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Stewart Cink

PGA DFS Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (or No-Am)

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and helping you find some winning teams!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

Full field of 156 golfers
Cut: 36 holes, Top 65 and ties
2020 winner: Nick Taylor (-19)
The courses: Pebble Beach Golf Links (host) & Spyglass Hill GC (one round)
- PB: Par 72, 7,051 yards; SH: Par 72, 7,041
- Course comps similar to last two: Torrey Pines and Scottsdale
- No third course, no amateurs this year
- Poa annua greens
- Iron and wedge play, short game (chipping & putting) most important because of short par 4s and small greens
- 6/6 golfers making the cut will be harder this week with larger field
- Wind also a factor on these coastal courses (it’ll blow harder on the weekend), and weather looks bad this week (55-50 degrees with showers possible)
Recent winners include some scrubs and veterans (Taylor, Phil Mickelson in 2019, Ted Potter in 2018)
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, SG: Putting, SG: Off the Tee, SG: Around the Green, Par 4s: 350-400, Par 5s Gained, Proximity from 100-150

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Patrick Cantlay (DK $11,300) – A California native who is No. 1 on my model (Dustin Johnson was No. 2 but he WD), Cantlay checks all the boxes this week and LOVES this putting surface (my model ranks him at No. 75 SG:P overall, but No. 19 on Poa over his last 100 rounds). He’s got a single-digit ranking in six of my 10 focus stats, and he’s far and away my favorite to win. I can’t find a reason to fade him – ownership be damned – so I’m considering a 100 percent lock button in GPPs and I’ll wait for Sia or Joel to talk some sense into me.

Daniel Berger (DK $10,100) – Berger is the better option of the other two golfers priced above $10K this week, the other being Paul Casey and his ice-cold putter. We can use Berger in all formats, including cash, although there may be a way to get Cantlay and plenty of other consistent cut-makers in there without breaking the bank. There’s no real weakness to Berger’s game and he only ranks higher than 33rd in one category: Proximity from 125-150 yards.

Jordan Spieth (DK $9,700) – Last week was an important one for Spieth, because he found himself in contention on Sunday. Now he’s back on a course where he’s won and that shares more than a passing resemblance to the kind of second-shot courses he excels on. He’ll be popular in all formats, so I may choose to fade him in single-entry GPPs for leverage.

Jason Day (DK $9,500) – His resume at Pebble Beach (11-for-11 with nine Top 15s) is the best in the field outside 50-year-old Mickelson, and despite two missed cuts in his last two tournaments, he does have two Top 15s since the start of November. We saw Brooks Koepka find his magic last week after a couple of MCs, and we know that he and Day share more than a few similarities as dogged competitors.

Also consider: Paul Casey (GPP), Will Zalatoris (GPP)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Kevin Streelman (DK $8,900) – Streelman notched a T22 last week with four sub-70 rounds at TPC Scottsdale, he’s got a sparkling record at Pebble Beach (three straight top 10s including a solo second last year), and he’s No. 6 in my model. I’ll be using him as a staple in my single entry, though I imagine he’ll be popular as the “almost too good to be true” pick of the week.

Max Homa (DK $8,800) – Homa isn’t quite as attractive as Streelman at this price in the mid-range, but he does have some upside at this venue (T14 and T10 in his last two tries here) and his birdie-making ability and prowess on Par 5s puts him in the GPP conversation. I’ll have some exposure, but there’s no reason to go all-in.

Henrik Norlander (DK $8,700) – You can’t argue with Norlander’s recent results (T12-T2-T22 in his last three events), but the best he’s finished at the AT&T is a T25 last year. It’s very possible he’s figured something out (SG:APP is No. 12 in the field) and we know he likes this Par 4 distance and approaches from 125-150. Norlander could get popular for his recent play, but as long as he’s not over 15 percent we should be okay.

Phil Mickelson (DK $8,600) – On courses over 7,100 yards I wouldn’t consider playing Lefty in a field this size, but he’s notched three straight top-three finishes at the AT&T, including a win in 2019, and there’s just no reason to assume that he’s not coming here to win again. His ownership appears to be holding at under 10%, and he knows these courses like the back of his hand. Why not?

Cameron Tringale (DK $8,500) – Tringale is popping at third overall on my model, though I’ve seen that happen before in events where he’s missed the cut. I’m a little worried about how his talents translate to closing on Sunday, and he’s struggled at Pebble Beach in the past, with only one top 50 in his last four tries. Far from a cash gameplay, I’ll have some shares in GPPs because he should play well here eventually.

