Tag:

Toronto Raptors

NBA Ghost’s Gems for Play-In Tournament (Apr. 12)

On the second day of the NBA Play-In tournament, there are two intriguing matchups. The Eastern Conference side features two underachieving rosters. Meanwhile, the Western Conference side has two rosters set to contend in the near future.

Here is the NBA Playoff bracket with final seeding:

The fantasy sports landscape shifts drastically throughout the NBA Playoffs. Rotations are much more condensed, while teams are quick to shorten their bench. In both this article and the Opening Round Matchup Breakdown articles, there will be rotation notes, player breakdowns, analytical advantages, and key x-factors. The x-factor will not be the best player on the team, but rather, someone that will provide an edge in both fantasy sports and on the court in real time.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Toronto Raptors (9) vs. Chicago Bulls (10)

Toronto Raptors (-5.5)

Introduction

Although they won an NBA Championship only a few seasons ago, this roster looks like it needs a massive overhaul. Scottie Barnes is a player to build a franchise around, and Pascal Siakam remains an All-NBA talent. However, the inconsistency of Fred VanVleet along with a combination of injuries and a short bench ruined the potential of a successful season for the Raptors.

Matchup

Despite an offense that thrives on switchability and getting to the rim, this matchup will be exploited on the perimeter. Outside of Alex Caruso, the Bulls do not have elite perimeter defenders. Yes, Patrick Beverley was added to the roster, but he is the furthest thing from an impact player when the cards are on the table. Moreover, the Bulls ranked 29th in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per game. This creates an excellent scenario for Fred VanVleet, OG Anunoby, and Gary Trent Jr. off the bench.

Rotation

Coach Nick Nurse plays his cards tight. As he always has, whether it is a regular season game in January or the NBA Play-In round. Look for Pascal Siakam, Fred VanVleet, and Scottie Barnes to garner all the minutes they can handle. Moreover, Jakob Poeltl will man the paint, while OG Anunoby flanks the wings. Elsewhere, Gary Trent Jr. will be the first guard off the bench, while Precious Achiuwa and Chris Boucher will pick up a few minutes in the frontcourt.

X-Factor

While Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam will lead the offense, no one is as important as Scottie Barnes. In the few minutes VanVleet takes off, Barnes will handle the rock. Moreover, his combination of scoring, playmaking, and rebounding makes him elite in all aspects of the game. Lastly, he has the most important defensive assignment of the night in guarding one of Zach Lavine or DeMar DeRozan at all times.

Chicago Bulls (+5.5)

Introduction

Despite having a lot of money committed to their “Big 3”, Chicago had yet another disappointing season. Only Zach Lavine and DeMar DeRozan averaged over 20 points per game. Elsewhere only Patrick Williams (10.2 points per game) chipped in double digits per night. This team is not only severely limited on offense, but they are in one of the toughest matchups they could have possibly imagined in the NBA Play-In round.

Matchup

This is simply an awful matchup for the Bulls. Yes, the Raptors have underwhelmed this season after winning an NBA Championship only a few years ago. Gone is Kawhi Leonard, but the core of this team remains intact. Scottie Barnes and OG Anunoby will wreck havoc on the defensive side of the ball, while the acquisition of Jakob Poeltl gives Toronto an interior presence they have lacked. It will be a low-scoring affair, and massive changes await the Bulls if they do not make it out of this game.

Rotation

Chicago can approach their rotation in a few ways heading into this game. The intelligent way to do would be offsetting Lavine, DeRozan, and Vucevic so that two of three are on the court at all times. Zach Lavine needs to lead the team in minutes if they want a shot at winning. Moreover, while he was inconsistent at times this season, Fred VanVleet needs to be guarded by Alex Caruso. Elsewhere, Patrick Williams is a good fit in this one, while Patrick Beverley will likely get more attention than Coby White, despite the former being useless on the offensive side of the ball. If Beverley gets more minutes than Caruso and White, there is no doubt that it will be the demise of the Bulls.

X-Factor

This issue for this Bulls offense is just how stout Toronto’s defense can be. When you have Scottie Barnes and OG Anunoby guarding you, their wingspans allow them to contest nearly every shot successfully. However, Zach Lavine will have to be the key contributor tonight. Yes, DeMar DeRozan is the king of the midrange jumper. However, it is Lavine that will be able to not only create shots for others, but his own.

New Orleans Pelicans (9) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (10)

New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5)

Introduction

It was an underwhelming season for the Pelicans. After a torrid start to the year, where they went 18-8, the injury bug caught up to them. Zion Williamson was held to a mere 29 appearances, while Brandon Ingram made 45 of his own. However, this roster is well constructed and has potential. Ingram leads the offense, while a savvy veteran in CJ McCollum gives New Orleans stability in the backcourt. Flanked by two of the most underrated defenders in the NBA, the Pelicans look good heading into this matchup, if they can hold the young Thunder in check.

Matchup

An unsettling matchup looms for the Pelicans. While the Thunder’s defensive unit is far from elite, this is an offense that posted the fifth-most points per game in the NBA. On the offensive side of the ball, Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum will carry the highest usage rates. However, do not overlook Jonas Valanciunas. Yes, his minutes are in question, depending on the matchup throughout the regular season. But in a one-and-done scenario, look for Valanciunas to dominate an OKC interior that ranked 22nd versus true centers and 28th in rebounding percentage.

