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San Francisco Giants

MLB DFS Aces and Stacks (June 30)

Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Friday and that means we have a full slate of evening games. MLB has blessed us with a 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. At first glance though, pitching is extremely underwhelming on this late. It lacks a clear ace and even the mid-level arms have clear risk. This slate does however present us with a decent amount of stacking options.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Osvaldo Bido vs. Milwaukee Brewers

If you just watched the Mets/Brewers series 2 things should be clear. The Mets are bad and have little heart. They’ll play out the string the rest of the year and will probably lose 90 games. The other thing that is clear is that the Brewers offense is also very bad and we can attack them with pitchers often. I plan on doing that tonight with Osvaldo Bido. Bido so far in his young has shown some strikeout upside.

And what is king in MLB DFS? Strikeouts. Through his first 3 starts, Bido has struck 18 hitters. He’s had at least 5 k’s in each start. With a matchup against a team in the Brewers that is striking out more than 25% against righties, I don’t see any reason to think that Bido can’t get us at least another 5 strikeouts and at least 15-20 DK points.

Bobby Miller vs. Kansas City Royals

The young Bobby Miller is coming off 2 extremely poor starts. In those starts, Miller gave up a combined 13 ER. Not ideal for someone that we’re targeting. That said, I really like this spot as a bounce-back spot for Miller tonight. The Royals aren’t a good team. If we look at what they’ve done vs. righties this season, it’s been pretty bad. They have a 24.5% K rate vs. righties and an OPS below .670. They also have a sub .300 wOBA.

All 3 numbers scream struggles and because of that, I really do believe that Miller bounces back tonight and puts up a similar outing to the 4 previous outings before the 2 blow-up games. In those outings, he had over 20 DK points each. Look for him to get back on the right side of the ship and have a dominant outing vs. a bad team.

Other pitchers I like today will be James Paxton vs. Toronto (risky though), Bryan Hoenig vs. Atlanta (also risky), and Shane McClanahan vs. Seattle.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Matthew Liberatore

The St. Louis Cardinals have been one of the more disappointing teams in all of baseball this season. Midway through the season, the Cardinals are 14 games under .500. Things won’t get any easier tonight as they’ll throw out Matthew Liberatore vs. the Yankees. Liberatore has pitched very poorly this season. Over the past month, he’s allowed a 6.06 ERA. That number actually matches his xFIP so he’s performing as expected.

Magically, Liberatore has only allowed 2 homers in his last 16 innings of work. This is all despite having a 40% flyball rate and a 40% hard-hit rate. At some point, the ball will be flying out of the park more against him. We’ll want to focus on the righties in this matchup. Righties have a nearly .400 wOBA vs. Liberatore this season.

The first 3 bats I’m going to be focused on here will be Giancarlo Stanton, Harrison Bader, and Josh Donaldson. After a sit down with manager Aaron Boone, Donaldson’s bat is coming alive. Over his last 3 games, Donaldson has 2 homers and a double. He’s also driven in 5 runs. Donaldson has a long history of battering southpaws and he faces a bad one tonight.

Stanton has been a huge disappointment this season, but his bat too is starting to come around. He has hits in 3 of his last 4 games and has extra-base hits in back-to-back games. Other bats I’ll want to include in this stack are going to be DJ LeMahieu, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Rizzo. The Cardinals got destroyed last night and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it happen again tonight.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cookie Carrasco

I hope I’m wrong here but the Giants have a great opportunity tonight to put up a lot of runs. The Mets will turn the ball over to Carlos Carrasco tonight. This season has been a huge struggle for him. Over the last month, Cookie has allowed an ERA of 5.56. He’s also allowed 6 homers over the 22 innings worked in June. He’s been struggling, the Mets have been struggling, and the Mets bullpen has been struggling.

It all adds up to the Giants having a monster night tonight at Citi Field. Righties have actually been the downfall for Cookie this season as they have a .422 wOBA vs. him and a .308 ISO. Both numbers are much higher than lefties have against him.

Knowing that I’ll start my Giants stack with Thairo Estrada, J.D. Davis, and Austin Slater. All 3 of these guys have been extremely competent vs. righties this season, with Slater being the best. Slater has a .419 wOBA vs. righties this season and he’ll be a priority for me in this stack. Just because we like the righties here doesn’t mean we ignore the lefties.

I’m also very interested in guys like LaMonte Wade in the leadoff spot, Joc Pederson, and Blake Sobel. Pederson has done a nice job cutting down on strikeouts vs. righties this season and also has a .238 ISO vs. them. This is a great spot for him tonight and his teammates.

Other bats I like tonight will be the White Sox vs. Luis Medina, Tigers vs. Austin Gomber, and Angels vs. Tommy Henry (Ohtani goes deep, again).