Matthew NeSmith (DK $8,000) – My boy Rusty LOVES NeSmith, but he didn’t get into any PGS DFS action last week so he missed out on Matthew’s T7 finish. The model doesn’t hate NeSmith this week (No. 51 overall), and he debuted here last season with a T11, but the biggest concern is how his less-than-stellar short game will handle these small greens.

Russell Knox (DK $7,800) – Knox has two top 15s at this event in the last three years and ranks very well in SG: APP (No. 6 in the field) when the wind is blowing moderately or harder. We know his putter can let him down, but I’ll be mixing him into some GPPs at this affordable price. Knox looks even better to me when I think about the conditions: he’s got a fine draw and he’s solid in this windy/rainy stuff.

Maverick McNealy (DK $7,600) – McNealy loves the poa annua surface and seems to fare well when he’s hitting greens – a true GPP-only birdie-maker if there ever was one, but his approach game from 100-150 leaves much to be desired. Still – if the putter can get going and he can re-live some of the magic of last years’ T5 at this event, the sky’s the limit.

Also consider: Rickie Fowler (GPP), Sam Burns, Cameron Davis (GPP), Brendan Steele (GPP), Andrew Putnam, Brian Harman, Matt Jones (GPP), Chris Kirk, Brandt Snedeker, Peter Malnati, Harold Varner III, Nick Taylor

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Scott Stallings (DK $7,500) – Stallings isn’t an exciting play, but he’s a veteran grinder who likes the event (solo third in 2018 and solo seventh in 2017) and he’s right around the cutline in my model this week. I’ll have some exposure in GPPs.

Jim Furyk (DK $7,400) – The model loves Furyk and he hasn’t missed a cut in forever. Like Mickelson, this is a course that favors his strengths and he’s far from finished on the Tour. The absurdly low price is a welcome invitation for any format.

Ryan Moore (DK $7,300) – Moore is somehow at No. 4 on my model, but is form is awful and the course record doesn’t inspire me much. I’d restrict him to multi-entry GPP and low exposure at that, but he’s on my radar. He gets a little weather bump for his decent numbers on windy coastals.

Harry Higgs (DK $7,200) – Higgs played well in his AT&T debut last year (T18) and we know he can get it done on the greens. He’s not the best ball-striker but he fares on week on Par 4s this distance and he’s a wild card play.

Scott Piercy (DK $7,100) – The conditions this week could favor a golfer like Piercy, who’s played well at this venue in the past three seasons (all top 20s with a T10 in 2019). There’s no reason to lock him into all your lineups – but get some exposure to this tour vet and thank (or curse me out) later.

Brian Gay (DK $6,600) – Once we get under $7K, the pickings are slim, but Gay is one of my go-to GPP punts – a guy with enormous winning upside despite regularly posting terrible results. A poor man’s Brandt Snedeker without the elite short game, he just seems to love playing here and on courses with small greens – with five straight made cuts in the AT&T and two top 10s in his last three tries here.

More value golfers to consider: Charley Hoffman, Stewart Cink, Michael Thompson (GPP), Nate Lashley, Bronson Burgoon, Ryan Armour, Chesson Hadley (GPP), Vaughn Taylor, Troy Merritt (GPP), Kevin Chappell

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Tyler McCumber (DK $6,500) – He’s No. 67 on my model, and while his upside is far lower than a guy like Brian Gay, he’s made his last two cuts and has shown glimpses of decent golf. He also finished in the top 35 here last season so I may mix him into one or two of my 20 max GPPs.

Nick Watney (DK $6,200) – The situation under $6,500 is pretty dire, but Watney stands out as a player who’s had success here in the past (solo second place in 2015 and T14 in 2017) and despite eight straight missed cuts, he’s No. 21 on my model this week. I’m a little freaked out by it, but I may work him into 1/10 large-field GPPs.

Additional punt options: Rob Oppenheim, Grayson Murray, Jimmy Walker, Vincent Whaley, Chris Baker, Matt Every

3 years ago 0 comment

PGA DFS Picks: Sentry Tournament of Champions

Brian Tulloch 3 years ago

written by Brian Tulloch

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and helping you find some winning teams!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

Strong field limited to 42 golfers
No Cut
2020 winner: Justin Thomas (-14)
The course: Kapaulua (The Plantation Course) in Lahaina, HI
- Par 73 (7,596 yards)
- On a resort, but the Ben Crenshaw/Bill Moore design has been updated in 2019 to prevent too much bombing
- More emphasis on approach and accuracy
- Bermuda greens
- Course knowledge helps
- Wind will play a factor this week
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, SG: Ball Striking, Par 4s Gained, Par 5s Gained, Proximity from 100-125, SG: Off the Tee, Birdie or Better %, SG: Putting (Bermuda), GIR

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Dustin Johnson (DK $11,000) – DJ is the betting favorite to win, and he’s done it here before. My ownership will be in large part driven by the field’s. The issue is he’s tops in my model in five of the nine categories I listed above – and top five in three others. The lone outlier is his No. 11 ranking in SG: Putting on Bermuda. He’s too good to fade.

Justin Thomas (DK $10,700) – JT is only about a half-step behind DJ in price but doesn’t really lack in any major categories except putting on this surface – which we probably shouldn’t weigh as a huge factor. You’re probably going to have to pick your stud, because fitting both requires too many scrubs. I’d like to come in right around the field ownership percentage on Thomas this week.

Jon Rahm (DK $10,400) – Rahm has been keeping limber and already has three Top 10s in three tries here. This could be the year he breaks through, and I’ll have shares in all formats. If the winds picks up like it’s supposed to, he’s a good guy to have in your lineup. The club change and new look probably shouldn’t hurt his chances here – but the mental aspects of golf are usual a huge part of his successes and failures on the course.

*Xander Schauffele (DK $10,000) – He seems to thrive in no-cut events and he notched a win here in 2018. The price is correct here and Schauffele could end up being a very popular GPP choice by Sunday when folks fade the chalky Johnson and JT. If X-Man’s approaches from 100-125 are on point this week (he’s only 40th in the field in that stat), he could win again. He’s a way better play than Bryson DeChambeau at this venue – and he’s cheaper.

*NOTE: Xander had a rough time during his COVID-19 diagnosis, and he hasn’t played much golf in the past few weeks because of the quarantine. He’s still an option for MME and large-field GPPs, but I might keep him out of my SE and cash games.

Also consider: Patrick Cantlay, Patrick Reed

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Hideki Matsuyama (DK $9,000) – With all due respect to Webb Simpson, who I’ll have some shares of, Matsuyama is my favorite player in this price range. Although Deki is just No. 18 in my model, he overperforms in wind and he gained considerable confidence on the putting surface over the past few tourneys before the December break. I’ll be overweight on the field.

Collin Morikawa (DK $8,800) – He played well in his Sentry debut last year and his game fits the profile for this course and the windy conditions. Morikawa is No. 13 in my mixed model and his performance here will hinge on his putting. I’m a big fan of this guy, and a no-cut event in a strong field might be just what he needs to get back some of his confidence that flagged a bit in late 2020.

Daniel Berger (DK $8,600) – Berger will be popular, and there’s a few guys I like a bit better for GPPs coming in just under his price – but there’s no discernible reason to fade him unless he gets super chalky. At No. 5 in my mixed model, he and Tony Finau are the only two sub-$9K golfers in my Top 10.

Cameron Smith (DK $8,400) – The Aussie debuted here in 2017 (to a T17 finish) and this is his first time back. There’s much more to like now about his game, and it’s very possible I like him more than most of the other golf experts out there. I’m most concerned about the conditions with Smith, who should have plenty of scoring opportunities if things don’t get too tough out there.

Joaquin Niemann (DK $8,300) – He’s a horse for the course and last year’s fifth place finish is testament to that. Niemann is also No. 11 in my model and while he can get a little squirrelly around the greens, he’ll have a few days to find his mojo.

Also consider: Webb Simpson, Tony Finau, Harris English, Scottie Scheffler (GPP), Abraham Ancer (GPP), Kevin Kisner, Sergio Garcia (GPP)

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Sebastian Munoz (DK $7,500) – I don’t think he can win here, but if we’re trying to find value pieces to round out our lineups, Munoz might be a nice fit. A top 15 could be good enough for cash builds and I’m not ruling out a few fliers in multi-entry GPP.

Marc Leishman (DK $7,400) – The no-cut event will help him, and he’s got a fourth and seventh place finish here in his two appearances. Leishman has excellent control over his ball flight and can go high or low when necessary, which makes him a solid value option GPPs because he’s one of the only sub-$8K golfers with Top 5 upside.

Jason Kokrak (DK $7,300) – A first-timer at Kapalua, Kokrak punched his ticket at Shadow Creek with his first PGA Tour win. I may not be all-in on Jason, but I love his game and so does the mixed model – which puts him 10^th in the field overall.

Lanto Griffin (DK $6,900) – Lanto likes the wind and the course, as he finished 13th in his debut here last season. He’s one of the best value on the board and will be a staple of my single-entry GPP builds.

More value golfers to consider: Brendan Todd (Cash), Ryan Palmer, Mackenzie Hughes (GPP), Kevin Na (GPP), Stewart Cink

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Michael Thompson (DK $6,500) – The mixed model numbers don’t indicate anything special with Thompson, but his wind performance stands out among the scrubs. I’ll give him a look in two or three of my 20 lineups in my 20-max GPPs.

Martin Laird (DK $6,400) – Another first timer at this venue, Laird offers excellent value at $6,400 based on his ball-striking and ability to hit greens. Lots of folks are flocking to Richy Werenski at $6K, but a few more bucks gets you a better golfer overall.

Additional punts: Andrew Landry, Brian Gay (GPP)

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: Vivint Houston Open

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at Vivint Houston open and helping you find some winning teams!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

Full field of 132 Golfers – not many big names
Cut: Top 65 and ties
Last year: Lanto Griffin (-14 at different venue: Golf Club of Houston)
The course: Memorial Park GC (Houston, TX – Tom Doak redesign)
- Par 72: 7,432 yards
- Bermuda greens
- Brooks Koepka helped with redesign as PGA player consultant
- Parkland – grass slopes and contours make it similar to Augusta
- Second-shot course favoring accuracy/proximity
- Five Par 5s, Five Par 3s
- No course history
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, SG: Off the Tee, SG: Putting (Bermuda), GIR

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Dustin Johnson (DK $11,500) – If we’re taking a bombers and birdie-makers approach this week (SG:OTT and BoB% are two of our focus stats), we’ve got to like DJ in this prep for Augusta even though his game has been a bit unpredictable the past year. He’s the field favorite and a guy who can separate himself quickly from the field – in either direction.

Tony Finau (DK $10,900) – The course layout and design sets up well for a player like Finau, who’s been pretty consistent as a Top 10-type golfer but has lacked the ability to close. This could be the week he finally breaks through with another PGA Tour win.

Viktor Hovland (DK $9,800) – Any course with this many Par 5s should benefit Hovland, who’s excellent off the tee and seems to have worked out some of his late-summer struggles. He also provides a modest discount from the top few golfers.

Scottie Scheffler (DK $9,600) – The Texas native’s stats off the tee and overall ball-striking have been elite this season, so most of how he finishes depends on his putter. There’s not a course he can’t manage, but the price among the top tier of golfers could keep some folks away – making him a solid GPP play.

Also consider: Brooks Koepka (GPP), Tyrrell Hatton (cash)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Sungjae Im (DK $9,300) – Another golfer with the game to flourish on this course, Im excels on Bermuda surfaces and is the ultimate grinder. If he can make some birdies this week and build some early momentum, he’ll be hard to keep out of the Top 15.

Adam Scott (DK $9,100) – Normally I’d consider Scott a better play in cash games and single-entry GPPs, but he’s making his return from a positive COVID-19 diagnosis and is more of a risk to miss the cut than usual.

Zach Johnson (DK $8,600) – I’m always surprised how well Zach Johnson fares on longer courses, and this week is another such venue. There may be better value plays out there, but Johnson’s upside and cut-making consistency are undeniable.

Brian Harman (DK $8,500) – Harman projects similarly to ZJ in this price range and has venue been more consistent this season, with eight straight finishes among the Top 40 and a neverending slew of made cuts. He makes for a fine cash game play.

Cameron Davis (DK $8,100) – Consider Davis a poor man’s Dustin Johnson, as he make a ton of birdies and can move the ball off the peg with the best of them. There’s oodles of value in Davis this week, though I imagine he’ll get popular at right around $8K.

Lee Westwood (DK $7,800) – Westwood has resurrected his career with some remarkably steady play this season on the European tour, and he finished T13 at the U.S. Open. I could see Westwood playing well the next couple weeks and smashing value at this bargain price.

Wyndham Clark (DK $7,700) – Last week’s playoff loss to Brian Gay may haunt him, but Clark is a dynamic golfer who is playing well and fits the profile for this course. Now’s the time to stay aboard the ship – though we know it can go bad quickly for Wyndham and his bomb-and-gouge approach.

Also consider: Russell Henley (cash), Jason Day (GPP), Lanto Griffin, Doc Redman, James Hahn (GPP), Stewart Cink, Denny McCarthy (GPP), Erik Van Rooyen, Mackenzie Hughes

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Sam Burns (DK $7,500) – Continuing with our theme of bombers and birdie-makers, I present the inimitable Sam Burns, who misses a cut once in a while but has Top 10 upside on a course like this. A worthwhile GPP play at a bargain price.

Aaron Wise (DK $7,400) – Speaking of cuts, we’ve seen Wise miss the weekend five times over his last nine tournaments, so I can’t advocate for him in cash games and might steer clear in single-entry. But if he can get in the Top 65 by Friday night, he’s a solid GPP option with Top 10 upside.

Adam Schenk (DK $7,100) – Schenk is a consistent player tee-to-green who makes for a fine cash game play at just $7,100, but he may be worth considering in all formats on a course that rewards his strength stats – SG on Par 5s and BoB%.

Sepp Straka (DK $7,000) – The price for Straka this week is just way too low given how well he’s capable of playing. The scoring opportunities should be there this week for the Austrian, who can get red hot with the putter.

Matthew NeSmith (DK $7,000) – NeSmith is another guy who can go low when the putter catches fire, but the price reflects his inconsistent play. With three straight made cuts and an October Top 10 at the Shriners (T8), he’s on my radar this week.

Maverick McNealy (DK $6,900) – Looking for “birdies in bunches” this week could lead you to consider McNealy, who excels on Bermuda. I’ll have shares in GPPs.

Max Homa (DK $6,800) – I’ve had a hard time handicapping Homa this season, but he’s got the tee game to compete in this field and the price is way too low given his GPP upside.

More value golfers to consider: Keegan Bradley (GPP), Luke List, Beau Hossler, Scott Stallings, Austin Cook (GPP), Tom Hoge, Charles Schwartzel (GPP), Troy Merritt (GPP)

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Xinjun Zhang (DK $6,500) – He’s disappointed in his past two events, but Xinjun Zhang played well in Houston last season (T4), and the cheap price could make him a solid play despite the different venue.

Patton Kizzire (DK $6,400) –Kizzire struggles with accuracy off the tee, but he’s a solid putter who could easily make value if he can hit some fairways this week. I’ll take a shot in a few large-field GPPs.

Keith Mitchell (DK $6,200) – I know Keith Mitchell is bad, but he’s usually pretty good off the tee (the last few tourneys notwithstanding) and he can putt. For damn near minimum salary we can use him in some “studs and scrubs” GPP lineups.

Additional punts: Hudson Swafford (GPP), Justin Harding, Will Gordon, John Huh, Bronson Burgoon (GPP)

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: Bermuda Championship

Steven Polardi 4 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at Bermuda Championship and helping you find some winning teams!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

Weak field of 132 Golfers – not many big names
Cut: Top 65 and ties
Last year: Brendan Todd (-24) won over Harry Higgs (-20)
The course: Port Royal GC (Southampton, Bermuda) – Robert Trent Jones design
- Par 71: 6,828 yards (varies based on tees/pins)
- Bermuda greens
- Shorter coastal resort course with eight Par 4s under 415 – wedge play will be a factor
- Course comps: Corales Puntacana, Sony Open, RSM Classic and Mayakoba
- Wind and weather should also factor (wind gusts setting in by Friday morning)
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, Fairways Gained, SG: Putting (Bermuda), GIR, Par 4s (350-400)

I’m going to keep the blurbs brief and to the point. I’ve plugged in some data into the mixed models and there’s a few GPP plays that really stand out this week.

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Brendan Todd (DK $11,100) – The defending champ arrives in relatively poor form over the last couple of weeks, but he did drop a huge weight on his toe before the CJ CUP. But he should be better now and shot a final round 62 here last year in his dominant breakthrough win.

Will Zalatoris (DK $10,900) – He’s got three Top 10s in his last three events, including a MC at the Sanderson Farms and a T8 at a similar coastal course in Corales Puntacana. It’s going to come down to his putting this weekend.

Harold Varner III (DK $10,700) – Varner is one of the best all-around players in the field and is a legit contender to notch his maiden win this week. I’ll be rooting for him.

Denny McCarthy (DK $9,500) – A great putter who has seen his ball striking improve recently, McCarthy is a solid Top 10 candidate and should fare well on this layout where putting is a major factor.

Also consider: Doc Redman, Charley Hoffman

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Henrik Stenson (DK $9,300) – He’s tops in the WinDaily projections and comes in at an affordable price. There aren’t too many major winners in this field, but Stenson has the resumé and game to win here.

Kristoffer Ventura (DK $9,100) – Since the restart, the Mexican-born Norwegian (who attended Oklahoma Stat) has been quite solid, with four top 10s among seven top 25s in a combined 12 starts on the Korn Ferry and PGA tours. He’s one of the best options in the field.

Peter Malnati (DK $9,000) – Malnati finished second at the Sanderson Farms and notched a top 5 at the Shriners behind elite putting and passable ball-striking. He might take to this shorter course as well.

Henrik Norlander (DK $8,900) – Top-notch ball striking and consistent play (outside of a bad August-September stretch marred by a couple of bad rounds and three straight MCs) get Norlander a look this week. Not my favorite play, but a solid option for under $9K.

Justin Suh (DK $8,700) – The 55-1 odds on Suh to win are a little too long considering his talent and iron play. He’s finished T21-T14-T8 in his last three starts and will be a staple of my GPP lineups.

Wes Bryan (DK $7,800) – With less-than-driver an option off the tee on this shorter layout, Bryan is definitely in play in all formats and is a huge bargain this week.

Also consider: Cameron Tringale (GPP), Aaron Wise, Adam Schenk, Pat Perez, Stewart Cink, Patrick Rodgers, Russell Knox (GPP)

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Tom Lewis (DK $7,500) – Lewis was playing much better golf in July, but he’s got the pedigree to perform well at this venue and is one of the more talented players who could go overlooked in this field.

Tyler McCumber (DK $7,200) – McCumber had a nice little hot stretch at the end of September with a solo second at the Corales and a T6 at the Sanderson Farms, making him viable option in the value range at Bermuda.

Hudson Swafford (DK $7,200) – Swafford is a notable value with monster upside in this price range; he won at the Corales last month and makes birdies in bunches.

Hank Lebioda (DK $6,800) – Lebioda finished T3 here last season and seems to prefer coastal resort courses, finishing T21 at Corales.

More value golfers to consider: Max Homa, Rob Oppenheim, Brice Garnett (GPP), Kramer Hickok, Kelly Kraft (GPP)

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Robert Streb (DK $6,500) – Streb is my favorite value at $6,500 or under, but this price range isn’t a very promising one. I’d max out at 2/10 GPP entries.

Sang-Moon Bae (DK $6,400) – Bae may offer the most upside, but he’s far from a cash game play. If I only have $6,400 left after clicking in my other five, Bae will get a hard look.

Additional punts: John Oda, Ricky Barnes, Brian Gay (GPP)

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA Picks: The Travelers Championship DFS

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA Picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Travelers Championship DFS and helping you find some winning teams! DraftKings is offering new users a FREE entry to the Milli Maker by depositing into your account!

The Travelers Championship DFS Course Notes:

Full, stacked tournament field of 152 golfers
36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play the weekend
The course: TPC River Highlands
6,841 yards, Par 70 – Pete Dye redesign
Small Bentgrass/Poa Greens
Just two (2) par 5 holes
Bubba Watson is a three-time winner
Defending champ: Chez Reavie
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach; Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450; Proximity 125-150 & 150-175; SG: Putting (Poa)

ADDITIONAL NOTE ON DK PRICING: Pricing has gotten considerably more difficult this week, so if you plan on rostering a couple of the 9500 and up golfers, you’re going to need some gems in the $6-7K range.

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Rory McIlroy (DK $11,200) – Rory’s engine has been idling a bit since returning to action, but he’s always a threat and the enormous price could keep folks off him this week. He’s still third overall in my models and doesn’t need a narrative to win here.

Justin Thomas (DK $10,800) – Thomas sits atop my rankings this week and I’ll be using him in about half of my teams despite a lack of Top Ten finishes at this venue. His Strokes Gained: Approach numbers and Proximity from the 125-175 range mean he’ll be getting plenty of scoring opportunities.

