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The Memorial

Welcome to the 3M Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. We are back home in the U.S.A. where we don’t have to get up before the chickens to watch golf. It was a riveting Open due to conditions, the course, and the golfers having to either make or break decisions to climb to the top and be named “Champion Golfer of the Year.” Congrats to Xander! Deep Dive Dave hit almost every bet made over the weekend and made our family a ton of money. Win Daily Sports keeps the golf family in the green! The 3M Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

We are at TPC Twin Cities, a rather pedestrian course that makes decisions for you. You have a place to miss that’s still a good shot and a place to miss that’s a bad shot. Basically there just isn’t much guesswork. There is water on 15 holes which makes this layout tougher than your average PGA or resort course. Approach and SGOT will count more towards the top. With 156 players and most of the marquis players resting up for the FedEx, this will be a week to sort the “sometime has” from “never has” The following golfers fit that criteria- Novak, EVR, Finau, Poston, Mitchell, Davis, Griffin, Hadwin, Greyserman, and Springer—More will be added/deleted once ownership comes out.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit selections finished 19th and 31st. Not bad for a 5K and 6K salary golfer. Our Frisky Biscuits record is now 35-8 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. That’s hitting 8.5 out of 10 golfers that nobody wants to roster dirt cheap to create leverage. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is currently showing an edge to Thursday PM to Friday AM. It will be cooler and windier Friday afternoon. The course will be wet which means less roll out but the greens will be more receptive. Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the 3M Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
Finau, Tony32.210500
Bhatia, Akshay 27.99800
Burns, Sam22.410000
Hoge, Tom19.98800
Theegala, Sahith18.610300
Mitchell, Keith17.89400
Clanton, Luke (a)17.49300
Bradley, Keegan16.79000
Horschel, Billy16.79600
Davis, Cameron15.48900
Eckroat, Austin 14.97200
Hadwin, Adam14.97900
Meissner, Mac 14.37600
Van Rooyen, Erik14.28600
Griffin, Ben13.67900
Pendrith, Taylor 13.48700
Kitayama, Kurt 13.27800
Poston,  JT13.19200
Kim, Chan11.77600
Hoey, Rico11.67500
Ghim, Doug11.27300
Grillo, Emiliano10.88500
McNealy, Maverick10.78300
Stevens, Sam10.47800
Hodges, Lee 10.38200
Novak, Andrew10.27400
Vegas, Jhonattan9.17500
Dunlap,  Nick 8.68400
Silverman, Ben7.77200
Hughes, Mackenzie7.57700
Svensson, Adam7.57400
Greyserman, Max7.47400
Shipley, Neal 7.27300
Thornbjornsen, Michael 7.07700
Lawrence, Thriston6.97400
Power, Seamus6.97300
Yu, Kevin (Chun-an)6.77200
Knapp, Jake6.47300
Rodgers, Patrick6.18100
Spaun, JJ5.17200
Fishburn, Patrick4.87300
Hisatsune, Ryo4.77100
Coody, Pierceson 4.47100
Wallace, Matt4.47500
Putnam, Andrew4.07000
Young, Carson3.86900
Hall, Harry3.67600
Hossler, Beau3.57500
Berger, Daniel3.47000
Blair, Zac3.46800
Kohles, Ben3.36800
Ryder, Sam3.37100
Dahmen, Joel2.96800
Moore, Taylor2.97200
Schenk, Adam2.96700
Buckley, Hayden2.67000
Champ, Cameron2.47000
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon)2.37200
Springer, Hayden2.37000
Kim, Michael2.27100
Norlander, Henrik2.16500
Suh, Justin 2.06700
Moore, Ryan1.96500
Phillips, Chandler1.96900
Garnett, Brice1.76400
Hadley, Chesson1.67100
Kizzire, Patton1.67000
Lower, Justin1.56800
Schmid, Matti1.57000
Tarren, Callum1.56600
Hardy, Nick1.36600
Laird, Martin1.36900
Reavie, Chez1.36400
Riley, Davis 1.26700
Streelman, Kevin1.26800
Wu, Dylan1.27100
Lashley, Nate1.16900
Merritt, Troy1.16500
Woodland, Gary1.17000
Gotterup, Christopher0.96700
Johnson, Zack0.96400
Hoffman, Charley0.86900
Kucher, Matt0.86500
List, Luke0.86600
Skinns, David0.86500
NeSmith, Matthew0.76800
Norrman, Vincent0.76300
Shelton, Robby0.76500
Lee, KH0.66700
Sigg, Greyson 0.66600
Smotherman, Austin0.66300
Tosti, Alejandro0.66800
Cauley, Bud0.56600
Higgo, Garrick0.56600
Noh, Seung-Yul0.56700
Baddeley, Aaron0.56600
Bridgeman, Jacob0.46700
Chappell, Kevin0.46300
Ramey, Chad0.46600
Bryan, Wesley0.36100
James, Benjamin (a)0.36900
Wu, Brandon 0.36400
Lipsky, David0.26500
Malnati, Peter0.26400
Piercy, Scott0.26300
Smalley, Alex 0.26900
Coody, Parker 0.16300
Griffin, Lanto0.16800
Knox, Russell0.16000
Albertson, Anders0.06100
Alexander, Tyson0.06300
Barjon, Paul0.06100
Barnes, Erik0.06000
Bramlett, Joseph0.06700
Brehm, Ryan0.06000
Campos, Rafael0.06100
Cink, Stewart0.06400
Cook, Austin0.06100
Crowe, Trace0.06300
Daffue, MJ  0.06400
De La Fuente, Santiago 0.06900
Dougherty, Kevin0.06500
Dumont de Chassart, Adrien0.06400
Duncan, Tyler0.06500
Frittelli, Dylan0.06300
Furr, Wilson0.06200
Gordon, Will0.06200
Gribble, Cody0.06200
Gutschewski, Scott0.06000
Haas, Bill0.06100
Hahn, James0.06200
Hale Jr., Blaine0.06000
Highsmith, Joe0.06400
Jonsson, Tobias (a)0.06200
Kisner, Kevin0.06000
Kraft, Kelly0.06200
Lindheim, Nicholas0.06200
Maccaglia, Anthony0.06000
Markham, Jackson0.06000
McCormick, Ryan0.06200
McGirt, William0.06100
Musselman, Cooper0.06100
O’Hair, Sean0.06100
Pereda, Raul0.06000
Shattuck, Braden0.06000
Sloan, Roger0.06300
Snedeker, Brandt0.06200
Sorenson, Jeff0.06000
Streb, Robert0.06200
Taylor, Ben0.06100
Teater, Josh0.06000
Trainer, Martin0.06100
Tway, Kevin0.06400
Warian, Ben (a)0.06200
Watney, Nick0.06000
Whitney, Tom0.06100

These 3M Ownership Projections are accurate as of 5:49 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: Poston, Rodgers, Ghim, Eckroat and Phillips

My Picks for The 3M

Top Tier: Finau/ Poston

Mid Tier: EVR

Low Tier: Novak

Out in Left Play: Berger

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: EVR

FR Leader: Pierson Coody (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce picks and winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex. There were some picks being sniped last week between Dave and Joel. Dave thinks 2nd place is one spot too short and Joel wants him to stay there. Tune in this week when the special guest may have to be a golf expert referee.

***** Parting Shots *****

My great great uncle was something of a psychic. He was always telling people a great tragedy would happen on the open seas. He predicted a magnificent ship would collide with a iceberg and a catastrophic event would occur. He became more animated and adamant about it and would shout it out to almost everyone within earshot or beyond. He would stand up and warn people that it’s coming! Finally management showed up and threw him out of the movie theatre.

