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Will Joshua Dobbs save your #nflfantasyfootball Season? Week 11 is upon us and there’s alot of action on the wire. Julia Papworth is here to break down ownership percentages and strategies for adding players to your team!
We have finally reached one of my favorite slates of the season. Five games, solid matchups and clear plays, doesn’t get much better than that! Let’s get into the 10/25 NHL DFS slate!
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10/25 NHL DFS Centers
Auston Matthews (FD $8,400 | DK $7,700) – With Tavares sidelined with a finger injury Matthews is set as the clear cut top center and will face off against the San Jose Sharks, who are on the second half of an away back to back, only two days removed from a flight with a three hour time difference, so jet lag has to set in.
Jack Hughes (FD $4,600 | DK $5,000) – This year’s first overall draft pick is finally getting his time to shine with an injury to top-line center Nico Hischier. Hughes is slotting in on the top pairing and the top power-play unit alongside superstar Taylor Hall. If Hischer returns to the top line Hughes loses a bit of value tonight.
Honorable Mention: Jack Eichel
10/25 NHL DFS Wingers
Victor Olofsson (FD $6,300 | DK $5,600) – The Swedish rookie has made quite an impression to start the season, absolutely lighting it up for the Sabres through 11 games. He has already posted six goals, all of which came on the man advantage, as well as three assists. Olofsson is also seeing top-line minutes and playing alongside top talent in Eichel and Reinhart. Given the small slate he’s a must have.
JT Miller (FD $5,800 | DK $6,100) – Miller is coming off a strong two-assist performance against the Red Wings’ last game and will get an opportunity to improve upon his record in his last five against a tired Washington side, which last night blew a 3-1 lead against the Edmonton Oilers. Miller has recorded five points in his last five games (3 goals, 2 assists)
HM: Tom Wilson, Nick Schmaltz
10/25 NHL DFS Defensemen
Jake Muzzin (FD $4,300 | DK $4,400) – Muzzin has been steadily averaging over 20 minutes of ice time a game and has posted four assists in his last four appearances. On top of that, he will play against the aforementioned tired San Jose side. As far as Leafs defensemen go Muzzin is a bargain.
John Carlson (FD $7,300 | DK $7,100) – Carlson has maintained his scoring touch but that comes with a price. Carlson has been in the upper echelon in terms of offensive defensemen and recorded another assist last night against the Oilers, extending his point streak to nine games, along with seeing 25 minutes of ice-time. He now has five goals and 13 assists through 12 games and has posted 29 shots and 25 blocked shots, truly a spectacular stat line. Given that he played last night, exercise caution but Carlson is the real deal, a true stud defenceman.
HM: Rasmus Ristolainen
10/25 NHL DFS Goalies
10/24 NHL DFS Goalies
Thomas Greiss (FD $7,700 | DK $8,100) – Greiss will enter the Canadian Tire Centre tonight with a two-game winning streak and give Ottawa’s abysmal offence, he figures to improve to a three-game winning streak. Ottawa ranks 5th worst in the league for goals, the bottom of the league in power-play conversion and 6th worst in shooting percentage. The Isles are sixth-best in the league and third-best on the slate in goals-against average.
Jacob Markstrom (FD $8,300 | DK $7,700) – Markstrom will be looking to extend his four-game winning streak tonight against the tired Capitals and despite the inherent risk with playing a goalie against the high flying Capitals top line, Markstrom has been scary consistent, allowing exactly two goals in each of his last five contests, with over 30 saves in his last four. Vancouver is tied for the lowest goals-against average in the league. Given the high volume of saves and the low number of goals against, Markstrom is a “safer” pick in goal tonight.
HM: Linus Ullmark
10/25 NHL DFS STACKS OF THE NIGHT
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 – The Sharks have been averaging 3.4 goals allowed per game and 32.4 shots per game. Aside from being tired after playing against the Canadiens last night the Sharks will be icing a goalie with a 3.46 GAA and a .894 Save Percentage along with a weak 2-4-1 record, with neither win coming on the road for an away record of 0-3. Given the Leafs are averaging 3.64 goals per game, this may not have been the homecoming Marleau is hoping for.
HM: New Jersey Devils 1, Buffalo Sabres 1
10/25 NHL DFS Game Stacks
Washington vs Vancouver – We’re going for the late game for today’s recommended game stack. Although, it doesn’t seem like a game stack is ideal for tonight’s slate this would probably be the best fit as both teams have potent and affordable offences and take a lot of shots.