MLB DFS Summary

Tonight’s going to be a tricky slate. Pitching is very watered down and some of the top stacks have a lot of risk. I doubt I’ll be straying from the players I mentioned here.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 10)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Wednesday and that means day baseball! We have ourselves a nice-looking 9-game slate of MLB DFS this afternoon. This slate offers a little bit of everything. Solid arms and bad arms will be plentiful.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Clayton Kershaw vs. Milwaukee Brewers

We’re going to dial back the clock a bit and go with Clayton Kershaw. He’s facing off against a Brewers team that has been dreadful vs. lefties this season. This afternoon’s projected lineup for the Brewers has a strike-out rate over 28% vs. lefties on the year and has done little in the way of power as they have a .123 ISO and a .281 wOBA. This is a great spot for Kershaw today to rebound from his rough outing vs. the Padres. Look for Kershaw to have a monster day today.

Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Cleveland Guardians

Eduardo Rodriguez is having a really nice bounce-back year after a pretty poor 2022. Over the last month, Rodriguez has an ERA under 1 and a strikeout rate of over 27%. When hitters have been making contact against him, it’s been mostly weak contact as they have only a 23% hard-hit rate.

He’ll be facing a disappointing Guardians lineup. This is also a lineup that has really struggled vs. lefties this season. They have just a .635 OPS and .281 wOBA. This is a spot where Rodriguez should continue his dominating run.

Other arms that I’ll be interested in today will be Christian Javier vs. the Angels and Merrill Kelly vs. Miami.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Kyle Muller

If it’s not broken, don’t fix it. The Yankees so far have put up 17 runs during the first 2 games of this series. With Kyle Muller on the mound, there’s no reason to think they’re going to slow down today. Muller has been bad. Over his last 6 starts, he’s given up at least 4 ER in 5 of them. The one time that he didn’t was against a below-average offense in the Reds.

In his last 23 innings of work, he’s allowed 11 barrels and 5 homers. Just a dream scenario for the Yankees this afternoon. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits in this one because his numbers have been neutral.

While Aaron Judge will be the main draw here, I’m going to look to prioritize getting three of his teammates into my lineup today. Those guys are Anthony Rizzo, Gleyber Torres, and Harrison Bader. These 3 have been tearing the cover off the ball of late. In last night’s 10-run outing, they combined for 7 hits, 6 RBI, and 5 runs scored. All 3 of them have also been hitting lefties extremely well this season.

I won’t talk you out of playing Judge today, but make sure you also get these 3 into your lineup. With it being against A’s today, anyone that makes the lineup today for the Yankees is in play. Full stack here

San Francisco Giants vs. Josiah Gray

Josiah Gray hasn’t pitched poorly this season but this game today just doesn’t set up well for him. He’s a flyball pitcher pitching in a stadium that’s expected to have 20 MPH winds today blowing out to center field. Those flyballs that haven’t been leaving the ball will have some extra giddy-up on them today if they enter that wind.

The Giants have also been fairly powerful vs. righties this season. The Giants projected lineup today has a .219 ISO vs. lefties. If you combine the power of the Giants and the wind and Gray’s flyball tendencies, there’s the potential for some damage today.

The bats that I want here are going to be LaMonte Wade, Thairo Estrada, and JD Davis. Wade has been really good vs. righties this season, with a .411 wOBA and a .234 ISO. He’s set up to do well today. I also really like Estrada here. He’s been one of the more consistent Giants bats of late. Over his last 25 AB, he has 8 hits and has combined for 9 runs and RBI. He’s pricey at $5.5k but in a great spot.

I can also be talked into playing Joc Pederson and possibly Michael Conforto. Conforto is a little lost at the plate right now but has a ton of power and can easily take Gray deep today.

Other stacks I’m interested in today will be the A’s vs. Jhonny Brito, the Nats vs. Sean Manaea, and potentially the Tigers vs. Peyton Battenfield. With the A’s, a complete game stack of the A’s/Yankees game is very much in play. The cheapness of the A’s will counteract the costly Yankees bats and Brito just hasn’t been good.

MLB DFS Summary

We’ve got a lot of day baseball today and that normally means we really need to keep an eye on lineups today. Things can get wonky on day games after night games. The Yankees will 100% be my building blocks today.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 7)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

Thanks to some questionable forecasts for storms yesterday, we have a really nice afternoon slate of baseball. What was supposed to be a 4-game slate, has turned into a 6-game slate. Those 6-games should be a ton of fun to both watch and play some MLB DFS on. Pitching is on the blah side but we have some good matchups and also some great spots for offense.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zack Wheeler vs. Cincinnati Reds

The Phillies were one of the teams that pushed back their home opener to Friday, giving us a great matchup for Zack Wheeler against the Cincinnati Reds. In Wheeler’s first outing of the year, he faced a much tougher task with the Texas Rangers. Although he gave up a handful of runs, he also struck out 7 in just 4 innings of work. This Reds lineup is a much weaker lineup (sorry Jimmy) and one that should help Wheeler get back on track and have one of the more dominant outings that we’ve grown accustomed to.

Alex Cobb vs. Kansas City Royals

Through their first 7 games of the season, the Kansas City Royals have scored 17 runs. They are part of just a handful of teams that still haven’t gotten out of the teens in terms of scoring runs. Outside of the top 3-4 hitters on this team, they are nothing more than a AAA lineup at best. It’s going to be a long season for Royals fans in 2023.