Webb Simpson (DK $10,500) – He’s fresh off a win at the Heritage and has three Top 15s at the Travelers since 2011. Simpson is also popping on my models, ranking second overall between JT and Rory.

Patrick Cantlay (DK $9,800) – The main concern with Cantlay is rust, since he hasn’t played an event since mid-February. He’s sporting two T15 finishes in his two tries at TPC River Highlands in 2018 and 2019.

Xander Schauffele (DK $9,600) – Schauffele’s course history is lacking (T14 in 2017 and MC in 2018), and his play at Harbour Town was spotty, so this is more of a “trust the models” tournament play. He’s a more dangerous player when he’s off the radar anyway.

Also consider: BrysonDeChambeau, Jon Rahm (GPP)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Collin Morikawa (DK $9,100) – Morikawa finished 36th last year in his first try and seems like a good fit for this course. He’s on my radar in both cash and GPP.

Abraham Ancer (DK $9,000) – The form is magnificent and he’s sporting some obscenely good numbers with his approaches, but he still hasn’t broken through. I expect Ancer to be popular but I use him a lot and if I didn’t here – and he won – I’d lose my mind.

Paul Casey (DK $8,900) – A true horse for the course, Casey has never finished worse than T17 in five tries here and has four Top 5s. He’s had a couple tough second-place losses (in 2015 and 2018) but the memories can’t be that bad.

Gary Woodland (DK $8,300) – Woodland goes through rough stretches but usually rights the ship quickly, and his iron game seems more refined since the break. I’ll take another crack in the hopes that his putter gets hot.

Joaquin Niemann (DK $7,900) – Niemann looked great last week and this course (where he debuted with a T5 last season) demands of the short irons as well.

Brian Harman (DK $7,600) – Harman sports a third-place finish at River Highlands (2015) and has been inside the top 10 here the past two years. He’s also in the top 30 of my mixed condition model and won’t break the bank at just $7,600.

Also consider: Sungjae Im, JordanSpieth, Tony Finau, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Marc Leishman

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Keegan Bradley (DK $7,400) – The results here speak for themselves, and I can’t imagine he’ll be over 10% owned.

Chez Reavie (DK $7,300) – Reavie won here last year and he cracks the Top 60 in my model. He’s got a strong T2G game but makes for a risky GPP play.

Patrick Rodgers (DK $6,900) – His putting numbers on Bentgrass/Poa are excellent and he’s a solid off-the-radar play with plenty of upside.

Sebastian Munoz (DK $6,800) – I’m a little worried about two MCs in two tries here, but he fares well in my models and should be very low-owned. GPP only.

Russell Knox (DK $6,700) – He’s missed six straight cuts dating back to early February but I’ll give him a shot as a value play in 1/10 GPPs for his ballstriking/approach numbers.

More value golfers forGPPs: Corey Conners, Harold Varner, Jim Furyk, Ryan Moore, Danny Lee, DocRedman, Matthew NeSmith, Stewart Cink

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Vaughn Taylor (DK $6,500) – I can’t get off playing this guy, who keeps showing up on early leaderboards and in my models. If only he could put together three or four rounds.

Tom Hoge (DK $6,400) – Hoge is cheap, he’s inexplicably ranked fourth overall in my model (between Rory and Cantlay) and he’s tops in the field for Par 4 efficiency (400-450).

Emiliano Grillo (DK $6,300) – Grillo has many flaws, the main one being his horrendous putting, but his SG: APP numbers jump off the page.

Adam Long (DK $6,300) – Among the Top 25 in my models, we’ve seen stellar play from Long on occasion, and he finished T21 in his debut here last season.

Kyle Stanley (DK $6,200) – Like Grillo and Byeong Hun An, his putting is his fatal flaw. But the ball-striking is amazing. GPP only.

Cameron Percy (DK $6,200) – A super longshot play, Percy might not crack over 1 percent ownership. But the models say he could play well and he’s made 3/3 (initial) cuts here.

Thanks for checking out this article on The Travelers Championship DFS! Make sure to enjoy more Golf DFS info over at WinDailySports.com/Golf. You can also hop into our Expert Discord Chat to discuss your lineups one on one with our DFS pros.

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Stewart Cink

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

The Travelers Championship DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

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