10/25 NHL DFS Punts
Josh Bailey (FD $5,400 | DK $5,100) – Bailey has been finding the back of the net as of late with two goals and two assists in his last three games. Along with playing on the Isles top line, the Winger also appears on the top power-play unit and last game played a whopping 19 minutes of ice time. Bailey’s usage figures to be rather low but against the Sens, he can be the spark plug the Isles need to walk away from this matchup with two points.
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The Leafs allow a lot of shots to get past their defence, 33.7 to be exact, good for 5th worst in the league. Luckily for them steady Freddy has been just that stopping a vast majority of pucks coming his way. Unfortunately the same cannot be said for Martin Jones and he may get peppered this game but I don’t see him having a strong performance against the Leafs. Take the over on saves for Andersen and the under on saves for Jones
Hey everyone, we’re back with another edition of the Daily Hot Shot here at Win Daily! Tonight, we have two NHL games for the main slate. We’ll do a quick game-by-game breakdown followed by locks, punts, defensemen and goalies. Remember: for two-game slates it may be acceptable to play skaters against your goalie but its never advisable unless it’s in an attempt to create a variance.
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Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators – Ottawa is in serious trouble this season. If they’re not careful they could quickly become the league’s laughingstock with an 1-7-0 record thus far. Tonight’s game will be Ottawa’s most “winnable” matchup since the start of the season as both teams are looking to end lengthy losing streaks. Neither goalie is particularly good in this matchup and I can see this one getting ugly for both sides fast. I have skaters on both sides of this matchup in play.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Given that the Pens lost to the Panthers last night and now have to take a bus up to Tampa Bay, this definitely isn’t their ideal situation. Tonight will be the second half of a back-to-back and the Pens will start backup goalie Tristan Jarry, who is 1-1 to start the season but overall hasn’t found much success at the NHL level.
Pittsburgh has also had its fair share of injury trouble to begin the season with four top-six forwards and one top-four defenseman on the disabled list. For Tampa Bay, tonight represents a pristine opportunity to set their season on the right track against a team that’s back peddling. The Bolts threw their lines in the blender, which has provided us with excellent value plays littered throughout the slate and increased the number of viable targets tonight.
10/23 NHL DFS: Locks of the Night
1. Nikita Kucherov (FD $8,400 | DK $7,500) – Last season’s MVP, Kucherov has picked up right where he left off with eight points in eight games to start the season. Now that he is off that pricey top line, he is much more stackable with affordable pieces that complement him on even strength. Against Jarry, Kuch can do some damage.
2. Anthony Mantha (FD $6,400 | DK $6,800) – Despite not maintaining his electric start to the season, Mantha has still regularly produced offensively for the Red Wings and has been averaging just under 20 minutes of ice time per night.
Tonight, the Red Wings are facing off against Craig Anderson, who has proven yet again to be one of the worst starters in the league, not that backup Anders Nilsson is doing too much better. Expect Mantha to get on the board tonight.
3. Brady Tkachuk (FD $5,200 | DK $6,300) – Tkachuk is Ottawa’s clear cut best forward and despite the fact that I don’t think Ottawa will take this one, Brady will at least give them a fighting chance. Brady is averaging around 19 minutes per game and appears on the top power-play unit. Although his team has been atrocious defensively, his opponents haven’t done much better, with Detroit allowing more goals per game than Ottawa through nine games.
If this becomes a true barn-burner, Tkachuk will have to get involved in the scoring.
Honorable Mention: Steven Stamkos
10/23 NHL DFS: Punts of the Night
1. Anthony Cirelli (FD $4,500 | DK $5,000) – As mentioned earlier, Tampa Bay’s lines hit the blender, which placed Cirelli alongside the aforementioned Nikita Kucherov. Cirelli has been able to find the scoresheet with four assists in eight games while averaging around 18 minutes of ice time per game. Alongside Kuch, I can see this number go up. Again, Tampa Bay will be facing a tired squad with a backup tendy at their own barn.
2. Vladislav Namestikov (FD $5,200 | DK $5,000) – Since being acquired from the Rangers, Namestikov has been one of Ottawas top performers, despite not playing on Ottawa’s top line. Against Jonathan Bernier, Namestikov should be able to light the lamp but I remain cautious without stronger line support.
