Tag:

Sonny Gray

9/11 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

On this 9/11 MLB DFS slate I would like us all to take a moment to reflect on the memories of all the lives lost on this day in America. I remember clearly where I was on that fateful day, and what I was doing. The confusion, the fear, the total disbelief. My heart goes out to all the families of the victims, may you find some peace in knowing we are all behind you always.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

On the Defense

This 9/11 MLB DFS slate is rather odd in the sense that for the first time in recent memory I will not be using any bottom of the barrel SP2s on DK. I just do not see any with high enough upside.

Sonny Gray vs. Seattle Mariners

$10,200 FD / $10,600 DK

What do you get when you cross a high strikeout upside pitcher with reverse road splits, who benefits from a positive park shift, facing a team that strikes out over 25 percent of the time versus RHPs? The answer on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is Sonny Gray, who has allowed four earned runs over his last seven starts.

StephenStrasburg vs. Minnesota Twins

$10,500 FD / $11,400 DK

I know it is hard to swallow taking anyone facing the Twins on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. After all, they absolutely crush RHPs, and LHPs don’t care for them much either. The thing is, not every pitcher is Strasburg. Over his last 20 innings pitched he has racked up 31 strikeouts. Even if a few runs are allowed here, the Twins still strike out out 21.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, opening the door for huge DFS upside.

AdamPlutko vs. Los Angeles Angels

$7,700 FD / $8,800 DK

The Angels are a very unpredictable to team to attack in DFS, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. They are 13^th in MLB versus RHPs in wOBA, and 23rd in strikeouts. When you combine these factors, they all spell stay away. Regardless, in Plutko’s last start facing the Angels he went 5 1/3 innings allowing one earned run while sending four batters to the bench in dismay. I expect similar numbers here again tonight.

ReynaldoLopez vs. Kansas City Royals

$8,600 FD / $9,800 DK

Reynaldo Lopez may not be the greatest thing since the grilled cheese sandwich, but he does offer some upside on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Although he has had his ups and downs versus the Royals this season, the last time he faced them he had eight strikeouts over six innings, allowing one earned run. In his last start he pitched a complete game, allowing one earned run with 11 strikeouts versus Cleveland.

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Stephen Strasburg	Nationals	16	6	185	10.8	2.29	1.02	50.10%	15.40%	3.5	3.19
Sonny Gray	Reds	10	6	157.1	10.35	3.43	0.86	51.40%	12.50%	2.75	3.65
Reynaldo Lopez	White Sox	9	12	162	8.28	3.33	1.5	34.20%	12.30%	5.17	5.34
Adam Plutko	Indians	6	4	93.1	6.08	1.83	1.93	32.00%	14.50%	4.44	5.52

On theAttack

There are the obvious stacks pretty much any time there is a Coors Field game, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. It is going to be rather difficult to bat load tonight unless you completely fade decent pitching.

ZachEflin vs. Atlanta Braves

With everyone trying to fit Cardinals, Rockies, and Dodgers in their lineups on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate, let’s look elsewhere. Eflin has a 19.06 ERA over 5 2/3 innings vs. Atlanta this year. Despite pitching well in his recent starts I see a major blow up here tonight.

Notable Bats

Freddie Freeman is a top play most nights and tonightis no different. He is posting a .424 wOBA versus RHPs this season with a wRC+of 162.

Josh Donaldson is 6-for-9 with a home run and six RBIversus Eflin. He also is sporting a .393 wOBA versus RHPs on the season.

Matt Joyce is batting .385 with two home runs over the last seven days and carries a .374 wOBA versus RHPs.

Ryan Weber vs. Toronto Blue Jays

In the words of my stepdaughter Hailee, “oof”. Even though the Blue Jays are 26^th in MLB versus RHPs, they still offer a bevy of runs on any given night. With Weber returning from Triple-A tonight, I am sprinkling in Jays bats on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Keep in mind, this is more of a boom-or-bust GPP play.

Notable Bats

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the lowest strikeoutpercentage of any daily starter by far at 17.4 percent versus RHP. He also hasa .365 wOBA against as well.

Rowdy Tellez homered in his only AB versus Shawarynthis season, and I see another huge night tonight batting in the five spot.

Randall Grichuk fares better versus LHPs, but he does offer HR upside facing scrub pitchers at a discount.

