the NFL (2.28 sec) so I am not 100% laying the blame at his feet just yet. This will be the weakest pass rush by far for the Steelers so if they can give been somewhere closer to 2.8 or maybe even 3 seconds that will give longer developing routes time to develop and maybe turn into some big plays for Ben. I know that everyone is quick to talk about his arm strength but when given the time I have seen him uncork several throws well over 50 yards this season and I do not think that anyone will be using him as a captain in tonight’s contest.

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Seahawks at Steelers 10.17 Flex Plays:

Najee Harris
Dionte Johnson
Chase Claypool
DK Metcalf
Tyler Lockett
Ben Roethlisberger
Alex Collins
Gino Smith
Gerald Everette
Steelers D
Pat Freiermuth
Chris Boswell
Jason Meyers
Eric Ebron
Freddie Swain
Will Dissly
Travis Homer

Kickers and defenses:

This is a Sunday night game where Kickers and at least one defense is in play. With Geno Smith at QB for the Seahawks the Steelers defense could have themselves a huge night. He has never been able to make good choices with heavy pressure in his face and the Hawks O-line is yet again one of the worst in the NFL. Both Jason Meyers and Chris Boswell should get scoring opportunities with long field goals as

It is time folks and I hope that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Seahawks at Steelers 10.17 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL Week 6 DFS: Tight Ends

Jason Mezrahi 4 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Just like that and we are already in NFL Week 6. We have had a good run on tight ends and hope to continue providing value each week in my NFL DFS Tight Ends article. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive in to this NFL Week 6 slate and talk some DFS Tight Ends!

MARK ANDREWS, BAL $5,200 DRAFTKINGS, $6,300 FANDUEL

Mark Andrews is coming off a monster Week 5 where the Ravens came from behind to takedown the Colts. Andrews had 11 receptions on 13 targets and rumbled for 147 yards receiving with 2 touchdowns. While I don’t expect that output this week, I do like the price tag and floor he provides in what should be another high scoring affair versus the Chargers at home. We have a total of 51.5 with Baltimore favored by 3, so this game should be high scoring and close through 4 quarters if Vegas has this game projected correctly. Lets also not forget what David Njoku just did to this Charger defense, when he caught 7 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown last week. We have two high scoring teams coming off big wins which should lead to a lot of offense. Take the discount off of Kelce in some spots if you can’t afford to pay up for him in Week 6.

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $6,500 FANDUEL

Lets make it 3 weeks in a row locking in Dalton Schultz. I believe we are still early to market and the sooner you recognize a trend the better. Schultz continues to see a increase in his workload every week since Gallup went down with an injury. Coming off another 8 target game has me feeling safe that the opportunity will remain for Dalton going into Week 6. This will be a tougher matchup for the Cowboys than the past couple of weeks, but Dak and the Cowboys offense in general is too good to be slowed down. My only worry here is if the Patriots can score enough to keep this game close forcing the Cowboys to keep the gas on the pedal for four quarters. With his price tag increased on both sites I do prefer Andrews in cash, but for a low ownership play in tournaments I will take some shots at Schultz in NFL Week 6.

EVAN ENGRAM, NYG $3,400 DRAFTKINGS, $5,000 FANDUEL

As I told you last week I’m not a fan of Evan Engram. He hasn’t had the career everyone projected him to have but in DFS we just need value for one game. He hit value last week at this price tag and he should do the same in Week 6. I can almost guarantee that the Rams will blow this game open very early, which will mean 4 quarters of passing from the Giants who will be missing their 3 best receivers and Barkley. The Giants will have to rely on guys like Engram to move the ball. Daniel Jones is questionable at the time of me writing this article but it doesn’t change much for me if he plays or not. I think Engram is a solid cash game play at his price tag and for what he opens up in tournaments, I like the value he presents as well.

JARED COOK, LAC $3,200 DRAFTKINGS, $5,400 FANDUEL

This offense in LA might be one of the best in the league. With superstars at every position Cook is sometimes the forgotten man. His price tag dictates that, and has me wanting shares of him in tournaments. As I mentioned above, we have a total of 51.5 with Baltimore favored by 3 so this could lead to the Chargers playing from behind. This is not the same Ravens defense that Ray Lewis lead and there are injuries and holes that can be taken advantage of. Cook maybe the 3rd or even 4th option in this offense with the defense focused on Ekeler, Allen, and Williams. Which should leave Cook open often, and at close to minimum salary he can provide the upside and low ownership combination you need to leap frog the leaderboards in tournaments.