3. Mathieu Joseph (FD $3,600 | DK $4,800) – Joseph has tallied three points this season despite only averaging around 12 minutes per game. That ought to change as the new lines pair him alongside Steven Stamkos. The young winger still poses a significant risk but is very affordable and easily stackable with the former first overall pick.
HM: Connor Brown
10/23 NHL DFS: Defensemen of the Night
1. Filip Hronek (FD $3,900 | DK $4,600) – Hronek has been playing crazy minutes for the Wings this season and has put points to show for it with a goal and three assists through nine games. Hronek is extremely affordable and pairs well alongside Detroit’s pricey top line. Of course, the Craig Anderson effect may result in Hronek ending up on the score sheet.
2. Thomas Chabot (FD $5,300 | DK $6,200) – Probably Ottawa’s only capable defenseman, Chabot anchors the team’s top line and the top power-play unit, posting on average, almost 27 minutes of ice time each night. To his credit, Chabot is leading Ottawa’s defenseman in points with six in eight games.
The real draw to Chabot, however, is his peripheral stats. Chabot has been averaging around two blocked shots and three shots per game, adding to his DFS total at the end of the night
3. Kevin Shattenkirk (FD $5,700 | DK $5,100) – A bit of a stealth pick here, Shattenkirk is experiencing a bit of a renaissance this season with the Lightning. Through eight games, Shattenkirk has put up four goals and three assists while averaging around 21 minutes of ice time per game. Shattenkirk will find himself with Tampa’s second power play unit and will find ice time with the top three stars as well.
HM: Kris Letang
10/23 NHL DFS: Goalies of the Night
1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (FD $8,500 | DK $8,000) – Despite a weak performance in his last start, it seems to be nothing more than a blip on the reigning Vezina winner’s radar. Vas will be up against a tired and broken Pens team and should face his fair share of shots, but will be able to secure a win tonight.
2. Jonathan Bernier (FD $7,200 | DK $7,500) – I honestly can’t believe I am recommending Bernier, but that is what a two-game slate against Ottawa has brought us to. Bernier has been mediocre this season but has still shown flashes of his true self. The only thing going for him tonight is his opponent.
Besides the fact that the Sens are on a four-game losing streak, Ottawa has one of the worst goals per game averages, only just slightly better than the Stars, who are last in the category. To their credit, Ottawa has averaged a fair amount of shots per game but has trouble finding the back of the net. In this case, that benefits Bernier, who happens to be a super GPP play, even to the point where a punt or two against him may work.
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This report will provide favorite positional picks, stacks, and power play units for the 10/20 NHL DFS four-game slate.
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**Exercise caution on these smaller slates, very little room for error and very heavy chalk. Due to size of slate players listed will be limited to two per position.
Adam Henrique (ANH) – Calgary Flames take on the Anaheim Ducks on the second leg of a back to back. Anaheim is coming off a day of rest, and at home. They are a top six team in terms of scoring differential, only allowing a GAA of 1.75. In five out of nine games this season, the Calgary Flames have allowed four or more goals. Adam Henrique has been a top contributor for the Ducks and has tallied five goals on 22 shots, one assist, and seven blocks.
Connor McDavid (EDM) – McDavid serves on the third best scoring team in the NHL through eight games. They average close to four goals per game and allow a GAA of 2.38. A big part of what has made the Oilers so great eight games into the year is their league best 41.7% Power Play percentage. Connor McDavid has five goals on 22 shots and 12 assists through five games this season.
Honorables -Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM), Nicklas Backstrom (WSH)
Rickard Rakell (ANH) – I like to have correlation in my lines and Rakell comes in at a great salary in comparison to his performance this season. He has three goals on 28 shots and three assists. Rakell ice time is trending upward and is projected to serve on the first unit, so hopefully he will see around 20 minutes tonight.
T.J. Oshie (WSH) – Oshie has provided a fairly safe floor through eight games, with single digit fantasy performances in only two of them. Chicago is currently allowing three goals per game and I think the Capitals will do even more damage than that. Oshie has six goals on 21 shots, 2 assists, and four blocks through nine games this season.
Honorables – Jakob Silfverburg (ANH), James Neal (EDM).
Oscar Klefbom (EDM) – I think you kind of get the gist of where I’m going with this Edmonton team tonight. They are my favorite Power Play unit on this short slate and I will look to get a four man stack in most of my builds. Klefbom is projected to serve on the first PP unit and is a top defensemen. He has one goal on 18 shots, eight assists, and 17 blocks through eight games.
