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Seattle Seahawks

NFL Season Long: The Wire Report – Week 15 – Win Daily Sports

Welcome to the Week 15 edition of The Wire Report for the 2021 NFL season. In this article I’ll be highlighting some of the top players that should still be available in your season long leagues.

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As week 15 should be the first week of the playoffs in many leagues, the waiver wires are almost bare of production players at this point. That said, there are a few out there that can help

Below are my top waiver wire targets:

Rashaad Penny – Running Back – Seattle Seahawks (8.6% Rostered in ESPN Leagues)

What a week for Rashaad Penny. Penny finished up week 14 with 16 carries and 137 rushing. He also found the end zone twice. This now makes it back to back weeks where Penny had double digit carries. Heading into a matchup against the Rams in Week 15 Pete Carrol should start to lean on Penny even more, especially if he’s going to average more than 8.5 yards per carry like he did on Sunday.

Nico Collins – Wide Receiver – Houston Texans (1.2% Rostered in ESPN Leagues)

Was this the breakout week for Nico Collins? Going into week 14 Collins hadn’t had more than 6 targets in any given week. On Sunday Mills targeted him 10 times and he was able to catch 5 of them for 69 yards. With the Texans season all but done and a week 15 matchup vs. the Jaguars, could the Texans finally give Collins a real look? I think they do and if you need a receiver this weekend, Collins should excel in an easy matchup.

Tyler Huntley – Quarterback – Baltimore Ravens (.3% Rostered in ESPN Leagues)

This is 100% reliant on Lamar Jackson missing this weekend so you’ll need to monitor through the end of the week. Huntley actually looked like a better QB this weekend than Jackson. He ran better, threw better, he just doesn’t have the name recognition that Jackson has. Should Jackson miss the week 15 matchup vs. the Packers, Huntley should be able to fill in admirably and get you multiple stats.

Devanta Parker – Wide Receiver – Miami Dolphins (50.2% Rostered in ESPN Leagues)

With a week 15 matchup vs. the New York Jets, I want to try to grab any pieces from the Dolphins offense as I can. Parker comes to the top of the list as he’s available in half of ESPN leagues. In his first game since week 8 against the Bills, Parker caught all 5 targets for 62 yards. While we would have loved to see more than just 5 targets out of him, my hope is that they wanted him to get his feet wet in his first game back and the looks will be there this week.

Ty Johnson – Running Back – New York Jets (26% Rostered in ESPN Leagues)

Ty Johnson only had 6 carries this weekend, but he had we really coveted. Johnson was targeted 7 times this weekend. It was his most targets since week 10 vs. Buffalo and it was the third time this year he had at least 7 targets. With Elijah Moore on injured reserve there are more passes to go around and Johnson was a big beneficiary of it. Look for Johnson to play an important role in the Jets offense in Week 15.

Gabriel Davis – Wide Receiver – Buffalo Bills (2.5% Rostered in ESPN Leagues)

This is another pickup that is 100% reliant on injury news. Should Emmanuel Sanders miss week 15 we have to love the spot for Davis. Once Sanders went down Davis took on a bigger role in the offense. Davis was targeted 8 times on Sunday and was able to coral 5 of them for 43 yards. Keep an eye on Sanders status throughout the week and if he’s ruled out, Davis makes for a great pickup.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

3 years ago 0 comments

Week 12 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Seahawks at Washington

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Russell Wilson (FD $15,500, DK $16,500)

Pivot: Taylor Heinicke (FD $14,500, DK $14,700)

Contrarian #1: DK Metcalf (FD $13,500, DK $13,200)

Contrarian #2: Terry McLaurin (FD $14,000, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #3: Antonio Gibson (FD $12,000, DK $12,900)

Contrarian #3: Tyler Lockett (FD $12,500, DK $15,300)

Russell Wilson and Taylor Heinicke are pretty much neck-and-neck for the chalk, but I think Wilson will end up being the more popular choice by gametime. Still – the way to get different is to play a WR/RB or even TE Logan Thomas, who’s returning from IR and should be active, albeit on a limited snap count. If the game is close and his hamstring is holding up, I could see him getting a few more looks than normal on crucial drives.

Seahawks notes: DK Metcalf still has as much upside of just about any WR in the the game excluding Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill, so I prefer him over Tyler Lockett, but the rest of the Seahawks offense could see showdown-relevant performances from just about anyone, including both Alex Collins and DeeJay Dallas and TE Gerald Everett. Dallas is relatively cheap, and he’s assuming the passing down role with Travis Homer out this week. Don’t forget about Freddie Swain, who’s been quiet lately but is on the field for over a third of the offensive snaps, including some opportunities in the red zone. Both the Seahawks DST and kicker Jason Myers are in play as well, especially with some of the sloppy prime time football we’ve bene seeing lately.

Washington notes: It’s primarily going to be Heinicke, Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson in most builds, though the J.D. McKissic/Thomas combo could bear fruit in the two-minute drill if the WFT needs a quick score or gets into garbage time in a Seahawks-dominant game script. Curtis Samuel could make an impact even on a pitch count, and the fringe WRs for Washington, including DeAndre Carter and Cam Sims, have been used a lot in the red zone, but seem overpriced based on the return of Samuel and Thomas. The Washington DST is far from full strength without Chase Young, but it’s still a unit capable of forcing turnovers, getting sacks and making big plays.