Rotation

Considering the Pelicans roster is appropriately placed on the pricing grid tonight, there is not much interest in their bench. Additionally, this figures to be one of, if not the tightest rotations in the Play-In. Brandon Ingram will flank CJ McCollum in the backcourt. Meanwhile, the perimeter defensive duo of Herbert Jones and Trey Murphy III have a daunting task ahead of them. Jonas Valanciunas will man the paint and is in a terrific matchup, as alluded to above. Elsewhere, Josh Richardson and Naji Marshall will be the first to come off the bench, as will Larry Nance Jr., should he be healthy enough. If not, look for one of Jaxson Hayes or Willy Hernangomez to pick up a few minutes.

X-Factor

No one will be as crucial for the Pelicans in this game as Herbert Jones. Yes, he has many limitations on offense. Not only did he averaged a mere 9.8 points per game on a horrific 14.5% usage rate, but his shot is incredibly inconsistent. However, Jones is a candidate for an All-NBA defense team this year and has been tremendous when guarding primary ball handlers. Thus, with a matchup against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the horizon, he will be in for a ton of minutes.

Oklahoma City Thunder (+5.5)

Introduction

While most had the Thunder set for the NBA draft lottery, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had other plans. Not only did the Canadian break out this season, but he finished fourth in league scoring. Moreover, Josh Giddey and Jalen Williams were terrific this year. Giddey came through on multiple occasions, averaging 16.6/7.9/6.2 on 48.2% shooting. Additionally, had it not been for Paolo Banchero, Williams would be the favorite for Rookie of the Year. JDub had a terrific run after the All-Star break and finished fourth in rookie scoring.

Matchup

Despite the loss of Zion Williamson, the Pelicans have a stout defensive unit. Not only did they rank 6th in the NBA in defensive rating, but they also allowed the ninth-fewest points per game. However, the backcourt of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey will give the Pelicans all they can handle. The Pelicans have two terrific perimeter defenders and this one will come down to who can outduel the other.

Rotation

Four players will seemingly not leave the court for the Thunder tonight. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, and Lu Dort figure to play the most minutes. Moreover, the duo of Jaylin Williams and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl will man the paint. Elsewhere, Isaiah Joe will be the first guard off the bench. Lastly, their minutes aren’t guaranteed, but Dario Saric, Tre Mann, and Lindy Waters III are darkhorse candidates, depending on the flow of the game.

X-Factor

The role that Lu Dort will have to play in this game cannot go overlooked. Yes, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will lead the offense. Moreover, Josh Giddey will be a force on both ends of the court. But it is Dort that will have to step up in a big way. The 3-and-D wing has a perfect game for the NBA Playoffs. He is an excellent defender and can hit the three well. In a matchup versus Brandon Ingram, Dort will have to excel on both ends of the court.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA

NBA Ghost’s Gems for Play-In Tournament (Apr. 11)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With the NBA season concluded, it’s time for the best part of the season. The Play-In tournament was introduced three seasons ago and has been a great addition to the existing format. In a one-and-done scenario for some, every second of these games is crucial.

Here is the NBA Playoff bracket with final seeding:

Miami Heat (7) vs. Atlanta Hawks (8)

Miami Heat (-5.5)

Introduction

Despite their shortcomings on offense, Miami has one of the best defensive units in the NBA Playoffs. A one-two punch of Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo on the perimeter and in the paint, respectively, is one of the best combinations in the league. However, the Heat will need to find a way to produce offensively. No player averaged more than 11.5 points per game outside of Butler, Adebayo, and Tyler Herro. Additionally, Miami had the lowest scoring offense in the league this year with 109.5 points per game.

Matchup

On paper and in real time, these two teams are complete opposites. Miami had the worst scoring offense in the league, while only being ranked 25th in offensive rating and 29th in pace. However, the Hawks posted over 118 points per game, ranking them third in the league. They also were 7th in offensive rating and 6th in pace.

Rotation

The Heat will only go as far as Butler, Adebayo, and Herro take them. On a two-game NBA slate, raw points are king. Thus, Butler and Herro make for the most intriguing options on this roster. Elsewhere, look for Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, and Caleb Martin to see decent run. Other candidates, would be Victor Oladipo, Gabe Vincent, and Cody Zeller, but don’t count on it.

X-Factor

As alluded to earlier, this section is reserved for a player that is set to be an unknown difference-maker. In this game, Jimmy Butler will be the best player on the court. However, there is a good chance that Tyler Herro leads the team in scoring. If the Hawks play this one properly, they would have Hunter on Butler, Murray on Herro, and Young on Strus or Lowry. However, the Hawks have been reluctant to do so this season, meaning whoever lands on an individual matchup versus Trae Young will be crucial to a win.