John Carlson (WSH) – The four time All-Star defender is off to a very hot 2019-20 campaign. He has three goals on 14 shots, 14 assists, and 19 blocks. He is averaging 25 minutes of ice time and has scored two game-winning goals already this season.
Honorables – Darnell Nurse (EDM), Hampus Lindholm (ANH)
John Gibson (ANH) – Gibson comes in as the highest priced goalie on the slate, but is well worth the spend. He is 4-2 heading into tonight’s game and carries a strong .942 SV%. The All-Star goalie will look to continue his strong play against a Calgary team on a back to back.
Mikko Koskinen (EDM) – The Winnipeg Jets are slight favorite over Edmonton, but I have to give the edge to Edmonton tonight. Their strong power play performance and modest 2.38 GAA has me convinced Edmonton will leave Winnipeg with the win tonight. Koksi has a .934 SV% and has yet to register a loss this season.
Honorables – Braden Holtby (WSH)
Edmonton Oilers – FL#1: Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Darnell Nurse
Washington Capitals – FL#1: Niklas Backstrom/T.J. Oshie/John Carlson/Alex Ovechkin
Honorables: Anaheim Ducks FL1, Winnipeg FL2
Edmonton Oilers – PP#1: Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Darnell Nurse/Oscar Klefbom
Tom Wilson (WSH), Michal Kempny (WSH), Zack Kassian (EDM), Alex Chiasson (EDM), Drake Caggigula (CHI).
Connor McDavid – Five Goals, 12 Assists, 17 Points : Predicting one goal and two assists for McDavid against the Jets.
John Carlson – Three Goals, 14 Assists, 17 Points in 2019. Predicting Carlson to have one goal and two assists against the Blackhawks.
Leon Draisaitl – Six Goals, 10 assists, 16 points. Predicting one goal and one assist for Draisaitl against the jets
All three of the plays I listed above are averaging over two points per game.
The weekend is finally upon us! We have a nine-game Saturday Night Slate to dig into tonight. There are some interesting value plays and other strong options do discuss. Let’s take a look!
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10/19 NHL DFS Centers
Alexander Kerfoot (FD $4,600 | DK $3,600) – Kerfoot has gotten an upgrade to the second line for tonight’s matchup with Tavares being sidelined with a finger injury. He is set to see an increase in ice-time and will play alongside Mitch Marner during even strength.
Sean Couturier (FD $6,900 | DK $5,700) – Has averaged 20 minutes a game centering the top line and second power play unit. Couturier has two assists in his last two games and has racked up 11 shots. Couturier pairs well alongside Konecny and Provorov
Honorable Mention: Christian Dvorak
10/19 NHL DFS Wingers
Reilly Smith (FD $5,900 | DK $6,000) – Despite his strong performances, Smith’s price hasn’t gone up too high and he is still a great fit for most lines. The top-line winger has goals in each of his last three games and will be facing off against a Pittsburgh team that will be starting their backup in the second half of a back-to-back. You won’t get a much better value play under 6K especially not while seeing 20 minutes of ice time.
Nick Schmaltz (FD $5,000 | DK $5,400) *Arizona 2 Chalk* – Schmaltz’s price has also remained reasonably affordable despite his recent strong performances. Despite the fact that he is seeing limited ice-time he has still managed to put up seven points in his last four games, one of which came on the power play on Arizona’s second unit. Arizona will also be up against one of the worst goalies in the league in Anderson. If Schmaltz will have any chance of continuing his recent success it will be tonight against the lowly Sens.
HM: Oskar Lindblom
10/19 NHL DFS Defensemen
Mark Giordano (FD $6,700 | DK $6,700) *Calgary 1 Chalk* – Giordano is in one of the best defensive spots on the slate and is well worth the high price tag. The former All-Star sees a majority of Calgary’s defensive minutes and has recorded three points in his last two appearances. He is also known for accumulating high levels of both shots and blocked shots and being a strong presence on Calgary’s top power-play unit. Not to mention he will be up against one of the league’s worst starters tonight in Jonathan Quick.
Ivan Provorov (FD $4,700 | DK $4,900) – Provorov has had a strong start to the season with three points in his first two games. Despite a slight drop in production as of late, the Flyers defenseman will average around 23 minutes of ice time per game and is capable of accumulating both shots and blocked shots. He is also a very stackable defenseman and will be playing against a Dallas side that is on the second half of a back-to-back.