Name	Team	PA	BB%	K%	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA R	wOBA L
Freddie Freeman	Braves	477	14.30%	16.10%	6	0.423	0.617	1.041	0.424	0.324
Josh Donaldson	Braves	460	14.10%	23.00%	3	0.383	0.567	0.949	0.393	0.364
Matt Joyce	Braves	173	15.00%	19.70%	0	0.393	0.483	0.876	0.374	0.377
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Blue Jays	318	9.40%	17.60%	0	0.368	0.498	0.866	0.365	0.329
Randal Grichuk	Blue Jays	374	4.80%	28.10%	1	0.265	0.432	0.697	0.29	0.284
Rowdy Tellez	Blue Jays	245	6.50%	28.20%	0	0.273	0.411	0.684	0.284	0.322

Sign up and get started with WinDailySports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

The Indians are 19th in MLB in strikeout versus RHPs, I am going under with Peters, failing to reach this number in three of his last four starts.

The last time Plutko faced the Angels he had four strikeouts. I see this easily happening again. Over all the way.

FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER 
@WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/26 MLB DFS Pitching Picks

Gerald Colvin 5 years ago

written by Gerald Colvin

We have a small seven game slate for tonight, and it is full of poo-poo on a stick on this 8/26 MLB DFS slate.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Sonny Gray vs.Miami Marlins

$11,300 FD / $11,200 DK

Most days for DFS purposes it’s a good idea to attack the Marlins, and this 8/26 DFS MLB slate is no different. The Marlins are striking out 25.5 percent of time versus RHPs while being 30^th in MLB in both .wOBA (.280), and wRC+ at 73. Sonny has been anything but Gray as of late, allowing only one earned run over his last four starts while striking out 34 batters over 24 innings. On a small slate with little to choose from he is by far the top option tonight.

Dustin May vs.San Diego Padres

$6,200 FD / $8,500 DK

Before I even start, the salary difference here makes this a much better play on FanDuel than DraftKings. On this 8/26 MLB DFS slate there is little choice as far as taking some risks are concerned, so why not gamble on attacking the Padres? San Diego is running a race for last place in MLB facing RHPs just topping the Marlins and Tigers. They are striking out an incredible 26.6 percent of the time versus righties, and over the last seven days are batting a pathetic .180 with a wRC+ of 46. Although May got touched up by the Braves in his last start, in his previous start he dominated the Marlins striking out five hitters over 5 1/3 innings and allowing one earned run.

Jason Vargasvs. Pittsburgh Pirates

$6,800 FD / $7,900 DK

There was a time where attacking the Pirates with a lefty was not generally a good idea. That was the past and this 8/26 MLB DFS slate is the here and now. The truth is the Pirates are 30^th in MLB facing LHPs boasting a whopping wRC+ of 78. The problem is they only strike out 19.2 percent of the time, which could make the K upside tonight a bit dicey. Vargas has a home ERA of 2.95 as opposed to the high 5.23 ERA on the road. Over his last two starts facing the Padres and Cubs at home he has allowed four earned runs over 11 2/3 with a sad strikeout total of five. The upside is low, but the choices are limited. I would take a shot here as an SP2 on DK, or GPP on FD.

Pablo Lopezvs. Cincinnati Reds

$8,200 FD / $7,400 DK

If you really want to take a chance on this 8/26 MLB DFS slate, perhaps Lopez is for you. Just be warned he may be on a pitch count tonight. The Reds strike out 25.4 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low wRC+ of 89 and with Lopez having a home ERA over four points lower, in GPPs I would take a shot here with low expectations. Keep in mind the Reds tagged him the last time he faced him and on a bigger slate he would not even make this article.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/15 MLB DFS Pitching Picks and MKF Prop

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

The 8/15 MLB DFS slate is lacking in the pitching department, to say the least, especially when you get to the main schedule options. But you have to start a pitcher or two on this 8/15 MLB DFS slate, so here are four pitching suggestions from Win Daily Sports.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Walker Buehler vs. Miami Marlins

DraftKings – $10,700 FanDuel – $11,800

You may have to play the 8/15 MLB DFS all-day schedule just so you can get a piece of Walker Buehler. He easily is the top pitching option for the day. He has a 3.08 ERA and a 29.1% K% in 2019. And he faces a Marlins’ offense that has a .237 batting average, .123 ISO and 25% K% against right-handed pitching this season. Expect a big performance from the Dodgers’ Buehler today.