Atlanta Hawks (+5.5)

Introduction

In an awkward position with a lot of money and term committed to multiple players, the Hawks stumbled into the Play-In tournament this season. Atlanta is still a key piece or two away from being true contenders, but they have a legitimate shot at winning this game due to their offensive firepower. In a year where offenses were taken to new heights, it was Atlanta who scored the third-most points per game, posting the seventh-best offensive rating amongst all teams.

Matchup

On paper, this is a horrendous matchup for the Hawks’ main contributors. Trae Young will certainly lead the offense, but Miami has the best perimeter defense in the NBA this season. Moreover, they ranked first against true primary ball handlers. Where Miami could be exploited is on the deep ball; the Heat ranked 28th in the league this season to three-point shooters, giving up 13.1 makes per game.

Rotation

Trae Young and Dejounte Murray lead a star-studded backcourt, surrounded by quality role players. De’Andre Hunter, John Collins, and Clint Capela likely round out the starting unit in this one. Meanwhile, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Saddiq Bey, and Onyeka Okongwu round out what can certainly be one of, if not the tightest rotation in the Play-In round.

X-Factor

As alluded to earlier, this section is reserved for a player that is set to be an unknown difference-maker. In this game, De’Andre Hunter will be the most crucial contributor not named Trae Young or Dejounte Murray. While both John Collins and Clint Capela have their hands full with Bam Adebayo guarding the paint, it is Hunter that will benefit from a Heat defensive unit known to switch Jimmy Butler onto primary ball handlers. Being one of the most promising 3-and-D wings in the NBA since coming out of Virginia, Hunter will be relied upon on both ends of the court.

Los Angeles Lakers (7) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (8)

Los Angeles Lakers (-7.5)

Introduction

Despite a season of turmoil, the Lakers turned things around to get into the Play-In tournament. This team has one of the best duos in the NBA, alongside quality role players whom were acquired at the trade deadline. The highlight of the season has to be the emergence of Austin Reaves, who will play a crucial role in the Lakers’ playoff run.

Matchup

In the absence of Rudy Gobert, no player has a better matchup than Anthony Davis. Moreover, LeBron James figures to dominate against a Minnesota team that struggled to guard primary ball handlers all season long. With Minnesota playing at a fast pace with like Los Angeles does, only with far worse defense, this one plays right into the Lakers’ hands.

Rotation

This Lakers rotation is surprisingly deep thanks to an overhaul at the trade deadline. Alongside LeBron James and Anthony Davis, D’Angelo Russell and Austin Reaves will play prominent minutes. Moreover, Jarred Vanderbilt and his defensive ability will earn him significant run. Rounding out the rotation, when necessary, are Dennis Schroder (when healthy), Malik Beasley, and Tory Brown Jr. There is potential for Rui Hachimura and/or Wenyen Gabriel to see some time if the Lakers make a Playoff run, but their minutes will be scarce.

X-Factor

As alluded to earlier, this section is reserved for a player that is set to be a difference-maker without being the consensus top talent on his team. In this game, the duo of D’Angelo Russell and Austin Reaves will be relied upon to take advantage of a poor Minnesota perimeter defense. On the season, Minnesota ranked 25th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, which bodes well for LeBron James, but Reaves and Russell have enticing matchups versus Mike Conley, Taurean Prince, and Anthony Edwards.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+7.5)

Introduction

The Minnesota overhaul was a disaster. Rudy Gobert was acquired in the offseason for far too many assets, and it simply has not worked out. This offense is stagnant, relying on Anthony Edwards in isolation far too often. Meanwhile, the defensive unit has been mediocre at best. In a matchup versus a streaking Lakers team, the Timberwolves will be lucky to be in this game at the start of the fourth quarter.

Matchup

The highlight of this matchup will be the pace of play. Respectively, Los Angeles and Minnesota ranked 4th and 7th in the NBA this season. However, when the individual matchups are broken down, there is not much to like about the Timberwolves. Sure, Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns will handle a ridiculous number of offensive looks, but lining up on LeBron James and Anthony Davis is no joke. Moreover, Minnesota will be forced to rely on role players who, themselves, are outmatched by the likes of D’Angelo Russell, Austin Reaves, and Jarred Vanderbilt.

Rotation

Minnesota’s season was underwhelming after the acquisition of Rudy Gobert, and it was truthfully expected. In this game, expect to see as much Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns as you ever have. Moreover, Kyle Anderson and Taurean Prince will be forced into meaningful minutes. Since Jaylen Nowell missed five straight games to end the regular season, Jordan McLaughlin and Nickeil Alexander-Walker are the first guards off the bench. Filler minutes will be there for Austin Rivers and Nathan Knight, if necessary.

X-Factor

As alluded to earlier, this section is reserved for a player that is set to be an unknown difference-maker. In this game, the Timberwolves simply do not stand a chance if Towns does not have one of the best games of his career. With Rudy Gobert suspended and Naz Reid out for the season, Towns will have to stay out of foul trouble against Anthony Davis. This is not going to go well for Minneosta.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 16)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite only five games being on the NBA schedule tonight, there are many stars taking the court. A few matchups are heavily favored in the direction of two Championship contenders, but there are two games that stand above the rest. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Sacramento Kings @ Brooklyn Nets (-2.5)

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

On the second half of a back-to-back, there is no question that the Kings find themselves in the best game environment of the NBA slate. Despite holding the #2 seed in the Western Conference, Sacramento is somehow not favored in this game. Thus, there is a chance that De’Aaron Fox is resting. However, until that news is confirmed, he is in a terrific spot. Not only has Fox strung together two straight 30-point performances, but he leads the league in clutch scoring. Should Brooklyn be unable to switch Mikal Bridges onto Fox routinely, which is going to be the case, Fox will have his way with Spencer Dinwiddie.