HM: Shea Theodore, Mackenzie Weegar
10/19 NHL DFS Goalies
David Rittich (FD $8,200 | DK $8,100) – Big Save Dave is going up against a much weaker opponent in the Kings, who are currently in the midst of a three-game losing streak. The Kings also have an extremly low goals per game rate considering how many shots they are putting on target. Rittich is also coming off two stellar one GA performances and put up 36 saves in his last game against the Kings.
Antti Raanta (FD $7,500 | DK $8,200) – Raanta is a salary saver option in goal tonight and consider he’s facing off against the Ottawa Senators, who are among the league’s worst in goals per game average, along with a power-play conversion rate of zero. The dangers in front of Raanta tonight do not resemble his last start against the Avalanche, which ended with a goal from Burakovsky in OT. He will have a much stronger appearance tonight at home against the Sens, who have yet to win an away game.
HM: Carter Hart
10/19 NHL DFS Punts
Calle Jarnkrok (FD $3,600 | DK $3,300) – Jarnkrok is still too cheap to ignore and has put up four points in his last four games. He will be seeing increasing amounts of ice-time now that he is on the top line and will be facing off against Florida backup Montembault as the Panthers are on the second half of a back-to-back. Jarnkrok is also very stackable as his linemate Johansen is also very reasonably priced, especially on FanDuel.
Patrick Marleau (FD $4,700 | DK $4,600) – Marleau has recorded three points in his first three starts since returning to the Sharks and has consistently averaged around 15 minutes a game on San Jose’s top line. He is also stackable alongside his linemate Timo Meier or could work as a one-off punt. Not to mention, he will appear on San Jose’s second power play unit.
10/19 NHL DFS Optimal Game Stack
Buffalo Sabres 1 – San Jose Sharks 2 – Both teams currently have hot offenses and hot power plays along with risky goaltending and shaky defensive cores. Not to mention they are both affordable together and have high implied totals with the Sharks edging out slightly higher. The O/U is currently set at 6 but it wouldnt surprise me if this game surpassed it. As San Jose are favored at home, however, they are facing the league’s seventh-best offence.
HM: Boston Bruins 1 – Toronto Maple Leafs 2
The NHL has presented us with a Thursday night, nine-game slate. We will go for a position by position breakdown tonight. There are some intriguing plays and strong stacks to consider, let’s get into it!
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10/17 NHL DFS Centers
Mika Zibanejad (FD $7,600 | DK $7,800) – He will highlight the top line of the Hudson River Rivalry that is set to take place tonight. Unfortunately for the Devils, they have yet to win a game this season. They are giving up the second-highest goals allowed per game in the league at 4.5 goals allowed, keeping them steadily in the last place. In just three games, Zibanejad has scored eight points (four goals, four assists), giving him the highest points per game this season by far.
Paul Stastny (FD $5,400 | DK $6,200) – Member of the biggest line lock of the night, Stastny and Company will be going up against the lowly Sens, who are settling at third-last in the league with one win and four losses to start the season. With the game in Vegas, Ottawa will need a prayer and that might not even do it. Stastny’s price has remained relatively cheap despite being on the highest producing line on his team and bagging six points in his last three games (three goals, three assists).
Honorable Mention: Sean Couturier
10/17 NHL DFS Wingers
JT Miller (FD $5,600 | DK $4,700) – Miller has been on fire to start the season and has proven to be one of the Canucks’ best offseason pickups. Miller leads the team in scoring given that he scored six points in his last three games (three goals, three assists). Miller has been averaging around 18 minutes of ice-time per game but given his recent performances, it wouldn’t be a surprise if that increased. Not to mention he appears on the Canucks deadly top power-play unit. Finally, Miller will be playing against the Blues, who have had a rather mediocre start to the season and have coughed up a fair amount of goals, 3.33 per game to be exact. I wouldn’t be surprised if Miller got on the end of one of them.
David Pastrnak (FD $8,500 | DK $7,500) – Pastrnak is simply an elite winger, if you’re looking for a low-owned play with a safe floor Pastrnak is your guy, as he leads the Bruins with 10 points in six games, followed by his linemates Marchand and Bergeron. Last game, Pastrnak lit up one of the league’s best in John Gibson for four goals en route to his team’s 4-2 win over the Ducks last Monday.