Sonny Gray vs. St. Louis Cardinals

DraftKings – $9,100 FanDuel – $9,800

Sonny Gray has been locked in over the last 30 days. In that time he has a 2.08 ERA and a 9.49 K/9 while holding the opposition to a .171 batting average. The Reds’ hurler should keep it going on this 8/15 MLB DFS slate as the Cardinals are not a big threat against right-handed pitching. The St. Louis offense has a .159 ISO and a .305 wOBA versus righties in 2019.

Yu Darvish vs. Philadelphia Phillies

DraftKings – $9,700 FanDuel – $9,400

The Cubs’ Yu Darvish has a 28.6% K% this season and has started to settle in as the guy the organization thought they were getting when he landed his monster contract as a free agent. While this is not the best of matchups for Darvish, the Cubs’ right-hander will be an okay option on this 8/15 MLB DFS slate if he can avoid surrendering too many long balls, which has been an Achilles heel of his. He is allowing 1.77 HR/9 in 2019. But with the Phillies owning just a .170 ISO versus righties this season, you can gamble that Darvish can keep the ball in the field of play on Thursday.

Andrew Heaney vs. Chicago White Sox

DraftKings – $9,000 FanDuel – $6,400

It may not be a terrible plan to punt pitching on this 8/15 MLB DFS schedule. If that is the approach you end up taking, the Angels’ Andrew Heaney should get some consideration on FanDuel. The right-hander has some strikeout potential with a 26.9% K%, while the White Sox are being punched out at a 26.4% clip by righties this season.

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

Use this exclusive promo code to get a 100 percent bonus on Monkey Knife Fight now!

The Cubs’ Yu Darvish has a strikeout prop at 6.5 for his matchup with the Phillies. The over is in play here. In four of his last five games, Darvish has reached at least seven strikeouts.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Fantasy Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for August 4

Wesley Passinault 5 years ago

written by Wesley Passinault

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 10-11 AM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.30 Runs

**Low Risk

The Twins have been on fire this entire series and I’m not going to let off the gas before it’s over. The Twins continue to smash the competition, slashing to a massive .271 ISO, .366 wOBA, and 126 WRC+. Brad Keller has been somewhat decent this season, owning a 4.01 ERA, 4.46 FIP, and 5.19 SIERA. Keller is a ground ball pitcher with an impressive .270 BABIP and an extremely low fly ball rate. Despite his success this year I just don’t see him out performing this extremely talented and powerful Twins lineup.

Preferred Stack: Max Kepler ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Nelson Cruz ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), Jorge Polanco ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), and Eddie Rosario ($3700 FD|$4500 DK).

Fantasy Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (SEA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

The Astros are another team that has been on fire in their series. Seattle has rolled out three sub par left handed pitchers and have payed the price for it in the form of Houston power righties. Houston is slashing to a massive .340 ISO, .402 wOBA, and 160 WRC+. These are incredible hitting numbers, some of the best I’ve seen all season. Tommy Milone has the pleasure of taking on this hot Astros squad and owns a 4.39 ERA, 4.97 FIP, and 4.08 SIERA. He is allowing 1.92 HR/9 and a 45% fly ball rate. Stack the Astros with confidence.

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($4300 FD|$5100 DK), Alex Bregman ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3200 FD|$4500 DK).

Honorable Mention

Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Joe Musgrove (PIT): 4.70 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Jeff McNeil ($4000 FD|$4400 DK), Michael Conforto ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Pete Alonso ($4200 FD|$4600 DK), Robinson Cano ($3800 FD|$4300 DK).

Fantasy Stack: Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Tom Eshelman (BAL): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Vlad Guerrero Jr. ($3900 FD|$4900 DK), Bo Bichette ($3500 FD|$4300 DK), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3500 FD|$5000 DK) and Justin Smoak ($3300 FD|$4300 DK).

Pitching

Yonny Chirinos RHP (TAM): 3.65 Runs
Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.50 Runs
Justin Verlander RHP (HOU): UPDATE

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

7/29 MLB DFS Pitching Picks

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

On this 7/29 MLB DFS Pitching slate, it is essential to save money for Coors Field bats. We help you budget properly for Monday.

