We made it through the first week of NFL action, and it was a crazy one! There were only 13 TE with more than five targets in Week 1. Only Tyler Higbee (11) and Pat Friermuth (10) saw double-digit looks. Two of the top four in PPR scoring (Travis Kelce and Gerald Everett) play on Thursday night. Let’s find some low-owned options, cash options, and everything in between!
Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord, and take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 2 on DraftKings and FanDuel! Let’s dive right in for Week 2.
Andrews is the most expensive option on both sites, and for good reason. Week 1 saw the Ravens blow out the Jets, which significantly impacted his ceiling. Despite that, he still saw seven targets and was on the field for 47 snaps. He finished with a 5-52 line, which would not be good enough on this slate.
In Week 2, the Ravens are favored by 3.5 points against the Dolphins in a game with a decent total of 46 points. Vegas is expecting a close game, and so am I. Andrews is still the top option for Lamar Jackson. Big plays down the field to the WR won’t come quite as easy against a tough Miami defense. Fire up Andrews as a play with big upside in Week 2, although I would likely look elsewhere in cash at his price tag.
I am hoping that the Dak Prescott injury will keep eyes off Schultz this week. Cooper Rush will draw the start, and in his one start in 2021 he posted a decent 24-40 line with 325 yards and 2 TD (1 INT). In that game, Schultz was targeted seven times, but only caught two balls for 11 yards. Amari Cooper was the favorite target with 13 looks in that game, but as we all know, he is now in Cleveland.
I’m bullish on Schultz this week. He is in a great spot with Dallas being a 7-point home dog. The expectation is that the Cowboys will be playing from behind, and I’m all aboard the Schultz train. Rush only played for part of the 4th quarter in Week 1 and Schultz was targeted twice in that short time.
The Steelers showed us only a few things in Week 1 on offense. One of them is that Mitch Trubisky is looking to get the ball out of his hands FAST. Freiermuth was targeted 10 times in Week 1 (the game did go to OT) and posted a 5/75 line.
Bill Belichick and company always look to take away the top option on the opposing offense. That said, Najee Harris is hoping to play but will be less than 100% (and expected to see fewer snaps). Trubisky and the Steelers will need everything they can get from their big TE in this one. He could be a focal point of the offense as a safety blanket for Trubisky. I’m expecting a similar volume to what he saw against the Bengals.
If you’re looking for volume, Waller may just be your guy this week. Vegas is expecting a shootout (in Vegas) this weekend with a total of 50.5. Only the Bengals/Cowboys is listed with a higher total on the main slate as of right now.
Davante Adams has been reunited with his old college buddy Derek Carr, but that had very little effect on Waller in Week 1. He still saw six targets on 49 snaps, and will likely be asked to take on a big role again this weekend. Adams is likely to soak up the RedZone targets (he had three in Week 1), but Waller is a big-play threat any time he touches the ball. Fire him up across the board in Week 2.
He quickly built rapport with Russell Wilson in Week 1, and Wilson has always shown an affinity for his big TEs. He missed a touchdown by INCHES against the Seahawks, and still posted a 5/33 line on six targets. Finding the end zone on that play would have made him a top-five overall scorer at TE.
Your Week 1 snap leader at TE, Conklin was on the field for SEVENTY-SEVEN plays against the Ravens. His 4/14/1 line leaves plenty to be desired, but seven targets are nothing to ignore. Flacco and company will need his help in this stagnant offense.
Joe Burrow had his worst game as a professional against the Steelers in Week 1, but Hurst had a solid first appearance in Orange and Black. He posted a 5/46 line on eight targets and was on the field for 75 snaps. Tee Higgins could potentially be limited or OUT, and that would only increase the appeal of Hurst in this one.
I was one of the many who threw Mo Alie-Cox into some season-long teams where George Kittle was out last week. Big mistake. Not only did Granson out-snap Alie-Cox 51-50, but he saw seven targets to Alie-Cox’s two. He is a true punt play, but I’m completely fine rolling him out this week, especially at his DraftKings price.
Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 2, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!
We made it through the first week of NFL action, and it was a crazy one! There were only 13 TE with more than five targets in Week 1. Only Tyler Higbee (11) and Pat Friermuth (10) saw double-digit looks. Two of the top four in PPR scoring (Travis Kelce and Gerald Everett) play on Thursday night. Let’s find some low-owned options, cash options, and everything in between!
Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord, and take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 2 on DraftKings and FanDuel! Let’s dive right in for Week 2.
Andrews is the most expensive option on both sites, and for good reason. Week 1 saw the Ravens blow out the Jets, which significantly impacted his ceiling. Despite that, he still saw seven targets and was on the field for 47 snaps. He finished with a 5-52 line, which would not be good enough on this slate.
