Showdown

Welcome to week 6 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We should have ourselves a unique game with a higher total but both quarterbacks showing that they can lay an egg in the bright lights of primetime. We are going to likely have to run multiple game scripts to have a chance at a high cash today but we can make it happen. Here we go with Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers.

Week 6 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Raheem Mostert $14,700

Pivot: Jared Goff $16,200

Contrarian #1: George Kittle $15,600

Contrarian #2: Cooper Kupp $13,500/Robert Woods $12,600

Contrarian #3: Cam Akers $3,000 ***(High Risk)***

This one is interesting ladies and gentlemen. We have a 51 point total but both Jared Goff and Jimmy Garoppolo have shown that they can crap the bed when the lights are bright. So when building multiple lineups it would be a wise choice to put a few together assuming that one or both of them have a poor night by using kickers and defenses where it makes sense in your game script. My preferred approach will be to pick one one QB per lineup and using a pass catcher or two on the other side to get some exposure. My high risk captain is Cam Akers, they have been bringing him along slowly but he showed flashes last week on just nine carries. We know he should be the lead back, now we just need to hope the Rams have figured it out. Fingers crossed. Raheem Mostert also has the potential to completely shred this defense, Rams have given up over 100 yards in four of five games this year and if Jimmy G struggles again George Kittle and Mostert will likely be the only offensive 49ers worth rostering.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

49ers: 49ers D, Robbie Gould, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, Kendrick, Bourne, Jimmy Garoppolo

Rams: Rams D, Sam Sloman, Tyler Higbee, Darrell Henderson

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Welcome to week 4 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We have an interesting contest this evening with an injury riddled Niners team and Eagles who beyond Miles Sanders and two tight ends have no pass catchers. With a ton of injuries there should be points to be had for minimal cost and plenty of solid opportunities to take advantage of. Let’s not waste anymore time get into Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers.

Week 4 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown Eagles at 49’ers:

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Miles Sanders $13,800

Pivot: George Kittle $14,100

Contrarian #1: Carson Wentz $15,600/ Nick Mullens $14,700

Contrarian #2: Jerick Mckinnon $12,300

Contrarian #3: Jeff Wilson $10,500

***Bonus Play*** If you’re feeling frisky Deebo Samuel is stone min $300 and while not in full game shape may make enough plays to shatter the slate. Don’t forget about him.

One thing about you builds tonight that I’m seeing, salary shouldn’t be hard to navigate so you should be able to fit your favorites. Aside from what will be the big chalk in Miles Sanders at a surprisingly low price I largely like the Niners side for captain spot being 9 point favorites. I’ll be attacking the run game heavily on the Niners side. As far as the Eagles go I want no business with the offense beyond Miles Sanders, Zack Ertz, and Greg Ward. There is a clear case to be made for the Kickers as well as the San Francisco defense tonight as well due to the amount of injuries on the offensive side for the Eagles.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Eagles: Greg Ward, Zack Ertz, Jake Elliot

49’ers: SF Defense, Kendrick Bourne, Robbie Gould, Ross Dwelley

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Welcome to week 4 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We have another fantastic fantasy matchup this evening. We have a ton of injuries so there should be points to be had for minimal cost and plenty of solid opportunities to take advantage of. Let’s not waste anymore time get into Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Falcons at Packers.

Week 4 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown Falcons at Packers:

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

*Game Note: I’m going under the assumption that Adams will remain out.

With the number of injuries for both teams something has to give, I’m not really sure how they’ll hit the 56.5 total but that’s why we play. I have the expectation that Green Bay is going very run heavy due to the injuries and they will likely be successful in doing so. Aaron Jones and even Jamal Williams are going to be prioritized in my lineups over most the Packers pass catchers sans MVS. Atlanta is a little trickier, they are also injured but to this point everyone is still playing and they are 9 point dogs so the most logical route is leaning on two pass catchers and Matt Ryan.

Chalk: Aaron Jones $16,200

Pivot: Aaron Rodgers $17,100

Contrarian #1: Matt Ryan $15,000

Contrarian #2: Marquez Valdez-Scantling $10,500

Contrarian #3: Todd Gurley $12,300

***Extra Captain Play: Calvin Ridley or Julio Jones (If you think the Vegas total is correct and you expect the Falcons to play from behind they both need to be considered even injured)

Stoweby’s Showdown for 10.5 Falcons at Packers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

To talk flex plays I need to talk script. The expectation according to the Vegas total of 56.5 and the -7 to the Packers the Falcons will be throwing a ton to catch up and the Packers will likely spend a large part of the second half grinding clock out. It makes a lot of sense that they run quite a bit either way given the number of receivers injuries for the Packers. The same could reasonably be said for the Falcons but it’s clear that they do not have the same luxury that the Packers half. So my script for the majority of my lineups will be pass catchers for the Falcons, a minimum of one Green Bay running back in every lineup (sometimes two), and only one Green Bay pass catcher maximum as I think they won’t be used a ton late.

Falcons: Russell Gage, Hayden Hurst, Brian Hill

Packers: Jamal Williams, Robert Tonyan, Jace Sternberger, Malik Taylor

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.5 Falcons at Packers. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Welcome to week 3 ladies and gentlemen! We have ourselves what would have been an amazing contest but two key injuries knocked us down a notch. It’s still an interesting game with an interesting narrative and a pretty concentrated played pool. I’m let’s not waste anymore time and get into Stoweby’s Showdown for 9.27 Packers at Saints!

Week 3 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 3 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown Packers at Saints:

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Alvin Kamara $17,700 Aaron Jones $17,100

Pivot: Aaron Rodgers $16,500

Contrarian #1: Latavius Murray $4,200

Contrarian #2: Marquez Valdez-Scantling $10,200

Contrarian #3: Jared Cook $11,400

First thing and I think it’s not a surprise that Alvin Kamara and Aaron Jones are going to be 1a and 1b in terms of ownership both overall and in the captain spot. Aaron Rodgers is without his top overall weapon as is Drew Brees which limits both teams due to lack of depth at the position. You will be hard pressed to find many lineups tonight who don’t fit both guys into it even at those high prices. Vegas currently has Green Bay as 3.5 point dogs which with the way they have looked thus far feels off. I know it’s the Superdome, but it’s an empty Superdome. At first glance I felt like this should be a pick-um and I’m standing by that. If you noticed above there is one top player that I don’t have as a potential captain and he just so happens to be the 41 year old QB who only attempted one throw of more than 20 yards last week in a game where they were trailing for the majority of the second half. It’s clear, Brees needs Thomas to be effective and in order to win they will need a heavy dose of Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray to accomplish that tonight. I think Jared Cook will be used a good deal more in the short passing game as a second option to Alvin this week as it looks like even crossing routes are becoming too difficult for Drew. Even without Davante Adams though it appears that Marques Valdez-Scantling has improved a good deal over last year and will at least warrant a look as a contrarian captain.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 9.27 Packers at Saints Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

To talk flex plays I need to talk script. I do expect this to stay very close and that is due to the lack of out number one receivers. Rodgers can still get a few passes off to a guy like Allen Lazard and even a Jace Sternberger or Robert Tonyan in order to save some salary which we need to pay up for our studs. I am however planting my flag today on Drew Brees. if I were to make ten lineups tonight I would have Drew in a max of two. His upside looks severely limited based on his price and I really think that money is better spent elsewhere. Mainly Kamara and Murray. Everyone is ready to say Green Bay’s run defense is finally decent. Um no it isn’t, they are still vulnerable it just so happens the the games were never in a positive script where the Vikings and Lions could continue to run it. Over the first two weeks they’ve given up 223 yards on 43 carries and 3 touchdowns. Sean Payton is smart enough to know that and will run the tandem as well as a few trick plays for…….Taysom Hill (I’m rolling my eyes) and end arounds for Emmanuel Sanders. I see this being a very ground heavy approach today and we may go well under the total of 52 so kickers and defenses are firmly in play today.

Saints: Emmanuel Sanders, Taysom Hill, Saints D, Will Lutz

Packers: Allen Lazard, Jace Sternberger, Robert Tonyan, Packers D, Mason Crosby

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 9.27 Packers at Saints. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!