Brooklyn Nets (-2.5)

The Kings have the best offensive rating in the NBA, but rank 26th in defensive rating this season. Over their last ten games, they rank 29th with a whopping 120.1 net defensive rating, while allowing 126.3 points per game. Enter the duo of Mikal Bridges and Spencer Dinwiddie, who have been carrying the offense since arriving to town. Moreover, Cam Johnson gets a matchup with a Kings defense that ranks 29th in wing defense, while allowing the 18th-most three-pointers per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Toronto Raptors (-5.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+5.5)

There simply is no stopping Shai Gilgeous-Alexander this season. The face of the Thunder franchise now sits fifth in NBA scoring with 31.3 points per game. Moreover, he has scored 30 or more points in five straight games, averaging 36/6.2/4.6 on 51.8% shooting during that span. While Scottie Barnes is an elite perimeter defender, SGA will put on a show in front of his hometown crowd.

Toronto Raptors (-5.5)

This OKC defense is certainly far from elite, and they are most exposed to combo wings and on the inside. Two players are of high interest in this one, and they are not the familiar faces most will play when getting exposure to the Raptors offense. While the field trends toward Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet, both OG Anunoby and Jakob Poeltl have terrific matchups. After missing a month with a wrist injury, Anunoby has yet to play under 30 minutes since his return, while averaging 27.5 points per game in his last two appearances. Moreover, Jakob Poeltl has been a walking double-double in his second stint with the team, averaging 14.7/9.3/2.7 in 13 appearances with the team.

Honorable Mentions:

Denver Nuggets @ Detroit Pistons (+12.5)
Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks (-13.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 8)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA schedule is filled with intrigue. Multiple teams have players that contending teams covet, while others are missing some of their best players. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

San Antonio Spurs @ Toronto Raptors (-9.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+9.5)

Not only do the Spurs have many players that contending teams desperately want, but their current roster is also riddled with injuries. The trio of Keldon Johnson, Tre Jones, and Jeremy Sochan are at risk of missing this game, with the latter being listed as doubtful. Moreover, Jones has missed the team’s last two games, while Devin Vassell is also out after having knee surgery. This injury report will be key to monitor throughout the day, as the Spurs will be one of the primary sources of value plays for this NBA slate.

Toronto Raptors (-9.5)

The most intriguing team heading into the NBA trade deadline is north of the border. The Raptors have had a disappointing season, to say the least. While Pascal Siakam is posting better numbers than his All-NBA seasons of 2020 and 2022, the team has struggled mightily. OG Anunoby remains out with a wrist injury and is one of, if not the most coveted player on the trading block across the league. Moreover, Fred VanVleet and Gary Trent Jr. join Siakam in a long list of core players potentially on the move. Should the Raptors sit players out, be sure to adjust accordingly.

Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

Golden State Warriors (+4.5)

It will be a lather, rinse, and repeat scenario with the Warriors offense until Steph Curry makes his return. On Monday, both Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson were highlighted as core plays, and the backcourt tandem came through. Poole and Thompson combined for 53 points, with Thompson knocking down 12 of 16 shot attempts from behind the arc. Portland struggles mightily versus primary ball handlers, ranking 24th in the NBA, making Poole the preferred target of the two. Moreover, Draymond Green gets a friendly matchup on the inside versus Drew Eubanks, with Jusuf Nurkic ruled out with a calf injury.

Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

With Damian Lillard being close to the likes of Jayson Tatum and Joel Embiid on the pricing grid, the former will fly under the radar. Thus, Dame Time makes for the perfect play for this NBA slate in tournaments. The Warriors interior and wing defenses flourish thanks to Thompson and Green, but they lack perimeter defense versus primary ball handlers. They currently sit 26th in the NBA versus opposing lead guards, with Poole being a far worse defender than Curry. Lillard has posted 30 or more points in six of his last eight games, averaging 38.5/4.3/6.9 on 54.1% shooting.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)
Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 1)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are tremendous matchups on this NBA slate. Many elite stars take the court, with multiple injury reports expecting to be lengthy. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

Golden State Warriors (-2.5)

The defending NBA Champions are currently slated in the Play-In tournament, but no one in the league wants to face this team. Every game counts for them down the stretch, as they look to creep into a top-4 seed to gain homecourt advantage in the opening round of the playoffs. Steph Curry will continue to lead the way and is in a phenomenal matchup tonight. Minnesota lacks perimeter defense and guarding Curry is a daunting task. Over his last three games, Curry has posted 30 or more points in each appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 35.7/5.7/8.7 on 58.3% shooting during that span, including 53.3% from behind the arc on 5.3 three-pointers made per night.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

Anthony Edwards continues to lead the charge for a reeling Timberwolves squad. However, he lacks upside on this slate given his positioning on the pricing grid. Thus, the duo of D’Angelo Russell and Rudy Gobert are enticing in good individual matchups. Edwards will draw Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins on defense, leaving Russell ample room to find his shot. Moreover, Rudy Gobert will take few shot attempts in this one, but has point/dollar upside given his strong chance of getting a double-double. On an NBA slate where most will look to the top of the pricing grid at the center position, Gobert makes for an excellent tournament play.

Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

Sacramento Kings (-7.5)

The Kings hold the third seed in the Western Conference but have many teams approaching them. Thus, not even a matchup against the lowly Spurs should be taken lightly. The duo of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are both in terrific matchups. San Antonio currently ranks 28th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers and Fox has registered 29 and 32 points, respectively, over his last two games, averaging 30.5/4/5 on 45.1% shooting. Moreover, the Spurs have solid interior defense with Jakob Poeltl manning the paint, but Sabonis will dominate the glass versus a team that sits 20th in the league in rebounding.

San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

If there is ever a spot to play Keldon Johnson with confidence, it’s in this matchup. While the Spurs continue to look toward the future, Johnson figures to be a crucial piece in their rebuild. Moreover, he leads the team with a 28.1% usage rate this season. Despite a 1-7 record over the team’s last eight games, Johnson has scored 20 or more points in seven of those. He has averaged 25.4/5/2.4 on 48.8% shooting during that span, and gets a matchup versus a Kings defense that ranks last in the NBA versus combo wings.

Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

In the absence of OG Anunoby, other players in this Toronto rotation must step up. Over the last few NBA slates, no one has been as popular as Precious Achiuwa. He has now scored in double digits over his last eight games, averaging 15.6/9.3/1 on 59.3% shooting. The Jazz rank last in the league versus small-ball centers despite ranking second in the league in points allowed in the paint per game. Scottie Barnes and Pascal Siakam also make for excellent tournament plays.

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

While Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, and Mike Conley have solidified their place in the Jazz rotation, the true value here lies in the paint. Walker Kessler has been having a phenomenal rookie campaign, averaging 7.7/7.3 on 71.5% shooting. Moreover, he sits fourth in the NBA in blocks per game with 2.0. However, with Toronto running a smaller lineup, do not overlook Jarred Vanderbilt. Make sure to check our proprietary projections to see which of the two is set to give the most value.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets (+5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 25)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries highlight the NBA slate as we approach the All-Star break. Moreover, many players are at the core of trade rumors. It’s a busy time for the league, but it makes these games all that more meaningful. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

The Pacers are on the second half of a back-to-back but that won’t stop them from being one of the most popular rotations on the NBA slate. In the absence of Tyrese Haliburton, there have been many players stepping up. TJ McConnell continues to be a hot commodity in the mid range of the pricing grid, while Buddy Hield showed out after being highlighted in yesterday’s article. Moreover, Myles Turner continues to be a fantasy points per minute machine and is seeing an increased workload in the paint.

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Despite cooling off after a hot start to his NBA career, Paolo Banchero is a tremendous play in the mid range of the pricing grid. Banchero has now scored in double digits across 12 straight appearances, averaging 19.8/5.7/3.3 on 42.4% shooting. However, his minutes have been limited during that stretch, large in part because of blowout losses. Tonight, the Magic are favored as two rebuilding teams face one another. With The Pacers lacking size on the wing, opting for smaller lineups with combo guards such as Mathurin and Hield, Panchero holds a massive size advantage against anyone he lines up against.

Washington Wizards @ Houston Rockets (+3.5)

Washington Wizards (-3.5)

Both of these teams are riddled with injuries but this is one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. Despite Kyle Kuzma acting as the primary ball handler in this offense, the sheer upside that Bradley Beal has in this matchup is too good to pass up on. Not only is his place on the pricing grid outright disrespectful, but the Rockets rank 28th in the league in defensive rating. He is far from his form that nearly led him to a scoring title in 2020-2021, but Beal is still one of the best off-ball guards in the league. The absence of Kristaps Porzingis opens up a ton of shots for Beal, who has scored 20 or more points in ten of his last fifteen appearances.

Houston Rockets (+3.5)

On the flipside of this matchup is plenty of offensive potential in its own right. In the absence of Kevin Porter Jr., both Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green have been phenomenal. The former gets a juicy matchup versus Daniel Gafford, who is simply not match for the sophomore. Sengun has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 24.3/12.5/6.5 during that span. Moreover, Green has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games since KPJ went down with a foot injury. Green has averaged 28.6/3.2/3.6 on 49.5% shooting during that span, taking over 20 field goal attempts per night.

Toronto Raptors @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Toronto Raptors (+4.5)

One of the most intriguing teams heading into the NBA trade deadline, the Raptors still have one of the best cores in the league. However, they have failed to return to form that won them a championship only a few years ago. Yes, Kawhi Leonard is gone, but OG Anunoby is one of the best defenders in the league, while Pascal Siakam and Scottie Barnes have the potential to carry this team to wins nightly. In this matchup, Gary Trent Jr. will see a lot of shot attempts versus a Kings defense the struggles on the perimeter. Moreover, Scottie Barnes will be key in defending De’Aaron Fox, while producing on offense and on the glass.