In Week 2, the Ravens are favored by 3.5 points against the Dolphins in a game with a decent total of 46 points. Vegas is expecting a close game, and so am I. Andrews is still the top option for Lamar Jackson. Big plays down the field to the WR won’t come quite as easy against a tough Miami defense. Fire up Andrews as a play with big upside in Week 2, although I would likely look elsewhere in cash at his price tag.
I am hoping that the Dak Prescott injury will keep eyes off Schultz this week. Cooper Rush will draw the start, and in his one start in 2021 he posted a decent 24-40 line with 325 yards and 2 TD (1 INT). In that game, Schultz was targeted seven times, but only caught two balls for 11 yards. Amari Cooper was the favorite target with 13 looks in that game, but as we all know, he is now in Cleveland.
I’m bullish on Schultz this week. He is in a great spot with Dallas being a 7-point home dog. The expectation is that the Cowboys will be playing from behind, and I’m all aboard the Schultz train. Rush only played for part of the 4th quarter in Week 1 and Schultz was targeted twice in that short time.
The Steelers showed us only a few things in Week 1 on offense. One of them is that Mitch Trubisky is looking to get the ball out of his hands FAST. Freiermuth was targeted 10 times in Week 1 (the game did go to OT) and posted a 5/75 line.
Bill Belichick and company always look to take away the top option on the opposing offense. That said, Najee Harris is hoping to play but will be less than 100% (and expected to see fewer snaps). Trubisky and the Steelers will need everything they can get from their big TE in this one. He could be a focal point of the offense as a safety blanket for Trubisky. I’m expecting a similar volume to what he saw against the Bengals.
If you’re looking for volume, Waller may just be your guy this week. Vegas is expecting a shootout (in Vegas) this weekend with a total of 50.5. Only the Bengals/Cowboys is listed with a higher total on the main slate as of right now.
Davante Adams has been reunited with his old college buddy Derek Carr, but that had very little effect on Waller in Week 1. He still saw six targets on 49 snaps, and will likely be asked to take on a big role again this weekend. Adams is likely to soak up the RedZone targets (he had three in Week 1), but Waller is a big-play threat any time he touches the ball. Fire him up across the board in Week 2.
He quickly built rapport with Russell Wilson in Week 1, and Wilson has always shown an affinity for his big TEs. He missed a touchdown by INCHES against the Seahawks, and still posted a 5/33 line on six targets. Finding the end zone on that play would have made him a top-five overall scorer at TE.
Your Week 1 snap leader at TE, Conklin was on the field for SEVENTY-SEVEN plays against the Ravens. His 4/14/1 line leaves plenty to be desired, but seven targets are nothing to ignore. Flacco and company will need his help in this stagnant offense.
Joe Burrow had his worst game as a professional against the Steelers in Week 1, but Hurst had a solid first appearance in Orange and Black. He posted a 5/46 line on eight targets and was on the field for 75 snaps. Tee Higgins could potentially be limited or OUT, and that would only increase the appeal of Hurst in this one.
I was one of the many who threw Mo Alie-Cox into some season-long teams where George Kittle was out last week. Big mistake. Not only did Granson out-snap Alie-Cox 51-50, but he saw seven targets to Alie-Cox’s two. He is a true punt play, but I’m completely fine rolling him out this week, especially at his DraftKings price.
Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 2, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!
It’s time for our Week 15 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win!
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FD($7,200) DK ($6,200)
Kittle is the number one fantasy TE this week in cash games, and he’s viable in GPPs too, given his upside. With 60-754-4 on the season and averaging six receptions and 90.3 yards per game over his last four games, it’s obvious that Jimmy G loves him — and he’s what you’re looking for as your top TE in cash games.
FD($6,200) DK ($5,500)
Waller had 6-72-0 and a fumble last week but remains DerekCarr’s top target. He’s a cash game staple every week but hasn’t broken out fora monster game in a while. The price is still very affordable.
FD($7,300) DK ($6,500)
Kelce isn’t cheap, but he brings massive upsideto the table and is essentially matchup-proof because of the many ways Patrick Mahomescan get him the ball. He’s a consensus Top 3 fantasy TE every week, and becausehe’s expensive he usually doesn’t draw too much ownership in GPPs.
FD($6,700) DK ($6,000)
The price has jumped up on both sites, mainly because ofhis big game in Week 14 and the injury to Alshon Jeffery, but we still mustconsider Ertz as a GPP play, especially facing the Redskins. He had 5-54-0 inWeek 1 against them, but I think he’ll find the end zone this time around.
FD($6,200) DK ($5,000)
We saw Jared Cook score two big TDs early last week againstthe 49ers, so I’m not counting out Hooper despite the difficult matchup on paper.With Calvin Ridley out of commission and this likely to be a negative game scriptfor the Falcons, I can see Hooper drawing 8-10 targets or more. The price hasdropped too.