(True Story:) A young couple was leaving a movie theatre after seeing the “Titanic” The girl was definitely upset about the tragic and horrible ending of the film. Her boyfriend was consoling her and told her, “Don’t worry sweetheart, It’s only a movie,” “it didn’t really happen.”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Welcome to the Open Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. We are still across the pond this week. I love how understated the British are. “We may have some drizzle and precipitation on Thursday.” (Downpours) ” It also may be a tad breezy” (winds 25-30 MPH) as well on opening day. Deep Dive Dave has the most comprehensive analysis on the DP tour and I will be finding that Ace in the hole in the 6K range or lower. When I was making a living playing poker I learned from the only three time WSOP champion Texas Dolly Brunson. Lessons weren’t cheap. (smile) Sometimes you need assistance in getting over the top. Win Daily Sports offers that assistance to everyone. The Open Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

This course has had a mini makeover since the last Open in 2016. Roughly 200 yards was added to make the course just short of 7400 yards. This was added to combat the equipment advantages. The front nine is to get as low a score as possible and the diabolical back 9 is to try and hang on to whatever birdies you got on holes 1-6. The major change is to hole 10, where the new back tee makes the drive blind. The key to finding the eventual winner is previous success in Opens. The following golfers fit that criteria. Scottie, Rahm, Fleetwood, Xander, Morikawa, Rory,Finau, Lowry, Aberg, Conners, CBEZ, Henley, Perez, and Bhatia. Others will be added once ownership is projected.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit finished 26th. Our second selection, V. Perez finished 10th. Our Frisky Biscuits record is now 33-8 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. That’s hitting 8 out of 10 golfers that nobody wants to roster to create leverage. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is going to be extremely important this week. It will mean the difference between -5 (windy/rainy) and -17 (calm). So far the lean is Thursday am/Friday pm but it could change in a flash. Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the Open Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
Scheffler, Scottie27.412800
Morikawa, Collin23.89900
McIlroy, Rory23.311400
Fleetwood, Tommy19.99500
Schauffele, Xander18.711200
Oosthuizen, Louis16.96800
Aberg, Ludvig16.910100
Im, Sungjae16.56900
Finau, Tony16.08700
Rai, Aaron15.97300
Conners, Corey15.37300
Hatton, Tyrrell15.19500
Kim, Tom 14.28300
DeChambeau, Bryson12.911500
Lowry, Shane12.78200
Rahm, John12.410400
Niemann, Joaquin11.77800
Matsuyama, Hideki11.68500
Scott, Adam11.56700
Cantlay, Patrick11.29100
Harman, Brian10.87600
Theegala, Sahith10.37200
Hovland, Viktor10.29700
Bhatia, Akshay 10.27000
MacIntyre, Robert 9.47700
Young, Cameron9.37500
Koepka, Brooks8.89000
Henley, Russell8.76700
Kim, Si Woo8.76800
Thompson, Davis 8.36900
Smith, Cameron7.98900
Noren, Alexander7.97200
Fitzpatrick, Mathew7.48100
Clark, Wyndham7.38000
Spieth, Jordan6.77900
Straka, Sepp6.67100
McKibbin, Tom *6.16500
Lee, Min Woo5.97400
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan5.76600
Thomas, Justin5.67400
Day, Jason5.66900
Burns, Sam5.37200
Perez, Victor 5.36200
Burmester, Dean4.36700
Hojgaard, Rasmus **4.16500
Hoge, Tom4.06400
Homa, Max3.97300
Griffin, Ben3.95900
An, Byeong3.86700
Hojgaard, Nicolai3.66700
Bradley, Keegan3.46600
Langasque, Romain 3.46000
Fox, Ryan3.36800
Soderberg, Sebastian3.36300
Jordan, Matthew3.35800
English, Harris3.26300
Kitayama, Kurt 3.16300
Ancer, Abraham2.86600
Eckroat, Austin 2.55700
Pavon, Matthieu2.47000
Johnson, Dustin2.37100
Hadwin, Adam2.36300
Stenson, Henrik2.36200
Horschel, Billy2.26500
Zalatoris,Will2.17200
McNealy, Maverick2.06000
Rose, Justin1.96900
Poston,  JT1.96400
Woods, Tiger1.96200
Grillo, Emiliano1.96000
Todd, Brendon1.95900
Sharma, Shubhankar1.95900
Ferguson, Ewen1.86400
Cole, Eric1.86300
Manassero, Matteo1.85400
McCarthy, Denny1.76400
Mickelson, Phil1.76100
Glover, Lucas1.66000
Hughes, Mackenzie1.65900
Fowler, Rickie1.56600
Meronk, Adrian1.46500
Wallace, Matt1.46100
Southgate, Matthew1.46000
Smith, Jordan1.36500
Canter, Laurie1.36100
Mansell, Richard1.35900
Jaeger, Stephan 1.26100
Valimaki,Sami 1.25600
Olesen, Thorbjorn1.16200
Kirk, Chris1.06100
Pan, CT1.05500
Svensson, Jesper1.05300
Taylor, Nick0.95900
Hisatsune, Ryo0.95700
Migliozzi, Guido0.85800
Molinari, Francesco0.85500
Paul, Yannik0.75800
Els, Ernie0.75100
Moore, Taylor0.66200
Bjork, Alexander0.65800
Woodland, Gary0.65700
Johnson, Zack0.65500
Catlin, John0.55900
Puig, David0.46100
Harrington, Padraig0.46000
Luiten, Joost0.45800
Siem, Marcel0.45700
Sargent, Gordon (a)0.45700
Cink, Stewart0.45600
Campillo, Jorge0.45500
Nakajima, Keita 0.36400
Horsfield, Sam 0.36200
Lawrence, Thriston0.35700
Hoshino, Rikuya0.25800
Schenk, Adam0.25500
Song, Young-han0.25300
Bradbury, Dan0.05600
Elvira, Nacho0.05600
Dean, Joseph0.05600
Hillier, Daniel0.05600
Crocker, Sean0.05500
Ogletree, Andy0.05500
Norrman, Vincent0.05400
Brown, Daniel0.05400
Van Velzen, Ryan0.05400
Clemons, Dominic (a)0.05400
Fichardt, Darren0.05400
Kawamura, Masahiro0.05400
Hildalgo, Angel Portillo0.05300
Katsuragawa, Yuto0.05300
Scott, Calum (a)0.05300
Kobori, Kazuma0.05300
Smylie, Elvis0.05300
Kim, Minkyu0.05200
De La Fuente, Santiago (a)0.05200
Morrison, Tommy (a)0.05200
Olesen, Jacob Skov (a)0.05200
Masaveu, Luis (a)0.05200
Van Der Merwe, Altin (a)0.05200
Montojo, Jaime (a)0.05200
Nolan, Liam (a)0.05200
Andersen, Mason0.05100
Koh, Guntaek0.05100
Hutsby, Sam0.05100
Hendry, Mike0.05100
Wang, Jeunghun0.05100
Dodd-Berry, Matthew (a)0.05100
Iwasaki, Aguri0.05100
Stubbs, Jasper (a)0.05100
Kinoshita,  Ryosuke0.05000
Boriboonsub, Denwit David0.05000
Cejka, Alex0.05000
Clarke, Darren0.05000
McDonald, Jack0.05000
Lindh, Charlie0.05000
Leonard, Justin0.05000
Daly, John0.05000
Hamilton, Todd0.05000
  • Mckibbon is presently 6 %. This may go up thru tonight into lock
  • Rasmus Hojgaard is nursing a wrist INJURY. Be careful.

These Open Ownership Projections are accurate as of 5:52 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: Rahm, Koepka, Clark, Homa and Hoge

My Picks for The Open

Top Tier: Scheffler

Mid Tier: Fleetwood

Low Tier: Oosti

Out in Left Play: Henley

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Bryson

FR Leader: Stenson (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex.

***** Parting Shots *****

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Welcome to the Scottish Open Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. We are across the pond this week with a pretty healthy roster. Last week we had a golfer that hadn’t played a PGA event since 1998. He finished +14. Shocking. What’s not shocking is our own Deep Dive Dave covers the Euro tours and has turned them into serious moneymakers for the Win Daily Family. The Scottish Open Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

Everyone will be here except Scottie and a couple of other higher ranked golfers. We have not only an elite PGA roster, we also have some of the best DP World Tour members. Make sure you stay on top of the weather this week. So far in our pool we have the following golfers, Xander, Mori, T Kim, Aberg, Fitz, Rai, Clark, EVR, Detry, McKibbin, N Hojgaard, j Smith, Griffin, Taylor, Ferguson and Southgate.