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks with the Seattle running game. It’s a timeshare and DeeJay Dallas is capable of playing well.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Now that we’ve established some Week 12 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Russell Wilson
Taylor Heinicke
DK Metcalf
Terry McLaurin
Antonio Gibson
Tyler Lockett
J.D. McKissic
Alex Collins
DeeJay Dallas
Logan Thomas
Curtis Samuel
Gerald Everett
Seahawks DST
DeAndre Carter
Washington DST
Joey Slye
Jason Myers
Cam Sims
Freddie Swain
John Bates
Will Dissly
Adam Humphries (questionable)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports Premium

Week 5 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Rams at Seahawks

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 5 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 5 NFL DFS Chalk: Russell Wilson (FD $15,500, DK $17,700)

Pivot: Matthew Stafford (FD $16,000, DK $17,100)

Pivot #2: Cooper Kupp (FD $14,000, DK $18,600)

Contrarian #1: Tyler Lockett (FD $12,000, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #2: Robert Woods (FD $10,000, DK $11,400)

It’s going to be close between Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford for who gets the chalk at captain, and just like in previous showdowns, FanDuel and DraftKings have the top priced QB flip-flopped, with Stafford the top dog on FD and Wilson more expensive on DK — where noted Stix nemesis Cooper Kupp is actually the most expensive option. Stafford’s receiving options are healthier on a short week, while Wilson is dealing with a bunch of minor-to-medium injuries to his skill position weapons, including Tyler Lockett, who toughed out a hip injury on Sunday, DK Metcalf (foot, limited in practice Monday through Wednesday) and Chris Carson (questionable/GTD for TNF with a neck injury). One of my favorite captain plays is actually Robert Woods, who the team keeps promising will get more involved. Both he and punt play Rams WRs Van Jefferson and DeSean Jackson are capable of large-field GPP brilliance if they catch a couple of big ones and allow you to get the main guys in there.

Rams notes: Darrell Henderson, Jr. (ribs) actually doesn’t have an injury designation for tonight, as he went through the same practice routine for a second consecutive week — being listed as limited on the first two daily injury reports before putting in a full session on the final one on Wednesday. He should handle the bulk of carries and snaps, but Sony Michel could always vulture a score or notch a few important touches. The matchup is great for almost all the Rams options, so the best bet is to mix-and-match based on narrative and find a good balance with these teams, as it’s projected to be a shootout (54.5 game total). TE Tyler Higbee and K Matt Gay are also in play.

Seahawks notes: The biggest news leading up to game time will be the status of Carson, and Alex Collins could be a nice bargain play if the first-stringer somehow sits this one out. I’m assuming that Metcalf will draw the coverage of Jalen Ramsey, so I have a little more interest in Lockett and Freddie Swain than normal, as well as TE Will Dissly, who only caught two passes (on two targets) for 5 yards in Sunday’s 28-21 win over the 49ers. Dissly should be more involved in this game and is very cheap at just $3,800. Jason Myers could get some additional FG tries if this one stays close, too.

Week 5 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Tread too much in the sub-$1K range this week. Another week with no bargains UNLESS Carson sits, and we could see DeeJay Dallas active, but he’s a super long shot.

Now that we’ve established some Week 5 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Matthew Stafford
Russell Wilson
Robert Woods
Cooper Kupp
Tyler Lockett
Darrell Henderson, Jr.
DK Metcalf
Chris Carson (questionable)
Tyler Higbee
Van Jefferson
Freddie Swain
DeSean Jackson
Will Dissly
Matt Gay
Jason Myers
Alex Collins (bumps up to spot 9 if Carson inactive)
Rams DST
Sony Michel
Seahawks DST
Other Seahawks RBs (if Carson incactive)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 5 action!

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 12 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Seahawks at Eagles

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in one of the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Russell Wilson (DK $18,900, FD $16,500)

Pivot: DK Metcalf (DK $17,100, FD $14,000)

Contrarian #1: Carson Wentz (DK $15,600, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #2: Miles Sanders (DK $13,800, FD $13,500)

DK Punts: Seahawks DST ($5,700) or Jalen Reagor ($8,700)

DK Contrarian Punt: Alshon Jeffrey ($2,400)

We’ve got to love Russell Wilson in this game, and he’ll likely be the chalk. The Seahawks should be able to roll out their usual offensively balanced approach in this game, as they’re back to full capacity with their stable of RBs – grinder Chris Carson is back in action and leads the way – and no major injuries to report among their top two WRs. They will be missing TE Greg Olsen, but I expect to see Wilson picking his spots with efficiency against the Eagles secondary.

As with the rest of the league, the Eagles don’t have anyone who can contain the relatively matchup-proof DK Metcalf, and with the athletic receiver seeing just nine targets over the past two weeks, I expect him to have a big game and around 7-10 targets. Since the Eagles do have a strong run defense, they’ll likely run some play action with Carson to get the ball in the hands of Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and TE Will Dissly, who might notch a couple extra looks in this one.