Chris Paddack vs Baltimore Orioles

DraftKings – $10,200, FanDuel – N/A

Chris Paddack, while at home, has been one of the most effective starters in the league this season. At home he holds a 2.36 ERA with a 1.66 BAA. A sparkling 10.93 K/9 helps my argument here. The Orioles are one of the league’s worst offenses, not to mention that they strike out with the best of them. The Orioles implied run total will be low and that will give me all the confidence to run Paddack on both sites for 7/29 MLB DFS Pitching.

Sonny Gray vs Pittsburgh Pirates

DraftKings – $9,400, FanDuel – $9,200

To start the second half of the season Sonny Gray has been the Sonny Gray of old. In his 19 innings so far, he holds a 1.89 ERA and a staggering 11.37 K/9. A stat I’m keeping an eye on is his consistent ground ball rate which is sitting at 51.3% in the second half. With the Pirates implied run total opening up at 4.1 and already dropping .1 I have zero problem running Sonny Gray as a pivot off Paddack and/or pairing with him on DraftKings in 7.29 MLB DFS Pitching.

Jaime Barria vs Detroit Tigers

DraftKings – $7,200, FanDuel – $7,200

I know this is gross, but if we want Coors action we need this. Barria has been pretty good if we look at his home numbers: 2.04 ERA, .214 BAA and a 9.17 K/9. The Tigers are most likely going to be without Nicholas Castellanos as he looks like he’s dealing with an apparent injury. Other than maybe Miggy, I am no afraid of anyone in this lineup. Barria gives us all the salary relief we need here in 7/29 MLB DFS Pitching.

Brad Keller vs Toronto Blue Jays

DraftKings – $8,400, FanDuel – $8,400

Another salary relief pitcher here that we can take a look at. Early on a ton of money is coming in on the Royals so this gives me confidence in the win bonus to say the least. After starting out the season red hot, Keller took a beating in May and June. Since then, as the second half has started, he has posted a 1.27 ERA and a .215 BAA. The strikeout numbers are average sitting at only 7.17 K/9, but the Blue Jays strike out enough that I can see him hitting seven.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Daily Fantasy Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for July 29

Paul Cuccinello 5 years ago

written by Paul Cuccinello

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s seven-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Alex McRae (PIT): 6.15 Runs

**Low Risk

The Reds are facing ~~Jordan Lyles,~~ who has seen better days over his last four starts. He has given up five or more runs in his last three of four games. This isn’t Coors Field, but it is close enough. Lyles carries a 5.36 ERA 4.81 FIP, and 4.43 SIERA on the year. He continues to struggle against left handed batting, allowing them to slash to a .416 wOBA, .630 SLG, and .403 OBP while allowing 28 earned runs over 31 innings pitched. I’m not huge on BvP statistics but the ~~Reds~~ ~~have seen a lot of success against Lyles. They have six players with .900 OPS or better against him.~~ The Reds are slashing to a .355, .194 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against righties the last two weeks. We’ve all come to find out Lyles was traded to the Reds so now we get Alex McRae on the mound. Same struggle to lefties, even better matchup for the Reds. I’ve upgraded this to a low risk play. You cannot beat the value here, but we do have some weather concerns.

Preferred Stack: Yasiel Puig ($3100 FD|$4400 DK), Jesse Winker ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3900 FD|$5100 DK), and Joey Votto ($3300 FD|$4000 DK). Value: Scooter Gennett ($2600 FD|$3400 DK) has been making good contact leading up to tonight’s game and he’s way too cheap on both sites.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 6.60 Runs

**Low Risk

Jordan Zimmermann is on the mound tonight for the Tigers and he is B-A-D. He owns a 7.57 ERA, 4.88 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. Although he is worse vs. left handed batting, he is no angel to righties. They are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .345 OBP while he has allowed 27 earned runs over 31 innings pitched to them. Zimmermann basically allows one earned run per inning pitched so roll out the Angels with confidence this evening. They are slashing to a .315 wOBA, .205 ISO, and 99 WRC+ over the last month.

Preferred Stack: Shohei Ohtani ($4200 FD|$5200 DK), Justin Upton ($3600 FD|$4000 DK), Mike Trout ($4900 FD|$5700 DK), and Albert Pujols ($3100 FD|$4400 DK).