HM: Nick Schmaltz
10/17 NHL DFS Defensemen
Alexander Edler (FD $5,800 | DK $6,300) – Vancouver’s lead power powerplay defenseman has registered four points in his last three games and has averaged a whopping 25 minutes of average ice-time throughout the season. It is clear coach Travis Green has faith in the veteran Swede and given the leakage, the Blues have been prone to thus far this season, Edler holds value as a stack option alongside the Canucks’ top line (Miller, Pettersson, Boeser)
Jacob Trouba (FD $5,800 | DK $6,000) – Much like his teammate, Zibanejad Trouba hit the ground running in his first three games of the season with a goal and three assists while averaging 24 minutes of ice-time per game. Trouba carries a price tag on the higher end but works well in a Rangers stack alongside Buchnevich, Panarin and Zibanejad, given that they all play together on the Rangers top power play unit.
HM: Shea Theodore, Ryan Ellis
10/17 NHL DFS Goalies
Pekka Rinne (FD $8,700 | DK $8,000) – Rinne is a perfect 4-0-0 to start the season and will have one of the best offensive teams in front of him with a CF% of 51.48. The Preds also lead the league in goals and have the sixth-highest shots per game total in the league. Rinne will be pricey but if you’re looking for a safe play between the pipes Rinne is the way to go.
Carter Hutton (FD $8,500 | DK $7,800) – Hutton has been as good as Rinne if not better. He too holds a perfect 4-0-0 record and holds an extremely low 1.74 GAA. The Kings shoot a lot but don’t turn the offensive production into goals nearly enough, as they are currently hovering around the middle of the league in goals per game while posting the second-most shots on goal per game in the league. Furthermore, the Kings have started the season on the back foot with a 2-4-0 record and look to be starting Jonathan Quick, who holds an abysmal stat line at 0-3-0, a GAA of 6.44 and a Save Percentage below .800.
HM: Alexander Georgiev
10/17 NHL DFS STACKS & CASH PLAY OF THE NIGHT
Vegas Golden Knights 2 – This line should be an auto-lock tonight. Stat-wise this line is far and away the most intriguing option and with that will come the super high ownership, especially in cash. This is the good kind of chalk and given the price of some of their player such as Stastny and Theodore, they are surprisingly stackable with other strong options tonight.
HM: New York Rangers 1 (Zibanejad, Panarin, Trouba), Buffalo Sabres 1 (Reinhart, Eichel, Olofsson)
10/17 NHL DFS Game Stacks
Vancouver vs St. Louis – Both of these teams are very offensive-minded, with both teams averaging over three goals a game. The optimal game stack would be Vancouver’s top line alongside St. Louis’ second line, and alternatively their first line. Statistically, these two teams are very evenly matched and this game could turn into a shootout.
10/17 NHL DFS Punts
Calle Jarnkrok (FD $3,600 | DK $3,500) – Jarnkrok will be playing on Nashville’s top line and although Kuemper has had his moments to start the season. The Preds are leading the league in goals with 4.67 per game, one of which came from Jarnkrok last game. Over his past three games, Jarnkrok has had four assists and has steadily been seeing an increase in ice-time each and every game. If Forsberg is held out of tonight’s contest the winger will be set to see even more ice time. The fact that he plays on the Preds’ top power play unit only adds to his value.
Quinn Hughes (FD $4,000 | DK $3,700) – Quinn has had his moments this season but has largely been overshadowed by the success of his defensive teammate Alexander Edler. In a pinch, Hughes still provides excellent value as he has registered three points in his first five games while averaging 20 minutes of ice time per night and playing on the Canucks second power-play unit. Hughes is the future of Vancouver’s defensive core and will definitely be in the mix when considering low owned Canuck plays tonight. Hughes pairs well alongside Tanner Pearson.
HM: Sean Walker
Hope everyone had a good DFS Weekend and a happy belated Thanksgiving to all our Canadian readers. Tonight we are presented with an seven-game 10/15 NHL DFS slate, so let’s get underway.
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10/15 NHL DFS Centers
Auston Matthews (FD $8,800 | DK $8,100) – Clear cut chalk of the night, unavoidable nonetheless. It looks like the Wild, who played in Ottawa last night, will be icing their starter Devan Dubnyk, who has held a GAA of 4.55 and a save percentage of .862. Not to mention that the Leafs have been averaging four goals a game (fourth in the league) and 35.2 shots per game (fifth in the league) with Matthews (6G, 1A) as their lead scorer. Matthews can’t stop putting the puck in the net and I doubt he’d spoil a golden opportunity to pad his stats.