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Simply put, this is a tremendous matchup for Domantas Sabonis. To the surprise of no one, he is featured once again in a Kings writeup. However, the Raptors struggle on the glass, giving Sabonis great potential to dominate both ends of the paint. Over his last seven games, not only has Sabonis posted six double-doubles, but he also has eight or more assists in each one of those appearances. Sabonis has averaged a 17.4/12.9/10.9 triple-double during that span, showing no signs of slowing down anytime soon.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 19)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are only five games on the schedule tonight, but there sure is plenty of firepower. Headlining the main slate is a rematch of last year’s NBA Finals, while Chicago and Detroit face off in an afternoon game overseas. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Boston Celtics (-5.5)

Golden State Warriors (+5.5)

This is the second time these teams face one another since the NBA Finals. The matchup in December was no letdown, seeing the Warriors take a 123-107 victory at home. Tonight, this game will be overlooked because of interest in other studs at the top of the pricing grid. As popular as Damian Lillard will be because of his recent play, Steph Curry makes for an excellent pivot in tournaments. Since returning from injury, Curry struggled mightily over his first three games back. He averaged a mere 19.7/5/3.3 on 44.9% shooting, hitting only 31.3% of his three-pointers. However, on the second half of a back-to-back and in his fourth game returning, Curry exploded for 41/7/2 versus the Wizards.

Boston Celtics (-5.5)

Should Jaylen Brown miss this game with a groin injury, Jayson Tatum instantly becomes one of the best studs on the NBA slate. On the season, Tatum has averaged 31.1/8.3/4.3 through a 32.9% usage rate. This has resulted in Tatum posting 1.41 fantasy points per minute. However, with Brown off the court, Tatum sees his usage rate increase to 35.8% and his output increases slightly to 1.43 fantasy points per minute. Brown did practice on Wednesday, meaning he in likely to suit up. Thus, both Marcus Smart and Robert Williams III make for good plays in a competitive game environment. The former will be on the court in all clutch moments, while the latter has logged 27 or more minutes in three straight games since having his minutes restriction lifted.

Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves (+3.5)

Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

If the NBA slate is starving for value on the pricing grid, then two Raptors will be the primary path to success. Having the luxury of running a tight rotation thanks to players with incredible length, Coach Nick Nurse focuses on seven players on a nightly basis. Thus, two of Fred VanVleet, Scottie Barnes, and Gary Trent Jr. fit the scenario of a balanced lineup structure. VanVleet has been lights out in the last two games, posting 30+ points in back-to-back appearances. Meanwhile, Trent Jr. has been logging serious minutes and scoring in bunches as well. Barnes is the unicorn of the roster, playing and guarding positions one through five. If value is needed on this slate, Precious Achiuwa continues to be the first player off the bench and carries a relatively safe floor.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+3.5)

Exposure to this offense depends on two key injury statuses: Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert. The latter was ruled out of Wednesday’s game with a groin injury, while the former continues to deal with a recurring hip soreness. Should Gobert be ruled out once again, Naz Reid will be a staple for NBA lineups tonight. Reid carries a 23% usage rate and 1.14 fantasy points per minute this season. However, in four starts this season, he has averaged 20.3/8 this season through a 25.4% usage rate. Moreover, D’Angelo Russell and Jaylen Nowell are in line for big roles tonight, only if Edwards be ruled out.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Phoenix Suns (OTB)
Philadelphia 76ers @ Portland Trail Blazers (+2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/17/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are only four games on the NBA schedule tonight, but there is plenty of intrigue. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)

Toronto Raptors (+6.5)

Both of these teams are on the second half of a back-to-back and have key players in question. After the Raptors starting unit all played over 40 minutes yesterday in an overtime win versus the Knicks, it’s possible to see someone rest. The most likely candidate is Fred VanVleet, who has been dealing with a back injury. With Pascal Siakam dealing with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez in the paint, the perimeter options will have to carry the offense. VanVleet has been having a streaky season, showing upside on the offensive end, while also carrying a low floor. Moreover, Gary Trent Jr. seems to have shaken off his jitters from the beginning of the season. In his last 11 games, GTJ has seen 30 or more minutes in ten appearances, scoring 20 or more points in seven of them. The two are the preferred Raptors on this NBA slate.

Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)

Giannis Antetokounmpo missed his third consecutive game yesterday. However, he had taken part in warmup and was listed as probable. Barring any setback, he is in a great spot to lead the NBA slate in scoring. While he had two poor performances recently, the upside he carries against the Raptors is tremendous. While Toronto sits 6th in the league in points allowed in the paint, Giannis is matchup proof. The MVP candidate has averaged 30.1/15/6.3 over his last seven games, despite two appearances with seven and nine points. There are plenty of studs to choose from on this slate, so Brook Lopez makes for a fine alternate to get exposure to this competitive game environment.