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

vs. RHP Jon Gray (LAD): 6.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

No one is reinventing the wheel by playing either one of these teams at Coors tonight. This game will be highly owned as the Coors matchups typically are. The salaries are too high so we can’t stack both unless you’re okay with pitching Pannone and we’re not going to go there. Jon Gray has closed the gap in his splits and has actually fared decent at home. He is allowing batters to slash to a .333 wOBA, .463 SLG, and .336 OBP. He has allowed 24 earned runs and seven home runs over 55 innings pitched. Most will target the high power lefties like Max Muncy or Cody Bellinger and those plays are great, but you can easily differentiate from the field and play guys like A.J. Pollock and Justin Turner. The Dodgers are slashing to a slate high .381 wOBA, .281 ISO, and 140 WRC+ right now.

Honorable Mention

Daily Fantasy Stack: Kansas City Royals

vs. LHP Thomas Pannone (TOR): 5.25 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jorge Soler($3100 FD|$4300 DK), Whit Merrifield ($3400 FD|$4900 DK), Hunter Dozier ($3200 FD|$4500 DK), and Chelsor Cuthbert ($2900 FD|$3800 DK).

Daily Fantasy Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Kenta Maeda (LAD): 6.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Charlie Blackmon ($4500 FD|$5500 DK), David Dahl ($3400 FD|$4800 DK), Daniel Murphy ($3600 FD|$4700 DK), and Tony Wolters ($2500 FD|$3100 DK).

Pitching

Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.00 Runs
Jaime Barria RHP (LAA): 3.90 Runs
Caleb Smith LHP (MIA): 3.75 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Strasburg, Gray and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

There was a full slate of games for MLB DFS on Wednesday, June 3rd and we even had a doubleheader with the Tigers and White Sox. Some big name pitchers put up big numbers which means we had some notable bats who put up some duds. Points and salaries are based on DraftKings.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold here. Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more.

DFS Winners

Stephen Strasburg ($10,300)

Strasburg and the Nationals played host to the Marlins on Wednesday and got the win 3-1. Strasburg was the top MLB DFS performer and put up 45.5 fantasy points. He was able to pitch 7.1 innings and struck out a whopping 14 batters over his 110 pitches. Strasburg only allowed two hits and gave up two walks. He was credited the win and improved to 10-4 on the year. Strasburg has been a stud nearly all season and his ERA is now at 3.64 and his WHIP is at 1.04. His K/9 is in great shape at 10.68.

Strasburg’s Outlook

Strasburg will not have another start before the All-Star break. When the second half of the season resumes he should slot right back in as one of the Nationals’ best starters. Strasburg did struggle a bit in his last three starts going into Wednesday but righted the ship in a big way. This was Strasburg’s first start in which he didn’t allow an earned run since mid April. His high strikeout rate will keep him as a top MLB DFS pitcher for the foreseeable future.

Sonny Gray ($9,200)

Sonny Gray took advantage of the scuffling Milwaukee Brewers’ lineup Wednesday and got the win in a 3-0 game. Gray improved to 5-5 on the year and has now taken a win in three of his last four starts. Gray was able to strike out 12 over eight full innings. He allowed four hits and only walked one. Gray scored 43 MLB DFS points. His ERA is now at 3.59 and his WHIP is at 1.18. His K/9 now sits at 10.27 which is a big improvement from his career number of 8.06.

Gray’s Outlook

Gray will also not make another start before the All-Star break. He has been a very consistent pitcher this year and has not given up more than four earned runs in any start and that was only on two occasions. After starting the season 0-4 he has improved all the way to 5-5 and has pitched really well over the past two months. Expect him to continue his good first half and pitch well after the break.

Mike Clevinger ($9,700)

Clevinger and the Indians’ pitching staff combined to shut out the Royals on Wednesday. Clevinger started it out with six great innings. He allowed only four hits and struck out nine. The Indians’ coaching staff only allowed him to throw 79 pitches, which limited his upside. He scored 33.1 fantasy points and improved to 2-2 on the year. He has now started five games this year and has an ERA of 4.44. This ERA should improve as his WHIP is only 0.99. His strikeout numbers are off the charts as he has a K/9 of 14.81. This was a great bounce-back performance as Clevinger gave up seven earned over just 1.2 innings in his last start.