Paul Statsny (FD $5,100 | DK $5,100) – Although the Golden Knights and the Predators are fairly evenly matched at first look, the stats tell a different story. While Vegas has been relatively good at keeping the puck out of their net, the same cannot be said for the Preds, who are averaging 4.2 goals against per game, tying them for third worst in the league along with the aformentioned Nashville Predators. Both the Preds and Golden Knights find themselves at the around top of the league in both goals scored and shots on goal per game. Vegas in particular has benefitted tremendously from the production of their second line, centered by Paul Statsny, with Max Pacioretty and Mark Stone on the wings.
Honorable Mention: Sean Couturier
10/15 NHL DFS Wingers
Andrei Svechnikov (FD $5,500 | DK $6,400) – A goal and seven assists in six games. This has truly been a tremendous start for the young winger. Svech will get an opportunity to improve his stats tonight at home in PNC against a shocking goaltender in Jonathan Quick, who in three games has allowed 19 goals for a 6.44 GAA and a .793 SV%. Carolina is a strong target tonight in general and given the strong start from the phenom he will be a prime option tonight at his price.
Patrik Laine (FD $8,000 | DK $8,000) – I wish he was just a little cheaper since he has been playing so well it would be great to be able to fit him with more great options in tonight’s slate. Laine has been leading his team with 11 points in just seven games, earning a move to the top line in the process. He will be up against solid goaltending in Antti Raanta but Laine is just too talented and will get the better of his countryman. His price (and his linemates’ prices) turns me off a bit given the risk but will be well worth it as a GPP play
HM: Oskar Lindblom
10/15 NHL DFS Defensemen
Ivan Provorov (FD $4,700 | DK $5,400) – Provorov has been seeing anywhere from 22-25 minutes in Philadelphia’s first three games, averaging a point per game in those contests. Provorov is the most stackable defenseman in tonight’s slate as he pairs well with both top lines on the Flyers. Last season, Provorov’s stats took a dip, however, given his hot start this season, there is no reason why he can’t reach the pace he set seasons prior. Not to mention, the Flames do give up a lot of goals and Provorov will be on the second power play unit.
Quinn Hughes (FD $4,300 | DK $4,000) – Hughes is beginning to hit the stride that was expected of him at the start of the season, with three points in four games, leading the Canucks defensemen in scoring. He has been averaging over 20 minutes a night and will be facing off against a weak defensive side in the Red Wings while skating on the second power play unit.
HM: Rasmus Andersson
10/15 NHL DFS Goalies
Frederik Andersen (FD $8,600 | DK $8,400) – The fact is the Wild just havent been scoring this season, residing among the bottom of the league in goals per game. The Leafs have been allowing goals in bunches but given their high favorability tonight it look like the Leafs are set to put on a clinic in front of the hometown fans
Petr Mrazek (FD $7,600 | DK $7,900) – Carolina is heavily favored in tonight’s matchup and given Mrazek’s price he will be a hot commodity tonight. With a perfect 5-1 record the surging Canes hold one of the leagues better goals against average, while also letting in a moderate amount of shots. The teams are tied in Corsi leading them to have similar offensive production to this point, but the Canes have the edge in both Fenwick and Shooting For Percentage.
HM: Connor Hellebuyck, Thatcher Demko (First start of the season)
10/15 NHL DFS STACKS
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 – This is the most stackable line in the slate and given that they will be up against some atrocious goaltending they ought to have high ownership. This line has had slightly better production than Torontos top line and at a much more affordable price. I like two-player stacks from this line for cash (Matthews with one of his wingers) and possibly a three-player stack from this line in a GPP (Matthews, Johnsson and Nylander)
HM: Carolina Hurricanes 2 (Svechnikov, Staal, Pesce)
10/15 NHL DFS Game Stacks
Tampa Bay vs Montreal – Both teams have strong offensive production and have had shaky goaltending from their “well-established” starters. Both have high implied totals and given that Montreal is a little undervalued its is possible to game stack this matchup. Tampa’s top line is the only one I’d consider stacking in this game and there is some leeway with Montreal as their top line as well as their third line both look suitable in a game stack. Given current point totals I’d give the edge to Montreal’s third line, take into account that Montreal’s top three lines generally see similar minutes as the talent is spread out around the roster.