RICKY SEALS-JONES, WAS $3,000 DRAFTKINGS $5,000 FANDUEL

I went deep in the crates last week to put everyone on to Dan Arnold and we are going to dig even deeper with Ricky in Week 6. With Logan Thomas out and a juicy matchup versus the Chiefs, Seals-Jones could bring solid value to our DFS lineups. Ricky played 82 out of the 83 snaps and that kind of time on the field will present opportunities at minimum price on both sites. The Chiefs passing defense has allowed 296 yards passing per game and they are truly struggling to stop the ball. We are talking about one of the worst defenses in the league right now in a game which currently has a total of 55 points. The Chiefs should take a early lead here, which will have Washington playing from behind and forcing them to air it out to keep pace. Ricky is a tournament only play which could pay off nicely in Week 6.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 6 DFS Tight Ends article and the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, covering cash games and tournaments, and we will have articles, videos, and podcasts so lock in with us in whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last minute news.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Vegas Script: Total: 56.5 Chiefs -3

This game needs no explanation. The two highest-scoring offenses in the league square off against one another in a 56.5 total game. The story as of late has been the defense of the Bills if you ask the pundits, but we all know the truth. They played the Steelers, Dolphins, Washington, and Houston. It is easy to look dominant against backup QBs and the worst O-Line in the NFL. That flat-out just will not happen tonight. But enough of that let us take a look at the most obvious captain’s picks of the year and see where we can find some value because this is honestly one of the hardest showdowns you could play in due to the number of elite options out there on both sides.

Captains:

Chalk: Josh Allen $18,600:

It’s 1A versus 1B between Mahomes and Allen tonight and I think the ownership will play that out. The only reason that I am going with Allen as the main chalk is the higher rushing upside and touchdown equity. After back-to-back 40 point outings for the Bills it is hard to say what they and Allen will be able to do with a team that can actually keep up with them.

Pivot: Patrick Mahomes $18,000:

It is Patrick Mahomes, what else do you need to know? I know the the big networks were slobbering over the recent play of the Bills defense but they have playing 3 of 4 games against backups and the Steelers have the worst protection schemes in the NFL on the o-line outside of the Jags and Bears (with Nagy calling plays)

Contrarian #1: Travis Kelce, $13,800:

Kelce let a ton of people down last week so the difference between him and Hill is next to nothing, but we can take that recency bias and hopefully get ourselves the slightest of benefit with ownership. After Hill went off for 50 DK last week I will lean on Kelce attacking the Bill’s safety’s tonight and being my preferred contrarian play at captain in this contest.

Contrarian #2: Tyreek Hill

12 catches for 186 yards and 3 TDs. That is what the cheetah did to the Eagles last week. Can he do it again, absolutely? But as I mentioned above I am trying to split the finest of hairs and I think we can get Kelce at a few percent discount at captain over Hill. Like everyone else in this article for captain choices, his body of work speaks for itself.

Contrarian#3: Stefon Diggs :

The Odd man out if you want to get different is Diggs. He has only had one game of over 20 DK points and everyone is shooting for the moon tonight so I think he comes in as by far the lowest “stud” captain. Allen has been finding multiple receivers with guys like Davis, Sanders, and Beasley on the field as well as Dawson Knox, Zack Moss, and Devin Singletary playing nicely in the early going. But in big games, the big-name players are the ones who are supposed to take over and this is a perfect spot to get different and leverage against the four players I listed about.

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10 Flex Plays:

Emmanuel Sanders
Zack Moss
Dawson Knox
Cole Beasley
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Mecole Hardman
Demarcus Robinson
Gabriel Davis
Byron Pringle
Harrison Butker
Tyler Bass
Josh Gordon
Jody Fortson

Kickers and defenses:

I am fully fading both of these defenses tonight but with so many high-priced guys if you absolutely have to throw in a kicker to upgrade elsewhere it is an easy way to get a solid floor. Just understand that if you choose to go that route you are going to be limited in your upside with a kicker in this kind of game so make sure that the trade-off is worth it.

It is finally time folks and I wish you all great success in 2021 and beyond and that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10. helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS Tight Ends: Week 5

Jason Mezrahi 4 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Just like that and we are already in Week 5. We have had a good run on tight ends and hope to continue providing value each week in my NFL DFS Tight Ends article. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive in to this Week 5 NFL slate and talk some DFS Tight Ends!

TJ HOCKENSON, DET $5,500 DRAFTKINGS, $6,400 FANDUEL

This should be a get right spot for Hockenson after back to back down weeks. He sat out of practice on Wednesday and appeared on the injury report, so be to check into our free livestream at 11am on Sunday morning for confirmation. If Hockenson is active, we should see a big game from him versus the Vikings. Vegas has the total sitting at 49 points and with the Lions having zero elite receivers, a good portion of their game plan will be targeting Hockenson in the passing game. The Vikings are allowing 250+ passing yards per game and that should be enough for Hockenson to push over the 15 fantasy point mark. Playing from behind in a fast paced matchup in a dome is a nice landing spot for Hockenson as one of your Week 5 DFS Tight Ends.