With Cobb, we have someone that had a decent start to the year. Facing a much tougher Yankees lineup, Cobb went into the fourth inning striking out 6 and giving up just one run thanks to a homer by Giancarlo Stanton. Cobb is a groundball pitcher and if he can combine his strikeouts with his groundball tendencies, he should be able to thoroughly dominate this weak Royals lineup today.

Hunter Green vs. Philadelphia Phillies

This is a wild card pick today. The Phillies haven’t yet looked themselves this season. They’re just 1-5 through 6 games and like the Royals, they are one of the handful of teams to currently have less than 20 runs scored on this young season. Do they have a strong lineup? Yes, but it’s also one that’s banged up.

This is a matchup that Greene could potentially really excel in. Last season, he had a 35% k rate vs. lefties compared to just 26.5% vs. righties. He’s going to face a lineup today that potentially has 5 lefties in it. He’s going to give up some damage, but the fastball-throwing Greene has a high strikeout capability today.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Dean Kremer

The Yankees get one of the best matchups on the board today as they take on Dean Kremer. Kremer struggled in his initial outing vs. Boston, giving up 5 ER in just 3 innings of work and also allowing 2 homers. Hitters had a nearly 55% hard-hit rate vs. him and a 64% flyball rate. What a deadly combo to give up! If he’s as hittable today vs. the Yankees, the Yankees can put up a massive number vs. him and the Orioles’ bullpen.

Core: Any Yankees stack needs to start with Aaron Judge. He’s got home run potential in every at-bat and with a flyball pitcher on the mound, that potential goes up exponentially. He’s already up to 2 bombs, look for him to add at least a third one to his total today. I also really like Gleyber Torres here. Torres has been one of the Yankees’ better bats to start the 2023 campaign. You could argue he’s been their best bat so far. He’s not only putting up numbers at the plate, but he’s also up to 5 stolen bases. In this new era of MLB, stolen bases have become more of a common occurrence. A homer and a stolen base aren’t out of the question from Torres today.

Secondary: Other bats we’ll want to target here are going to be Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Rizzo, DJ LeMehieu, and Oswaldo Cabrera. A full stack of the Yankees is very much in play, with 4 as my preferred number. They should all be able to get to Kremer today.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Clarke Schmidt

A complete game stack of the game in Baltimore today is very much in play. Schmidt had a little bit of a rough go at it in his first outing vs. the Giants. While he was able to strike out 5 in just a little over 3 innings of work, he also gave up 2 bombs and 3 ER. Hitters had a 50% hard-hit rate vs. him and had 3 barrels. A nearly 1:1 ratio of barrels to innings pitched is one I like to see when stacking against a pitcher. He’s going to have his hands full with a very good Orioles lineup today.

Core: This Orioles lineup has been exceptional to start the year. If they had good pitching, they’d be in a much better spot. My core with the Orioles today will be Austin Hays, Jorge Mateo, and Cedric Mullins. All three of these guys have started out the year extremely strong. Mateo has shown both power and speed to start the year. He’s already banged 2 homers while swiping 4 bags. He’s always a risk to get a 0, but he’s also someone that has extreme upside thanks to his speed/power combo. Mullins is also in the same boat as Mateo. He’s shown power and speed to start the year.

Secondary: Other bats that will round out my Orioles stack today will be Adley Rutschman, Ryan Mountcastle, and Gunnar Henderson. Rutschman has really cooled off since his opening day 5-5 game, but he’s one of the top young bats in the game and can go off at any time. My favorite of the secondary bats is Ryan Mountcastle. He’s been hitting the ball extremely well.

San Francisco Giants vs. Brad Keller

The Giants get a great matchup today vs. Brad Keller. Keller is an average at-best pitcher who has back-to-back seasons with an ERA over 5. In his initial outing this season vs. the Twins, Keller did strike out 5. He also walked 4 and gave up 5 hits in just over 4 innings of work. That equates to a WHIP of pretty close to 2. One of the most important things in MLB DFS is targeting pitchers that put guys on. A WHIP of 1.93 is really bad, making Keller a prime target for stacking against today.

Core: My core with the Giants is going to be their left-handed power bats plus a right-handed bat. I’m going to be targeting guys like Michael Conforto, Joc Pederson, and David Villar. All three of these guys have home-run potential in this matchup. Conforto, after missing all of the 2022 season with a bum shoulder, had his breakout game yesterday. He reached base 5 times and even went deep for his second homer of the season. Expect more of that today. All three are extremely cheap today too.

Secondary/Value: I also like Mike Yastrzemski, LaMonte Wade, and Brandon Crawford. This lineup today has a ton of potential against Keller.

MLB DFS Summary

This early slate looks to be a lot of fun. We have some solid pitching plus some bats in really good spots. That Orioles/Yankees game looks juicy from a stacking standpoint.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/25 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

No weather that will likely impact play, and best hitting environments are in Baltimore, Cincinnati, Coors Field and Anaheim.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,100)

He’s the top ace of the day with a fine matchup against the Mets, and will likely be the most popular for cash games. With an obnoxious, almost unheard-of 1.58 FIP and 2.34 ERA in line with his 2.31 XFIP, Burnes is having a historic season. His 12.59 K/9 is amazing, but it’s even more implausible when we consider the 1.82 BB/9 rate. The Mets just got flummoxed by Eric Lauer last night, and now they face a pitcher with a curveball/cutter combo that’s among the best we’ve seen over the past 20 years. Lock him into cash lineups and move on.