FD ($5,700) DK ($3,900)
Higbeeshould be a popular target for Jared Goff this week facing the Cowboys, whohave a banged up linebacking corps and will struggle in covering the middle of thefield. We’ve seen two huge games in a row (7-107-1 and 7-116-0) and Higbee isstill a great bargain at just $3,900 on DK.
FD($5,700) DK ($3,500)
Howard gets a decent matchup against the Lions and could seeextra volume with Mike Evans (hamstring) done for the rest of the season. He doesn’thave the upside of the top TEs, but 10-15 DK points for $3,500 could work – andthe chances of him catching a TD really go up without Evans on the field.
FD ($5,300) DK ($3,100)
The pricing on FD is fair, but Thomas is still a massivebargain on DK, where he’s just $3,100.The matchup is a good one, as the Seahawkshave struggled to contain TEs this season, and we saw last week how much KyleAllen relies on Thomas without Greg Olsen.
HunterHenry, LAC vs. MIN (FD $6,400, DK $5,200) – Risky and expensive GPP play
NoahFant, DEN at KC (FD $5,700, DK $4,100) – GPP only (He’s playing)
DallasGoedert, PHI at WAS (FD $5,700, DK $4,300) – GPP only
FD($5,000) DK ($4,000)
The Patriots might havea little extra steam in their engines this week after the scandalous film crewinvestigation, and there’s no arguing this is a talented unit who can dominateagainst bad teams – the Bengals included.
FD($4,900) DK ($3,400)
The Eagles defenseshould be up to the task against a Redskins team just scraping through the lastfew games of 2019. This one could get ugly, even if the Eagles offense doesn’t clicklike it should.
FD($4,500) DK ($3,800)
You’re getting a discount on FD and the Falcons are not the offensivejuggernaut that the Saints are. I’m not worried about a repeat of last week,and I’ll be locking the 49ers into a lot of my GPP entries.
FD($4,200) DK ($3,000)
We saw what they did against the Bears in Week1, and I’m not convinced Mitch
Trubisky isn’t dreading the kind of pressure thePackers DST can bring. The price is more than fair on both sites for the upsidethis team brings.
FD($3,600) DK ($2,900)
The Rams are a huge bargain this week against aDallas Cowboys team that seems to have given up. I wouldn’t be playing them in cashgams, but I’m fine with shares in GPPs because the Cowboys may not have a planfor Aaron Donald and these greedy, aggressive corners.
FD($3,700) DK ($2,600)
This is about as low as I’d like to go in GPPs, but the reality ofthe Giants woes makes the Dolphins a unit we have to consider. It’s a team thatcontinues to get better and Eli Manning and the Giants aren’t really playingfor anything but their pride.
It’s time for our Week 10 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win big!
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No tight end in the NFL has more double-digit fantasy performancesthis season, as Hooper has averaged 18.6 FPPG on DK and 14.63 on FD. Thematchup may be tough on paper, but the Falcons will be throwing the ball inthis one and Hooper is a lock for 7-10 targets each week. He’s got the highestfloor and a Top 3 ceiling.
Kelce caught 7-62-0 on nine targets last week, but with Patrick Mahomeslooking ready to suit up for Week 10, we might see the big TE finally reachpaydirt for only the second time since mid-September, when he dropped 7-107-1on the Raiders. I’m expecting a stat line closer to that than the morepedestrian totals we’ve been seeing.
The exciting young TE isfar from a cash game lock against a Bengals defense that may struggle tocontain Baltimore’s running game. Game script may dictate a conservativeapproach from the Ravens and they might just not need much from Andrews. But ifCincy can somehow keep this thing close, we could see monster day from him.
The Rams are without Brandin Cooks, and both WR JoshReynolds and Everett get a big bump this week against the Steelers. Everett hassome of the biggest GPP upside on this slate, and his price isn’t oppressiveenough that we are forced to compromise at other positions. He has three gamesof 15+ DK points so far, including a 23.6-point effort against Seattle in Week5 – so get him in some of your Sunday builds.
I’m notgoing to begin to parse how the pricing algorithms on FD and DK are this wonkywhen it comes to Ebron and his teammate (discussed below), but there’s merit toplaying both of these guys in GPPs against the Dolphins, who have done a betterjob keeping games close the past few weeks. Ebron is a boom-or-bust GPP optionjust about every week, and we need to consider him, even if we don’t load up.
Doyle is a huge bargain on DK and relatively expensive onFD, but he’s an excellent GPP option on both and could have a higher floor thanthe aforementioned Ebron. It would take some enormous hutzpah to play both in aGPP, and I’m not necessarily recommending it, but if there was a week to do it,it would be one like this.