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $4,400 DRAFTKINGS, $6,200 FANDUEL

I wrote up Schultz last week in my DFS Tight End article and I’m hoping the industry didn’t take notice. I believe we are still early to market and the sooner you recognize a trend the better. Schultz is no slouch, and his workload has increased every week since Gallup went down with an injury. A 26 point performance versus the Eagles followed by a 17 point game versus the Panthers has me thinking we found a stud with Schultz. It’s hard to predict if Cooper or Lamb will be the guy from week to week but targeting Schultz instead has led to a positive outcome. I like the play more on DraftKings where his price is more affordable, but he’s a fine play on both sites in Week 5.

GEORGE KITTLE, SF $5,600 DRAFTKINGS, $6,500 FANDUEL

We need to keep an eye on the injury report, but if all things are clear with Kittle he has a breakout game ahead of him in Week 5. With 20 targets in the past 2 games the production will soon follow. Combine that with the fact the game has a 49 point total and that the 49ers will be trailing for the entire game, leads me to believe we have a big game in store for Kittle. I won’t be swayed either way if Jimmy or Trey starts at the quarterback position, this is a play on game script and volume. All I need is an ok physical report from Kittle and I will be buying shares of him in Week 5.

EVAN ENGRAM, NYG $3,200 DRAFTKINGS, $5,300 FANDUEL

I’m not a fan of Evan Engram and I’m not a fan of Evan Engram at high ownership even more. I faded him last week and it worked out, but at lesser ownership in Week 5 I can see a path to success. My main target from the Giants squad will be Saquon but in lineups I fade him, I don’t mind taking a couple shots at Engram. With consecutive weeks of 6 targets and a depressed price tag there is a floor here with Engram. The game script will lead to the Giants playing catch up and with the receiving core banged up, Engram should be in store for another 6+ target week. Don’t go overboard on Engram, but when you’re in need of salary to pay up for other spots Engram is a safe landing spot with some upside if he finds pay dirt.

DAN ARNOLD, JAC 2,900 DRAFTKINGS $4,800 FANDUEL

Dan Arnold stepped off the plane after being traded to the Jaguars and had a productive first start. After a week of practicing and learning the playbook we could see a boost of usage out of Arnold in a juicy matchup versus the Titans who just allowed the Jets to score basically at will. This Jaguars offense is better than the Jets and with the injury to Chark, Arnold should fit right in as the third most targeted receiver in this offense. This is a tournament play only for me, but if you are looking for a discount with some upside Arnold is your guy.

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Tight Ends article and the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, covering cash games and tournaments, and we will have articles, videos, and podcasts so lock in with us in whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last minute news.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS Tight Ends: Week 4

Jason Mezrahi 4 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

The season is rolling it to Week 4, and I don’t want anyone to sleep on NFL DFS tight ends. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive in to this Week 4 NFL DFS slate and talk some tight ends.

TRAVIS KELCE, KC $8,100 DRAFTKINGS, $8,200 FANDUEL

Enjoy the $100 discount for Kelce this week on DraftKings and the $300 FanDuel provided lol. I guess the algorithms needed to slide him down $100-$300 after his 3rd consecutive 20 point game. Get used to seeing Kelce in this top spot each and every week and there is simply no reason to fade him in cash. I honestly can’t remember the last time Kelce had a game under 20 points. The Eagle passing defense is terrible and the Chiefs will feast on them. Regardless of all that, Kelce is truly matchup proof and when you take into account a 54.5 point total which Vegas has set for the line we should expect another 100 yard 20 point performance in Week 4. Lock him in up in cash and be confident that you can find discounts in tournaments to free up some cash to slide in the best tight end in the game.

LOGAN THOMAS, WSH $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $5,800 FANDUEL

Logan has been quiet out of the gate to start the first 3 weeks of the season, but the sample size is too small to start worrying. He has averaged 11.6 DraftKings points per game and now draws a cupcake matchup versus the Falcons that we need to take a look at. Lets not forget what the Eagles did to this Falcons secondary in week 1. Yes all my Philly fans out there, the Falcons even made Jalen and the Eagles look good. Goedert dropped 14.2 DraftKings points and Ertz sprinkled in 5.4. I’m not saying Thomas will lock in 20 but he does have a 20 point ceiling game in him this week at a very low ownership. The price and ownership is right on Thomas so feel confident playing him in both cash and tournaments.

NOAH FANT, DEN $4,300 DRAFTKINGS, $5,700 FANDUEL

Noah Fant had a down game in week 3 and we all received a discount simply because the Jets could not score 1 point. The Jets are bad, I mean really really bad, and this game was over before it started. This changes in week 4 against a Ravens team who has a bad defense and a explosive offense that can put up points. Teddy and the Broncos will have to throw the ball to keep pace and he now has once less weapon to throw to with Hamler going down. Fant is going to compete with Sutton to be the most targeted member of this offense moving forward and that will allow Fant to smash his value in week 4. A 10+ point performance is lock and I can easily see Fant sliding into the 20 point range. With the tight ends I reference in this low range, I believe them to be flex viable over reaching for a receiver/running back in some builds. This will also allow you to come off of some of the chalk at the skilled positions as well.