Clevinger’s Outlook

Clevinger will also have a long break before his next start as the Indians only have three more games before the All-Star break. In limited action this year, Clevinger showed immense upside to go with a bit of streakiness. Clevinger has three games where he allowed no earned runs and in the other two he combined for 12 earned runs over just six innings. This could be a case where he was still knocking off some rust and a small break could be just what he needs. Expect Clevinger to come out after the All-Star break as one of the top MLB DFS pitchers for the remainder of the year.

DFS Losers

Chris Sale ($11,800)

Sale and the Boston Red Sox were visitors at Toronto and took the loss 6-3. This loss for Sale dropped his record to a surprising 3-8. Sale was not able to get through six innings Wednesday and gave up five earned runs on nine hits. He struck out five while walking two and gave up three home runs. His 5.55 MLB DFS points was his worst performance since early April. Sale’s ERA is now at 4.04 and his WHIP is in great shape at 1.07. His K/9 is also very good at 12.87.

Sale’s Outlook

Sale will not make another start before the All-Star break. Sale’s numbers show he should have some positive regression in his win-loss total after the break. He has been one of the top MLB DFS pitchers all season and that should not change after the break. Expect him to use the break to his advantage and rest up and come back as strong as ever.

George Springer ($5,900), Jose Altuve ($4,600)

Springer, Altuve and the Astros were visitors at the very hitter friendly Coors Field and won in a low scoring game, 4-2. Most who expected this to be a very high scoring game were disappointed with the final score. Springer and Altuve were both high priced and highly owned players in this matchup and both put up goose eggs. Springer was off to a scintillating start to the year before getting injured and has a batting average of .307 to go with an OPS of .995. He has hit 18 home runs and has 45 RBI, all in the span of only 56 games. Altuve also missed some time with injury but has not been his normal self when on the field. Altuve is batting .264 with an OPS of .793, both under his career averages by a good margin. He has hit 10 home runs and has 25 RBI over 52 games played.

Springer and Altuve’s Outlook

Both of these All-Star type players should bounce back post All-Star break. Springer should find the form that had him in early contention for the MVP and Jose Altuve has been too good of a player over the last few years to stay down. Expect these two and the rest of the Astros’ offense to be at the top of MLB DFS lists in the second half of the year.

Home Run Derby Losers

Christian Yelich and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wil face off as the 1 and 8 seed in the Home Run Derby over All-Star weekend. These are two guys who if they weren’t matched up, would have been the odds-on favorites in my opinion. Now they will have to slug it out just to get to the second round. I still think whoever gets the win in this round one matchup will go on to win the entire Home Run Derby.

Injury Report

Justin Upton left Wednesday’s game with a left quad injury. With this injury coming so close to the All-Star break he could be held out until after the break.

Scooter Gennett left Wednesday’s game with a groin injury. This is expected to land him back on the IL.

Thank you for reading. You can join the Win Daily team by following the link here. This will give you access to all of the FREE content along with options to join our premium. Follow myself and Win Daily on Twitter at @thiel_boy and @windailydfs.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/16

Louis Cangiano 5 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

Updated 12:05 pm EST

Micheal Brantley should see some solid pitches today in the clean up spot with Alvarez hitting behind him AND Bregman is leading off, lock in these Houston bats as they face Trent Thornton. I have a unique strategy today which is playing the one, two and four batters for Houston, avoiding Alvarez. He will be very chalky today and a bad game is imminent. If anything, I can see them pitching around him, taking their chances with Josh Reddick. The Houston Astros are favored by -220 with a 9 under/over.

Updated 11:55 pm EST

The Arizona Diamondbacks face the red-hot Anibal Sanchez. Over his last three starts, Sanchez owns a 1.04 ERA and has struck out 15 batters allowing a mere .153 BA to all opposing batters over this span. Sanchez is a completely viable play tonight despite Arizona’s impressive play on this road trip scoring 45 runs over the last seven. The Diamondbacks do struggle against right-handed pitching as they’re only batting .243 against righties this season, compared to a .295 BA vs. opposing left-handed pitching. Arizona only has a .310 OBP and a .429 SLG to opposing righties. Sanchez is my pitching play today on both sites. Salaries are extremely reasonable.