I’m plenty interested in using the Seahawks DST at captain if it gets me Wilson, one of the big two Seahawks WRs and Carson, and there’s already a viable roster construction for large-field GPPs that I’m envisioning which utilizes a Carson Wentz meltdown/replacement with Jalen Hurts. The Seahawks could force him right out of the game with constant pressure, as the Eagles have yielded a league-high 40 sacks this season through 10 games.

If Wentz is successful in avoiding pressure, it’ll be because their defense will help keep the game close and they give plenty of opportunities to Miles Sanders. The Seahawks defense is about league average against the run, but they looked like a much-improved unit in their game against the Cards. WRs Jalen Reagor and Travis Fulgham probably have the most upside in this matchup, but I’m sprinkling in plenty of Dallas Goedert and will have a few shares of embattled and oft-injured wideout Alshon Jeffrey, who could see more snaps in this matchup.

Week 12 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Use more Eagles than Seahawks. Unless something goes terribly wrong and the Eagles defense flips the script, we’re looking at a max of two or three lineups per ten where you could go 3/3 (maybe two) or 4-2 (1/10 at most) in favor of Philly.

DO: Get a little creative with the Eagles offensive performers you use. There’s been talk of replacing Wentz if he struggles, and this is exactly the type of game and DSFS format you could see him put together a second half worthy of inclusion.

DON’T: Fiddle around too much with the non-Chris Carson Seahawks backs, aside from possibly Carlos Hyde. The price on Hyde is steep because of last week’s performance, but we have every indication Carson will lead the backfield in touches this week. A few shares are okay, but don’t go overboard.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Russell Wilson
DK Metcalf
Chris Carson
Tyler Lockett
Carson Wentz
Miles Sanders
Jalen Reagor
Travis Fulgham
Dallas Goedert
Seahawks DST
Will Dissly
Greg Ward
Jason Myers
Boston Scott
Carlos Hyde
Freddie Swain (questionable)
Alshon Jeffrey
Jake Elliott
Jalen Hurts
Jacob Hollister
Eagles DST
Richard Rodgers

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 11 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Cards at Seahawks

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 11 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Kyler Murray (DK $19,500, FD $17,000)

Pivot: Russell Wilson (DK $17,700, FD $16,500)

Contrarian #1: DK Metcalf (DK $15,300, FD $13,500)

Contrarian #2: DeAndre Hopkins (DK $16,200, FD $13,500)

DK CPT Punt Options: Freddie Swain ($1,800) & Andy Isabella ($3,000)

There are some pricing discrepancies between FanDuel and DraftKings this week that we can take advantage of – in both cash games and tournaments – but the overriding theme this week will be squeezing in both QBs if we can. That’s a hard task, but I think that’s the best cash game strategy and a viable plan for GPPs.

The chalk on both sites is Kyler Murray, and a quick glance at his game logs tells us why he’s top dog emcee: he hasn’t scored fewer than 24.12 DK points in any game this season and he’s already racked up 2,375-17-8 passing and 604 rushing yards with 10 scores (!) on the ground. Only the Bengals offer a more favorable QB matchup than Seattle, which means he could have one of his highest game totals of the season.

Russell Wilson took a step back in Week 10 with just 12.92 DK points against the Rams, but his fantasy resume is just as impressive, with his previous lowest DK point total (24.9) coming in a Week 4 matchup against an upstart Miami defense that’s been mazing in 2020.

The biggest injury situations to monitor are in both backfields, but Arizona’s Chase Edmonds and Seattle’s Carlos Hyde (full practice participant on Tuesday) are my favorite RB options on both teams. If Chris Carson (foot) can go for the Seahawks that does complicate things a bit, but Hyde had a solid game vs. Arizona in Week 7, is absent an official injury designation heading into Thursday night and offers a pretty nice combination of blocking and receiving skills that will be needed in this game.

Carson’s availability won’t be determined until close to game time, but I’m fading him because foot injuries are easy to exacerbate, and we’ve got to take a stand somewhere. As for my dude Chase, I’m on him because I’m just not a huge fan of Kenyan Drake, regardless of if he’s 100 percent and even though he gets a pretty large snap share that often exceeds that of Edmonds. Drake’s one truly enormous game this season came against Dallas in Week 6 at the height of that team’s momentous misery.

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (knee) is questionable but also expected to play, which slightly mars the option of punting the captain spot with super-cheap Freddie Swain for Seattle. Swain hauled in 3-37-0 on four targets last week and is an under-the-radar deep threat and high-leverage performer that Wilson looks for in the red zone. He’s definitely worth using in some GPPs, especially if Lockett is limited. Anda Isabella is the Arizona analog to Swain – a speedburner who could break the slate with a long TD reception.

Top WR options DeAndre Hopkins (now of “Hail Murray” fame) and DK Metcalf are also worthy of using in any place they can fit, and don’t sleep on Christian Kirk, who is a worthy second fiddle on a Cards team filled with talent.