TYLER HIGBEE, LAR $4,600 DRAFTKINGS, $4,600 FANDUEL

Higbee is building rapport with Stafford and this offense in general is firing on all cylinders. The price is too cheap on Higbee in a matchup versus the Cardinals in what could be the fastest paced game of the slate. The over is set to 54.5 and I think this game stays close for four quarters of fantasy goodness. Stafford has thrown for 942 through 3 games and I don’t see that stopping in a matchup versus the Cardinals. Higbee should be a beneficiary of the passing attack and the shootout potential of this game. Combine that with the fact he is priced criminally too cheap and you have yourself a solid play for week 4.

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $3,400 DRAFTKINGS $5,000 FANDUEL

This play is for tournaments only but I loved what I saw out of Dalton versus the Eagles. With Gallup out it looks like Schultz is taking more and more of a active role in this passing game for Dallas. He has averaged 13.4 points per game through 3 games this year and I’m loving this price tag for tournaments. Like I said above rather than reaching for a $3,000 receiver, a guy like Schultz could provide a better floor in a great offense than other “chalk” plays in tournaments.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS Tight Ends: Week 3

Adam Zibuda 4 years ago

written by Adam Zibuda

The season is rolling it to Week 3, and I don’t want anyone to sleep on NFL DFS tight ends. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive in to this Week 3 NFL DFS slate and talk some tight ends.

TRAVIS KELCE, KC $8,200 DRAFTKINGS, $8,500 FANDUEL

Fade Kelce at your own risk! Coming off of back to back 25+ point performances on DraftKings you really cant ask for more. I honestly cant remember the last time Kelce had a game under 20 points. The Charger passing defense found a way to slow down the Cowboys last week but Kelce and the Chiefs are a different animal. Regardless of all that, Kelce is truly matchup proof and when you take into account a 55 point total which Vegas has set for the line we should expect another 100 yard 20 point performance in Week 3. Lock him in up in cash and be confident that you can find discounts in tournaments to free up some cash to slide in the best tight end in the game.

MARK ANDREWS, BAL $5,000 DRAFTKINGS, $6,000 FANDUEL

Andrews has yet to find his way into the end zone but this should be the game he finds pay dirt. The Lions are bad and their defense has holes in every layer. Lamar and the Ravens should roll into Detroit confident after their statement win against the Chiefs in Week 2. If he follows up the performance that Robert Tonyan had and adds some yardage and receptions we could easily see a 20 point game out of Andrews in Week 3. Currently Vegas has the over under set at 50 with the Ravens projected to score roughly 29 points. With that being said I expect a breakout game here for Andrews in a exploitable matchup versus the Lions.

NOAH FANT, DEN $4,200 DRAFTKINGS, $6,100 FANDUEL

Noah Fant actually received less targets in Week 2 without Jeudy than he did in Week 1 and I hope that lowers his ownership in Week 3. The Jets are bad, I mean really really bad, projected to score 15 bad by Vegas. Some may think that lowers the upside of Fant here but I am not going to shy away from him at this price tag on DraftKings. Fant can easily see 10+ targets in this game and Bridgewater has played great leading his team down the field. If the Jets can keep this game close enough through 4 quarters I love the floor Fant provides being the number 1 or 2 option in this Bronco offense.

TYLER HIGBEE $4,000 DRAFTKINGS, $5,500 FANDUEL

I love rostering players that were high owned the week prior and busted. We can almost guarantee that most of the people who played Higbee last week wont go back to the well this week. It was the Cooper Kupp show and if you had him on your roster it was close to an auto cash event. Kupp will be popular again and for good reason. The total of this game is currently sitting at 55.5 and it may even close higher by kickoff. Brady and the Buccaneers have been scoring at will which means the Rams will need to keep up through the air. When you do the math the Buccaneers have allowed an average of 27 points through 2 games and the Rams have scored 30.5. If all things hold equal we should see another game where Stafford comes out and throws 300+ yards and the Rams score 4 touchdowns. The Bucs have given up 16 catches for 144 yards to tight ends through two games and I will be completely fine with a 6 catch 70 yard game out of Higbee.

UPDATE: With Antonio Brown on Covid reserve feel free to load up some Gronk shares. There will be some regression coming with Gronks touchdown output but at $5,500 on DraftKings and a average of 24.5 points per game Gronk is looking really good in a game with a total of 55.5 points.