10/15 NHL DFS Punts
Erik Haula (FD $5,500 | DK $5,800) – On top of facing off against garbage goaltending, Haula has truly been spectacular this season. With five goals in six games, he has truly made a statement on Carolina’s third line, his production raises the value of his linemates Necas and Dzingel and his performance has earned him a spot centering Carolina’s second powerplay unit alongside Svechnikov and Hamilton. With a 27.8% shooting percentage (not gonna last) he is well worth the price.
Ilya Mikheyev (FD $4,100 | DK $4,000) – Mikhevey has been another standout third liner this season and will also be facing shaky goaltending tonight. While averaging around 16 minutes of ice-time per night Mikheyev has found himself with five goals through the Leafs first six games along with a goal and an assist last game against the Red Wings. The Gagarin Cup finalist has had success plying his trade in the NHL and at his price he is worth the risk.
HM: Sean Walker, Anthony Mantha
10/15 NHL DFS Cash Plays
Auston Matthews – See Above ^^
Dougie Hamilton (FD $6,200 | DK $6,700) – Everything is appealing about Dougie, except for his price. It makes it difficult to fit in other high quality options, however in a cash situation Hamilton is more than optimal in a two-player stack with someone like Haula or Svechnikov. Dougie leads all Canes defensemen in scoring and is tied for the lead in overall team scoring with four goals and four assists, while seeing around 23 minutes of ice time per game. As mentioned previously, Carolina will be facing off against some less than satisfactory goaltending and hold one of the highest implied goal totals of the slate.
This report will provide favorite positional picks, stacks, and power play units for the 10/13 NHL DFS three-game slate.
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**Exercise caution on these smaller slates, very little room for error and very heavy chalk. Due to size of slate players listed will be limited to two per position.
Mark Scheifele (WPG) – Winnipeg is the obvious chalk for this evenings short slate, as they carry the highest implied scoring total (3.50) Scheifele has one goal, seven assists, and four blocks through five games this season. Winnipeg is a top three team in terms of shots on goal (200) through five games this season, so FL1 and FL2 should see plenty of opportunity.
Sydney Crosby (PIT) – Crosby has been an animal through five games. He has two goals, four assists and three blocks and will have face the Winnipeg Jets who allow more shots on goal than any team in the league through five games (211).
Honorable Mention: Tomas Hertl (SJS), Max Pacioretty (VGK)
Mark Stone (VGK) – This Vegas line provides some relief across the board so you can spend up on defense. Mark Stone has two goals, four assists, and two blocks The LA Kings allow the highest GAA in the NHL at 5.25 through four games, so these Vegas lines should see plenty of opportunity.
Kevin Labanc (SJS) – The main reason I like Labanc on this slate is the Power Play lineup for San Jose. They rank fourth in the league in PP opportunity (20) but have yet to cash in. They face a Calgary team that has allowed four PP goals in five games. LaBanc has one goal on the year but is averaging three shots a game. If the San Jose PP unit can get some decent ice time tonight I think Labanc can pay off easily.
Honorable Mention: Blake Wheeler (WPG), Matthew Tkachuk (CGY).
Brent Burns (SJS) – Just go ahead and hit the lock button on Burns. He has 21 shots on goal through five games, two goals, three assists, and three blocks. He has averaged over 26 minutes of ice time in the 2019-20 season and a lot of that has to do with the Power Play opportunities. Calgary has allowed the fifth most shots on goal (172) through five games.
Kris Letang (PIT) – Letang has provided a very safe floor of around 17 fantasy points per game through his first five games. He has one goal on 14 shots, three assists, and five blocks. He also serves on PIT PP1 and they have seen the third most opportunities (21) in 2019.
Honorable Mention: Erik Karlsson (SJS), Shea Theodore (VGK)
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) – Hellebuyck is off to a nice start in 2019. He carries a 3-1 record and is averaging over 30 fpts per game. He had a very solid outing in his first game against PIT where he stopped 37 of 38 shots with one goal allowed. Hellebuyck carries a .937 SV% through five games and will face a Penguins team that is averaging just over two goals per game.
Honorable Mention: Malcolm Subban (VGK)
Winnipeg Jets – FL#1: Blake Wheeler/Mark Scheifele/Josh Morrissey
Vegas Golden Knights – FL#2: Max Pacioretty/Mark Stone/Shea Theodore
San Jose Sharks PP1: Logan Couture/Brent Burns/Tomas Hertl/Kevin Labanc
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