Best GPP Play: Robbie Ray ($10,800)

Ray has had two poor starts among his last three, but his regularity in the 45-70 point range this season means he’s the best GPP play on the board against the Twins in Minnesota. We could see some portion of the field move to Burnes given the recency bias of Ray’s last start. The Toronto ace shouldn’t have too many problems with the righty-heavy Twins lineup, and although they hit fastballs well, Ray’s is among the best in baseball. Adam Strangis goes through some of the same rationales in his excellent Starting Rotation article for 9/25, and while that mainly looks at DK pricing, the thought process only affirms itself even more on FD, where you have to choose one pitcher. Ray is the best GPP option considering price and upside.

Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,000)

He’s a contrarian play based on the other two pitcher I’ve discussed, so if you really want to get different I don’t have a problem with using Lynn in large-field GPPs. For single entry I’d prefer both Burnes and Ray, but Lynn does have some upside in this matchup vs. Cleveland and still boasts ands nice 30-35 point floor because of his solid metrics (3.26 FIP and 27.8% K rate). The mases won’t be on him, so maybe he’s a good pivot in one-third to half your multi-entry lineups.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: San Francisco Giants

If we can fit these guys, I think today is one of the days we have to play them. Brandon Crawford ($3,900), LaMonte Wade, Jr. ($3,800), Tommy La Stella ($3,600), Brandon Belt ($4,300) and Kris Bryant ($4,300) and Evan Longoria ($3,700) are not cheap, but I’m hoping we can find a way to get a full four-man stack in there with a couple of value plays from the Reds and a two more (one-offs or two-man mini stack). , Mike Yastrzemski ($3,800) is day-to-day after being removed from Friday’s contest with knee soreness, so keep an eye on who starts in the outfield. We may find a player like Alex Dickerson ($2,500) in a good spot at a reduced salary.

GPP Value Stack: Cincinnati Reds

This just feels like a Reds day facing Erick Fedde, and they’ve got good hitting weather, a hittable pitcher, and a lineup peppered with enough value plays that will let us spend at SP without much discomfort. I’m looking at four-man combinations of the following hitters: Joey Votto ($4,100), Nick Castellanos ($3,800), Max Schrock ($2,100), Jonathan India ($3,500), Tucker Barnhart ($2,200), Kyle Farmer ($3,300) and T.J. Friedl ($2,100). And that’s in order of priority.

GPP Value Stack #2: Seattle Mariners

Angels SP Jaime Barria has an xFIP over 5.00, and we have a slew of relatively inexpensive hitters from both sides of the plate who match up well in this spot. Prioritize the 1-5 hitters, especially J.P. Crawford ($3,000), Ty France ($3,000) and Mitch Haniger ($3,600) and mix in guys like Jake Fraley ($2,000) and Abraham Toro ($2,400) if you’re tight on salary.

Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Chicago White Sox, Baltimore Orioles

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 09/14

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 12 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day.

Let’s dig in to tonight’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Gerrit Cole ($11.4k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – If we get a full clean bill of health on Cole before the game tonight he becomes the clear SP1 on the night. Even with his poor outing against the Blue Jays last week Cole still has a 36% strike out rate over the past month. All of his metrics are separate him from his peers.

He has the highest CSW of any pitcher tonight, the lowest xFIP, and one of the lowest swinging strike rates. He gets a great match up vs. a poor Orioles team. While the Orioles have been better of late vs. righties, they’re still striking out more than 25% of the time vs. righties over the last month. Again, if we know Cole is healthy tonight, he’s my clear SP1.

Lucas Giolito ($9.8k) vs. Los Angeles Angels – This is another pitcher with a questions mark surrounding his health. Gio is expected to come off the IL tonight after a short stay. If we get confirmation that he’s a full go with no limitations I’m going to give him a serious look. He gets as good of a match up as there is tonight against strike out prone Angels team.

Over the least 30 days the Angels are striking out nearly 28% of the time vs. righties. The only guy in this lineup that isn’t striking out much vs. righties is Fletcher but if we look at his other numbers, we should be fine letting him put the ball in play as he has a .176 wOBA against righties over the last month.

Gio’s main put away pitch is his changeup. If it’s on tonight he has a chance to have a ceiling type game. If we look at the Angels projected lineup tonight it’s a pitch that they struggle with. They all have high whiff rates.

Nathan Eovaldi ($10k) vs. Seattle Mariners – Eovaldi has been on a roll of late. Over the last month his 30% K rate is second only to Cole of the pitchers on the mound tonight. Eovaldi is going to face a lefty heavy lineup. The projected Mariners lineup tonight should have 7 lefties in it.