Brooklyn Nets @ San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-5.5)

Once one of the hottest teams in the NBA, the Nets are 0-2 since losing Kevin Durant to an MCL sprain. However, a matchup versus a Spurs defense that ranks last in the league could be what they need to get things in gear. The Spurs defense struggles most notably in their backcourt. They sit 27th versus primary ball handlers and 29th versus off-ball guards, allowing the 22nd most three-pointers and the highest shooting percentage from behind the arc. Ben Simmons has a modest 9% usage rate in two games without Durant, but he continues to run point alongside Kyrie Irving. Moreover, the quartet of Irving, Curry, Harris, and Warren are set to flourish in a quick game environment.

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

Vegas has this game as far from a blowout as anticipated. Despite the lopsided matchup on paper, the Spurs aren’t as big of underdogs as one would expect. Thus, the trio of Tre Jones, Keldon Johnson, and Jakob Poeltl are in for big minutes. Jones has been a pleasant surprise for the rebuilding Spurs this season. Over his last seven games, Jones has been phenomenal on offense despite the team’s 1-6 record. During that span, Jones has averaged 19.1/4.3/5.7 on 49.1% shooting. With the Nets shifting Simmons to the paint on defense, Jones gets a friendly matchup versus Kyrie Irving.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+6.5)

If you’re looking for fireworks on this NBA slate, look no further. This matchup is set to feature two elite offenses, but all eyes will be on Damian Lillard versus Nikola Jokic. The former has been on quite a tear for the Trail Blazers recently. Over his last five games, Lillard has scored 30 or more points in each appearance. Moreover, Lillard has averaged 38/3.6/6.4 on 53.1% shooting during that span while attempting over ten three-pointers per night.

Denver Nuggets (-6.5)

On the flipside of Lillard’s upside is none other than Nikola Jokic. The back-to-back NBA MVP has done it all for the Nuggets this season, and has posted three triple-doubles over his last four games. Moreover, he has averaged 20/13.5/12.3 during that span. If Jokic does not fit builds, both Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. are good ways to get exposure to this elite game environment. The two rely heavily on their scoring to provide a good fantasy output, but if Jokic does not break the slate, it’s largely because someone else on Denver is carrying the load alongside with him.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Los Angeles Clippers (+1.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5)

While the status of Paul George greatly impacts the Clippers rotation, his probable return makes this an elite game environment that will go overlooked on a small NBA slate. While there are many players with offensive upside on both teams, none have been playing to the level that James Harden has been lately. Over his last five games, The Beard has averaged 23/8.4/13 on 57.4% shooting. Moreover, Harden has two triple-doubles during that span, while collecting 11 or more assists in each appearance. Primary ball handlers versus the Clippers will forever be one of the best matchups in NBA DFS, and Harden is set to take flight tonight.

Los Angeles Clippers (+1.5)

Exposure to the Clippers on this NBA slate is contingent on the status of Paul George. After practicing on Monday, the expectation is that PG will return after missing the team’s last five games. However, this greatly impacts the production of others around him. Given the level of uncertainty and the fact that this game is the last to tipoff, this is a risk that could send lineups to the top or bottom of the leaderboards.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/16/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are multiple ways to play different NBA slates tonight. Since the schedule will be roughly 12 hours long from beginning to end, there are showdowns, a main slate, and a late slate available. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

The Warriors are on the second half of a back-to-back, therefore this can be a lengthly injury report. Klay Thompson has already been ruled out, while the statuses of Steph Curry, Draymond Green, and Andrew Wiggins need to be monitored. Curry has struggled in his three games since returning from an injury, but Jordan Poole has thrived. Over his last nine games, Poole has averaged 25.7/3.9/5 on 43.7% shooting. Moreover, he has scored 20 or more points in each of those nine appearances. In the absence of Thompson, Poole will be able to run the offense while Curry is on the bench, while flourishing as a secondary ball handler with Curry on the court. On a small NBA slate, Poole is one of the best targets in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Exposure to this offense is contingent on the status of Bradley Beal. The face of the Wizards franchise has made a single appearance in the team’s last eight games before leaving early after aggravating his hamstring injury. While many players have stepped up in different fashions, one that has struggled has been Kristaps Porzingis. KP has a mere two double-doubles over his last five games, but he has scored 20 or more points in four of those appearances. On a small NBA slate, the top of the pricing grid is a true premium, and there may not be anyone to consider once this game tips off.

Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

Many rumours continue to swirl around the core players of this rotation. OG Anunoby is by far the most coveted wing on the trade block, while Gary Trent Jr. and Fred VanVleet could garner interest before the trade deadline. Nonetheless, the Raptors have won three of their last four and are still making a playoff push. Should VanVleet miss this game because of a lower-back injury, Scottie Barnes instantly becomes one of the most popular players on the NBA slate. Moreover, amidst the turmoil of a disappointing season, Pascal Siakam continues to thrive. Leading the team with a 28.5% usage rate, Siakam has averaged 25.7/8.2/6.4 on 47.8% shooting this season. He leads the team in scoring, rebounding, and assists, making him one of the most intriguing options at the top of the pricing grid of this NBA slate.