KYLE PITTS, ATL $4,900 DRAFTKINGS $6,200 FANDUEL

Kyle Pitts has gotten off to what some may call a slow start due to the lofty expectations, but lets remember we are talking about a rookie tight end paired with Matt Ryan and the Atlanta coaching staff. Pitts has 9 receptions along with 104 yards through 2 weeks and has received a healthy share of targets, averaging 7 per game. Both Noah Fant and Logan Thomas have put up good numbers versus the Giants to start this season and there is no doubt that Pitts will have a game to pay off his price tag in Week 3. The question is, can he find the end zone and score his first touchdown of his career. Vegas has Pitts props currently set at 4.5 receptions and 52.5 yards receiving which has him right around 10 DraftKings points. So feel free to playy Pitts in both cash and tournaments.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

NFL DFS Super Bowl Showdown Spectacular: Chiefs at Bucs

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re bringing you NFL DFS analysis that breaks down the Super Bowl Showdown contests — helping you win big money in the big game!

Let’s start off by acknowledging that the Chiefs are 3.5 point favorites on the road against the best QB in NFL history, and that the chalkiest game script would make Tom Brady the most likely candidate to rack up the most points on either site – especially considering how much the Bucs spread the ball around to multiple receivers.

If the Chiefs jump out to any kind of lead in this road game, there’s a very good chance the Bucs will make a run – and there’s not much of a chance the Chiefs blow out Tampa Bay on their home turf.

There are some interesting pricing options we should observe – most notably the low DK price on Ronald Jones II and the relatively high tag for Clyde Edwards-Helaire on both sites. Neither of these guys should be written off. I’ll be mixing in hares of both backs considering their talents and the long time they’ve had to recover from injuries – not to mention the relatively low ownership they’ll garner despite soaring upside. I’m comfortable using both in 2/10 builds, and one or the other in three of the remaining eight. Darrel Williams may be the better Chiefs back to own assuming a Bucs win, since he’s the more prolific pass catcher of the two Chiefs backs (excluding Le’Veon Bell – who is expected to be available in an admittedly uncertain role).

Considering how bad the Chiefs run defense is, there’s even a chance that I play both Leonard Fournette and Jones in the one or two contrarian builds (out of ten) that DON’T feature Tom Brady – whose last Super Bowl performance (2018 season) was an unmitigated bust: 262-0-1 in a 13-3 win against a stalwart Rams defense. But this Chiefs defense is not the same animal as that Rams unit – and I’m fairly certain the Chiefs would prefer a 60+ point game total to a defensive battle.

The Bucs defense, on the other hand, will have the most trouble stopping Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill – both of whom offer mismatches for contrasting reasons – Kelce for his size and ability to manhandle smaller defenders in the middle of the field and in the red zone, and Hill for his blazing speed and the separation he gets in the open field. Both should be chalky, but paired with the right QB (it’s going to be very difficult to fit both Brady and Patrick Mahomes), either of these players has a good chance to post 25+ fantasy points.

Having the Bucs DST in a stack with Jones is probably the best contrarian RB/DST route we can go, and it leaves plenty of salary for working in Mahomes/Kelce or Mahomes/Hill.

There’s also some merit to playing the Bucs TEs (one or both of Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate) in a stack with Brady – and it’s actually one of the ways to get both QBs in your lineup. This is assuming Mahomes does enough running and throwing himself to warrant consideration in a shootout at that obscene price tag. Gronk should be ready for a bigger workload in the biggest game he’s played since SB LIII, and Brate has five or more targets in three straight games. About one-quarter of the receiving yardage against the Chiefs came via the TE position this season, and Brate and Gronk’s usage in Week 12 against the Chiefs (Gronk ran 27 routes and caught 7-106-0 on eight targets; Brate saw six targets on 20 routes) fits that narrative. If Brady’s passing numbers soar, it’s very possible that him with WR/TE/TE could be the winning stack.

We’re not ignoring Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and we’re certainly looking the way of Scotty Miller for his price – but unless we hear that Antonio Brown is 100 percent and prepping for a big role, I’m comfortable leaving him out of the equation this week. If he’s active, he’ll garner some minimal ownership, but he’s yet to make a huge impact on this Bucs team except as a distraction, and we’ve got to take a stand somewhere. Evans and Godwin are way too expensive to play together along with Brady and the requisite Chiefs players.

Let’s talk briefly about defense/special teams. The pairings that work best for using a DST assume a defensive or special teams TD, so using one of the Bucs RBs with Jaydon Mickens (just $200 at FLEX on DK) and the Bucs DST could work. Conversely, the Chiefs DST could be paired with Mecole Hardman, who is $5,600 but offers some upside in the regular offense on end-arounds or quick-hitting catch-and-run plays that find him in space and galloping for greatness.

Let’s summarize and look at some Captain/MVP possibilities:

Super Bowl NFL DFS Captain/MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $15,000, FD $15,000)

Pivot: Patrick Mahomes (DK $18,000, FD $16,500)

Contrarian #1: Travis Kelce (DK $16,500, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #2: Leonard Fournette (DK $11,700, FD $12,500)

FD/DK Value: Ronald Jones II (DK $2,200 FLEX, FD $8,000), Darrel Williams (DK $5,200 FLEX, FD $9,000). Scotty Miller (DK $3,400 FLEX, FD $6,500)

With these prices and scenarios in mind, let’s look at some of the possibilities on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Additional NFL DFS Notes: Super Bowl Showdown – DraftKings

The 1.5x bonus is nice, but you’ve got to pay the piper for it. We’ve discussed Brady as the best possible captain choice and how you can make it work with Scotty Miller and TEs, but if you roll that way in a smattering of your MME builds you really have to alternate some Chiefs (CEH/Hill or CEH/Kelce).

This is also the only site we can utilize some of the DST touchdown stacks (with the kick returners), so bear that in mind.

It’s also the site where we can roll the dice on RoJo or play around with the idea of using the salary-saving Scotty Miller as captain. And since we have to fill six spots, kickers are a little more in play than they are on FD – where there are just five slots.

Additional NFL DFS Notes: Super Bowl Showdown – FanDuel

While things are a little more straightforward on FD (higher minimum price, no defenses and flat cost for all positions) you have to get a little more creative to build a unique lineup. This makes single-entry tournaments even more attractive and means you can more comfortably roster a big-impact, large-volume skill position players who’s not a QB (I’m looking at all four RBs, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin if you’re looking for a narrow player pool).

That said, I still prefer Tom Brady in the captain spot on FD. He’s got a lot of productive pass-catching weapons, he likes to spread it around, and he’s going to rack up points in about eight of the 10 narratives we’ve discussed.

I probably won’t be using kickers in my FD builds.

A couple more things:

Pay attention to new WinDaily handicapper Mike North’s betting preview and any updates he makes.
Check out Mike and Sia’s podcast breakdown.

Lastly — keep an eye out for injury updates and breaking news right up to lock for NFL DFS. A lot can happen the night before a Super Bowl, even during the time of COVID.

10:30 a.m. injury/news update

Chiefs WR Sammy Watkins (calf) had been trending in the right direction and will suit up for Super Bowl LV. While his usage in the big game is a huge question mark, he probably won’t receive his normal complement of snaps and routes. Just because he’s active doesn’t mean he should be a staple of your builds, and he’s certainly not cash-viable. Chiefs C Daniel Kilgore (COVID-19 precautions) was also cleared for the Super Bowl after testing negative all week as a high-risk close contact — but that’s just context. Explosive but underutilized WR Demarcus Robinson has also been removed from the team’s COVID list and will be available.

Antonio Brown (knee) and Cameron Brate (back) are also active, which means the Bucs will be at full strength offensively despite Brown’s previous inactivity and Brate’s back injury he sustained in practice this week. I’m still hesitant to play Brown, and Brate’s DFS upside depends largely on snap count and red zone usage.

4 years ago 0 comments

Collector’s Corner: NFL Playoffs – AFC Trading Cards

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

With the start of the NFL Playoffs, Collector’s Corner will take a look at what trading cards could see a bump based on their impending gridiron success. We’ll start with the AFC.

Note: Collector’s Corner will use my DFS-derived Cash/GPP/Punt terminology (introduced in part 2 of my NBA preview piece) to break down the best buys – “Cash” being solid, low-risk with a high ceiling but moderate growth potential, “GPP” being a little more risky but marked by enormous growth potential, and “Punts” – which can be had cheaply but don’t offer quite the same upside/growth potential as the Cash and GPP plays.

First Round Bye

Kansas City Chiefs

Cash – Patrick Mahomes rookie trading cards remain the most sought-after and expensive slabs on the market. There’s still some room for growth, and the Chiefs appear poised for another Super Bowl run. If you can’t afford the 2017 rookies, there are plenty of 2018-2020 products that still command high prices and are worth grabbing. And the second-year PSA 9s won’t break your bankroll.

GPP – Tyreek Hill and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are probably the two players with the most growth potential on the Chiefs, as a 2016 Panini Prizm Silver (in a PSA 10) sold for just $375 in November, and the injury to Clyde Edwards-Helaire (and acquisition of Le’Veon Bell) slowed the hype train on the Chiefs rookie RB. I just bought a gorgeous SGC 10 of Hill’s Prizm Silver rookie for $275 – I like the SGC slabs better anyway and this could easily be a $450-500 trading card if he shines again in the playoffs.

Punt – Travis Kelce is a great player, but tight end trading cards don’t typically command the prices that QBs, RBs and even WRS do. Excluding his beautiful 2013 National Treasures autos and RPAs, Kelce’s rookies are affordable and prime for more growth as collectors realize what a generational talent he is at the position and how he’s a near lock for HOF enshrinement in Canton.

Wild Card games

The Best: Bills, Ravens, Titans

Buffalo Bills

Cash – Josh Allen is the guy to collect right now, period. I’m buying up Prizms and Donruss Rated Rookies – as well as any and all parallels when I can – and I’ve already seen 50% growth in a die-cut 2018 Obsidian Cutting Edge rookie patch card (pictured below) I got for under $50 a couple of weeks ago. His 2018 Prizm trading cards are selling for outrageous prices, but I think as long as the Bills aren’t done, neither is that profit potential. I really like his Prizm Red, White and Blue rookie card, which can be found in retail cello packs from that year. 2018 products are still a solid buy, as we’ve got Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield and Saquon Barkley in that class as well, and the prices dropped a bit with the Barkley injury and while Jackson struggled through some November chill.

GPP – Stefon Diggs and Devin Singletary have a few things going against them for maximum value. Diggs rookies are in Minnesota Vikings gear, and Singletary splits the backfield with Zack Moss – who’s a solid rookie buy that hasn’t seen much of a jump at all. I might pivot to cheaper low-numbered 2020 Diggs parallels instead of shelling out big bucks for his Vikings trading cards.

Punt – Gabriel Davis could have a solid career if he cuts down on the stupid penalties and continues to improve. There’s a lot to like about him and his cards are very affordable – but the Bills have lots of skill position players who could overshadow him.

Some of the Gabriel Davis cards I’ve collected this past year. He’s a physically gifted receiver in a good spot for production in Buffalo.

Baltimore Ravens

Cash – Lamar Jackson falls just behind Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen and ahead of Baker Mayfield (more on him later). He’s almost a GPP buy because of the questions about his long-term viability, but I think there’s still plenty of growth potential. If the Ravens can pull off a couple of playoff wins and he plays well – we could see an immediate jump back to the where the prices were in 2019.

GPP – J.K. Dobbins is probably the best buy on the Ravens right now, and his cards remain cheap because he shares backfield duties with Gus Edwards and Mark Ingram II. That won’t last, so get yourself one of his rookies.

Punt – Patrick Queen and Devin Duvernay are cheap and while defensive players don’t fare all that well, standout Ravens ILBs have a legacy all their own. Duvernay has a lot of talent but needs some development before his cards do anything at all.

Tennessee Titans

Cash – Derrick Henry is a beast, and there’s a live eBay auction right now for a PSA 10 Gem Mint example of his 2016 Prizm Silver rookie. It’ll be interesting to see how high it goes, since the recent sold examples encompass a wide range from $450 to well over $600.

GPP – Ryan Tannehill and A.J. Brown trading cards have some juice, but they’d have a lot more if the Titans somehow went to the Super Bowl. Hey they came close last year!

Punt – I might invest in a few Darrynton Evans and Corey Davis (2017) rookie cards, but they are definitely punts that would need a few planets to align before they saw a discernible jump.

I’ve had this card since I pulled the redemption card in a 2017 Panini Phoenix hobby box that yielded terrible autos — but one awesome Rookie Rising parallel of Patrick Mahomes #d/49 that I sold raw (like a chump) a couple of years ago. If I only knew how high his cards would go in the ensuing two years…

The Rest: Colts, Browns, Steelers

Indianapolis Colts

Cash – I highly recommend buying up the Colts in team breaks for their talented rookies – led by Jonathan Taylor. Taylor’s trading cards are on the rise but still affordable – and there’s lots of excellent products to choose from (2020 Mosaic, Prizm Draft, Prizm and Phoenix are my favorites).

GPP – Michael Pittman, Jr. has a great frame and a bright future in the NFL. We’ve seen flashes of what he’s capable of, but he’s lost a bit in the exceptional 2020 WR class.

Punt – Jacob Eason base cards are dirt cheap – because his future is uncertain compared to the likes of Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Tua Tagovailoa and even QB-in-waiting Jordan Love. Other than being buried on the depth chart for the rest of 2020, the biggest knock on his future is his mobility. If he has elite upside, it’s more Peyton Manning than Patrick Mahomes, since he doesn’t operate well in the muddy pockets that characterize modern NFL football.

Cleveland Browns

Cash – Baker Mayfield cards are selling for about one-quarter of what Josh Allen cards are commanding at the moment, which is pretty insane when you consider that both QBs have unlimited potential. Raw 2018 Prizm base rookies can be had for $15-20, and they’re hard to find in a PSA 10. If you see one of those for under $1K, buy it.

GPP – Nick Chubb is a stud, and he’s part of that solid 2018 draft class. If I were a Browns fan, I’d be buying up all his stuff. I might just do it anyway.

This 1/1 NFL Shield card of Chubb is for sale on eBay.

Punt – I have a really sweet 2020 Harrison Bryant Prizm Draft Picks auto (numbered 6/25) for sale on eBay, and I get lowball offers for it all the time. I might just pull it off my listings if he shines in the playoffs.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cash – Some Ben Roethlisberger trading cards are quite expensive but base rookies still have some growth potential, especially if he can make another run at the Lombardi trophy. Sadly, I don’t think this team has the running game to get it done.

GPP – JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool are all decent buys, but their long-term value depends on the future of the QB position.

Punt – Anthony McFarland, Jr. is my buy-low guy, and I don’t think he’s been given a fair shot at touches with the other Steelers RBs struggling so much this season. Maybe he’ll break out in 2021.

Stay tuned for Part 2 — the NFC!

4 years ago 0 comments

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Travis Kelce

Let’s take a look at out NFL Week 8 DFS Tight Ends!

KYLE PITTS, ATL $6,300 DRAFTKINGS, $6,800 FANDUEL

TJ HOCKENSON, DET $5,400 DRAFTKINGS, $6,200 FANDUEL

NOAH FANT, DEN $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $5,800 FANDUEL

DALLAS GOEDERT, PHI $4,600 DRAFTKINGS, $5,400 FANDUEL

DAN ARNOLD, JAC $2,800 DRAFTKINGS $4,900 FANDUEL

Let’s dive in to this NFL Week 7 slate and talk some DFS Tight Ends!

TRAVIS KELCE, KC $7,600 DRAFTKINGS, $8,200 FANDUEL

DARREN WALLER, LV $6,700 DRAFTKINGS, $6,800 FANDUEL

MARK ANDREWS, BAL $6,000 DRAFTKINGS, $5,900 FANDUEL

DALLAS GOEDERT, PHI $4,600 DRAFTKINGS, $5,400 FANDUEL

RICKY SEALS-JONES, WAS $3,700 DRAFTKINGS $5,400 FANDUEL

Vegas Script: Total: 43, Steelers -4.5

Captains:

Chalk: Najee Harris, $17,700:

Pivot: Dionte Johnson, $14,700:

Contrarian #1: Chase Claypool, $13,200:

Contrarian #2: DK Metcalf, $15,000:

Contrarian#3: Ben Roethlisberger, $16,500:

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Seahawks at Steelers 10.17 Flex Plays:

Kickers and defenses:

Let’s dive in to this NFL Week 6 slate and talk some DFS Tight Ends!

MARK ANDREWS, BAL $5,200 DRAFTKINGS, $6,300 FANDUEL

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $6,500 FANDUEL

EVAN ENGRAM, NYG $3,400 DRAFTKINGS, $5,000 FANDUEL

JARED COOK, LAC $3,200 DRAFTKINGS, $5,400 FANDUEL

RICKY SEALS-JONES, WAS $3,000 DRAFTKINGS $5,000 FANDUEL

Vegas Script: Total: 56.5 Chiefs -3

Captains:

Chalk: Josh Allen $18,600:

Pivot: Patrick Mahomes $18,000:

Contrarian #1: Travis Kelce, $13,800:

Contrarian #2: Tyreek Hill

Contrarian#3: Stefon Diggs :

WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bills at Chiefs 10.10 Flex Plays:

Kickers and defenses:

Let’s dive in to this Week 5 NFL slate and talk some DFS Tight Ends!

TJ HOCKENSON, DET $5,500 DRAFTKINGS, $6,400 FANDUEL

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $4,400 DRAFTKINGS, $6,200 FANDUEL

GEORGE KITTLE, SF $5,600 DRAFTKINGS, $6,500 FANDUEL

EVAN ENGRAM, NYG $3,200 DRAFTKINGS, $5,300 FANDUEL

DAN ARNOLD, JAC 2,900 DRAFTKINGS $4,800 FANDUEL

TRAVIS KELCE, KC $8,100 DRAFTKINGS, $8,200 FANDUEL

LOGAN THOMAS, WSH $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $5,800 FANDUEL

NOAH FANT, DEN $4,300 DRAFTKINGS, $5,700 FANDUEL

TYLER HIGBEE, LAR $4,600 DRAFTKINGS, $4,600 FANDUEL

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $3,400 DRAFTKINGS $5,000 FANDUEL

NOAH FANT, DEN $4,200 DRAFTKINGS, $6,100 FANDUEL

TYLER HIGBEE $4,000 DRAFTKINGS, $5,500 FANDUEL

KYLE PITTS, ATL $4,900 DRAFTKINGS $6,200 FANDUEL

Super Bowl NFL DFS Captain/MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $15,000, FD $15,000)

Pivot: Patrick Mahomes (DK $18,000, FD $16,500)

Contrarian #1: Travis Kelce (DK $16,500, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #2: Leonard Fournette (DK $11,700, FD $12,500)

FD/DK Value: Ronald Jones II (DK $2,200 FLEX, FD $8,000), Darrel Williams (DK $5,200 FLEX, FD $9,000). Scotty Miller (DK $3,400 FLEX, FD $6,500)

Additional NFL DFS Notes: Super Bowl Showdown – DraftKings

Additional NFL DFS Notes: Super Bowl Showdown – FanDuel

10:30 a.m. injury/news update

First Round Bye

Kansas City Chiefs

Wild Card games

The Best: Bills, Ravens, Titans

Buffalo Bills

Baltimore Ravens

Tennessee Titans

The Rest: Colts, Browns, Steelers

Indianapolis Colts

Cleveland Browns

Pittsburgh Steelers

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