Updated 11:43 am EST

The Atlanta Braves lead the league in runs over the past week with 55. They set to face Cole Irvin, a left-handed rookie who is allowing lefties to hit for average and righties to hit for power. The Braves lineup looks very juicy. Donaldson is my dong call of the day as his bat is heating up. Donaldson has hit seven of his eleven home runs at home and Atlanta owns the leagues highest BA on the slate over the last week. Donaldson is in the four hole and should have ample opportunity for some RBI. Atlanta is favored by -160 with a 10.5 under/over.

The Texas Rangers have struck out 84 times in the past seven days, a league high. Today, they face Sonny Gray who has been known to get some strike outs on his slider. Gray has been putting up consistently modest numbers and has yet to face Texas so far this season. Yes, the home run ball worries me a bit but this is the perfect hedge game. Gray did struggle in his last outing allowing two homers and six earned runs. Invest in exposure to Texas’ pitcher as well. I truly believe the 9.5 under/over is way too high! I will be betting the under for this match up today. Stay tuned for more information as the lineups start coming in.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/16

Louis Cangiano 5 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

Updated 12:05 pm EST

Updated 11:55 pm EST

Updated 11:43 am EST

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching, Monkey Knife Fight Picks – 5/3

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Picking the correct pitcher is key to DFS success, and the most important thing to monitor for pitchers is the weather. Picking a pitcher who has their start delayed or outright postponed because of weather can derail a perfect lineup and that’s obviously the one thing we want to avoid. With that in mind, here are the games with questionable forecasts: PIT-OAK and TEX-TOR. Considering we have recommendations in that Pittsburgh game, be sure to check out a forecast before submitting lineups.

Top-Tier Pitchers:

Clayton Kershaw, LAD at SD

DK ($10,100) FD ($11,300)

Kershaw is arguably the best pitcher of our generation and people aren’t treating him like that. His 2.65 career FIP shows just how dominant he’s been throughout his career and his 2.82 xFIP this season shows that he’s not far removed from that. What’s really encouraging is the fact that his K-rate has gotten back to 29 percent this season, as that pairs beautifully with his 5.5 percent BB-rate. That’s why he’s scored at least 20 DK points in all three starts he’s made while recording at least six Ks and six innings pitched in all three games. His upside may be even higher here, as he faces a Padres team that ranks 28^th in scoring, 29^th in OBP, 27^th in xwOBA and 25^th in K rate. Not to mention, Kershaw owns a 1.61 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 14 starts at Petco Park throughout his career, striking out 95 batters across 89.2 innings. That’s why Kershaw enters this game as a –185 favorite with San Diego projected for just three runs.

Tyler Glasnow, TB at BAL

DK ($9,600) FD ($10,500)

Glasnow was a preseason breakout candidate of mine and even he has surpassed any expectations I had for him. His 1.75 ERA and 0.94 WHIP speaks loudly, as he hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any start this season. That alone would be impressive, but his 28 percent K rate and .253 xwOBA shows the sort of dominance he possesses. The icing on the cake here is the matchup though, with Baltimore ranking 22^nd in scoring, 21^st in OBP and 25^th in xwOBA. Glasnow enters this matchup as a –210 favorite.

Matt Boyd, DET vs. KC

DK ($9,300) FD ($10,400)

Boyd was a guy who wasn’t even on my radar at the beginning of the season but it’s hard to argue with his current breakout. In fact, Boyd owns a 3.13 ERA and 1.02 WHIP while striking out 48 batters across 37.1 innings. That K rate is the most important factor with Boyd, as that’s simply one of the best strikeout rates in the majors. His peripherals indicate that his numbers should be even better, with Boyd posting a .257 xwOBA and a 2.21 FIP this season. Facing Kansas City is a treat for any pitcher too, with the Royals ranking 19th in OBP and 20^th in xwOBA.

Mid-Tier Pitchers:

Kevin Gausman, ATL at MIA

DK ($8,400) FD ($8,100)

Gausman has quietly been really good this season, as his 4.80 ERA is a very unfair number. His 1.07 WHIP is more indicative of the start he’s had and the righty has also added a .296 xwOBA and 3.83 xFIP to counter that unlucky ERA. What’s also impressive is the fact that he has a 28 percent K-rate and an 8.3 percent BB rate, as his 60 percent LOB rate has tilted his ERA. What we like about Gausman here is the fact that he gets to face the worst lineup in the league in the best pitcher’s park in the Majors. In fact, Miami ranks last in scoring and 29^th in wOBA. That was crystal clear when Gausman pitched seven scoreless innings in his one start against Miami, striking out seven batters while allowing just four baserunners.

Sonny Gray, CIN vs. SF

DK ($8,200) FD ($8,000)

I honestly have been stacking against Gray for a couple of years now but he appears to be back to his Oakland form this season. Since a dud in the opener, Gray has posted a 3.33 ERA and 0.73 WHIP across his last five starts, striking out 36 batters across 27 innings. That WHIP and K rate is simply impossible to argue with, as those are the ratios of a $10,000 player. That makes Gray impossible to fade in this matchup, with San Francisco ranking 30^th in both wOBA and OBP while sitting 29^th in xwOBA and runs per game. In addition, Vegas has Gray projected as a –160 favorite, with San Fran projected to score fewer than four runs.

Cheap Pitchers:

Joe Musgrove, PIT vs. OAK

DK ($7,200) FD ($8,700)

It’s strange to call Musgrove a cheap pitcher, but his $7,200 price tag on DraftKings justifies that notion. It’s really hard to understand why he’s so cheap on DK, with Musgrove posting a 1.54 ERA and 0.91 WHIP across six appearances this season. You’d think he has a crappy K rate, looking at those numbers and this price, but his 31 Ks across 35 innings is also a solid rate. Oakland is not a lineup we need to fear either, with the A’s sitting 20^th in wOBA and 21^st in batting average. Hitting in PNC Park will only hurt them even more, as that’s easily one of the best pitcher’s parks in the majors and Oakland will have to replace their DH with a pitcher.

Brett Anderson, OAK at PIT

DK ($5,800) FD ($6,800)

Anderson is my sneaky play of the day, as he’s simply too cheap. While he’s struggled against Toronto in his last two starts, he’s had a good year otherwise. Anderson posted a 2.61 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his first four starts, which included games against Boston and at Texas. This is a guy worth considering whenever he’s healthy, as his 3.68 career xFIP shows the sort of stuff he possesses. Facing Pittsburgh is quite the step down from all of those stout AL lineups, with the Pirates ranking 29^th in total runs and 26^th in both wOBA and OBP. He also gets to face a pitcher in a beautiful pitcher’s park like PNC. This total sitting at 7.5 indicates why both of these guys are solid plays too.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Tyler Glasnow over 5.5 Strikeouts

We had Carlos Rodon surpassing 5.5 Ks in our first MNF pick of the season and he totally let us down with five Ks in three eight-run innings. That tells us that our process was correct though, so we’re going to go with Glasnow here. The righties’ 28 percent K-rate speaks for itself, as he’s gone at least five innings in all six starts this season. The fact that he threw over 100 pitches for the first time in his most recent start gives him a nice floor too, with six innings and six strikeouts seemingly being the floor for Glasnow. Play MLB Player Prop Games Now and get 100 percent Bonus!

5 years ago 0 comment

Sonny Gray

Walker Buehler vs. Miami Marlins

Sonny Gray vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Yu Darvish vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Andrew Heaney vs. Chicago White Sox

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 10-11 AM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.30 Runs

Fantasy Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (SEA): UPDATE

Honorable Mention

Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

Fantasy Stack: Toronto Blue Jays

Pitching

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Alex McRae (PIT): 6.15 Runs

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 6.60 Runs

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

vs. RHP Jon Gray (LAD): 6.90 Runs

Honorable Mention

Daily Fantasy Stack: Kansas City Royals

Daily Fantasy Stack: Colorado Rockies

Pitching

DFS Winners

Stephen Strasburg ($10,300)

Strasburg’s Outlook

Sonny Gray ($9,200)

Gray’s Outlook

Mike Clevinger ($9,700)

Clevinger’s Outlook

DFS Losers

Chris Sale ($11,800)

Sale’s Outlook

George Springer ($5,900), Jose Altuve ($4,600)

Springer and Altuve’s Outlook

Home Run Derby Losers

Injury Report

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Queue

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.