Kickers, defenses and TEs could make their way into my lineups, but only a smattering, and not in the captain spot.

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Count on this to be low-scoring. The projected total sits at 57 and we could easily see this be a 37-31 type of game.

DO: Get plenty of both sides in this game. I just don’t see either team dominating to the point where a 5-to-1 build makes a lot of sense.

DON’T: Forget about the “other” Cards receivers, including Larry Fitzgerald. The NFL legend had 8-62-0 against the Seahawks in Week 7, his best output of the season thus far.

Kyler Murray
Russell Wilson
DK Metcalf
DeAndre Hopkins
Christian Kirk
Carlos Hyde (if Chris Carson is inactive)
Chase Edmonds
Tyler Lockett (questionable)
Kenyan Drake
Larry Fitzgerald
Andy Isabella
Chris Carson (risk-reward)
David Moore (higher if Lockett limited)
Freddie Swain (risky GPP)
Greg Olsen
Jason Myers
Dan Arnold
Zane Gonzalez
Cards DST
Seahawks DST

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 9.20 Patriots at Seahawks

David Stowe 5 years ago

written by David Stowe

Welcome to week 2 ladies and gentlemen! I’m hoping you all are reading this following two weeks of main slate cashes and you are all ready to top it off with some showdown fun. I’d like to welcome all of our new subscribers to the Win Daily family. You’ve come to the right place we have some of the absolute best projection models, articles, and discord chat in the industry. Now let’s finish this night strong with Stoweby’s Showdown For 9.20 Patriots at Seahawks. This is sure to be a fun one.

As we all know we need to get a little bit weird in order to take down a big showdown by yourself, you have to take stands on guys that you normally would not in a normal slate and take sub-optimal approaches. If your goal is to min cash go ahead and play the chalk and hop into the 50/50’s and double-ups. That’s not what this is. Historically speaking the type of showdown lineups that solo take-down a contest would make you shake your head. Fading studs, leaving tons of salary on the table, and negative correlations are a common site on these one game contests.

In week one I walked through a couple of scenarios and talked through the mindset that you had to have, focusing more on script and scheme and how you selected your players to fit the “story” that you are telling with your lineup and we had some fun doing it. I’m going to take a slightly different tact this week. We’ll still talk through some scenarios and plays but we’ll forgo the photos and I’ll have it listed in a little more of a formal way at the end than I had in week one.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 9.20 Patriots at Seahawks Vegas Script.

The first thing that sticks out to me. I can’t remember the last time I saw a sub 45 point total in a Patriots game, much less a Patriots game against another potent offense like the Seahawks but it is 2020 so we’ll roll with it. Seattle is favored by 4 so the Vegas scenario says that it will be competitive but New England will likely be playing from behind so how does that looks with a showdown lineup? Well for starters, as much as we want to project last years stats on this years team, they are nothing alike. Aside from Bill Belichick we have nothing to compare to, which means we have nothing. What we have is an absence of seven defensive players from the 2019 season including Patrick Chung, Dont’a Hightower, and Kyle Van Noy. As much as we want to say they are fine, last week was at home, against Miami, with an almost 38 year old Ryan Fitzpatrick, down his number one receiver. This contest will not be that, and my expectation is that Cam will be spending a lot more time in passing situations. I think that most builds will be pretty close with guessing the correct RB and WR on the Patriots side being the key to a top finish.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 9.20 Patriots at Seahawks Flex and Captains:

Patriots:

I was a little worried about how Cam Newton would look in New England but as of now he looks fully healthy from both the shoulder and foot injury that ruined his last couple of seasons so clearly he is in play and he’ll be the big chalk in my opinion just due to his physical running style but as I said earlier I see a lot more throwing from him tomorrow which aside from one fantastic season it really hasn’t been his strong suit so I prefer him in the flex based on that but if you are all in go for it, just know it will be crowded with him at captain. Julian Edelman and N’keal Harry are both going into tomorrow with the Q tag but it’s the Patriots so I think you’re fine with both but my preference is Harry just due to to Cam’s history of favoring bigger receivers over his career, Edelman and Harry had 7 and 6 targets respectively leading all others in targets albeit on a run heavy, read option game plan . I think you guys can see where I’m going in terms of my lean for RB. As much as one can predict with the Pats I think we see a James White game and I think we’ll see it early, Belichick knows there is a gap in offensive firepower and he might try to get up quick in an attempt to control the tempo and using White is his best option from a passing perspective. But it is the Pats, I am as much in the loop as you are. One very under the radar guy who is high risk but can set you apart from the crowd is Damiere Byrd. He didn’t get targeted once but he out snapped both Harry and Edelman and if they need to push the ball downfield he’ll need to be involved and he’s dirt cheap for salary savings.

Flex Plays: Julian Edelman, N’keal Harry, James White, Damiere Byrd, Cam Newton

Captains (Chalk): Cam Newton, Julian Edelman (Low Owned): N’keal Harry, James White

Seahawks:

This one is much easier in my opinion. While Bill Belechick’s specific schemes always vary his goal is the same. Taking the top one or two options, I think for Bill that means DK Metcalf and Russell Wilson‘s running ability. While I think you can tool around with any of the offensive weapons the three I’ll have the most of is Tyler Lockett, Chris Carson, and Russell Wilson. Wilson doesn’t need to run, it’s just an added benefit so he’s firmly in the bulk of my lineups. Additionally, David Moore Hauled in 3 of 3 targets so he is worth a look as a value option so long as Dorsett is not ready to come back from a foot injury and Greg Olsen is still as consistent as ever no matter who is throwing him the ball. It is only a matter of health for him, not skill.

Flex: DK Metcalf, Russell Wilson, Tyler Lockett, Chris Carson, DK Metcalf, David Moore, Greg Olsen (if Phillip Dorsett sits)

Captain (Chalk): Russell Wilson, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett (Low Owned): Greg Olsen, Chris Carson

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 9.20 Patriots at Seahawks. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS SUPER BOWL Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

5 years ago

written by

The NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 8 Monday Night Showdown which is the fourth time he has won it the past five contests.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me, I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS SUPER BOWL Showdown Picks

It may seem obvious but on FanDuel you want the highest scoring player in the MVP slot. On Draftkings it is different, you want the best value. These picks were made with Fanduel pricing.

MVP: Patrick Mahomes ($16,000 FD) Quarterbacks are normally what wins it at the MVP spot on FanDuel and we have one of the best in the game playing. I wish I had a “cute” top pick for MVP, but I do not. Although I expect the 49ers offense to be on the field more here, Mahomes moves the ball when he gets a chance. The San Fran D is tough, but not unbeatable. Mahomes has a great receiver in Hill, a top TE in Kelce and also has a big pass catching weapon coming out of the backfield in Damien Williams. He in all likelihood will be the highest scoring player on the slate. Reminder, this is for FanDuel. On DraftKings I would likely pay down.

MVP Pivot: Tyreek Hill ($12,000 FD) Besides, Damien Williams, Hill has the best potential for multiple touchdowns which is what you are going to need if Mahomes isn’t the MVP. Sometimes he let’s us down, but sometimes he goes off. He is simply too fast and I am certain Andy Reid has a couple deep routes all lineup up for him.

MVP 2: Raheem Mostert ($13,500 FD) If you want a SanFran player for your MVP spot it is Raheem Mostert. You can run on KC much easier than pass on them. I am also a believer that the 49ers plan this week is run the football and keep Mahomes off the field. This game should be close in my opinion, which means more ground game for the scareltt red and gold.

If you are considering taking a 49ers receiver for MVP you might as well take Jimmy G. I like him a lot better on DraftKings.

Flex Options: Listed in order of preference

Damien Williams ($14,000 FD) I feel like he has trouble running the ball here, but will do his job in the pass game. He has been steadily producing all playoffs and will be a big part of the KC offensive game plan.
Deebo Samuel ($8,500 FD) Hello underpriced Deebo. I love him this Sunday. He is “arguably” there best receiver on the 49ers and lately he has been getting involved with the run. He has a 14 yard rush prop and is one of my favorite players to get in the end zone. He is on my main lineup.
Jimmy Garoppolo ($14,000 FD) His latest stats are frightening. But this is the Super Bowl and he is the quarterback of the team that I THINK will win. He is a better play on DK where he is way underpriced. On Fanduel he is not a priority for me largely due to being the third highest priced option. I am making multiple lineups and will have some Jimmy G, just not a ton.
George Kittle ($11,500 FD) He has a much easier matchup at the TE position than Travis Kelce, so if I can only fit one it is going to be Kittle.
Emmanuel Sanders ($10,000 FD) Big game playmaker in a big game. If you go the route of him and Samuel (or Kittle) you have just committed to a 49ers stack and you need to highly consider play Jimmy G with them two receivers/TEs. This will not be my route, but it makes sense if you are heavy on the 49ers pass atack.
Travis Kelce ($12,500 FD) I prefer Hill but will have some Kelce as well. I have mentioned it before, you do not want them both on the same team.
Robbie Gould ($9,000 FD) A steady kicker. He is a better play on DK, but I will have some on FanDuel.
Kendrick Bourne ($7,000 FD) One of my sweetheart receivers this year. I won a showdown with him earlier this season and will be over weight on him this Sunday. He is just as likely to get a redzone target as Deebo or Sanders and he is cheaper. I know he will not get the volume as the other two guys, but all it takes is a big play or two.
Mecole Hardman ($6,000 FD) Way too cheap. Great salary saver.
Harrison Butker ($9,500 FD) Chiefs kicker
Demarcus Robinson ($6,500 FD) I prefer Hardman, but Robinson has shown some promise this season. He is capable of catching a big pass or two. I like pairing one of these cheap receivers with Mahomes.
Kyle Juszczyk ($6,000 FD) Much better play on DK where he is $1,200. Desperate play on Fanduel, but he is on the field quite a bit. He is a guy targeted in the redzone and used in the pass game out of the backfield. If Coleman is struggling to participate in the pass game, Kyle might get his number called more.

Punts:

Tevin Coleman ($10,000 FD) I just can’t get to him much in this spot at this price. He is dealing with a nagging shoulder injury, and I know he is going to play, but the question is will he be effective enough to pay off 10K? I don’t think so.
Matt Breida ($7,500 FD) Perhaps my favorite Milli Maker play because he is SO boom or bust. IF Coleman is struggling, AND Breida gets hot, the 49ers should keep him in. In the first playoff game it was Coleman for the 49ers, in the second it was Mostert, what will happen in the third? I’ll take some shots on Breida.
Ross Dwelley ($5,500 FD) Kittle is in a great spot, but that means Dwelley is too. This is a punt play that could get a 0, but if Kittle has to come off the field for any reason then Dwelley will be sitting in the weeds, waiting to attack.
Darwin Thompson ($6,000 FD) I’ll have one on a team that doesn’t have Damien Williams in a Dooms Day scenario.
Jeff Wilson ($5,000 FD) He might get one crack at the end zone. Even if he scores from the one yard line, I don’t think it will be enough to win a million dollars, which I plan on doing.

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5 years ago 0 comments

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Week 17 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

Brandon C. Williams 5 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

Week 17 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 8 Monday Night Showdown which is the fourth time he has won it the past five contests.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 17 Sunday Night Showdown Picks

It may seem obvious but on FanDuel you want the highest scoring player in the MVP slot. On Draftkings it is different, you want the best value. These picks were made with Fanduel pricing.

MVP: Jimmy Garoppolo ($15,000 FD) I think the 49ers win and Jimmy G spreads it around like normal to his receiving core, meaning it’s unlikely that one receiver gets targeted in the redone more than another (which means the receivers are less likely to put up enough point to be an MVP on FanDuel.

MVP 2: Raheem Mostert ($13,000 FD) You can run on the Seahawks and Mostert is the lead back and has looked fantastic the past month.

MVP3: George Kittle ($14,500 FD)

Flex Options:

Rusell Wilson ($14,500 FD) He just has looked off lately. I don’t want him at MVP against the San Fran D. But he is the quarterback and most likely to lead the Seahawks in offensive fantasy points.
Emmanuel Sanders ($10,000 FD) Big game playmaker.
Deebo Samuel ($10,500 FD) Steady for the 49ers, shouldn’t kill you.
DK Metcalf ($9,500 FD Bounce back spot from last weeks disaster, I like him better than Lockett because of the price
Tyler Lockett ($12,500 FD) Boom or Bust territory these days, but a talented receiver non the less.
Robbie Gould ($9,500 FD) I can see Gould connecting on a few attempts here if the offense stalls in the red zone and/or it’s a low scoring game.
Jacob Hollister ($8,000 FD) Too cheap for his role in offense. Like.
Kendrick Bourne ($7,000 FD)
Jason Myers ($9,000 FD) Seattle kicker, I think the Seahawks struggle today and won’t need him much towards the end of the game.
Ross Dwelley ($6,000 FD) Too cheap
Marshawn Lynch ($9,500 FD) I would be shocked if they didnt use him in the redzone. We have not seen him play for a year. Not sure what to expect, but the opportunity will probably be there for a TD.
Travis Homer ($11,500 FD) Seahawks starting RB. Will be involved in the pass game. A little pricey though and Lynch and Turbin will be worked in.
Tevin Coleman ($6,500 FD) Cheap with upside if he gets involved in pass game like we are accustomed to seeing with Coleman.
Matt Breida ($7,000 FD) The volume is not there for him, but if he gets in the end zone once he pays off (wishful thinking). Still, not high on him.

Punts:

Robert Turbin ($7,500 FD) He is going to get on the field, but I doubt he gets more than four or five attempts unless he gets some chunk yardage.
David Moore ($5,500 FD) Boom or bust. Wilson gives him a couple shots each week for a big play. At 5K it think him or Jaron Brown is worth a shot.
Jaron Brown ($5,500 FD)
Nick Bellmore ($8,500 FD) His price is ridiculous for his role in the offense. Punt or no play.
Dante Pettis ($5,000 FD) If I make 150 lineups, he might be on three

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5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 16 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Ertz On Top

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for our Week 16 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win!

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Week 16 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. DAL

FD($6,900) DK ($6,000)

The price continues to rise, and now he’s the mostexpensive TE on both sites. I might stay away from him in a few of my GPPs becauseof what promises to be relatively high ownership, but I’m locking him into cashgames.

Darren Waller, OAK vs. LAC

FD($6,500) DK ($6,100)

We nailed Waller last week as he exploded for 10-122-0 and was the top-scoring TE despite failing to reach the end zone. This week we could see him snag a score along with his normal smattering of 6-10 targets/catches and 50-100 yards. He’s a solid play in all formats.

Week 16 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. JAC

FD($6,000) DK ($4,400)

The price is very reasonable on both sites, and it almost lookslike a mistake on DK. Hooper has immense upside and we know that teamssometimes Julio Jones – forcing Hooper into more targets. The Jags defense is afar cry from the unit it was in 2018, and Hooper could go off in Week 16 in asneaky good spot.

Mark Andrews, BAL at CLE

FD($6,500) DK ($5,900)

Andrews seems to fly under the radar every weekin GPPs, mainly because there are so many ways for the Ravens to beat you andfolks don’t want to tie their hopes to a TE when so much of their success on thelegs of Lamar Jackson. Andrews is risky, to be sure, but he’s got 25-point upsideand saw eight targets in the Week 4 loss to Cleveland. He’s also pretty cheapon DK.

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. OAK

FD($6,100) DK ($4,700)

Henry is a huge risk in DFS, as he goes through serious scoringdroughts and is typically a boom-or-bust GPP play – and this week is no different.I’m willing to take the chance in Week 16 because the Raiders are among the worstat defending TEs.

Week 16 DFS Tight End PuntPlays

Jacob Hollister, SEA vs. ARI

FD ($5,700) DK ($4,200)

Death, taxes and playing TEs against the Cards. That’s what the Hollister play boils down to in Week 16. I don’t love the price on FD, but he does have 15-20 point upside in the matchup.

Kaden Smith, NYG at WAS

FD($5,100) DK ($3,200)

The Giants will be without Evan Engram once again, so Smithshould maintain an expanded role on offense over the Giants’ final two games.He’s without the monster upside f his fellow receivers, but he’s affordable onDK and could get you 10-15 points.

Additional Week 16 DFS GPP andpunt options:

JaredCook, NO at TEN (FD $6,600, DK $5,000) – GPP only

TaysomHill, NO at TEN (FD $5,200) FD GPP only since he’s a QB on DK

DallasGoedert, PHI vs. DAL (FD $5,900, DK $4,200) – GPP only

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. CIN (FD $5,300, DK $3,600) – GPP punt

TylerEifert, CIN at MIA (FD $4,700, DK $3,200) – GPP punt

Week 16 DFS DST Cash GamePlays

Baltimore Ravens (BAL at CLE)

FD($4,500) DK ($4,000)

The Ravens could be thetop defense of Week 16 in all formats, but they’re especially attractive incash games against a Browns offense that’s thrown in the towel for 2019 and isprone to multiple turnovers.

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT at NYJ)

FD($4,900) DK ($3,900)

Pittsburgh’s DST is a juggernaut in DFS and has just two games this season where they’ve not reached double digits. The Jets? They’re still the Jets, possibly even more so now that 2019 is basically “in the tank.”

Week 16 DFS DST GPP Plays

Denver Broncos (DEN vs. DET)

FD($5,000) DK ($3,500)

You’re getting a discount on DK and the Broncos unit will be happy to face a less formidable opponent, as they’ve been tested the past five weeks up against the Chiefs, Texans, Chargers, Bills, and Vikings. They’re playable in cash or GPP.

Seattle Seahawks (SEA vs. ARI)

FD($4,400) DK ($3,700)

The unit has its flaws, but the opponent turns theball over quite a bit. I’m liking the price on both sites and the Seahawks havethe ability to turn this game into more of a defensive slog than the Cards areused to.

Week 16 DFS DST PuntPlays

New Orleans Saints (NO at TEN)

FD($3,800) DK ($2,700)

The Saints are a huge bargain on DK at just$2,700 and could see higher ownership with Derrick Henry looking doubtful toplay this week. I’ll have plenty of shares in GPPs, and they may even be cashviable despite their recent struggles.

Washington Redskins (WAS vs.NYG)

FD($3,800) DK ($2,800)

The Giants could always do some scoring, which means the Redskins can’t be used in cash games, but I like the price and what promises to be low ownership in GPPs. Jump aboard and take the risk.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 12 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Waller World

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for our Week 12 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate, focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you take it down!

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Week 12 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

Darren Waller, OAK at NYJ

FD($6,200) DK ($5,700)

Waller’s price has risen on DraftKings, but dropped a few hundred on FD – but that’s just minutiae. After a seven-target week and another 7-78-0 tacked onto his season total (56-666-3), we’ve got to see him as a solid cash game pick in a week without many sure things. He’s a much-matured player now, has a relatively safe floor and has plenty of upside against the Jets.

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. SEA

FD($6,100) DK ($6,000)

It’s a concern that his price jumped $1K on DK, but he’s coming off back-to-back 11-targets weeks, is looking a lot more like his old self and silencing his critics. I’m not going to overthink my cash game TEs this week. I think Waller and Ertz are the best options unless you’re paying down for a bargain like Mike Gesicki (more on him later).

Week 12 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Ryan Griffin, NYJ vs. OAK

FD($5,600) DK ($4,200)

Last week I mentioned that Griffin gets no respect in theDK pricing algorithm, and it’s been corrected – kind of. He’s still a solid GPPplay on both sites and has as much upside as any TE this week, coming off a5-109-1 game in Week 11.

Jared Cook, NO vs. CAR

FD($6,000) DK ($4,500)

Cookhas a difficult matchup in Week 12 facing the Panthers, who defend TEs quitewell. He’s not my favorite choice this week and his price is a little too highon FD, but his ownership will likely be restricted to Saints stacks, and that’sa good way to get exposure to him in GPPs.

Jacob Hollister, SEA at PHI

FD($5,100) DK ($4,300)

Coming off two big performance then a Week 11bye, Hollister’s price has shot up to $4,300 on DK, but I think he’s worth it.I’m, not convinced he’s a great cash game play just yet, but he’s certainly gotthe upside to make him a solid GPP play (10-62-1 in Week 10 at SF).

Greg Olsen, CAR at NO

FD($5,100) DK ($4,100)

Olsen had just five targets last week but he went for 5-57-0. If he can have another day like that and add a TD, he’ll be in good shape. This game could get high-scoring (45.5 total), so the game script could help his cause, and Olsen is a target that Kyle Allen trusts.

Cameron Brate, TB at ATL

FD($5,400) DK ($3,600)

The Bucs are playing games with us. Brate was targeted 14times in Week 11, hauling in 10-73-0. He’s on my list of GPP plays because of thematchup and the obvious upside, but I’ll limit my exposure when I feel like I’mgetting toyed with.

Dallas Goedert, PHI vs. SEA

FD($5,200) DK ($3,700)

I wouldn’t play Goedert with Zach Ertz, but they both havesolid matchups this week against Seattle. He’s actually been more consistentthan Ertz over the past week weeks, so he’s another cash game option if you’dprefer not to spend up, but I’ll be focusing on him in GPPs because he’s scoreda TD in three of his last four games and has two-TD upside this week.

Week 12 DFS Tight End PuntPlays

MikeGesicki, MIA at CLE

FD($5,000) DK ($3,400)

Gesickihas been solid, and if the Dolphins are serious about beating the Browns, they’llbe using him. Joe Schobert is questionable, the Browns defense is missing someimportant defensive line components, and Gesicki is an athletic, big-play orientedTE who’s been woefully underutilized. He’s had six targets in each of the lastthree, but that’s just not enough. We could see a 10-target game for him in Wek12, and I’ll be way ahead of the field on my ownership in GPPs.

TylerEifert, CIN vs. PIT

FD($5,000) DK ($3,100)

Eifert’s price is stilldown and he’s probably going to see more usage in Week 12 against a Steelersdefense that ranks 28^th in the NFL against TEs. He’s probably dependenton a TD to be worth using in GPPs, but he did see 9 targets and haul in 6-74-0in Week 9 against the Rams, so he’s got some upside.

Additional Week 12 DFS GPP andpunt options:

BenWatson, NE vs. DAL (FD $5,300, DK $3,100) – GPP

JonnuSmith, TEN vs. JAC (FD $5,300, DK $3,600) – GPP

NoahFant, DEN at BUF (FD $5,100, DK $3,900) – GPP

O.J.Howard, TB vs. NO (FD $5,000, DK $3,300) – GPP

BlakeJarwin, DAL at DET (FD $4,500, DK $2,900) – Punt

FosterMoreau, OAK (FD $4,700, DK $2,800) – Punt

Week 12 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

Chicago Bears (CHI vs. NYG)

FD($5,000) DK ($3,700)

The Bears, with theirability tot get to the QB, have to be one of the top plays of Week 12 in allformats. Daniel Jones, for as good as he’s looked, is a fumbler. He fumbles theball over and over, and he’ll be in that position on Sunday, likely dodgingBears lineman and being forced into bad throws.

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT at CIN)

FD($5,000) DK ($4,000)

The Bengals are terrible and the Steelers DST has been one of the most productive units in DFS. They had a bad week against the Browns, but are in an excellent spot for a rebound in Week 12.

Week 12 DFS DST GPP Plays

Buffalo Bills (BUF at DEN)

FD($5,000) DK ($3,400)

It’s not my favorite thing to go after the Broncos in Mile High, but the Bills should be up to the task of stopping this mediocre offense and creating some turnovers by their inexperienced QB. They are a consensus top-five pick DST in Week 12.

Detroit Lions (DET at WAS)

FD($5,000) DK ($3,100)

This is a great matchup on paper, but the Lions could be down some key defensive players in Week 12 (Trey Flowers included), so my use of them will be restricted to GPPs, with the possibility of multiple Dwayne Haskins gaffes still lurking as a distinct possibility. Get some shares in tourneys.

Oakland Raiders (OAK at NYJ)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,600)

The Raiders defenselooks better every week, and the Jets can get a little silly with the turnovers,as you all know. Clelin Farrell and Max Crosby make a mean defensive end combo,so Sam Darnold better be on his toes.

Week 12 DFS DST PuntPlays

Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC atTEN)

FD($4,200) DK ($2,800)

I’m not looking at too many punts this week for DST, but the Jags make my list. They’ve had a couple of bad losses over the past couple weeks and will likely come out pretty fired up in this divisional matchup. I’m not sold on Ryan Tannehill, and if they can contain Derrick Henry to a relatively pedestrian day, we could see some results.

Seattle Seahawks (SEA at PHI)

FD($4,100) DK ($3,600)

The Seattle DST is massivelyunderpriced, especially against an Eagles team that’s missing so many of its offensivecomponents. I’ll have some shares of them in contrarian GPP stacks using Jacob Hollisterand Chris Carson (without Russell Wilson).

5 years ago 0 comments

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