Hockenson gets a favorable matchup against the Bears, who are 30thin the NFL vs. TEs. No major worries the concussion front, either, as he wasevaluated during Week 9 but just had the wind knocked out of him on a big hit.He’s an excellent GPP value play with upside.
Delanie Walker (ankle) has been ruled out again, and it’s asituation Smith is familiar with. He’s had a couple different results – with a6-78-1 receiving line in a Week 8 win over Tampa Bay and a not-so-great 3-18-0in last week’s loss to the Panthers. The matchup with the Chiefs is on the favorableside, as they are 22nd in the NFL vs. TEs.
Brate gets to face theworst team in the league at defending TEs and he’s the best option at theposition for the Bucs. TheKing is with me on this, so feel free to roll Brate out in GPPs and evensome cash games if you don’t want to spend up.
Griffin has double-digit fantasy points on DK in three of his last four and caught six of eight targets for 50 yards in Sunday’s 26-18 loss to the Dolphins. His Week 10 matchup is against the Giants, who are 28th in the league vs. his. With Chris Herndon questionable again, Griffin is a staple of my GPP builds.
Olsen hasn’t shown much upside in the past several weeks, as the Panthers offense has involved the WRs more and focused on being the Christian McCaffrey show. We’ll see another big workload from CMC, but the Packers secondary is more likely to yield completions underneath to Olsen than the big play. If this thing turns into an offensive explosion, Olsen could get more red-zone looks and make for a cheap, TD-dependent GPP play.
The suddenly relevant Gesicki matches up against the AFC’s second-worst team vs. TEs, and he’s been relatively efficient the past three weeks. Absent Preston Williams, the Miami offense could work him into more routes and targets for Week 10.
JimmyGraham, GB vs. CAR (FD $5,800, DK $4,000) – GPP
VanceMcDonald, PIT vs. LAR (FD $5,600, DK $3,800) – GPP
JaredCook, NO vs. ATL (FD $5,800, DK $4,100) – GPP
O.J.Howard, TB vs. ARI (FD $5,000, DK $3,300) – Punt
RhettEllison, NYG at NYJ (FD $5,000, DK $2,500) – Punt
Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. BAL(FD $5,000, DK $3,000) – Punt
The Ravens DST has a great matchup this week and has proven themselves worthy even against the toughest of opponents, with 31 combined DK points over the past two weeks against the Seahawks and Patriots. They’re easy to lock into cash games.
With 14 sacks over their past four games, the Saints make for a solid option in all formats against a banged-up Falcons offensive unit. They’re cash-viable with a 20-point upside in GPPs.
The Colts draw the best matchup of Week 10 and should be a chalky GPP option facing Miami. They’ve averaged 8.5 DK points over their last three and have a 15-point upside on Sunday.
The Rams are a sneaky play this week facing the Steelers, who seem to limit mistakes and play a conservative style that doesn’t yie4ld a lot of turnovers. Still, the Rams have a slew of impact defensive players who give them an enormous upside in GPPs.
In Week 10, the Bills facethe Browns, who make a lot of mistakes. The road matchup and two recent weak effortsare the only things that will keep me from using them more.
The Giants just acquired Leonard Williams from the Jets not toolong ago, and we’ve seen the Jets struggle to score the football in the redzone. They make for a boom-or-bust GPP play in a game that could end up being adefenseless shootout.
The Bears DST has been remarkably quiet lately, but Matthew Stafford and the Lions tend to push the ball up the field and throw over the top of the defense, which can lead to multiple turnovers. They’re far from safe, but they have an upside.
Scott Engel mentioned these guys, along with the Chiefs in hispunts column this week, and I’m right there with him. The Steelers defensehas been maddeningly consistent with its DK scoring, averaging 11.8 on the seasonand posting 19, 11, 14, 13, and 19 points in succession since Week 4.
The Chiefs defense – especially the pass rush – is underrated, andthey should have DL Chris Jones back for a second consecutive week, which meansRyan Tannehill could be in trouble. I’m on board as a GPP punt in large-field,low-stakes tourneys.
The Browns’ defensive line is loaded with talent and the defensive backs seem sot be getting healthy. They could give the Bills some problems, but they remain a longshot for viable production. I’d avoid them in lineups using Devin Singletary and/or the Bills passing game, obviously.
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Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions
Goal: 23.5, Prize: 3x
I am including TE Austin Hooper with WRs Julio Jones and Michael Thomas in this MKF bet, going for broke on the 3x, because these three guys can easily average 8 receptions each this week. Thomas might be good for 12 on his own, and Jones and Hooper each have about 7-8 in them too.
Photo of Austin Hooper via Thomson200 at Wikimedia Commons.
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