Others will be added once ownership is projected.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit missed the cut. Our Frisky Biscuit record is now 31-8 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is going to be extremely important this week. It will mean the difference between -7 (windy) and -17 (calm) Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the Scottish Open Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
McIlroy, Rory31.411900
Schauffele, Xander29.811700
Aberg, Ludvig25.210500
Morikawa, Collin21.910300
Fleetwood, Tommy21.69900
Hovland, Viktor18.49700
Lee, Min Woo17.99200
Kim, Tom 17.39500
Rai, Aaron16.78300
An, Byeong14.27600
MacIntyre, Robert 13.47800
Clark, Wyndham13.38100
Matsuyama, Hideki13.29400
Thompson, Davis 13.17900
Fitzpatrick, Mathew12.99000
Im, Sungjae12.48500
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan12.27500
Homa, Max11.87700
Thomas, Justin11.68800
Detry,Thomas 11.67200
Conners, Corey10.98900
Spieth, Jordan10.58000
Harman, Brian9.88600
Theegala, Sahith9.78200
Straka, Sepp8.87600
McKibbin, Tom8.77000
Pavon, Matthieu8.46900
Mitchell, Keith7.97300
Smith, Jordan7.76600
Hojgaard, Nicolai7.66800
Hoge, Tom7.57100
Kitayama, Kurt 6.46700
Ferguson, Ewen6.36700
Hojgaard, Rasmus6.26800
Van Rooyen, Erik6.07000
Fox, Ryan5.97100
Griffin, Ben5.86600
Power, Seamus5.76400
Kim, Si Woo5.67500
Wiesberger, Bernd5.46600
Scott,Adam5.37300
Noren, Alexander5.27400
McCarthy, Denny4.57400
Wallace, Matt4.46700
Perez, Victor 4.46300
Jordan, Matthew4.35900
Novak, Andrew4.26200
Valimaki,Sami 4.15700
Nakajima, Keita 4.06300
Cole, Eric3.76400
Migliozzi, Guido3.66000
Zalatoris,Will3.56900
Yu, Kevin 3.46300
Davis, Cameron3.46200
Moore, Taylor3.36100
Bjork, Alexander3.35600
Stevens, Sam3.26200
Crocker, Sean3.15500
Olesen, Thorbjorn2.96000
Hodges, Lee 2.86100
Syme, Conner 2.86000
Horschel, Billy2.77200
Fowler, Rickie2.76400
English, Harris2.66800
Fitzpatrick, Alex 2.65700
Hadwin, Adam2.46500
Hughes, Mackenzie2.36100
Hill, Calum2.25900
Langasque, Romain 2.25800
Hisatsune, Ryo2.16300
Guerrier, Julien2.15600
Canter, Laurie2.06100
Rose, Justin1.86500
Eckroat, Austin 1.66500
Southgate, Matthew1.65600
Glover, Lucas1.56200
Hubbard, Mark1.46500
Grillo, Emiliano1.46100
Taylor, Nick1.45900
Ghim, Doug1.36200
Hoshino, Rikuya1.36000
Lawrence, Thriston1.35800
Rozner, Antoine1.25600
Greyserman, Max1.25900
Schmid, Matti (Matthias)1.15900
Mansell, Richard1.06000
Lower, Justin0.95800
Svensson, Jesper0.95500
Todd, Brendon0.86100
Woodland, Gary0.85500
Putnam, Andrew0.76000
Riley, Davis 0.75900
Luiten, Joost0.75700
Gotterup, Christopher0.75600
Siem, Marcel0.75400
Shinkwin, Callum0.75300
Paul, Yannik0.65800
Phillips, Chandler0.65700
Nogaard, Niklas0.65700
Otaegui, Adrian 0.55800
Montgomery, Taylor0.55800
List, Luke0.55600
Norrman, Vincent0.55400
Lee, KH0.45700
Manassero, Matteo0.45700
Kohles, Ben0.45600
Li, Haotong0.45500
Sharma, Shubhankar0.45400
Forrest, Grant0.45300
Harrington, Padraig0.45300
Hillier, Daniel0.45200
Arnaus, Adri0.45200
Jamieson, Scott0.35600
Campillo, Jorge0.35500
Cink, Stewart0.35500
Lee, Junghwan0.35400
Hoffman, Charley0.25500
Garnett, Brice0.25400
Ramsay, Richie0.25400
Echavarria, Nico0.25300
Frittelli, Dylan0.25300
Law, David0.25200
Dantorp, Jens0.25100
Bradbury, Dan0.15400
Coussaud, Ugo0.15300
Cockerill, Aaron0.15300
Molinari, Francesco0.15200
Clements, Todd0.15100
Scrivener, Jason0.15100
Winther, Jeff0.15100
Larrazabal, Pablo0.05500
Elvira Mijares, Ignacio  (Nacho)0.05400
Katsuragawa, Yuto0.05300
Brown, Daniel0.05200
Park, Sang-Hyun0.05200
Donald, Luke0.05200
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.05200
Kieffer, Maximilian0.05200
Van Driel, Darius0.05100
De Jager, Louis0.05100
Baldwin, Matthew0.05100
Ham, Jeongwoo0.05100
Wu, Ashun0.05100
Kawamura, Masahiro0.05100
Armitage, Marcus0.05000
Tarrio, Santiago0.05000
Wilson, Oliver0.05000
Whitnell, Dale0.05000
Gumberg, Jordan0.05000
Forsstrom, Simon0.05000
Bachem, Nick0.05000
Long, Hurly0.05000
Strydom, Ockie0.05000
Rueck, Cole (a)0.05000
Gavins, Daniel0.05000

These Scottish Open Ownership Projections are accurate as of 6:09 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: M. Fitzpatrick, Spieth, Fox, Wallace and Hubbard

My Picks for The Scottish Open

Top Tier: Rai, Xander

Mid Tier: MacIntyre

Low Tier: N. Hojgaard

Out in Left Play: N. Taylor

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Aberg

FR Leader: B An (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex,. Last week Sia picked the outright and Dave had the outright and FRL the week before. Joel smacked everyone around and won last week. The key to his victory is that less golfers W/D on his team.

***** Parting Shots *****

The bell ringer Quasimodo has died so the church elders decide to interview replacements. After a bunch of turndowns, in walks a man with no limbs. One of the Cardinals snaps to and says, “Good sir, I am sorry but you don’t have the qualifications for this job.” You have to ring the bell over and over.” The odd man says, “forgive me your eminence, let me show you my skills.” He springs mightily from the floor and smashes the bell with his face. “My son” said the Cardinal, “you have to do it over and over.” The man springs again and hits the bell, then does it again. When he tries to spring up once more he slips from a water bucket spilled over, flies past the bell and out the window, and 11 floors later splats on the ground. The Cardinal, horrified, runs down the stairs and sees a huge crowd gathered around the man. One of the peasants asked, “Your eminence, do you know this man?” “No” said the Cardinal, “but his face rings a bell.”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Well, before jumping into our John Deere Classic preview, there is one thing we need to say first: WHAT. A. WEEK!

It was a fabulous week all round for our selections at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Cam Davis was in our selections at a MASSIVE 70/1 and secured his 2nd PGA Tour victory at the same venue he won at in 2021. We also completed the quinella, with Min Woo Lee finishing runner-up within our selections. We cashed a full place on him at +360.

After three weeks of having hit a first-round leader top 5, we cashed in on Bhatia as first-round leader at 45/1. Sam Stevens finished in 10th, just one shot outside a place finish at 14/1. We cashed a Top 20 at +320 for him.

It is hard to find fault in a week like that. However, I might make an exception for Joel Dahmen. Sitting 7th entering the final round, he was the worst putter in the field by some margin on Sunday when he lost -4.70 SG: Putt. Had he putted at field average, he would have cashed a place at 32/1. Even losing 2 strokes putting (still a substantially dreadful putting day), he would have locked in a Top 20 at +650. Instead, we had to settle on a Top 40 at +200.

Now is the BEST time to lock in with WinDaily! Leading up to the final major, The Open Championship, we have brought back our popular DeepDiveGolf Promo. Grab our “Feel Like a King” special before The Open and receive 50% off your membership fees for the lifetime of your membership!

Find out more about DeepDiveGolf and sign-up with our 50% off promo here
P.S. this week you can get 50% off our weekly and monthly memberships as well!

John Deere Classic History Preview

Much is made of this event, from notably receiving a hard time for the low quality of the field and the ease of scoring at TPC Deere Run. Mostly, it is hard to dispute both points.

However, the tournament has still generated it’s own storylines. Steve Stricker famously won 3 consecutive tournaments here from 2009-2011. Jordan Spieth won in both 2013 and 2015. Spieth appears here for the first time since that 2015 win. Largely, that is a result of his current FedEx Cup ranking. He sits outside the Top 50, a key mark to automatically earn his way into all the signature events in 2025. He returns in dreadful form, with question marks about an enduring wrist injury. But, it is Jordan Spieth. And in usual Spiethian fashion, just about anything could happen for him.

It is also one of the last opportunities to qualify for The Open Championship. An alluring prize for those who are yet to make the field, and one that has ensured a somewhat improved field in recent years.

TPC Deere Run Golf Course Analysis

TPC Deere Run has ranked consistently as one of the lowest scoring venues on the PGA Tour in all iterations of the tournament. In the last 14 tournaments, no one has won at a score higher than -18 and typically something in the range of -20 to -25 is required for victory. The cutline has been -3 or -4 for the last 5 years.

In short, you need to make birdies and do so often to remain in contention here. It should be no surprise then that all of the last 7 winners here ranked 15 or better for the week in greens in regulation.

Given fairways are generous average of 36 yards, what may be more surprising in our John Deere Classic preview is that driving accuracy ranks as a high correlation to success. However, the course has ranked in the 9th or lower for rough penalty on the PGA Tour for all seasons in the last 8 years. This is also another factor of the scoring.

YouTube player

Fact is, when you need to make birdies in bunches, you are best placed to do so from the fairway. The course is not overly long, being a 7,289 par 71. This factors into our final point of our John Deere Classic course preview. That is short iron play is supremely important at TPC Deere Run.

A huge 35% of approach shots will occur between 100-150 yards. With a further two approach shots projected between 50-100 yards, that is 45% of approach shots with a wedge in hand. This is particularly intriguing, given the majority of recent golf courses have seen the opposite with a disproportionate number of long irons.

The recipe to success here is find the fairway, hit a good wedge shot, and make the subsequent putt.

TPC Deere Run Course Comps

First thing to note is that TPC Deere Run has one of the lowest correlations between prior success as a predictor of future performance. This might be somewhat confusing given this tournament has been held 23 times at this venue, so a wealth of data is available.

However, given the low scoring here and generally weaker fields, it should be factored into your decisions when you preview the John Deere Classic the prior performances should rated less highly than at other venues.

TPC Deere Run plays host to our John Deere Classic Preview

Finding success here can be linked to a number of other low scoring venues, where driving accuracy and wedge play are the key. Courses such as Wai’alae Country Club (Sony Open), TPC River Highlands (Travelers Championship), and Sedgefield Country Club (Wyndham Championship) come to mind here.

Furthermore, Colonial Country Club (Charles Schwab Challenge) could be an important course comp. Jordan Spieth and Steve Stricker, both multiple time winners of the John Deere Classic, have also won there.

John Deere Classic Weather Preview

Weather could well play a factor to our John Deere Classic preview this week. When you have to score so low, getting the right side of the weather wave can be essential to finding a winner in betting or DFS markets.

Currently, Thursday morning looks to be the best conditions by far across the first two rounds. Winds will increase to low teens for gusts that afternoon, with a chance of heavy rain and possibly delayed play. On Friday, winds increase even further.

Friday presents the highest winds in the afternoon, with prevailing winds between 14-17 mph and gust between 20-25 mph. However, winds will still be high on Friday morning. It is a very short window before winds begin to increase throughout the day.

As such, I think the best strategy here is for those going out early Thursday. Hopefully, they can make the most of the pristine calm conditions. The goal is to then hold on throughout Friday. The vast majority of players will be completing at least 9 holes in very high winds. Further, those going out Thursday afternoon could slip into the windy conditions Friday morning if substantial delays are experienced.

Over the weekend, winds should settle. On Sunday, there is a small chance of thunderstorms and heavy rain in the region. Again, this could result in some delays in play should forecasts remain true.

Weather forecast could be key to our John Deere Classic Preview

John Deere Classic Preview Golf Betting Tips

If you want to read my golf betting tips for the John Deere Classicyou can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.

Find my Profit and Loss Tracker for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here.
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Access to our premium Discord channel is one of the best aspects of a premium membership. You will be able to receive one-on-one coaching with me, as well as ask any questions you may have.

Thank you for reading our preview and tournament analysis of the 2024 John Deere Classic. I look forward to welcoming you into the WinDaily family and celebrating many, many wins with you in 2024!

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Welcome to the JDC Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. We are in the twin cities this week. You can expect another birdie fest as the tour makes its swing through the easier Bermuda/Bentgrass courses. This course may be a tiny bit harder than Detroit simply because it has 1 less par 5. It’s tough to figure out who to take more of and who to take less of in DFS golf. The JDC Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

Guess what? Jordan Spieth is in this tournament! Did I mention Spieth is coming? There’s also a PGA player who hasn’t had his card updated since 1998. He’s playing in his first tourney in 26 years. Expect more of that type of golfer in this match. There are only six players in the OWGR top 40 this week. Glover, McCarthy, Day, Spieth, Straka and IM. This is another TPC course with wide fairways, receptive greens and not to many hazards. (water on 3 holes) Some of our pool includes the above with Poston, Johnson, Merritt, Griffin, Rai, Kizzire, Power, Kraft, Ryder, Hisatune and Silverman. Others will be added once ownership is projected.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit not only made the cut, he finished 17th! We could all use a 6300 salary, 4 % owned golfer who finishes that well. Another pick we released was Justin Lower who finished 25th. ALL of our leverage golfers listed below made the cut including Benjamin James (a) at the bottom 6K salary and practically no ownership. Our Frisky Biscuit record is now 31-7 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is calling for light rain Thursday and Friday and winds most of Friday. Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the JDC Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
Im, Sungjae30.310300
Straka, Sepp28.210400
Rai, Aaron24.410000
Thompson, Davis 23.99600
McCarthy, Denny19.69500
McNealy, Maverick18.89800
Poston,  JT17.99100
Power, Seamus15.48300
Spieth, Jordan15.310500
Svensson, Adam14.38200
Glover, Lucas13.78700
Mitchell, Keith13.29200
Hubbard, Mark12.88400
Hisatsune, Ryo11.57600
Clanton, Luke (a)11.38600
Dunlap,  Nick 10.88900
Cole, Eric10.68500
Hodges, Lee 10.37500
Berger, Daniel10.27400
Day, Jason10.09400
Griffin, Ben9.87900
Novak, Andrew9.67500
Dahmen, Joel9.57300
Ghim, Doug8.87600
Schenk, Adam8.77700
Shipley, Neal 8.67500
Hossler, Beau8.48100
Stevens, Sam8.29000
Yu, Kevin (Chun-an)8.28800
Kohles, Ben7.86600
Rodgers, Patrick7.57800
Thornbjornsen, Michael 7.47700
Lower, Justin7.37200
Knapp, Jake7.37100
Todd, Brendon7.07300
Vegas, Jhonattan6.97200
Kizzire, Patton6.76900
Sigg, Greyson 6.17200
Merritt, Troy5.96800
Bridgeman, Jacob5.47300
Putnam, Andrew5.27500
Kim, Michael5.17400
Lashley, Nate4.97400
Moore, Ryan4.96800
Phillips, Chandler4.57100
Silverman, Ben4.47100
Skinns, David4.36900
Smalley, Alex 4.16900
Wu, Dylan3.97100
Johnson, Zack3.87000
Spaun, JJ3.77400
Hardy, Nick3.77000
Cauley, Bud3.67000
Kucher, Matt3.66900
Meissner, Mac 3.57000
Young, Carson3.56700
Olesen, Thorbjorn3.47600
Lee, KH3.47200
Riley, Davis 3.37300
Kim, Chan3.27000
List, Luke2.97100
Higgs, Harry2.96400
Kraft, Kelly2.76600
Gotterup, Christopher2.67200
Hoey, Rico2.37100
Pan, CT2.37000
Greyserman, Max2.26900
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon)1.97300
Buckley, Hayden1.96600
Tosti, Alejandro1.87200
Coody, Pierceson 1.86700
Blair, Zac1.66500
Bryan, Wesley1.66200
Frittelli, Dylan1.66200
Ryder, Sam1.56700
Fishburn, Patrick1.46700
Reavie, Chez1.46300
Whaley, Vincent1.36800
Shelton, Robby1.36600
Bramlett, Joseph1.27100
Tway, Kevin1.26900
Hall, Harry1.26800
Garnett, Brice1.26700
Streelman, Kevin1.26600
NeSmith, Matthew1.26500
Yuan, Carl1.26500
Highsmith, Joe1.26300
Hadley, Chesson1.17000
Duncan, Tyler1.16800
Valimaki,Sami 1.06800
Springer, Hayden0.97000
Campillo, Jorge0.96900
Wu, Brandon 0.96500
Laird, Martin0.86900
Malnati, Peter0.86700
Champ, Cameron0.76800
Ramey, Chad0.76600
Coody, Parker 0.76600
Tarren, Callum0.76300
Piercy, Scott0.76200
Higgo, Garrick0.66800
Griffin, Lanto0.66600
Suh, Justin 0.66500
Cink, Stewart0.66400
Lindheim, Nicholas0.66300
Stanger, Jimmy0.56500
Palmer, Ryan0.56400
Long, Adam0.56300
Kisner, Kevin0.56000
Norlander, Henrik0.46700
Gordon, Will0.46400
Lipsky, David0.46300
Campos, Rafael0.46200
Noh, Seung-Yul0.36700
Smotherman, Austin0.36500
Echavarria, Nico0.36400
Sloan, Roger0.36300
McCormick, Ryan0.36300
Dou, Zecheng 0.36200
Westmoreland, Kyle0.36100
Buchanan, Jackson (a)0.36100
Cook, Austin0.36100
Crowe, Trace0.26500
Dougherty, Kevin0.26400
Knox, Russell0.26300
Dumont de Chassart, Adrien0.16400
Werenski, Richy0.16400
Whitney, Tom0.16200
Barjon, Paul0.16100
Gribble, Cody0.16100
Snedeker, Brandt0.16000
Landry, Andrew0.16000
Endycott, Harrison0.06500
Hahn, James0.06400
Furr, Wilson0.06300
O’Hair, Sean0.06200
Haas, Bill0.06200
Alexander, Tyson0.06200
Barnes, Erik0.06200
Chappell, Kevin0.06100
Trainer, Martin0.06100
Creel, Joshua0.06100
Brehm, Ryan0.06100
Gutschewski, Scott0.06100
Hale Jr., Blaine0.06100
Pereda, Raul0.06100
Sherwood, Cole0.06000
Villegas, Camilo0.06000
Teater, Josh0.06000
Albertson, Anders0.06000
Johnson, Chase0.06000
Taylor, Ben0.06000
Watney, Nick0.06000
Hathcoat, Blake0.06000
Larson, Anders (a)0.06000
Vest, Tracy0.06000

These JDC Ownership Projections are accurate as of 5:49 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: Spieth, Stevens, Yu, Putnam and Sigg

My Picks for The JDC

Top Tier: Rai

Mid Tier: Poston

Low Tier: Kizzire

Out in Left Play: Kraft

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Cole

FR Leader: Schenk (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex, whose picks seem to sometime withdraw or end up in prison.

Last week Deep Dive Dave picked the FRL AND the winner and second place finisher. Along with the BISCUIT and other value plays, there is nowhere you should be except Win Daily Sports. We put the Win in Win Daily Sports.

***** Parting Shots *****

A man walks into a bar and asks the bartender for a case of beer, any kind of beer except Schlitz. “What’s wrong with Schlitz?” “you don’t like it?” “I hate that crap” said the customer, “Last night I drank a whole case of Schlitz and blew chunks.” The bartender replied, “You drink any brand by the case and you’re going to blow chunks.” You don’t understand” said the man.’ “Chunks is my dog.”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Welcome to the Rocket Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. We are in Detroit, home of muscle cars and in the old days, gangster muscle. Eight mile road, made famous by rapper Eminem, wasn’t a place for the meek or mild. The five families would recruit enforcers from Detroit who had a hard edge reputation. This was decades ago and today Detroit is experiencing growth and jobs and a resurgence. We all know about the ups and downs of DFS golf. The Rocket Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

Last week I mentioned that Bermuda Birdie Tourneys were front and center. Last week’s score was an indicator and it was a down to the wire playoff that Scottie won over Kim.

If there was any week to play the Studs and Cruds this would be it. In fact, fading the cream at the top isn’t a bad idea according to our game theory guru. Bombers do well and it actually boils down to who gets hottest with the putter between 5 and 17 feet. If you have a favorite bottom feeder that can putt, put him in play. Some of the golfers we are looking at pooling include Keith Mitchell, Aaron Rai, Ben Griffen, Chan Kim, Mav McNealy, Cam Davis, Mark Hubbard, Taylor Pendrith, Alex Noren, Daniel Berger and Doug Ghim.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week there was no cut. Our two low end selections did well and brought value for their price. Our Frisky Biscuit record is now 29-7 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is calling for wind 5-10 mph and possible showers Friday afternoon. Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the Rocket Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

Y

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
Kim, Tom (Joohyung) 32.311000
Bhatia, Akshay 27.49800
Lee, Min Woo26.110500
McNealy, Maverick25.28900
Noren, Alexander23.910200
Pendrith, Taylor 23.69600
Young, Cameron23.210700
Jaeger, Stephan 22.99400
Rai, Aaron20.68800
Thompson, Davis 18.28300
Mitchell, Keith17.78500
Svensson, Adam13.77600
Hojgaard, Nicolai11.87300
Kirk, Chris11.68100
Wallace, Matt11.47400
MacIntyre, Robert 11.18700
Zalatoris,Will10.89200
Moore, Taylor10.77500
Fowler, Rickie10.49000
Fox, Ryan9.78200
Van Rooyen, Erik9.67800
Davis, Cameron8.97200
Hodges, Lee 8.97100
Griffin, Ben8.87900
Hubbard, Mark8.47700
Berger, Daniel7.77000
Rodgers, Patrick6.67500
Stevens, Sam6.57200
Ghim, Doug6.36900
Thornbjornsen, Michael 6.28000
Phillips, Chandler6.26700
Clanton, Luke (a)5.97000
Olesen, Thorbjorn5.86900
Hisatsune, Ryo5.76900
Tosti, Alejandro5.66600
Yu, Kevin (Chun-an)5.47100
Schenk, Adam5.46800
Cole, Eric5.17000
Novak, Andrew5.06700
Dunlap,  Nick 4.97400
Lower, Justin4.76500
Knapp, Jake4.76400
Meissner, Mac 4.46400
Kim, Michael4.36600
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon)4.36400
Merritt, Troy4.36300
Hossler, Beau3.87300
Gotterup, Christopher3.86700
Champ, Cameron3.86200
Riley, Davis 3.36800
Shipley, Neal 3.36300
James, Benjamin (a)3.15000
Sigg, Greyson 3.06500
Dahmen, Joel3.06100
Schmid, Matti (Matthias)2.86500
Young, Carson2.75900
Spaun, JJ2.66400
Bridgeman, Jacob2.66300
Koivun, Jackson (a)2.56600
Montgomery, Taylor2.46800
Lashley, Nate2.46500
Bramlett, Joseph2.46200
Todd, Brendon2.16700
Coody, Pierceson 2.05900
List, Luke1.96600
Whaley, Vincent1.96100
Simpson, Webb1.86500
Kohles, Ben1.86000
Pan, CT1.76200
Valimaki,Sami 1.75900
Ryder, Sam1.75800
Hadley, Chesson1.66300
Hoffman, Charley1.66200
Wu, Dylan1.65800
Kim, Chan1.56300
Greyserman, Max1.56200
Blair, Zac1.55500
Vegas, Jhonattan1.46600
Smalley, Alex 1.46200
Kucher, Matt1.46100
Skinns, David1.46100
Coody, Parker 1.45900
Lee, KH1.36400
Kizzire, Patton1.35800
Kraft, Kelly1.35700
Woodland, Gary1.26100
Campillo, Jorge1.26000
Echavarria, Nico1.25400
Tway, Kevin1.16000
Shelton, Robby1.15600
Norrman, Vincent1.15500
Cauley, Bud1.06000
Hardy, Nick1.05800
Malnati, Peter0.96100
Duncan, Tyler0.96000
Silverman, Ben0.96000
Ramey, Chad0.95700
Garnett, Brice0.85900
Hall, Harry0.75700
Cink, Stewart0.75700
Suh, Justin 0.75700
Norlander, Henrik0.75600
Hoey, Rico0.75400
Miles, Russell (a)0.75100
Laird, Martin0.65900
Higgo, Garrick0.65800
Moore, Ryan0.65600
Yuan, Carl0.65600
Fishburn, Patrick0.55800
Crowe, Trace0.55700
Griffin, Lanto0.55600
Johnson, Zack0.55500
Dougherty, Kevin0.55500
Reavie, Chez0.55400
Wu, Brandon 0.55400
Dumont de Chassart, Adrien0.45600
Streelman, Kevin0.45500
Buckley, Hayden0.45400
Tarren, Callum0.45300
Kisner, Kevin0.45100
NeSmith, Matthew0.35500
Lipsky, David0.35400
Molinari, Francesco0.35300
Bryan, Wesley0.35200
Highsmith, Joe0.25500
Springer, Hayden0.25400
Campos, Rafael0.25300
Baddeley, Aaron0.15300
Barnes, Erik0.15300
Sloan, Roger0.15200
Alexander, Tyson0.15200
Trainer, Martin0.15200
Barjon, Paul0.15200
Giantsipoulos, Angelo0.15000
Furr, Wilson0.05300
McCormick, Ryan0.05300
Endycott, Harrison0.05200
Lindheim, Nicholas0.05200
Teater, Josh0.05200
Berry, Brandon0.05200
Whitney, Tom0.05100
Villegas, Camilo0.05100
Dufner, Jason0.05100
Brehm, Ryan0.05100
Walker, Jimmy0.05100
Wilkinson, Tim0.05100
Guise, Danny0.05100
Snedeker, Brandt0.05000
Albertson, Anders0.05000
Gutschewski, Scott0.05000
Hale Jr., Blaine0.05000
Taylor, Ben0.05000
Mack III, Willie0.05000
Pereda, Raul0.05000
Martin, Kyle0.05000
Bienz, Nick0.05000

These Rocket Ownership Projections are accurate as of 5:58 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: Fowler, Fox, Yu, Riley and B. James.

My Picks for The Rocket Mortgage

Top Tier: Pendrith

Mid Tier: MacIntyre

Low Tier: Hojgaard

Out in Left Play: S.H. Kim

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: T. Kim

FR Leader: Ghim (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex.

***** Parting Shots *****

Before you read the humor below- last week my wife and I were out on the town and there was a trivia contest going on where we were. The younger late teens team was winning easily and a couple of them bragged about their generation being the smartest. I turned to my wife and said, (this is true by the way) “Forty years ago if you bought a new car the owners manual instructed you on how to adjust the valves.” “Today a new car manual warns you not to drink the contents of the battery.”…….smile.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Welcome to the Travelers Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daly Sports. After a riveting U S Open that saw Rory choke not once but twice on 16 and 18 and gift Bryson with his second open championship, we move to one of the shortest courses on tour from one of the longest. Last year saw Keegan Bradley take the crown with a total of -23. It’s Bermuda birdie fest time! Changes can mean a lot in DFS golf. Our job is to put a ton of change into your pocket. The Travelers Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

Shot link records every swing at a tournament, After Keegan made TPC River Highlands look like Joe Bobs Putt Putt last year they made a few changes. The majority of them have been narrowing the fairways where most drives land off the tee. It will toughen up the course and require more accuracy but the course remains gettable. Some of the golfers we will be prioritizing are Bradley, Xander, Scottie, Spieth, Poston, Aberg, Si Woo, Conners, Deki, McCarthy, English and Griffin.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our two selections made the cut with ease. Our Frisky Biscuit record is now 29-7 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is calling for possible rain Friday afternoon. With only 71 players they won’t go out in waves. I’d rather skip the rain but will not be basing any roster spots on weather. Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the Travelers Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
Scheffler, Scottie30.212500
Schauffele, Xander24.111200
Morikawa, Collin22.39800
Aberg, Ludvig21.910200
Henley, Russell21.28600
Harman, Brian18.58300
Conners, Corey17.88400
Cantlay, Patrick17.49600
Matsuyama, Hideki16.19200
Hovland, Viktor15.99300
Straka, Sepp15.87900
Burns, Sam14.79000
Kim, Tom (Joohyung) 14.28100
Finau, Tony13.98900
Bradley, Keegan12.78700
Theegala, Sahith12.68800
Kim, Si Woo12.47500
Fleetwood, Tommy11.79100
Im, Sungjae11.37900
Bhatia, Akshay 10.67200
Poston,  JT10.27300
Thomas, Justin9.88500
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan9.57400
McCarthy, Denny9.37500
Clark, Wyndham9.27700
Spieth, Jordan8.98200
Hoge, Tom8.97000
English, Harris8.67100
Lowry, Shane8.47800
Homa, Max8.07800
Scott, Adam7.57700
Fitzpatrick, Mathew7.38000
Horschel, Billy7.17300
Pavon, Matthieu7.16800
An, Byeong6.97600
Detry,Thomas 6.87100
Svensson, Adam6.86400
Eckroat, Austin 6.76800
Thornbjornsen, Michael (a)6.76500
Hodges, Lee 6.66400
Glover, Lucas6.36700
Grillo, Emiliano6.16300
Young, Cameron6.07600
Power, Seamus5.96500
Day, Jason5.57400
Pendrith, Taylor 5.47200
Griffin, Ben5.46800
Kirk, Chris5.36900
Zalatoris,Will5.27100
Jaeger, Stephan 4.67000
Cole, Eric4.66300
Todd, Brendon4.56000
Hughes, Mackenzie4.46900
Hadwin, Adam4.46700
Riley, Davis 4.26200
Putnam, Andrew4.16400
Kitayama, Kurt 4.06600
Rose, Justin3.86900
Taylor, Nick3.66100
Davis, Cameron3.46300
Fowler, Rickie3.36700
Perez, Victor 3.36500
Simpson, Webb3.36200
Moore, Taylor3.16600
Knapp, Jake3.06100
Dunlap,  Nick 2.96600
MacIntyre, Robert 2.57000
Schenk, Adam2.36100
Rodgers, Patrick2.16200
Malnati, Peter1.76000
Gotterup, Christopher1.46000

These Travelers Ownership Projections are accurate as of 4:45 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: Cantlay, Burns, Spieth, Fitz, C Young, Will Z, and MacIntyre

My Picks for The Travelers

Top Tier: Cantlay

Mid Tier: Theegala

Low Tier: Power

Out in Left Play: Cole

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Aberg

FR Leader: Pendrith (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave is on fire, so is Stix Picks! They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel.

***** Parting Shots *****

Two sisters inherit the family ranch. Unfortunately, after just a few years, they are in financial trouble. In order to keep the bank from repossessing the ranch, they need to purchase a bull from the stockyard in a far town so that they can breed their own stock. They only have $600 available.

The older sister says, “I’m going to take the bus to the stockyards since you need the pick-up truck. When I get there, if I decide to buy a bull, I’ll contact you to bring the pickup truck and trailer and haul it home.”

The older sister arrives at the stockyard, inspects a bull, and decides she wants to buy it. The man tells her that he will sell it for $599, no less. After paying him, she makes her way to the nearest town to send her sister a telegram telling her the news.

She walks into the telegraph office and says, “I want to send a telegram to my sister, telling her that I’ve bought a bull for our ranch. I need her to hitch the trailer to our pickup truck and drive out here so we can haul it home.”

The telegraph operator said he’ll be glad to help her, then adds, “It’s 99 cents a word.” Well, after paying for the bull, she only had one dollar, enough to send one word.

After a few minutes of thinking, she nods and says, “I want you to send her this word: comfortable.”

The operator shakes his head. ‘How is she ever going to know that you want her to hitch the trailer to the pickup truck and drive out here to haul that bull back to your ranch if you send her just the word “comfortable?”

She explained, “This is a big word for my sister. So she’ll read it very slowly… sounding it out as com-for-da-bull.”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Before we dive into our Travelers Championship preview, it is only right we talk about THAT tournament this week. The 124th US Open Championship lived up to the mark, producing one of the most memorable majors in recent memory. Not only is it rare to get a major championship that close right until the final hole, but also to have a leaderboard of that calibre meant we enjoyed a tournament for the ages.

Pinehurst No. 2 was a brilliant host. It lived up to all the promise, albeit the course was watered occasionally much to the jeers of the crowd. It truly is a fabulous golf course. Pleasingly, it has been marked as one of several venues which will host the US Open more regularly. The green complexes are some of the most fascinating that we get to enjoy of the major championship venues. There is something to be said for removing the rough around greens, relying instead on heavy contouring and fast, firm greens. It allows for more creativity and, subsequently, enjoyment for fans who get to see the world’s best golfers struggle to think of ways to get up and down.

Overall, it was another profitable week for our selections without the winner. Headline selection Xander recovered from a poor start to fight back across the week. Davis Thompson was tipped at a massive 300/1, and impressed once again. He was just one shot off place money of 60/1, triple the best available pre-tournament odds on a Bryson DeChambeau win.

TPC River Highlands Golf Course Analysis

True to form, the PGA Tour backs up a major championship with a signature event the following week. Although controversial, I can understand the reasoning. Not only does it ensure the field doesn’t get weakened after one of the flagship tournaments of the year, it has the additional benefit of striking while the iron is hot and fan interest in golf is high. The event will have no cut and was originally to have 72 players, although that has now reduced with Rory McIlroy to recover from that heart-breaking defeat.

TPC River Highlands plays host for our Travelers Championship preview. The course in has played host for decades, so we have a wealth of data. The first thing to note is that driving accuracy is at a premium here. That is often a prerequisite at courses where Pete Dye is involved.

Fairways are narrow averaging just 29 yards at key landing areas. The course has ranked in the 10 most penalizing for missed fairways in 7/9 most recent tournaments. The rough is thick Kentucky Bluegrass. Notably, this week the course superintendent has given rough length as 4+ inches. I’ve not seen the plus notation previously, so I am interested to see how long they let the grass grow out!

TPC River Highlands plays host to our Travelers Championship Preview

The course is short at just 6,835 yards for a par 70. The average length of par 4/5 is some of the shortest we will see of all regular PGA Tour stops. As such, you simply have to find the fairway to approach these greens and keep up with the scoring. We also see a reduction in projected long iron approaches. There is an increase in approach shots from 150-175 yards, but the vast majority of iron shots will be from less than 150 yards this week.

TPC River Highlands Course Comps

Guidance for our Travelers Championship preview can be found in other Pete Dye designs. Both Harbour Town (host of the RBC Heritage) and TPC Sawgrass (host of The Players Championship) shape as good indicators. They each require driving accuracy for different reasons. Harbour Town has overhanging trees along the fairways which can compromise approach angles. TPC Sawgrass is dotted with water throughout the property.

As such, it also makes sense to consider Sedgefield Country Club. The link between TPC Sawgrass and Sedgefield is one of the strongest correlations of all PGA Tour courses. It demands driving accuracy, but also has the added benefit of a requirement to keep up with low scoring.

Wai’alae Country Club is another guide, with tree lined fairways on a short course keeping accuracy front of mind along with very similar approach distance metrics. With the return of bentgrass greens, the recent RBC Canadian Open and the Memorial Tournament can be used for SG: Putting data.

Travelers Championship Weather Preview

As is often the case in signature events, there is little chance of a weather edge developing in our Travelers Championship preview. Given the reduced field, the tee-time window when golfers will be on the course is reduced. The prevents an edge developing given the lack of distinct disparity between the morning and evening. Further, with no cut, this has less benefit for DFS players.

Thursday looks to be very windy from the afternoon onwards. Those going off earliest should benefit, although the advantage is somewhat limited given the tee-time window is likely to only be two hours. On Friday, there is a chance of heavy rain and thunderstorms in the evening. I suspect that they will try to get all groups out as early as possible on Friday morning.

There is a chance that lift, clean, and place could be in play. This means golfers who find the fairway can remove any mud off the golf ball and also give themselves a perfect lie. It would only further emphasise the importance on driving accuracy this week.

Saturday looks calm and the course should be soft if the forecast rain arrives. Scoring should be good. Should the weather preview hold true, Sunday sees some wind return, hopefully leading to an exciting conclusion for the Travelers Championship.

Travelers Championship Preview Golf Betting Tips

If you want to read my golf betting tips for the Travelers Championshipyou can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.

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Before getting into our betting tips for the US Open, I recommend having a read of my tournament preview article here. You can catch up on all my deep-dive golf course analysis of Pinehurst No. 2, course comps, and weather for the tournament. Hopefully, this helps provide a glimpse into part of my process behind the US Open golf betting tips below.

Find out all about DeepDiveGolf and WinDaily Sports here.
You gain access to all of our premium golf articles with betting tips and DFS player pools, but also premium access to ALL sports that WinDaily Sports covers.
From the NFL, NHL, MLB, NBA, Soccer, and more, we have experts in nearly every field you can imagine. No one provides better value!

Access to our premium Discord channel is one of the best aspects of a premium membership. You will be able to receive one-on-one coaching with me, as well as ask any questions you may have.

You can find my latest profit and loss tracker for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here.
We believe trust and transparency are key in this industry. We keep meticulous result tracking. You can sign up with the utmost confidence you are joining one of the sharpest golf bettors on the planet.

Honourable Mentions: Viktor Hovland, Cam Smith, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tom McKibbin, Victor Perez.

Pinehurst No. 2 hosts our US Open golf betting tips

US Open Golf Betting Tips

Xander Schauffele – US Open Golf Betting Tips Favourite
4u E/W +1200 (William Hill 8 places 1/5 odds)

Collin Morikawa
2.5u E/W +1600 (William Hill 8 places 1/5 odds)

Min Woo Lee
1u E/W +7500 (Unibet 7 places 1/5 odds)
And
3u Top 20 +250 (Various)

Corey Conners
0.5u E/W +8000 (BetVictor 5 places 1/4 odds)
And
3u Top 20 +280 (TAB)

Dean Burmester – US Open Golf Betting Tips Best Value
0.5u E/W +10000 (Bet365 8 places 1/5 odds)
And
1u Top 20 +320 (Various)
And
3u Top 40 +160 (TAB)

Ryan Fox
0.25u E/W +17500 (Unibet 7 places 1/5 odds)
And
1u Top 20 +550 (Unibet)
And
2.5u Top 40 +187 (Bet365 w. 25% Bet Boost)

Davis Thompson
0.25u E/W +30000 (Bet365 8 places 1/5 odds)
And
1u Top 20 +650 (Bet365 )
And
2.5u Top 40 +220 (Bet365 )

The Scottie Scheffler Conversation

As is often the case in 2024, you have to approach the Scottie Scheffler conversation. The same question remains when betting on the US Open.

There are couple of reasons to avoid betting Scheffler outright this week. The odds on offer are the shortest for a golfer in 15 years. That was Tiger Woods at +180 in the 2009 PGA Championship. It goes without saying that is outrageous odds for any golfer in one of the best fields of the year. Additionally, there may perhaps be no more appropriate golf course for taking Scheffler on.

In some ways, Pinehurst No. 2 is just plain unfair. Given the firmness of the course and fast dome shaped greens, even good approach shots may be punished this week. This can lead to volatility and, perhaps unfortunately, the best golfer of the week tournament may not actually win the tournament.

Sure, Scheffler could runaway with victory here much like Martin Kaymer did in 2014. We have to take on that risk. I’d instead favour taking him match-ups or tournament bets for a likely similar return. As always at DeepDiveGolf, we are betting value for the US Open. That means identifying situations where betting odds for the US Open are not reflective of the players actual chances.

US Open Betting Player Profiles

Xander Schauffele – US Open Golf Betting Tips Favourite

For the second tournament in a row, I am leading with Xander as my headline selection. I spoke before the Memorial Tournament of his ability on approach from 200+ yards. At least a third of all approach shots will come from that category. Schauffele is the best in the world in that metric, and it isn’t particularly close.

In many ways, Xander has been a victim of Scheffler’s success. He has been playing his best golf in his career. Again, that has been by quite some margin. Unfortunately, he has come up against a golfer playing at Tiger-esque levels in 2024.

We saw in 2022 that Schauffele managed to compile a quick run of successive victories. Having achieved his first win in 18 months, he also managed to get the Major victory monkey off his back when winning the PGA Championship.

His US Open record is impeccable reading 5-6-3-5-7-14-10 in his 7 appearances. He has finished no worse than 18th in his last 9 Major Championship appearances. Likewise, the formline at Donald Ross designed East Lake is also impressive. He has gone W-7-2-2-5-4-2 there.

Xander is a previous runner-up at the Open Championship and a winner at a tricky Scottish Open, where -7 was enough. He was also 2nd in North Carolina a few weeks ago at the Wells Fargo Championship for good measure.

Given his form, I show fair odds at 9/1. So, although 12/1 may seem short, that actually represents one of the better expected value on the US Open betting board. He could surprise a golf world with all eyes on Scottie Scheffler, and win back-to-back Majors this week.

Collin Morikawa

Given a short-priced option at the top and a volatile golf course, I decided to take just one other option up top before heading to the outsiders. And Morikawa shaped as the best additional selection within that range.

Much consideration was given to Hovland. Despite the inevitable return to Joe Mayo, I still hold concerns about his around the green game at a venue where short-game creativity should be key. Morikawa actually holds little worry in that category, rating out 9th in this field over the last 6 months.

Since reuniting with a former coach himself, Rick Sessinghaus, we have seen a significant resurgence in form from Morikawa. He has contended at both Majors, finishing 3rd at The Masters and 4th at the PGA Championship. He has finished no worse than 16th since that Masters performance. The most pleasing has been the return to his excellent approach play. He has improved on approach in his last 4 tournaments, ranking 4th for SG: APP last week.

Add into the mix that he is a previous Open Championship winner, and we could be looking at another golfer being just one win away from the career Grand Slam.

Min Woo Lee

So, we head swiftly into our longer shots, and few make better claims than Min Woo Lee.

Min Woo was a popular selection at the beginning of the year to win the US Open. For some reason, most likely the Scheffler effect, a lot of that noise has quietened down. As such, we can grab him this week at 75/1 when he was similar odds at the beginning of the year.

Another winner of the Scottish Open, Min Woo has plenty of experience on the Sandbelt courses in Australia to draw upon. I do suspect that this test will shape quite similar to that area. He has finished 27th and 5th in his two US Open appearances to date, with just one round hindering his chances on both occasions.

His approach play is often the question. However, his strongest range is from over 200+ yards, aided by his high clubhead speed meaning he can approach with a more lofted club than others. He has now gained on the field in that regard in 3 out of 4 most recent appearances.

Finally, there are some links between previous US Open leaderboards at Pinehurst No. 2 and TPC Sawgrass. Martin Kaymer is a champion at both, with 2014 runner-up Rickie Fowler also linking the two. As such, his contending on debut there in 2023 could see him join his sister Min Jee Lee in both having won the US Open.

Corey Conners

I have been on the Conners train for quite some time in 2024, and remain on him this week.

What many are sleeping on is the amount of driving distance he has added this year. Long regarded as a very accurate driver, he has now gained on the field for driving distance for every tournament bar two since July 2023.

Again, he ranks out very well for approach shots over 200+ yards. He ranks 3rd in that metric for 2024, behind Tony Finau who has well documented struggles on bermudagrass greens.

Also being missed is the swift improvement in his short-game of late, ranking as one of the sharpest improvers compared to historical baseline in that metric for the last 3 months. Conners has contended at Sawgrass twice and holds 20s at both the Scottish Open and The Open Championship.

Certainly, Conner’s US Open record leaves a lot to be desired. In saying that, as outlined in my preview I do suspect that this golf course plays quite a bit different to many other US Open venues. He has not missed a cut since the US Open last year, marking 23 tournaments. That improvement in putting and ATG has seen him finish 26th or better in his last 5 tournaments.

Dean Burmester – US Open Golf Betting Tips Best Value

Given the lack of strokes gained data, capping LIV Golf players is notoriously tricky. But let’s not be too hard on them, the first LIV Golf tournament didn’t even have a leaderboard on their website. So, you could argue they have come a long way by including ground-breaking statistics like Greens in Regulation.

Cam Smith looked a likely bet for me until he shot a round of 80 in last week’s tournament. My sources on the ground (I have links to his camp through his caddy) say that he is loving Pinehurst No. 2 thus far. Whether being scared off by that 3rd round performance at LIV Houston was wise remains to be seen.

Instead, I’ll side with Dean Burmester here. We saw some of the best of Burmy at the PGA Championship when he finished 12th off the back of a special invite. He finished 11th at The Open Championship held at St Andrews behind Cam Smith, as well as holding a 7th at the Alfred Dunhill Links.

His prodigious distance should remain an asset, ranking 4th in this field over the last two years for driving distance. Likewise, he possesses deft touch around the greens where he is 16th over the past two years. Looking over that timeframe is necessary given the lack of LIV data.

Burmester has tended to do best in tricky conditions. He most notably won at a difficult Doral at -11 earlier this year. That was his 4th victory at -12 or higher.

He ranks as the best long-shot in my books and warranted me marking him for our Bet Boost at the TAB this week.

Ryan Fox

I’ve been called the “Fox Whisperer” on occasion, and that followed in the Canadian Open. We selected Foxy that week at huge odds, he held a 4 shot lead with 25 holes to go, before eventually finishing 7th.

That was the second time this season where he has capitulated from contention. Ryan Fox was just two strokes off the lead at The Masters before fading. Again, he did the same in Canada when spotting the leaderboard and realising where he sat in the tournament.

Fox has a win at the Alfred Dunhill Links, where he finished 2nd in his defense. He also finished 16th in The Open Championship and has a 4th and 6th at the Scottish Open. I asked him about his love for links golf in the below interview (7m30 mark). Fox commented that he loved the creativity that links golf allowed him around the greens, something which will be imperative in this contest.

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The golf course reminds me a lot of Te Arai Links, his home golf course in New Zealand. Foxy swiftly set the course record there shooting a bogey-free 60 with 12 birdies.

Te Arai Links

It will of course be a big ask to win this. However, we have seen stranger things when betting at the US Open previously. None more so than the Kiwi connection to Pinehurst No. 2, with Michael Campbell winning here in 2005 and Danny Lee also winning the US Amateur at this venue.

Davis Thompson

Finally, I was tempted by Tom McKibbin and Victor Perez to round out the selections. McKibbin won a junior tournament here in 2015, is shaping as one of the best players on the DP World Tour, has plenty of links form, and is a winner at a very difficult golf course Green Eagle where he finished 8th when defending. Perez has made some notable gains on approach in his last 3 tournaments, has won the Alfred Dunhill Links, and was 12th in the PGA Championship at the Donald Ross designed Oak Hill.

Instead, I can’t resist a speculative bet on Davis Thompson. Thompson is both long and straight with driver in hand, which will be helpful at tricky fairways to find on what is still a long golf course nonetheless.

He also ranks well for approach, rating out 26th for SG: APP in this field over the last 3 months. Included in that was when 15th on approach last week, despite actually losing strokes on approach in the final round. Particularly, he has traditionally been best on approach from longer range.

Thompson is handy enough ATG, rating out 32nd in this field over the past 6 months. Much of his performance will come down to his performance with the putter. Positive signs have been seen of late, as well as additional support from prior performances on bermudagrass greens. Winning is more than likely beyond him, but he looks value for a Top 40 and perhaps even a cheeky Top 20.

Join Team Audience for the US Open PGA Draftcast

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Well, here was me thinking I had recovered from my post travel illness, only to come down with COVID in the middle of a major week. It’s actually my first time having the bug. Considering I remained healthy through 3 instances of my young daughter having it, I had hoped I was somehow immune and would be able to sell my blood for science to fund my retirement. Such was the extent of infection from our friend’s 30th birthday event, the group chat has now been renamed “Zoe’s 30th Super-Spreader Event”. But, you think that’s going to keep me down? In a major week? I don’t think so! Ain’t no way I was missing putting together a US Open preview for all you good folks (albeit with strategic naps in between).

Scottie Scheffler continues to defy all logic and reason with another outrageous statistical performance. His nearly +13 SG: APP was the 7th best approach round since strokes gained data began in 2004. It is the nature of tournaments which he is completing these feats that is perhaps the most astonishing. He is -106 across the last 8 events, where field average is +5. And that is assuming you made the cut in all 8 tournaments.

That makes life very difficult for those who bet golf. It is pretty remarkable we remain at a very small loss for ROI on the year (-3.72%). That has mainly been buoyed by our continued performance on the DP World Tour and regular place money on the PGA Tour. Given returns of 32.71% in 2023 and 24.9% in 2024, we will keep fighting the good fight whilst we weather the Scheffler storm.

US Open History at Pinehurst No. 2 Preview

The 124th US Open returns to Pinehurst No. 2 for their 4th opportunity to host this historic tournament. Over that time, just four players have shot under-par. Outside of a Kaymer runaway victory in 2014 when -9, the other three (Fowler, Compton, and Payne) all shot just -1. Michael Campbell won at even par by two over Tiger Woods here in 2005. Another Kiwi, Danny Lee, also won the US Amateur at this venue. Kia kaha!

Amazingly, Pinehurst Resort & Country Club actually has 10 full 18-hole golf courses. Throw in a 9-hole short course and 18-hole putting course for good measure. A true golfing mecca and, for many, Pinehurst remains an iconic home of golf in the USA.

Perhaps the most important note is the restoration of Pinehurst No. 2 in 2011. As has been seen in many major championship venues, the mission of Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw was to return the course back to Donald Ross’ original intentions. Most notably, that included the removal of an astonishing 35 acres of turf and restoration of the sandy waste areas lining these fairways.

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Pinehurst No. 2 Golf Course Analysis

It is often said that all US Open venues play somewhat similar. I think, any many ways, Pinehurst No. 2 breaks that mold.

Yes, it will be devilishly tough this week. The course is also very long at 7,543 yards for a par 70. The course will play very firm and fast. Greenskeepers have already been spotted watering the greens as early as Tuesday to try keep the course somewhat under control.

Fairways are wide at 35-45 yards on average. However, given the firmness they may play somewhat narrower than what is read on paper. Different to other US Open venues, which love to introduce extremely penal rough, the course has practically none. Instead, stray off the fairway and you run the lottery of finding yourself in sand (preferable) or wire grass (possibly unplayable).

Pinehurst No. 2 hosts our US Open preview

There is often a right and wrong side of the fairway to play your approach shot, to access these difficult greens. Given the course length, it is inevitable you will see a large number of approach shots from over 200+ yards.

Much has been made of those dome shaped greens. You have likely seen them described as upside-down saucers or akin to turtle backs. This effectively reduces the size of the greens significantly. Despite the 6,500sq feet the greens read on paper, the landing area where you need to play to is much smaller. The lack of rough means low running shots are a possibility, much like at links golf courses.

Finally, note after the 2014 US Open the greens switched from bentgrass to bermudagrass. This will be the first US Open played on bermudagrass greens.

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Pinehurst No. 2 Course Comps

As such, although prior form in US Opens is desirable, that comes more from an ability to keep an even temperament in the face of a difficult course than any course correlations. Of other Major Championship venues I suspect that Chamber’s Bay, Shinnecock Hills, and Oak Hill play the most similar. East Lake Golf Club is another Donald Ross design which you can consider this week.

I see links form as a real positive this week. Performing in The Open Championship is respected. It could also see a few players from the DP World Tour emerge, with the Alfred Dunhill Links a decent general guide and the Scottish Open providing some assistance for PGA Tour based players. Bay Hill asks similar questions but in a different way.

The golf course reminds me a lot of a number of courses in the Melbourne Sandbelt region. An Australian hasn’t won this tournament since Geoff Ogilvy in 2006, but perhaps this US Open preview as their best opportunity to snag one.

US Open Weather Preview

In general, the weather looks relatively inane all week. Winds look to remain in the single digits all week and gusts shouldn’t threaten over 20mph.

Most notably though, there has been a distinct lack in rain in North Carolina. The fact that they are already having to water the greens beginning the week is a sign that this course can play as fast as they wish. The masochistic in mean hopes they let it run rampant.

Fairways will narrow as a result, all though the course may seem to play a little shorter given the run after the carry from drives. Greens are set to run above 13.5 on the stimpmeter. Holding greens will be extremely difficult and inventive short-game will be important, as well as holing putts to try keep momentum. Needless to say, par will often be a great score and see you gain strokes on the field. Bring it on!

US Open Preview Golf Betting Tips

If you want to read my golf betting tips for the 124th US Openyou can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.

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Thank you for reading our preview and tournament analysis of the 2024 US Open. I look forward to welcoming you into the WinDaily family and celebrating many, many wins with you in 2024!

Rewatch the US Open PGA Draftcast

If you’ve not already, make sure to catch the US Open PGA Draftcast as we preview this week’s Major. We even had a special return from Sia Nejad to share his intel. Let the team know on Twitter whose line-up you think won!

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