As we look into the Eovaldi’s splits, this is in his wheelhouse. Over the past 30 days he’s striking lefties out at a 33% clip and has held them to a .255 wOBA. He’s going to throw lefties his curveball almost a third of the time tonight, similar to what he did to dominate the Rays last night. In looking at the Mariners lineup the majority of them have whiff rates over 30% to this pitch. This has the makings of another solid Eovaldi outing tonight.

I’m staying in the upper tier of pitchers tonight. The pitchers in the mid to low tiers all look awful on paper and we could make a strong case to stack against all of them.

MLB DFS: The Bats

San Francisco Giants vs. Jake Arrieta – You have to think at this point we are seeing the last few stats of a pitcher that had a very solid career. The last few years have been a big struggle for Arrieta, with this year being his worst by far.

On the year he has a 5.21 xFIP and just a 17% K rate. Once an extreme groundball pitcher, Arrieta is giving up one of the highest fly ball rates of his career this year at 31%. This match up vs. the Giants is as bad of a match up as Arrieta could have. Arrieta relies heavily on his sinker. This Giants lineup is extremely solid vs. sinkers.

The guy I’m targeting first here is Brandon Crawford ($3.4k). On the year he has a .741 slugging % and .515 wOBA vs. sinkers. I’ll be building around Crawford with Wade ($2.9k) and Yastrzemski ($3.3k). Both guys have slugging %’s over .500 and wOBA’s over .400 vs. sinkers this year. All three guys stand a chance to smash tonight.

Houston Astros vs. Jordan Lyles – Lyles is a favorite of mine when it comes to stacking against in DFS. He provides what we need, homers. Over his last 30 innings of work he has given up 9 homers. That’s just an absurd number and one we want to chase tonight.

Lyles is someone that is pretty poor against both sides of the plate so I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits here. My hope is that the Astros play it safe with Brantley and sit him for another game. They have a 6.5 game lead so I don’t see them rushing him back. If he sits and Jose Siri ($2k) plays tonight he becomes a free square.

This isn’t about chasing his performance from last night. It’s about what he unlocks with the rest of the lineup. He frees up salary for guys like Alvarez ($3.6k), Bregman ($4.2k), and Tucker ($3.4k). All three of those guys are the guys hitting righties the hardest now and would be the core to my Astros stack. The Astros will probably be chalky tonight, but we have a full slate of games and ownership should be more spread out.

Washington Nationals vs. Jesus Luzardo – I’m looking to the Nationals again tonight for some value. Let’s start with the match up and then we’ll get into pricing later. Luzardo has not been good with the Marlins. Over the last 30 days he has a near 5 xFIP and is giving up hard hits and fly balls more than 35% of the time. He’s also walking a ton of batters with a 4.68 BB/9.

I really only want to focus on the righties in the Nats lineup. Luzardo has a near 70% GB rate vs. lefties and I really don’t want any part of that. What I do want is a part of the 45% fly ball rate he’s giving up to righties over the last 30 days. The guy I repeatedly look at for value and continues to be under priced is Lane Thomas ($2.3k). He’s near min priced and since 8/31 he has 9 games with at least double digit FD points with just one goose egg. He’s also been extremely solid vs. lefties with a .308 ISO and a .600 wOBA against them over the last 30 days.

Other value plays I like here are min priced Riley Adams ($2k) and Carter Keiboom ($2.4k). Both guys have ISO’s over .250 vs. lefties over the last 30 days. They probably won’t win you a GPP on their own merits. What they will do though is give you enough salary relief to fit in the players that will.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

My pitching tonight is focused on the top tier. I don’t trust any one else and we’ll have enough value to fit a top pitcher and a top stack tonight. The Nats players I like fit well with either the Giants or Astros. With the NFL on a break for a few days we’re back to having some solid tournaments to play. I hope these picks help you get to the top.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Wednesday –08/25

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Wednesday edition of Aces and Bases. Tonight we have a nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. With a small slate comes a limited pool of options.

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Shohei Ohtani ($11.6k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – This is more than I’d like to pay for Ohtani but of the all the aces pitching tonight he gets by far the softest match up. The Orioles have been one of the worst teams against righties this year.

The projected lineup tonight for the Orioles has a 24% K rate against righties this year and just a .155 ISO. They’ll more than likely throw out 6 righties and that’s right in Ohtani’s wheelhouse as he has a 34% K rate against them this year.

Ohtani very well could be the highest scoring pitcher on the night. His price is the only thing holding me back from saying , “I’m all in”.

Josiah Gray ($8k) vs. Miami Marlins – My cheap arm tonight will be Gray and I doubt I look cheaper than him. Gray gets a great match up against a weak Marlins lineup. Over the past week the Marlins have not generated much offense. They have a 26% K rate and just a handful of barrels.

I’m looking here because of Gray’s swing and miss stuff. Of all the pitchers on the hill tonight only Giolito has a higher swinging strike rate than Gray over the past month. He also has a near 26% K rate over the past month.

Gray has been able to navigate his way through some really tough opponents so far with his last 3 outings against the Braves twice and the Blue Jays once. While he didn’t go completely unscathed in those outings, he did score at least 28 FD points in each of them. It will be fun to see what he can do against a mediocre lineup tonight.