New York Knicks (-3.5)

Jalen Brunson was one of the most popular headliners of this past offseason. Leaving Dallas for the Big Apple was a surprise to no one, but his contract certainly was. However, Brunson has taken over this offense, along with Julius Randle. Over his last eight games, Brunson has scored 20 or more points in every appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 32.4/5.6/5.7 on 52.3% shooting during that span, leading the team in scoring and field goal attempts. Toronto’s zone defense is always a polarizing one to face, but Brunson and Randle will be relied upon to log heavy minutes in a tightly-contested affair. Brunson makes for one of the better options in the mid range of the pricing grid of this NBA slate, similarly to Jordan Poole.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+6.5)

Despite missing two key players in Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, the Pelicans still hold the #3 seed in the Western Conference. Tonight, they face the #2 defense in the NBA and will be in tough to matchup versus a frontcourt of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. However, this is one of the most competitive game environments on the slate. CJ McCollum continues to run the offense but lacks point/dollar upside on this slate. Another tough matchup will be Jonas Valanciunas versus Mobley and Allen, but his minutes will be plentiful given the size of the Cavaliers. Lastly, do not overlook the important of Jose Alvarado, should Herbert Jones miss this game. If the latter is ruled out, Alvarado will draw the daunting task of guarding Donovan Mitchell.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)

This is one of the most rounded teams in the NBA. The Cavaliers boast a tremendous balance between offense and defense. Tonight will be yet another test for a team that has Championship hopes. In a matchup versus the Pelicans, the wings will flourish. However, this offense is not tailored to its wings, rather, its backcourt and frontcourt duos. Jarrett Allen has been phenomenal on both ends of the court this season and is in a great matchup. Over his last two games, Allen has averaged 21.5/9/4 on 70.4% shooting. New Orleans allows nearly 50 points in the paint per game, and Allen will be featured early and often to attack Jonas Valanciunas on the inside.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/30

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Elite game environments and head-to-head matchups amongst some of the league’s best headlines tonight’s NBA slate. Some teams are playing on short rotations, while others scramble to find new rotations to avoid falling in the standings. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

There have already been multiple players ruled out ahead of tonight’s slate with more to come. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic (+5.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-5.5)

If you think Orlando can keep this game relatively close, than Trae Young is someone to monitor at the top of the pricing grid. The Magic currently rank 25th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers and have poor perimeter defenders. Before failing to miss the 20-point mark in his last game, Young has scored 20 or more in eleven straight. Moreover, he leads the team in usage rate, scoring, assists, and field goal attempts per game. It’s a hefty price to pay and by no means necessary, but the ceiling is there in an elite game environment.

Orlando Magic (+5.5)

Many players in this rotation are out, while a few make their return after long absences. Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs, and Chuma Okeke are all out, while Mo Bamba is questionable. Meanwhile, Markelle Fultz and Cole Anthony will be on minutes limits in their first action in quite some time. The key player to monitor here is Mo Bamba. Should he be ruled out, Bol Bol shifts to the power forward spot in a phenomenal matchup against John Collins. His scoring output has been inconsistent, but with 10 or more points in three of his last five games, he makes for an intriguing tournament play given all the injuries to this roster.

San Antonio Spurs @ OKC Thunder (-5.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

One of the best spots for value on the entire NBA slate. Both Jakob Poeltl and Jeremy Sochan have been ruled out for this game, leaving plenty of opportunity in the frontcourt. Additionally, Keita Bates-Diop is listed as questionable, as is Josh Richardson. Should the two miss this game as well, plenty of minutes will be there for Zach Collins, Charles Bassey, and Doug McDermott. Since returning to the lineup, Collins has posted an 8/7.5/1 scoring line on 50% shooting, while McDermott has averaged 15 points per game in those two games.

OKC Thunder (-5.5)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) is currently questionable to play. Should he miss this game, Josh Giddey will be one of the most popular plays on the NBA slate and rightfully so. The Spurs currently rank 27th against combo guards. Moreover, Giddey has tremendous upside on the glass with the Spurs frontcourt missing two of the best rebounders. The only interest I have in this offense is if Gilgeous-Alexander misses this game, so keep an eye on the final injury report.

Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

Toronto Raptors (+2.5)

With Pascal Siakam making his return to the lineup, do not feel forced to get exposure to this offense. However, if there is a spot for OG Anunoby to make his mark, it’s in this matchup. The Pelicans currently rank 29th in the NBA versus wings. Moreover, Anunoby has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games, posting a 24/5.6/3.2 scoring line on 50% shooting. The usage rate will always fall behind Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam, but Anunoby has the best matchup of the three.

New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

With Brandon Ingram (toe) ruled out for a second straight game, the value is there once again with the Pelicans on this NBA slate. CJ McCollum (health and safety protocols) has been cleared to play, but his conditioning may not be there after missing three games. Thus, it looks as though Zion Williamson is set to lead the offense once again. Moreover, the backcourt will pick up the slack in the absence of Ingram and potentially McCollum. Jose Alvarado is set to see heavy minutes in this one once again, while Dyson Daniels makes for an intriguing option off the bench should McClollum sit out.

Honorable Mentions:

Indiana Pacers @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts