Tag:

Tampa Bay Rays

MLB DFS: Picks and Pivots for Saturday – 07/24

Jared Levitt 4 years ago

written by Jared Levitt

Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks and Pivots. Tonight we have a really nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through.

It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian today. My goal today will be to layout a path to get at least one high level ace and a couple of offenses that are in great spots to crush tonight.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

Main Slate Breakdown

With tonight’s slate we have a couple of the top strike out pitchers in the league in Carlos Rodon ($10.1k) and Corbin Burnes ($10.6k). Both guys have been on fire of late with K rates 30% over the past month. Of the pitchers going tonight Rodon ranks first while Burnes ranks fourth. Wait, that means there are 2 other guys sandwiched in between them that also have a 30% K rate?

Yes, and one of them is someone I’m going to pair with either Rodon or Burnes. That guy is Logan Gilbert ($7.8k). In his last 20 innings of work Gilbert has been just brilliant. He’s sporting a 3.13 xFIP to go with a 34% K rate. He’s also really been able to limit his hard contact as his hard contact over the last month is a minuscule 18%. In Gilbert you are getting an ace level pitcher at an extreme discount.

I will be locking in Gilbert as my SP2 tonight and pairing him with either Rodon or Burnes. My lean right now is to go with a Rodon/Gilbert pairing as it leaves us with $4k to spend on our batters. Now that pitching is out of the way, let’s see where we can find some bats.

The first place I plan on looking to for offense is sure to make Brian happy. The Rays get a great match-up tonight against a pitcher that has really been struggling. In his last 3 games JC Mejia has given up 16 runs and 4 homers. I’m sure at some point Mejia will turn into a good pitcher and he even showed flashes of it in his last outing with 8 K’s, but right now he’s just a pitcher getting overwhelmed at the Major League level.

Mejia is a sinker ball pitcher which leads to a high number of ground balls. It’s been getting hit really hard though this year. Batters have a 52% hard hit rate and a .651 slugging % against his most used pitch. If we look at splits Mejia gives up a significantly higher ISO to lefties at .224.

Rays have the potential to throw out 5-6 lefties tonight which should signal doom for Mejia. My main target here is Austin Meadows ($4.2k) who has a .627 slugging % against sinkers this year. Brandon Lowe ($4.8k) and Ji-Man Choi ($4.1k) are also guys that have had success against sinkers with hard hit rates near or greater than 50% and wOBA’s close .400. Love the spot for the Rays tonight.

The other team that really stands out the most to me right now are the San Francisco Giants. They get a dream match-up tonight against a pitcher that has struggled all year and it’s only gotten worse of late.

Over the past month Will Crowe has been dreadful. He has a 5.85 xFIP that is pretty close to being in line with his ERA of 5.49 so we know what we’re getting is a pretty bad pitcher. During that same time period is he’s also given up 5 homers. He’s just giving up way too much hard contact and way too many fly balls.

His hard hit rate on the year is sitting at 41%. If you are giving up hard hits 40% of the time while only having a 20% K rate, you have almost no path to being a successful pitcher. In looking at his splits, he’s been pretty bad to both sides of the plate as the ISO is north of .200.

He gives up a slightly higher amount of fly balls to lefties so I’ll want to make sure I cram in a dirt cheap LaMonte Wade ($2.8k) who will most likely be leading off.

Two other guys that will be keys to my lineup are Yastrzemski ($3.8k) and Dickerson ($2.7k). Both guys are cheap and profile extremely well against the fastball and changeup mix they’ll see from Crowe. Other guys in this lineup that are cheap that will give you flexibility are Wilmer Flores ($3.8k) and Thario Estrada ($3.3k).

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

The Rays and Giants fit very well together tonight and they will be where my focus on offense will be. The Giants cheap pieces will help to grab both the Rays expensive and productive pieces but will also help to get one of the top pitchers. I like the idea tonight of pairing both Rodon and Gilbert together.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports . Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 07/22

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have another nice sized 8 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

The day ends in Y so it means we have another dicey pitching slate. Feel like it’s been a month since we’ve had a slew of solid pitching to work with. Pitching looks tough tonight but we have some lineups in great spots.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Sean Manaea ($9.1k) vs. Seattle Mariners – Manaea gets to take on a Mariners lineup today that has really struggled against left handed pitching this year. On the year they have a near 27% K rate with limited power. If we look at Manaea we can see that he’s been pretty good of late, outside of a few long balls.

Over the last month he’s improvement up on a handful of metrics compared to the whole season. His K rate is up to 27% vs. 24% for the year and his xFIP is 3.26 vs. 3.85. The Mariners are coming back from Coors and I’m hoping for a post Coors hangover.

Kent Maeda ($8.1k) vs. Los Angeles Angels – Of all the pitchers throwing tonight no pitcher has a higher K rate over the past 30 days than Maeda. Outside of one start vs. the high powered White Sox offense Maeda has been really good since his return from the IL.

He has 4 games of more than 7 K’s. Coming out of the All Star break the Angels haven’t been putting up much offensively. In 157 at bats they have just 7 barrels to go with a 26% K rate. Look for Maeda to keep the ball rolling with another solid outing tonight.

Walker Buehler ($10.5k) vs. San Francisco Giants – . I’m not overly in love with the match-up tonight but our options are very limited. The projected lineup has just a 20% K rate and a .208 ISO vs. righties. With keeping all that in mind, Buehler has been on a nice roll.

He’s reached 49 FD points in three of his last 4 outings. From a pure talent stand point, he’s probably the top arm tonight. I’m sticking with either Manaea or Maeda tonight, but Buehler will give you the highest ceiling potential tonight.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cal Quantrill – Quantrill will have his hands full tonight with a very solid Rays lineup. Let’s first look at what Quantrill has been doing of late. Over the past 30 days he’s giving up just a ton of hard contact at nearly 41%. He’s given up 9 barrels in 24 innings.

That’s not a good pace. Add in the fact that his swinging strike rate is sitting at just 7.3% over that time period we can see here that we have a pitcher that just hasn’t figured out how to get the ball past big leaguers yet.

If we dive into splits we can see lefties are a big weakness for him. His fly ball rate jumps from 25% vs. righties to 45% vs. lefties. That’s’ a pretty significant jump. Quantrill is going to face a lineup tonight that potentially has 7 guys batting from the left side. This is what nightmares are made of.

Brian’s favorite player tonight will be my building block. Austin Meadows ($2.9k) should have a field day tonight. Quantrill has been throwing his sinker more than 35% of the time lefties. Meadows has a .256 ISO with an average distance of 343 feet vs. this pitch over the past few years. If he’s in the lineup Walls ($2.1k) has also had success against this pitch. All Rays, especially the lefties, should be in play tonight.

Atlanta Braves vs. Matt Moore – Moore hasn’t yet had a blow up game in a while. It’s coming folks. The metrics say it’s coming. My hope is that it comes tonight vs. Braves. Here’s why I think Moore regresses tonight.

In the last month he has a swinging strike rate of just 9.9% but he has a 44% fly ball rate and a 37% hard hit rate. He’s not missing bats and he’s giving up a ton a of hard hit fly balls. He also has an 85% LOB%. Leaving that many people on every game is just not sustainable.

The majority of the damage against him comes from the right side of the plate. He has a .290 ISO against righties with 43% fly ball rate and a 47% hard hit rate. Braves will more than likely throw out 5 right handed hitters tonight.

The three guys I’m most focused on here are Dansby Swanson ($3.3k), Albies ($3.6k), and Riley ($3k). All have ISO’s great then .200 this year to lefties and should be able to handle the 91 mph fastball coming from Moore. .

Minnesota Twins vs. Andrew Heaney – This is going to be a really tough match-up for Heaney tonight. His biggest weakness is righties and he’s going to face a ton of them tonight. And the righties he’s going to be facing all hit for power.

Over the last month Heaney has really struggled with the long ball. He’s given up 6 homers in just 18 innings of work. We are in a spot tonight where we can really chase the long ball.

Looking at his splits we can see that he gives up way more fly balls to righties at 40% and way more hard contact at 50%. Garver ($2.4k), Cruz ($3.7k), and Donaldson ($3.1k) are going to be keys here as they hit for a lot of power vs. lefties. Garver and Donaldson profile the best and will be locks for me in this stack.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Like most nights recently, picking the right stack tonight will be key. The three offense I layed out here have the best opportunity to do the most damage. Rays and Twins fit very well together.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Premium

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday 5/20

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have 2 four game slates of MLB DFS to navigate through on Fanduel. And navigating is absolutely what we’ll need to do.

Pitching on both slates today leaves a lot to be desired and no one could be deemed ‘safe’. There are no clear cut aces and some bombshells out there that we’ll need to be careful of.

With that being said, let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Early Slate Aces

Domingo German ($9k) vs. Texas Rangers – We saw what Kluber did last night to this team. The Rangers for the season have not been good against righties. They have a 27% K rate, a .154 ISO, and .697 OPS. They are attackable.

German is a model of consistency. He has 5 straight starts of 6 k’s. On a day like today where pitching options are limited, if we can get another 6k’s out of German and get the QS bonus we should be extremely pleased. Both are very attainable.

Tyler Mahle ($9.9k) vs. San Francisco Giants – Mahle has been good, but not great. For the year he has a 29.5% K rate and is facing off against a Giants team that is K’ing at a 28.6% clip against righties. The Giants do have some pop against righties this season with a .179 ISO.

Mahle faced the Giants earlier this year and did have some success with 7 punch outs and only 1 ER. I’m not a huge fan of the pitching environment as it should be about 80 degrees at first pitch and GAB can be a launching pad when it gets warm but I don’t think Mahle will kill you today. Since our options are limited, he’s in play.

Rich Hill ($9.3k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – I should preface this choice with saying that Orioles have been pretty good against lefties this year. They aren’t K’ing much and have pretty decent power numbers. As a team they have a .754 OPS and .328 wOBA against lefties.

Not something we’d normally pick on. I’m going here more for pitch selection. Hill is mostly a curveball pitcher. Looking at the lineup they’ll probably throw out only Austin Hays has a whiff rate less than 30% and that’s an extremely small sample size. This team also doesn’t generate much power vs. the curveball. If Hill goes with a curveball heavy game plan today he should find success.

MLB DFS: The Early Slate Bats

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Dean Kremer – Sorry Dean, today’s not going to be fun for you. White Sox vs. lefties, Tampa Bay Rays vs. righties. For the season the Rays have .173 ISO and wRC+ of 111 against righties. They’re facing off against a pitcher that has given up 8 homers in only 31 innings of work.

It should be in the mid 80’s here in Baltimore today and balls fly out of Camden when it’s warm. There’s no reason to get fancy here with no priced up starters. Randy Arozarena ($3k), Austin Meadows ($3.3k), JI-Man Choi ($3.3k), and Brandon Lowe ($3.1k) are all way too cheap for the match-up.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Johnny Cueto – Cueto hasn’t been bad this year. He’s sporting a 3.65 xFIP. His last two starts however have seen a downward trend. He gave up 8 hits in only 3 IP against the Padres and then 8 hits in only 4 IP against the Pirates. Father time catching up with Cueto? Certainly possible.

Reds have been great this season against righties. They have a team OPS of .768, wOBA of .336, and ISO of .180. All signs point the Reds putting up a big number today.

Chicago Cubs vs. Joe Ross – Ross has 2 outings this year where he’s given up 8 runs or more. He has the propensity to give up a big game. Of all the pitchers on the early slate today, he has the highest xFIP on the season at 4.8.

While the Cubs aren’t the Cubs of old, I still like them today. Here’s why. Ross mostly throws a sinker, 43% of the time to righties and 38% to lefties. Up and down the lineup we have guys on the Cubs who have had success against this pitch. Especially Joc Pederson ($2.4k) and Ian Happ ($2.8k). Both have wOBA’s over .450 to this pitch from righties.

MLB DFS: The Early Slate Wrap Up

Go light. That’s all I have to say. The goal for pitching on this slate will be to find the guy w/ the safest floor who also allows for upside. I think we have that in German.

MLB DFS: The Main Slate Aces

If you thought pitching was suspect on the early slate, wait until you see the main slate!

Vince Velasquez ($7.9k) vs. Miami Marlins – He’s probably going to be the popular choice tonight. Marlins are not a lineup that scares most and with Velasquez we have a pitcher that has upside with a near 29% K rate.

Marlins are K’ing 26.7% of the time vs. righties on the year and their power numbers are pretty low with a .125 ISO. With limited options on the slate, Velasquez is going to be the “safest” option. I say that as I’m gritting my teeth.

Sandy Alcantara ($9.3k) vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Yes, Sandy gave up 8 ER in 1 IP last outing. It was against the Dodgers so I’m going to give him the benefit of the doubt that it was the outlier in what has been a pretty good campaign.

For the year, Alcantara has a 3.74 xFIP and 14.4% whiff rate. The Phillies, like their opponent, have struggled vs. righties this year. They have a 26% K rate and .141 ISO. While this lineup has some scary bats in Harper, Hoskins, and Cutch to an extent, they’ve largely under-performed this year and because of that I’m OK with attacking them.

Drew Smyly ($7.3k) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – I’m sticking with the first two pitchers tonight, but if you need a cheaper arm you could do worse than Smyly.

After a rough start to the year Smyly has shown some life in his last 2 starts. Two straight QS and 4 k’s in each. He’s not going to win you a GPP (crazier things have happened this year though), but with the match-up against the Pirates tonight he should do well enough to keep you above the cash line.

MLB DFS: The Main Slate Bats

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Merrill Kelly – Dodgers somewhat disappointed last night, scoring 3 late runs and not a whole lot of offense. That should change tonight. They get to face off against Kelly who has one of the highest xFIP’s on the slate. He’s giving up a ton of hard contact at 40% and not missing many at bats with a low whiff rate of 7.8%. His low 90’s fastball should not hold up well against this lineup.

With pitching being on the cheaper side tonight, we shouldn’t struggle to make a solid lineup with Mookie Betts ($4.4k), Max Muncy ($3.9k), and Justin Turner ($3.7k). All should do some serious damage tonight to Kelly’s pitch profile.

Boston Red Sox vs. Steven Matz – It’s crazy to think that Matz has the lowest xFIP on the slate. For the most part, he’s been pretty good this year. He’s had a couple of rough outings this season and those were all against teams that do really well against lefties. Nationals, Oakland, and Houston.

In Boston, we have a team that dominates lefties. To the tune of a .772 OPS and just a 19.4% K rate. On paper, you can’t ask for a better match-up. Matz predominantly throws his sinker to both righties and lefties. Enrique Hernandez ($2.7k), JD Martinez ($4.3k), Hunter Renfroe ($2.5k), and Xander Bogaerts ($3.6k) all have a ton of success against this pitch from lefties. This should be a tough match-up for Matz today.

Atlanta Braves vs. Wil Crowe – Crowe hasn’t been blown up yet so far this year. It’s coming folks, and I want to be a part of it. We have a pitcher in Crowe that doesn’t miss many at bats with a whiff rate of only 8.4%. Of the contact the he gives up it’s, 88% of the time it’s either hard or medium contact. With giving up so much contact, and in that range of hard to medium it’s only a matter of time before things go south, and really south.

The Braves present that match-up tonight. We’ve documented their struggles against lefties, but against righties they’ve been pretty damn good. They have a .191 ISO and .737 OPS. I smell a Ronald Acuna ($4.4k) lead-off homer tonight. If you aren’t going full stack on the Braves I really do love a 1-2 combo with Acuna and Freddie Freeman ($4.1k) tonight. Both profile really well against Crowe.

MLB DFS: The Main Slate Wrap-up

Offense should rule the night. Half the teams tonight have really solid match-ups and should put up big numbers. With no expensive pitchers, we should be able to pay up for any bat that we want.

Good luck today and tonight and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Premium

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday, 5/18

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 14 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel.

We have a couple of guys that are in the ace or near ace category to go along with some bats that are in some really nice match-ups tonight.

With that being said, let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Brandon Woodruff ($11k) vs. Kansas City Royals – I don’t make it a habit of picking on the Royals. They can have a pretty stingy offense but against righties this season they’ve been pretty mediocre. They are sporting a 26% K rate, a .283 wOBA, and a wRC+ of just 77. These metrics tell us they are a very attackable team, especially when going against a stud like Woodruff.

If it wasn’t for Corbin Burnes, Woodruff would be the ace of the Brewers staff. He has a 33% K rate, a 2.7 xFIP, and has only given up 3 homers in 49 innings of work this season. With the Royals struggles against righties this season, I see no reason why Woodruff won’t continue his dominance tonight. In 3 of his last 4 starts he’s scored over 50 FD points. There’s a good chance he makes 4 out of 5 tonight.

Zack Wheeler ($10.4k) vs. Miami Marlins – Wheeler has shown massive upside at times this year with multiple games over 50. Tonight he has a match-up that should afford him the opportunity to have one of those upside games. Marlins for the season, just like the Royals, are K’ing at a 26% clip this year to righties. They have also struggled to garnish much power to righties.

Over his last couple of starts Wheeler has shown an increase in his slider usage. If he keeps it up tonight, he should have one of those ceiling games. In looking at the Marlins projected lineup, it’s a pitch the team does not project well against. Not a single batter has a whiff rate under 32% and most are in the mid 40% range. I really like Wheeler’s chances to have himself a game tonight.

JT Brubaker ($7.4k) vs. St. Louis Cardinals – We’ve seen the Cardinals struggle at times against righties this season. While their K rate is about at average at 24%, their power numbers against righties tells us that the damage they’ll do will be limited. Brubaker himself has been pretty decent this year. He has a very respectable 3.34 xFIP and K rate of 25.5%. I don’t think you’ll need to go here tonight, but if you want to load up on bats you could do a lot worse than the spot that Brubaker is in.

MLB DFS: The Bats

New York Yankees vs. Mike Foltynewicz – I like to pick and choose my spots when using the Yankees. Tonight is a night the Yankees should find success. They’re facing off against a pitcher that has trouble keeping the ball in the park this season.

Folty only has 2 starts this season in which he didn’t give up a homer. He’s giving up a ton of hard contact at nearly 40% and has a low swinging strike % of only 7.9%. So we have ourselves a pitcher that doesn’t miss many bats and gives up a lot of hard contact to boot. Let’s attack him.

His main pitch is his 4-seamer which he throws more than 37% of the time. If the Yankees use a similar lineup to last night, I really like the chances of DJ LeMahieu ($3.3k), Luke Voit ($2.8k), Aaron Judge ($4.5k), and Gio Urshela ($2.7k) having solid nights. All profile great against this pitch and outside of Judge, it’s a very affordable stack.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Matt Harvey – The Harvey show came back down to earth last week against the Mets. While Harvey has been better this season, he hasn’t been great. Outside of his last game against the Mets, he’s really been able to avoid giving up big innings. In looking at his advanced metrics he’s been skirting the line of getting tagged. He has a really low swinging strike rate and giving up a decent amount of medium to hard contact.

Rays have put up solid numbers vs. righties this year. They have a .706 OPS and 105 wRC+. My stack tonight is going focus on the very top of the lineup. Randy Arozarena ($3.1k), Austin Meadows ($3.6k), Ji-Man Choi ($3.2k), and Brandon Lowe ($3.4k). With Choi being back in the mix, this lefty dominant lineup should succeed against a pitcher that’s given up a .219 ISO to lefty batters since 2019.

Chicago Cubs vs. Patrick Corbin – While attacking Corbin with Phillies last week didn’t work out for us, I don’t think lighting will strike twice. Corbin has definitely showed flashes of upside at times this year, but he’s also shown that he’s a pitcher than can be attacked. He has a fairly high hard hit rate of 34.8% this season and has given up 10 long balls.

The Cubs have a bunch of guys in the lineup that do really well against southpaws. Although they are K’ing a pretty high rate to lefties this year, the Cubs are also showing off the power with a .192 ISO and a .760 OPS. Cubs should be able to put up a big number tonight.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

This is going to be a fun slate. We have 2 clear cut top pitchers tonight in solid match-ups but we also have some offenses that have the potential to put up big numbers. Weather may be a concern in some spots but nothing that looks like it could cause games to get PPD as of yet.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green tonight!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

10/10 DFS MLB Showdown: Astronomical Meltdown?

Brandon C. Williams 6 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

The 10/10 DFS MLB Showdown will either result in a sigh of relief at Minute Maid Park or the foundation of one hell of a sports weekend for Tampa Bay. Game 5 of the American League Divisional Series between the Rays and Astros (7:07 PM Eastern, FS1) brings us Tyler Glasnow ($15,000 DraftKings) v. Gerrit Cole ($18,000 DK) along with a loaded Showdown lineup.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

10/8 DFS Showdown

It’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

Count on Houston A-Team

MVP (2X)

Jose Altuve, 2B, HOU (FD, $9000, DK $13,800)

One of three Astros who’ve remembered how to hit past late September, Altuve is hitting .313 /.353/.813 in the ALDS. Four of his five postseason hits have been of the extra base persuasion (two doubles, two homers) and I’ll bank on his career .968 OPS in ALDS play to carry not only the Astros into the long-awaited ALCS collision with the Yankees, but also to lead you and I toward the long green.

All-Star (1.5X)

Yordan Alvarez, OF, HOU (FD $8000, DK, $14,100)

He has yet to provide the thunder of one of his mammoth blasts, but Alvarez has hit .375/.375/.863 with three doubles entering tonight. Back home in H-Town, Alvarez will be more at ease and more likely to rake (1.140 home OPS). He’s averaged a homer every 11.59 at-bats, a number that suggests Alvarez is well overdue to go yard. Having experienced firsthand how loud Minute Maid Park can get in October, I can only imagine the noise level if Alvarez goes deep in a clutch situation tonight.

Utility

Tommy Pham, OF, TB (FD $7000, DK $12,900)

Pham has been the MVP of this series and will be the reason Astros fans could wake up on Friday morning in a gloomy state. He’s hit .429/.455/.715 in the postseason, recording three of his nine hits in Houston. Pham’s 12.8% walk rate and modest 18.8% strikeout rate indicates he won’t be an easy out for Cole. For all of his postseason pop, Pham has just a 24.8% fly ball rate, but he will sting the hell out of the ball, evidenced by his 43.6% hard contact rate.

Bargain at the Bottom

Utility

Avisail Garcia, OF, TB (FD $6000, DK $11,700)

Although I expected Garcia to hit well on Tuesday, I wasn’t expecting four hits. He’s not as productive outside of Tropicana Field (.711 road OPS), yet I’m placing Garcia here because he’s capable of carrying the momentum west of Tampa Bay. Like Pham, he’s not a frequent fly ball hitter (31.6%), yet an increase in line drives (22.3%) and a slight drop in ground balls (46%) makes Garcia potentially dangerous.

Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

Utility

Josh Reddick, OF, HOU (FD $4500, DK $8100)

Hitless in seven ADLS at-bats, Reddick will likely get the start because of his .977 OPS against Rays pitching in the regular season. Reddick is a 10/10 DFS MLB Showdown choice despite being mostly below-average after the All-Star break. He revived his bat with a September that saw Reddick hit .354 with four homers and 12 RBI over 62 at-bats. The numbers indicate that Reddick is more effective batting sixth, where he’s posted a .331/.372/.493 mark with six homers, 19 RBI and 19 runs scored.

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

10/4 DFS MLB Picks: Four on the Floor

6 years ago

written by

Today’s four-game playoff slate means the 10/4 DFS MLB Hitting Picks can go back to basics with a full lineup.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB

DK ($3,600), FD ($2,800)

Chirinos is devastating at Minute Maid Park, evidenced by a .915 OPS with 10 of his 14 homers coming in front of the H-Town faithful. He does have a homer among his four hits in 15 at-bats this season against the Rays. You do have to like his 39.5% hard contact rate and a similar 39.5% fly ball rate. He’s the best overall play among 10/4 DFS Hitting Picks behind the plate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

C.J. Cron, MIN at NYY

DK ($3,600), FD ($3,100)

A value pick with good reason: Cron has six hits in 18 career at-bats against New York starter James Paxton. Two of those hits were homers, giving Cron a 1.017 OPS against the Pinstripes southpaw. Cron was able to cut his strikeout rate to 21.4% this season and maintained a solid fly ball rate (36.3%) while taking his hard contact rate from 39.6% last season to 41.1% this year.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Kolten Wong, STL at ATL

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,600)

Like Cron, I’m looking for past success against today’s starters. Enter Wong, who has a homer and a stolen base in 11 career at-bats versus Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz, producing a 1.625 OPS in the process. Wong went 2-for-4 with two RBI and a walk in Thursday’s Game 1 victory. That’s a tremendous way to shake off a sluggish September that saw Wong offer up a .735 OPS despite hitting .290. The free pass is encouraging since Wong had a mere .315 OBP in September that put a scratch on a Post All-Star break OBP of .409.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at NYY

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,800)

Sano gives the Twins another hammer that has nailed James Paxton in the past. In 11 career at-bats versus Paxton, Sano has four hits that include a homer that helped boost his OPS to 1.326 against Paxton. A strong second half OBP of .362 was helped in part of Sano improving his walk rate to 12.5%. His HR/FB rate of 36.6% is downright frightening in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium. More frightening is Sano’s 52.7% hard contact rate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Trea Turner, WAS at LAD

DK ($4,600), FD ($4,200)

Turner admitted to “trying too hard” on Thursday night, so let’s take him at his word. He’ll need a different approach against Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw, even though he has three hits in 10 at-bats against him. One way Turner could achieve that would be resuming his more aggressive ways on the road when it comes to baserunning. Of his 35 steals, 20 have come in enemy territory. He has a .444 slugging percentage against southpaws, compared to .512 versus righties, so look for him to more contact-oriented.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. TB

DK ($4,800), FD ($4,000)

The Rays were not exempt from Alvarez’s tour of destruction, as Tampa Bay hurlers allowed a pair of homers and a double to him in 11 at-bats. Alvarez’s best work came at Minute Maid Park, where he sported an 1.140 OPS built on a slash line of .349/.441/.699. Rays starter Tyler Glasnow allowed just one homer in 97 at-bats versus left-handed hitters. Facing a slugger with a 51.1% hard contact rate, Glasnow could see that number increase by at least one.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Marcell Ozuna, STL at ATL

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,600)

Ozuna has a pair of homers off Braves hurler Mike Foltynewicz, who was shelled by the Cardinals this season for nine runs (eight earned) and 12 hits over 10.2 innings for a robust 6.79 ERA. Ozuna doubled twice, drove in a pair of runs and scored once on Thursday, making us all forget his .143 average against Atlanta pitching this season. Ozuna’s .243 batting average and .259 BABIP also make you forget his career-best 48.1% hard contact rate and the fact his 2018 BABIP was exactly 50 points higher.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. MIN

DK ($4,700), FD ($4,400)

Although he failed to record a homer against them this season, Judge did hit .462 (6-for-13) against Twins pitching, making him a good 10/4 DFS Hitting Picks play. He also comes into the postseason with the momentum of an 1.109 OPS with four homers over the past two weeks and an equally imposing .948 OPS under the lights. Judge also has three hits in five career at-bats versus Twins starter Jose Berrios, while his late season surge boosted his Isolated Power to .267. Ignore the 31.5% strikeout rate, and Judge offers you a hitter with a .360 BABIP and an intimidating 53.8% hard contact rate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Stacks

10/4 Hitting Stack of the Day: St. Louis Cardinals: Wong and Ozuna should be paired with Paul DeJong ($3100 FD), who has a homer and a 1.064 OPS versus Foltynewicz, along with Matt Carpenter ($4100 DK), who also sports a career dinger off the Braves’ Game 2 starter.

10/4 DFS Showdown

Using the FanDuel template, it’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

My MVP plays for Showdown:

Tampa Bay at Houston: Yordan Alvarez, HOU, OF, $8,000 Salary

St. Louis at Atlanta: Paul Goldschmidt, STL, 1B, $8,500 Salary

Minnesota at NY Yankees: Gleyber Torres, NYY, 2B, $6,500 Salary

Washington at LA Dodgers: Cody Bellinger, LAD, OF, $9,500 Salary

10/4 DFS Pitching Picks

Justin Verlander, HOU vs. TB

DK ($10,700), FD ($11,200)

No shock here, as he is projected to deliver 45.03 points at FanDuel and 26.03 points at DraftKings. Verlander has produced 15 straight starts of at least 30 points at FD, hitting above 50 points nine times in the same span. The 12.11 K/9 rate assures DFSers of plenty of whiffs, and while the 1.45 HR/9 rate raises the eyebrows a wee, Verlander has been able to keep most them solo blasts.

Jack Flaherty, STL at ATL

DK ($8,200), FD ($10,500)

You could save some salary and run with Flaherty over Verlander. In his one start versus the Braves this season, Flaherty allowed one hit and struck out 11 over seven innings. His 0.91 ERA and .142 OBA after the All-Star break was overshadowed by a host of hitting performances and the “can you top this?” clash between Verlander and Astros teammate Gerrit Cole, but Flaherty’s 124 strikeouts over 99.1 post-ASB frames were anything but a fluke.

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. WAS

DK ($9,300), FD ($10,300)

Only Kershaw can post a 2.95 ERA and fan nearly 10 batters per nine innings post-ASB and still have people wondering about his effectiveness. The home run rate (1.41) was a career-high, and the 2.07 BB/9 was his highest since 2012. Name recognition will make his usage rate climb, yet Kershaw presents something of a bargain compared to the two hurlers above him.

Stephen Strasburg, WAS at LAD

DK ($9,600), FD ($10,100)

He’s good to go after throwing 34 pitches in relief on Tuesday, allowing just two hits and fanning four. Strasburg could be overlooked by some, yet he did strike out 16 and allowed only three earned runs in 16 innings against the Dodgers this season, sporting a 2.08 ERA.

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

10/2 MLB DFS Showdown Picks

6 years ago

written by

Either the Rays or Athletics will be planning out fall/winter vacations by the end of Wednesday’s AL Wild Card Game.

The 10/2 MLB DFS Showdown will help you get your share of the long green.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

The Road to Victory in Oakland

Here’s how I’d play my lineup. In fact, it’s the same lineup I’ll post at FanDuel.

10/2 FanDuel Showdown Lineup

MVP (2X)

Matt Olson, 1B, OAK, $8,500 Salary

Olson has a track record against Rays starter Charlie Morton ($16,800). The slugger first sacker has four hits in 12 career at-bats versus Morton, including a homer along with drawing a pair of walks. Olson also has the momentum of a September that saw him produce a .938 OPS with nine homers, 23 RBI and 18 runs scored. I’m all-in on a hitter with a 50.3% hard contact rate.

All-Star (1.5X)

Austin Meadows, OF, TB, $9,500 Salary

More effective on the road, Meadows had a .966 OPS with 20 of his 33 homers coming outside Tampa Bay. Meadows also has a 42.9% fly ball rate that should play well with the wind projected toward right field. That also bodes well considering Meadows sports a 45.1% pull rate. He can easily be an MVP, yet Olson and his track record with Morton gives Olson the edge.

Power and the Glory

Utility

Ramon Laureano, OF, OAK, $7,000 Salary

Play the home field advantage with Laureano, who has a .904 OPS in Oakland. I also like that Laureano will provide the threat of a stolen base (13). He’s come a long, long way from the slow start in March/April along with putting together a 25.1% line drive rate on top of a 40% hard contact rate.

Laureano’s 25.6% strikeout rate is an obvious concern when facing a whiff machine like Morton, but in a Showdown scenario, all I’m counting on is one swing to change the complexion of the game.

Utility

Avisail Garcia, OF, TB, $6,000 Salary

Like Laureano, I’ll gamble on the power-speed combo of Garcia, who added 10 steals to go along with 20 homers. Garcia has hit the A’s well this season, coming into tonight with a .368 batting average and .425 OBP. The .455 slugging percentage is a mild disappointment, yet the ability to get on base consistently helps the cause for DFSers.

Garcia is a not a consistent fly ball hitter (31.6%), yet did boost his line drive rate from 17.4% in 2018 to 22.3% this season.

Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

Utility

Jesus Aguilar, 1B, Rays, $4,000 Salary

Call this a calculated risk. There’s little to suggest Aguilar to be highly-used, but scenarios like this call for the unexpected bat to rise up and deliver. This is where Aguilar, who has a .714 OPS and managed just five hits in September (although two were homers).

Aguilar isn’t going to be cheated when he makes contact, bringing a 41.7% hard contact rate and a 41.7% medium contact rate.

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

6 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: MLB & NHL Best Bets!

Allan Fabrykant 6 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Cash with the Flash Best Bets had a winning MLB day yesterday, thanks in small part to a resilient Washington Nationals side that never gave up and some bad luck on a misplayed ball that could happen nearly every day, But this one particular error will live on in infamy because of when it happened.

https://twitter.com/bubbaprog/status/1179259777920241665?s=20

Either way Cash with the Flash Best Bets pumps out another winner and if you played the Nationals as we suggested, you are likely a happy camper this Wednesday morning!

Cashwith the Flash Best Bets has plenty on our plate todayand we must get after it. Let’s begin with tonight’s American League Wild Cardgame being played at the Oakland Coliseum between the Tampa Bay Rays andOakland Athletics.

Tampa Bay Rays vs OaklandAthletics

Charlie Morton (16-6, 3.05) vs Sean Manaea (4-0, 1.21)

Cash with the Flash Best Bets isn’t sure what kind of baseball game we’ll see tonight but the numbers are much better than last night, and we are thankful for this. We get it right and Cash with the Flash!!

Tampa Bay (+120)

Tampa Bay has won seven of its last 10 games but has a two-game losing streak thanks to a couple of bad road losses to close the season in Toronto. The Rays have been a solid road team this season with a 48-33 record away from Tropicana Field and have a +113-run differential.

Morton has allowed nine earned runs over his past 29.2 innings pitched with a 1.08 WHIP and his 3.28 xFIP suggests maybe Morton has been a bit lucky this season but the Rays will take his 3.28 xFIP every day of the week. Morton strikes out 11.10 per nine while allowing 2.64 walks and 0.69 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched this season.

Tampa Bay scored 15 runs over their last five games and boasta .167 ISO and .319 ISO with 60home runs this season against left-handed pitching.

Oakland (-135)

Oakland has won six of its last 10 games and lost their last game of the regular season at Seattle. Oakland has a 53-29 record at home this season with a +165-run differential over their 162-games.

Manaea hasallowed four earned runs over the last 29.2 innings pitched with a 0.78 WHIPand his 3.98 xFIP suggests maybe some luck has been involved in his recentsuccess and maybe regression is headed his way. The lefty strikesout 9.10 per nine innings with 2.12 walks and 0.91 home runs allowed per nineinnings pitched.

The Athletics have scored 11 runs over their last five gameswith a .194 ISO and .323 wOBA with 177home runs this season against right-handed pitching.

Why Cash with the Flash Likes Tampa Bay

It’s hard not to like a team that wins like Oakland does at home and especially in a one-off winner take all game like this one. Both pitchers have had special seasons with elite WHIP numbers and know how to limit runs. Morton dominated the Athletics in both his starts this season and I suspect the same will hold true on Wednesday night. Manaea has been great but he’s only pitched 29.2 innings and that xFIP number nearly triples his ERA and that scares me.

The clincher for me is the Rays bullpen; they boast the best bullpen this season and over the last 30 days and I suspect Morton will turn the game over to the bullpen with a lead and the Rays outstanding bullpen will close the door. Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Tampa Bay Rays to defeat the Oakland Athletics Wednesday night in Oakland.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold righthere! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

Are you ready for the National Hockey League? The NHL regular season begins tonight with four games on the slate and Cash with the Flash Best Bets is ready to help you!!!

Don’t forget to bookmark our Cashwith the Flash Best Bets NHL Betting Primer and refer to it often asthere is valuable information in there that will help you understand the statswe use and the wagers we suggest this season.

Ottawa Senators(+250) vs TorontoMaple Leafs (-280)

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: Toronto -1.5 Goals

This is the Battle for Ontario series and its special to both fanbases. Ottawa is projected to be one of the worst teams in the NHL and Toronto is a possible Stanley Cup contender. Toronto is playing at home and has far too much firepower for the young Senators to handle. This will be a physical hockey game and the Maple Leafs defense is much stronger than the Senators. Leafs goaltender Frederich Anderson is a Top 15 goaltender in the NHL with a 92.7 xSV% and is much better than Senators goaltender Craig Anderson, and has a much better defense. We can’t play the Leafs on the Money Line, so Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing Toronto to defeat Ottawa by two goals Wednesday night.

WashingtonCapitals (+120) vs St Louis Blues(-140)

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: WashingtonCapitals +120

Cash with the Flash Best Bets likes the Capitals tonight. They return their top six goal scorers from a 48-win team and are likely angry about getting bounced in the first round of the 2019 NHL playoffs. They’ll be forced to watch the Blues raise their Championship Banner at Enterprise Center and that should inspire them. Washington will have Braden Holtby between the pipes and he’s coming off a strong 91.58 xSV% up against the middle of the road Blues offense.

St Louis returns the majority of last year’s club and thiswill be an emotional night for last season’s unlikely NHL Champions. Bluesgoaltender JordanBinnington was other-worldly last season and the expectations of a repeat13.52 GSAA might be a bit much and he’s facing one of the best scoring clubs inthe NHL. St Louis rode the hot hand of Binnington and is just an averagescoring team and Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests playing Washington to defeat StLouis Wednesday night in St Louis.

PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFSHAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, ANDDATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILYPODCASTS HERE.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

10/1 MLB DFS Wild Card Slate, Showdown, and Prop Picks

6 years ago

written by

It always amazes me how quickly the MLB season flies by. It seems like one day you are studying for upcoming seasonal drafts and the next you are sitting here writing a Wild Card round article. This 10/1 MLB DFS piece will guide you through everything you need to know to succeed for the Tues-Wed slates. With Incendiary’s “Cost of Living” playing in the background, and a hopeful Dodgers future, let’s get this show on the road.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Pitching

The most important fact to consider when selecting postseason pitching is, they are all top starters. Especially in one game situations. All four pitchers on this slate are viable options, even if the starter for Oakland has not been officially named yet. But, if it is Sean Manaea like we all think, for his salary on DK he is just as much in the mix. On this 10/1 MLB DFS slate I would have no problem locking him in while I wait to see what develops.

Max Scherzervs. Milwaukee Brewers (Tuesday)

$11,000 FD / $9,400 DK / $12,600 DK-SD / $18,900 DK-SD-CP

This game could be a lot higher scoring than most believe. The Brewers are striking out 25.8 percent of the time versus RHPs this season while coming in 15^th in MLB in wOBA. We do have several factors in play here for this game, the first being that Scherzer’s ERA has more than doubled in the second half. There was serious talk of possibly not having him start this game, but Dave Martinez decided Mad Max’s 1.50 ERA versus the Brew Crew with 10 strikeouts over six innings was enough to give him the nod.

The next big factor to look at is the Brewers themselves. The get a negative ballpark shift playing on the road in Washington despite Scherzer’s higher home ERA. Plus, let’s not forget the monster known as Christian Yelich is on hiatus due to injury. All numbers point to a low scoring game to be decided by the bullpens. On this 10/1 MLB DFS slate every starter is viable, especially the Scherz.

BrandonWoodruff vs. Washington Nationals (Tuesday)

$6,200 FD / $6,400 DK / $10,000 DK-SD / $15,500 DK-SD-CP

Much like Scherzer on this 10/1 MLB DFS slate Woodruff benefits from the same positive park shift. However, the Nationals are seventh in MLB in wOBA versus RHPs, and near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. This season Woody dominated the Nats in his only start, facing them back in May, striking out nine batters over six innings while only allowing one earned run. Keep in mind he is working his way back from injury and more than likely will only pitch a few innings.

Charlie Mortonvs. Oakland Athletics (Wednesday)

$9,500 FD / $8,600 DK

As much as I would love to see Oakland advance here the numbers are really telling me differently. Against the Athletics over two starts, Morton has a 0.68 ERA with 13 strikeouts over 13 1/3 innings. Much like tonight’s game this one is also going to come down to the bullpens. With the A’s batting .207 over the last seven days Morton is going to feast on them tomorrow night.

2019 Starting Pitching Stats

Name	Team	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Max Scherzer	Nationals	172.1	12.69	1.72	0.94	40.80%	11.60%	2.92	2.88
Charlie Morton	Rays	194.2	11.1	2.64	0.69	48.20%	10.40%	3.05	3.28
Brandon Woodruff	Brewers	121.2	10.58	2.22	0.89	44.60%	12.00%	3.62	3.36
Sean Manaea	Athletics	29.2	9.1	2.12	0.91	41.20%	10.70%	1.21	3.98

Hitting

So, here is the trick to selecting offense on this 10/1 MLB DFS slate, attack the bullpens. With top tier starters taking the mound often it’s that dicey bullpen who ends up surrendering runs. This means we need to look at their numbers. My favorite stat for this is second half bullpen ERA. By this point in the season most guys are wearing out, especially on teams that have found themselves in high leverage situations leading up to this point. Like most Wild Card teams. I expect a lot of pitching changes tonight, much more so than tomorrow night, so I would focus my offense on the Brewers-Nationals game.

Second Half Bullpen Stats

Team	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Nationals	234.2	8.94	3.72	1.61	37.30%	15.30%	4.83	4.88
Brewers	284	11.12	3.96	1.43	43.40%	18.00%	3.99	3.96
Athletics	226.2	10.2	3.14	1.23	41.00%	14.00%	3.77	4.08
Rays	328.1	10.75	2.74	1.29	41.90%	15.00%	3.56	3.8

Stack #1: Brewers versus RHPs

As mentioned, this is the game to stack on this two-game 10/1 MLB DFS slate. After locking in Manaea and Morton for tomorrow night you are left with a remaining player salary on DK of nearly $4,300. With the Nationals having one of the worst bullpens in MLB in the 2^nd half, I prefer Milwaukee tonight.

Don’t let he BVP scare you versus Scherzer tonight. If he finds himself giving up a few runs, or in trouble, he will be pulled early.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Keston Hiura	265	6.80%	30.20%	0.23	6	0.418	159
Eric Thames	397	10.60%	30.50%	0.35	3	0.362	122
Yasmani Grandal	438	16.40%	21.90%	0.75	3	0.35	114
Mike Moustakas	403	9.90%	17.60%	0.56	3	0.342	109
Ryan Braun	332	5.40%	23.50%	0.23	8	0.338	106
Trent Grisham	147	11.60%	23.10%	0.5	1	0.319	94
Lorenzo Cain	445	7.60%	17.10%	0.45	9	0.296	79
Ben Gamel	277	10.10%	29.60%	0.34	1	0.284	71
Travis Shaw	219	16.40%	32.90%	0.5	0	0.278	67
Cory Spangenberg	84	7.10%	32.10%	0.22	2	0.27	62
Orlando Arcia	411	7.80%	20.70%	0.38	7	0.261	56
Hernan Perez	127	5.50%	33.90%	0.16	2	0.24	42
Manny Pina	98	9.20%	25.50%	0.36	0	0.233	38
Tyler Austin	69	10.10%	44.90%	0.23	1	0.232	41
Tyler Saladino	52	7.70%	32.70%	0.24	2	0.188	8

Stack #2: Nationals versus RHPs

Brandon Woodruff as nasty as he is may not go deep into this game. His recent starts suggest maybe three innings. Unless of course they have been babying him and plan on letting him go full bore tonight. Either way, I still prefer the Nats offense tonight over both teams tomorrow night.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Juan Soto	438	18.30%	20.30%	0.9	9	0.414	155
Anthony Rendon	475	11.40%	12.40%	0.92	2	0.411	153
Howie Kendrick	244	7.80%	12.70%	0.61	1	0.385	136
Trea Turner	441	7.50%	20.40%	0.37	27	0.36	120
Adam Eaton	499	10.60%	15.60%	0.68	11	0.342	108
Asdrubal Cabrera	374	10.20%	22.20%	0.46	3	0.332	99
Kurt Suzuki	237	7.20%	11.40%	0.63	0	0.319	93
Victor Robles	458	5.90%	23.60%	0.25	16	0.314	90
Matt Adams	270	7.00%	35.20%	0.2	0	0.314	89
Brian Dozier	346	12.40%	22.30%	0.56	2	0.312	88
Gerardo Parra	232	6.90%	19.80%	0.35	6	0.291	76
Ryan Zimmerman	137	9.50%	19.70%	0.48	0	0.277	65
Yan Gomes	273	8.40%	25.30%	0.33	2	0.275	64
Michael A. Taylor	57	7.00%	36.80%	0.19	5	0.26	54
Wilmer Difo	115	9.60%	18.30%	0.52	0	0.254	50

Stack #3: Rays versus LHPs

The numbers suggest the Wednesday games will be lower scoring. For the simple reason I see more innings coming out of Morton in this one, the Rays take precedent over the A’s. There will be more bullpen exposure here, pure and simple.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Tommy Pham	197	18.80%	17.80%	1.06	8	0.407	161
Yandy Diaz	117	12.00%	21.40%	0.56	1	0.402	158
Travis d’Arnaud	150	8.70%	21.30%	0.41	0	0.362	130
Eric Sogard	120	9.20%	18.30%	0.5	2	0.353	122
Michael Brosseau	73	4.10%	23.30%	0.18	0	0.347	120
Austin Meadows	177	5.10%	29.90%	0.17	2	0.346	120
Guillermo Heredia	124	6.50%	23.40%	0.28	0	0.337	114
Kevin Kiermaier	130	3.80%	21.50%	0.18	5	0.332	110
Avisail Garcia	177	7.90%	22.60%	0.35	0	0.328	107
Jesus Aguilar	145	12.40%	22.10%	0.56	0	0.303	86
Daniel Robertson	96	10.40%	28.10%	0.37	1	0.299	88
Brandon Lowe	68	2.90%	52.90%	0.06	0	0.282	77
Ji-Man Choi	94	11.70%	23.40%	0.5	0	0.28	75
Michael Perez	11	0.00%	45.50%	0	0	0.269	67
Willy Adames	198	6.60%	27.80%	0.24	1	0.245	51
Matt Duffy	66	13.60%	19.70%	0.69	0	0.245	51
Mike Zunino	101	9.90%	33.70%	0.29	0	0.214	30
Joey Wendle	59	6.80%	25.40%	0.27	1	0.168	-1

Stack #4: Athletics versus RHPs

With Charlie Morton having dominated the Athletics this season, and the Rays having one of the best bullpens in MLB, this really lowers the offensive production possibilities. This places Oakland at the bottom of the list for me.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Mark Canha	340	12.90%	23.50%	0.55	2	0.405	160
Sean Murphy	40	10.00%	27.50%	0.36	0	0.394	152
Matt Olson	374	11.20%	25.90%	0.43	0	0.391	150
Seth Brown	69	10.10%	27.50%	0.37	1	0.379	142
Marcus Semien	545	11.60%	14.30%	0.81	10	0.367	134
Ramon Laureano	346	6.40%	26.60%	0.24	9	0.361	129
Matt Chapman	491	10.20%	22.80%	0.45	1	0.355	126
Robbie Grossman	424	12.50%	17.50%	0.72	8	0.307	93
Jurickson Profar	399	8.80%	14.50%	0.6	7	0.286	79
Chad Pinder	191	4.20%	25.70%	0.16	0	0.28	75
Stephen Piscotty	301	8.00%	22.30%	0.36	2	0.272	69
Josh Phegley	239	5.00%	21.80%	0.23	0	0.266	66
Khris Davis	383	7.30%	30.80%	0.24	0	0.252	56

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

DraftKings Showdown

Obviously, you are going to want both starting pitchers in all your lineups. The big decision is the Captain spot. I would find a cheap player that steadily produces fantasy points and reserve this spot for him. This allows you the spending power to pretty much have your way with bats. Here is a screenshot of two of my Showdown lineups for tonight as an example.

Click Here to Play your Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

This one seems easy for me tonight. Scherzer, despite having some recent woes with earned runs allowed, still strikes out batters at an incredible rate. This one is over all the way.

Brandon Woodruff may not go deep into this one but will certainly achieve this over in a matter of three innings.

FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER
@WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/23 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

6 years ago

written by

This five-game 9/23 MLB DFS slate is a rather odd duck. Besides the simple fact we have a small player pool to choose from, we also have several matchups that for DFS purposes are a complete fade. The key tonight is going to be variance. Even in cash games the cash line between first place and last place, more-than-likely will be small. So, do not be afraid to take chances.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

On the Defense

PatrickCorbin vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$10,500 FD / $11,800 DK

Warning! The Philadelphia Phillies are a lot less dangerous than they appear in the mirror. Especially facing Patrick Corbin on this 9/23 MLB DFS slate. The Phillies are striking out 23.1 percent of the time versus LHPs with a middle of the pack .329 wOBA. Despite the fact Corbin has had two sub-par starts this year facing Philadelphia they were both on the road. His home ERA is 2.00 versus his 4.18 ERA while traveling. Corbin has the highest upside on the slate by far, and with no Coors Field game, and limited high-priced bats to spend up on, he is at the top of the hill.

BlakeSnell vs. Boston Red Sox

$7,500 FD / $10,300 DK

The algorithm on FD tonight seems to have hit the mark pricing wise with Snell set to pitch only three or four innings on this 9/23 MLB DFS slate. The thing is, if Snell goes four innings allowing one earned run while striking out six, that is a pretty good day in DFS. Especially on this slate, just keep in mind he will not be getting any kind of site bonuses tonight.

Snell has huge K upside while generally being able to keep batters under control. In his only start versus the mighty Red Sox he went six innings with seven strikeouts allowing one earned run. With Boston winding down their season, and the Rays in a dogfight for the Wild Card, I would take a shot here on FD.

ZackEflin vs. Washington Nationals

$8,200 FD / $6,200 DK

It’s a small 9/23 MLB DFS slate which means chances must be taken. Eflin this season facing Washington has a 1.50 ERA with 21 strikeouts over 18 innings. His price on DK is bottom low which makes no sense considering he has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last five starts. This makes for a fine GPP play on FD, and a great pitcher to pair with Corbin on DK, despite facing each other.

Name	Team	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Patrick Corbin	Nationals	191.2	10.52	3.01	0.99	48.90%	13.00%	3.1	3.61
Blake Snell	Rays	103	12.23	3.06	1.22	40.20%	16.30%	4.19	3.21
Zach Eflin	Phillies	150.2	7.23	2.51	1.43	44.70%	15.10%	4	4.67

On theAttack

MikeShawaryn vs. Tampa Bay Rays

With the Red Sox playing at this point just to finish the season, Shawaryn could get stretched out an extra inning or two. His history suggests he will come in tonight, give up a bunch of runs right away, and be pulled. Why pull him now? The Rays offense is going to feast tonight facing a Red Sox team basically just giving guys innings. Stack away on this 9/23 MLB DFS slate.

Tampa BayRays vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	wOBA	wRC+
Austin Meadows	400	10.80%	19.00%	0.57	10	0.383	0.575	0.958	0.279	0.393	151
Brandon Lowe	246	8.50%	28.90%	0.3	5	0.358	0.548	0.906	0.265	0.376	139
Willy Adames	377	8.80%	24.90%	0.35	3	0.364	0.468	0.832	0.171	0.353	124
Ji-Man Choi	384	13.50%	22.40%	0.6	2	0.367	0.452	0.819	0.19	0.347	120
Eric Sogard	322	8.40%	12.70%	0.66	6	0.356	0.438	0.795	0.144	0.338	112
Avisail Garcia	342	5.00%	24.30%	0.2	10	0.333	0.459	0.792	0.171	0.333	110
Tommy Pham	437	9.60%	18.80%	0.51	15	0.33	0.441	0.771	0.19	0.327	106
Jesus Aguilar	217	11.50%	21.20%	0.54	0	0.333	0.418	0.752	0.174	0.32	96
Yandy Diaz	227	9.30%	15.40%	0.6	1	0.317	0.428	0.745	0.179	0.314	98
Nathaniel Lowe	131	6.90%	29.00%	0.24	0	0.313	0.429	0.742	0.168	0.313	97
Joey Wendle	192	4.70%	15.10%	0.31	7	0.318	0.387	0.705	0.127	0.302	90
Travis d’Arnaud	228	8.30%	21.90%	0.38	0	0.303	0.368	0.67	0.132	0.289	81
Kevin Kiermaier	342	5.80%	20.80%	0.28	14	0.257	0.39	0.647	0.189	0.27	68
Daniel Robertson	136	10.30%	23.50%	0.44	1	0.287	0.271	0.558	0.093	0.255	57
Mike Zunino	183	5.50%	33.90%	0.16	0	0.235	0.365	0.6	0.188	0.254	57
Guillermo Heredia	103	9.70%	29.10%	0.33	2	0.267	0.244	0.512	0.093	0.237	46

AdamWainwright vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Before you read any further you need to understand the Cardinals are playing at another level right now, and their pitching is no exception. Wainwright has been lights out lately both at home, and on the road. The Arizona Diamondbacks are also 26^th in MLB in wOBA versus RHPs. Everything looks to be in order tonight for Adam basically facing Eve. Or is it? If I had a nickel for every time I jumped on a pitcher with a tendency to be horrible on the road, who suddenly is Nolan Ryan, I would have a whole lot of nickels over the last seven years. On a five-game slate, with no one looking here, I am going to take some chances in GPP play on a Wainwright regression for this 9/23 MLB DFS slate.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Abraham Almonte	27	11.10%	25.90%	0.43	0	0.407	0.667	1.074	0.437	171
Ketel Marte	454	10.10%	14.10%	0.72	8	0.396	0.577	0.973	0.404	150
Christian Walker	411	8.80%	26.80%	0.33	7	0.336	0.48	0.815	0.341	108
Kevin Cron	53	5.70%	35.80%	0.16	0	0.264	0.571	0.836	0.337	106
Eduardo Escobar	478	8.40%	19.00%	0.44	4	0.318	0.502	0.82	0.336	106
Alex Avila	158	19.60%	34.20%	0.57	1	0.367	0.449	0.816	0.336	105
Wilmer Flores	165	6.70%	10.30%	0.65	0	0.352	0.367	0.718	0.314	91
Adam Jones	345	5.20%	19.40%	0.27	2	0.314	0.418	0.732	0.311	89
Tim Locastro	142	4.90%	15.50%	0.32	15	0.362	0.308	0.67	0.307	86
Carson Kelly	251	12.00%	21.50%	0.56	0	0.303	0.416	0.718	0.298	81
Nick Ahmed	444	8.10%	19.10%	0.42	7	0.3	0.397	0.697	0.294	78
Jarrod Dyson	382	10.70%	18.10%	0.59	29	0.307	0.326	0.633	0.28	69
Jake Lamb	183	13.70%	23.50%	0.58	1	0.311	0.289	0.601	0.272	64
Josh Rojas	100	9.00%	24.00%	0.38	2	0.28	0.3	0.58	0.258	54
Ildemaro Vargas	150	5.30%	14.00%	0.38	1	0.273	0.303	0.576	0.251	50
Caleb Joseph	29	3.40%	20.70%	0.17	0	0.214	0.231	0.445	0.199	16

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Patrick Corbin has had eight strikeouts or more in six of his last eight starts. With the Phillies striking out so heavily versus RHPs, the over is the path here.

Zach Eflin has had great success facing Washington this season easily surpassing 3.5 strikeouts in each start. Why should this change tonight? Over.

Despite Adam Wainwright’s recent success I smell serious regression here tonight. Over his last six starts he only has more than four strikeouts one time. The under is where I am looking on this one.

Although the Cardinals are striking out 22.3 percent of the time versus RHPs, the pitcher in question has a lot of four strikeout games. Facing a hot Cardinals team the under is the answer.

6 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Tampa Bay Rays

Main Slate Breakdown

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Early Slate Aces

MLB DFS: The Early Slate Bats

MLB DFS: The Early Slate Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Main Slate Aces

MLB DFS: The Main Slate Bats

MLB DFS: The Main Slate Wrap-up

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

10/8 DFS Showdown

Count on Houston A-Team

Bargain at the Bottom

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB

DK ($3,600), FD ($2,800)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

C.J. Cron, MIN at NYY

DK ($3,600), FD ($3,100)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Kolten Wong, STL at ATL

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,600)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at NYY

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,800)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Trea Turner, WAS at LAD

DK ($4,600), FD ($4,200)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. TB

DK ($4,800), FD ($4,000)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Marcell Ozuna, STL at ATL

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,600)

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. MIN

DK ($4,700), FD ($4,400)

10/4 DFS Hitting Stacks

10/4 DFS Showdown

10/4 DFS Pitching Picks

Justin Verlander, HOU vs. TB

DK ($10,700), FD ($11,200)

Jack Flaherty, STL at ATL

DK ($8,200), FD ($10,500)

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. WAS

DK ($9,300), FD ($10,300)

Stephen Strasburg, WAS at LAD

DK ($9,600), FD ($10,100)

The Road to Victory in Oakland

Power and the Glory

Click Here to Play your Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Queue

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.