Lucas Giolito ($9.8k) vs. Toronto Blue Jays – This isn’t a safe pick because it’s the Toronto Blue Jays. Wanted to get that out of the way. That said, the Blue Jays are not clicking on all cylinders right now and Dylan Cease was able to take full advantage of that last night.

Gio has been pretty good of late with a 29.5% K rate and 3.12 xFIP over the past month. The Blue Jays are a very righty heavy lineup. Gio has seen his K rate climb to 32% against righties over the last month.

The Blue Jays will see a decent amount of sliders tonight. If Gio’s slider is on tonight he should have a solid night. Up and down the Blue Jays lineup they have whiff rates over 30% against the pitch. He’s my high risk/high reward pick of the night.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Los Angeles Angels vs. Dean Kremer – I’m going right back to the well tonight with the Angels. The two names I’ve seen to be next in line to stop the bleeding for the Orioles are Chris Ellis and Dean Kremer. Ellis has only pitched in one game in the majors this year and it was against the Orioles. Outside of that he’s struggled at AAA this year.

Kremer has struggled at the major league level. With either pitcher we’ll hope to get the Orioles bullpen early as it’s overworked and bad. My main focus here as of now will be the guys hitting the ball the best.

Brandon Marsh ($2.5k) is the hottest of the bunch with a .966 OPS over the past week. He’ll be a lock in my lineup. This entire lineup will be in play tonight as they are cheap and in a great spot. Only Jared Walsh ($3k) is at $3k or higher tonight.

San Francisco Giants vs. Taijuan Walker – Boy a lot has changed for the Mets over the past 30 days! The Giants steamrolled the Mets last night and I just don’t see how they don’t’ do it again tonight.

Walker, outside of one start to the Dodgers, has been absolutely brutal over the past month. His xFIP is 5.14, his fly ball rate 46%, and his hard hit rate is 41%. The match up for him tonight couldn’t be any worse either.

Giants over the past 30 days have been crushing righties. The top of the lineup in Wade ($3.4k) and Belt ($3.1k) have really been setting the tone. They each have ISO’s over .311 against righties over the past month. They’ll be my anchors to the Giants stack tonight.

Almost Mets 3B Kris Bryant ($3.9k) and Alex Dickerson ($2.5k) have also been hitting righties hard and will more than likely close out my Giants stack. This Giants lineup is deep and against a struggling Mets team tonight will again put up a big number.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baily Ober – Ober hasn’t been awful recently, but he’s still giving up a ton of hard contact. Over the past 30 days his hard contact is above 38%. This Red Sox lineup does not lineup very well for Ober.

Ober is mostly a fastball pitcher. He throws it a ton to both sides, but even more so to lefties. The Red Sox have a handful of guys that just love hitting the heat. The guy that really comes to mind is Kyle Schwarber ($3.5k).

On the year he has a .673 slugging % against fastballs and a 61% hard hit rate. He’s my lock here. I’ll surround him with the likes of Devers ($4k) and Renfroe ($3.6k). Both guys have been crushing fastballs as well this year. Look for the Red Sox to put up another big number tonight!

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

We have a decent amount of pitching options tonight and I’ve provided my favorite in the high and medium price ranges. My favorite combo with bats is going to look very similar to last night. I’ll use a combo of Angels and Red Sox as they mesh well together and are in great spots.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/14 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Possibility for a stray shower that could cause a late start or brief delay at Citi Field for Dodgers-Mets, but other than that we don’t have to worry about much other than the usual weirdness in these trying times!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($11,500)

The price may prohibit us from getting all the bats we want, but there’s no denying that Buehler offers the safest option for cash games as long s the weather looks like it will hold prior to lock. The Mets are just about middle-of-the-road in K rate in MLB (23.6%), and Buehler’s pitch repertoire all but guarantees they’ll have trouble barreling him up tonight. From a MLB DFS perspective, there’s plenty of reason to steer away on GPPs and single-entry builds where we’d like to get some big bats, but there may be some sneaky stack value that could help us combine Buehler’s high floor with the hitting points necessary to nail down a solid cash game lineup.

NOTE: If you’re willing to assume a little more risk and need the extra savings, Joe Musgrove ($9,600) is also a viable option against a somewhat feckless Arizona lineup.

Best GPP Value: Luis Garcia ($7,900)

Garcia is woefully mispriced on FD and we’re going to take advantage in GPPs. In his MLB DFS Starting Rotation 8.14 article, Adam Strangis points out that Garcia has a great spot for production here, and that’s a DK-oriented piece where he’s actually priced at $9,900, while Buehler is just $10,600. On FD, however, we only need one SP — and Garcia’s average of 31.7 PPG (with duel season highs of 52 points coming in his last start and two of his last four starts) is a huge plus. He’s clearly our best bang for the buck against an Angels lineup that has a few bright spots but has been among the worst in the league over the past 14 days (.214/.282/.314 team slash; .264 team wOBA and 66 wRC+). Single-entry, large-field GPP — maybe even cash games — I’ll be all over Garcia tonight in MLB DFS tonight.

Contrarian GPP Play: Dylan Cease ($8,900)

The Yankees offense is very scary, but they do strike out at a 24.3% rate this season and this game will not be played in a wind tunnel Field of Dreams where any hard hit fly ball ends up in the corn. Cease is projected for over 30 FD points and he could easily exceed the 40-point mark if he can avoid the walks and big blast (he’s made big strides in 2021, lowering his BB/9% to 3.69 from 5.25 in a tumultuous 2020). He should carry low ownership against the Bronx Bombers and pitching on his home field should help a bit, as he’s posted a .267 wOBA on the South Side of Chicago, compared to .301 in road games. This is a risky play but Cease does have upside in this matchup if he can keep the Yankees off base and limit the HR damage to solo blasts.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

Taijuan Walker hasn’t been too good since the end of June, yielding a whopping .464 wOBA since the All-Star break and an almost hilarious .333/.406/.711 slash line to opposing hitters. And now, folks, he gets to face the Los Angeles Dodgers! We can focus our attention on the lefties here. making a point to include Cody Bellinger ($3,600) — who’s really been heating up — along with Corey Seager ($3,200), Max Muncy ($3,700) and finish off our four-man stack with RHB A.J. Pollock ($3,100), who’s still relatively cheap. Trea Turner is also worth a look, but he’s expensive at $4,000, and if Albert Pujols ($2,200) starts he’ll be a bargain.

GPP Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

I profited quite a bit from having almost 100% of Austin Slater ($2,500) and Wilmer Flores ($3,000) last night in the late slate contests, and we want to take advantage of their soft prices and crazy splits against LHP again tonight, as they’ll be facing Rockies SP Kyle Freeland, a southpaw with a .364 wOBA (and nine HR allowed this season in 52.0 total IP) against right-handed batters. Throw in cleanup hitter Darin Ruf ($2,700) and (future HOFer?) Buster Posey ($3,300) and you’ve got a solid and inexpensive four-man stack, viable for cash or GPP. 3B/OF.UTIL eligible Kris Bryant is also worth a look and makes sense to mix in if you can afford him at $3,900, and we have another cheap option in Donovan Solano ($2,500), who’s having an excellent second half (.307/.381/.453).

GPP Stack #2: Houston Astros

The Astros could also be popular tonight, and I’m fine starting my builds with Michael Brantley ($3,000), Yordan Alvarez ($3,900), Kyle Tucker ($3,200) and GPP wunderkind Aledmys Diaz ($2,700). Sure, we can squeeze in Jose Altuve ($3,800) if we can afford him and there’s no reason to bet against Carlos Correa ($3,500) and value option Chas McCormick ($2,300) if he gets into the lineup. Angels SP Jaime Barria has been decent since returning from Triple-A in late July, but this Astros lineup is just too good at making contact and barreling up baseballs. Don’t forget to mix in a stack or two in your GPPs.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 08/03

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

To our surprise, we actually have some pitching options today. We have a couple of ace level pitchers hoping to rebound, but what I’m most excited about is some of the pitchers we’ll get to attack tonight.

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Zack Wheeler ($10.7k) vs. Washington Nationals – Wheeler gets a rematch against the Nats after a little bit of a shaky outing last go around. He struck out 5 in that one but also gave up 3 ER and took the loss. This time around he’s going to get a very different Nats team.

The majority of the “damage” done in that game came from Josh Harrison and Yan Gomes. They are gone though and this match up tonight for Wheeler should be a much easier one.

While his K rate has been down over the past month, he’s being doing a great job of really limiting hard contact as he’s giving up more soft contact than hard. Wheeler has also been a bit unlucky as his BABIP is at .360. Look for Wheeler to be the top pitcher on the slate tonight.

Dylan Cease ($8.3k) vs. Kansas City Royals – I normally don’t make it a habit of picking on the Royals as they are stingy team that doesn’t K much. In the past week only 7 teams have struck out at a higher rate than the Royals.

With the Royals starting to struggle a bit I want to see if we can attack them. In looking at how Cease matches up with the Royals, I think we can. Royals have a very righty bat heavy team. Cease throws his slider more than 40% of the time vs. righties.

Merrifield has a 47% GB rate to the pitch, Perez has a 43% whiff rate, and Dozer has a near 50% whiff rate. This is a solid spot for a pitcher that’s in pretty good form of late. Over the past 30 days Cease has a near 30% K rate. If his slider is on tonight he’s going to give us a ton of upside and value.

Sean Manaea ($10k) vs. San Diego Padres – This is my high risk/high reward pitching pick tonight. Of all the pitchers on the hill tonight no pitcher has a higher K rate over the past 30 days than Manaea. It’s sitting at 36.5%.

Manaea is in peak form and he’s getting a Padres lineup that will be without Tatis tonight. The Padres still have a bunch of quality bats, but without Tatis they are nowhere near as scary.

Manaea is mostly a sinker ball pitcher. If we look at the Padres projected lineup, only Machada and Profar have had real success against the pitch. He faced this team a week ago and was lights out. I see no reason he can’t do it again.

MLB DFS: The Bats

San Francisco Giants vs. Madison Bumgarner – I’m thankful we’re getting the Giants vs. Madbum on a full slate because it should depress ownership. We typically see ownership more widespread on full slates.

Giants are in an absolute smash spot tonight. Madbum is just a shell of the pitcher he was in his prime. Over the past 30 days it’s been even more apparent as his hard hit rate is nearing 50% and so his is fly ball rate. Add in the fact that his SwStr % is just 8%, he’s someone that we’ll want to take full advantage of.

Madbum’s platoon splits have been pretty equal this year so I’ll want to just take a look at the Giants that have had the most success vs. lefties this year. Enter Mr. Kris Byrant ($4.2k) and his .367 ISO and .464 wOBA vs. lefties in 2021. He will be my building block in this stack and I’ll surround him with Austin Slater ($2.3k) and Darin Ruf ($2.4k) as both guys are also hammering lefties. If Flores makes the lineup he’ll be a favorite of mine too.

Atlanta Braves vs. Jon Lester – Lester makes his first appearance for the Cards tonight and it couldn’t have come at a worse time as he gets a revamped Braves lineup that now includes Soler ($3.3k) and Duvall ($3.2k).

Lester’s biggest struggles this year have been against righties. His ISO against jumps to .236 vs. just .108 against lefties. His hard hit rate jumps from 25.9% against lefties to nearly 37% against righties. Braves will more than likely have 7 righties in the lineup tonight with the lone lefty being Freeman.

This is not a match made in heaven for Lester. My building blocks here will be Albies ($3.6k), Soler, and Swanson ($3.2k). All have ISO greater than .250 this year vs. lefties.

Secondary pieces will be Riley ($3.5k) and Freeman ($3.7k). There’s a little added incentive with getting to Lester today. When all was said and done during the trade deadline, guys like Rizzo and Bryant waved goodbye to the fans while Lester saluted Nats fans with flipping them the bird. Go Braves!

New York Yankees vs. Alex Wells – The Yankees were, for all intents and purposes, embarrassed last night in front of the home crowd. Newly acquired Heaney gave up homer and homer and when all was said and done they walked away with a 7-1 loss.

I think today is a different story. Wells has not been particularly good. He’s actually been quite bad. In his last 10 innings he’s given up 3 homers and 4 barrels. That’s just too many hard hits in a short window. We’ll need to keep an eye on the Yankees situation today because Cole tested positive for Covid.

If their regulars are in the lineup tonight this has the makings of a high scoring affair for the Yankees. My core here would be Judge ($4k), Rizzo ($4k), and Stanton ($3.4k). Rizzo isn’t someone we should be concerned with in the L/L match up. He has a .247 ISO and .439 wOBA vs. lefties this year.

We have a glut of teams that are in great spots tonight. Phillies vs. Corbin, Tigers vs. Richards, and even Oakland vs. a struggling Snell.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

My lean right now will be use either Cease or Wheeler as my starter tonight and then pair them with a Giants/Braves stack. Thankfully both of those teams match up great.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Picks and Pivots for Saturday – 07/24

Jared Levitt 4 years ago

written by Jared Levitt

Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks and Pivots. Tonight we have a really nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through.

It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian today. My goal today will be to layout a path to get at least one high level ace and a couple of offenses that are in great spots to crush tonight.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

Main Slate Breakdown

With tonight’s slate we have a couple of the top strike out pitchers in the league in Carlos Rodon ($10.1k) and Corbin Burnes ($10.6k). Both guys have been on fire of late with K rates 30% over the past month. Of the pitchers going tonight Rodon ranks first while Burnes ranks fourth. Wait, that means there are 2 other guys sandwiched in between them that also have a 30% K rate?

Yes, and one of them is someone I’m going to pair with either Rodon or Burnes. That guy is Logan Gilbert ($7.8k). In his last 20 innings of work Gilbert has been just brilliant. He’s sporting a 3.13 xFIP to go with a 34% K rate. He’s also really been able to limit his hard contact as his hard contact over the last month is a minuscule 18%. In Gilbert you are getting an ace level pitcher at an extreme discount.

I will be locking in Gilbert as my SP2 tonight and pairing him with either Rodon or Burnes. My lean right now is to go with a Rodon/Gilbert pairing as it leaves us with $4k to spend on our batters. Now that pitching is out of the way, let’s see where we can find some bats.

The first place I plan on looking to for offense is sure to make Brian happy. The Rays get a great match-up tonight against a pitcher that has really been struggling. In his last 3 games JC Mejia has given up 16 runs and 4 homers. I’m sure at some point Mejia will turn into a good pitcher and he even showed flashes of it in his last outing with 8 K’s, but right now he’s just a pitcher getting overwhelmed at the Major League level.

Mejia is a sinker ball pitcher which leads to a high number of ground balls. It’s been getting hit really hard though this year. Batters have a 52% hard hit rate and a .651 slugging % against his most used pitch. If we look at splits Mejia gives up a significantly higher ISO to lefties at .224.

Rays have the potential to throw out 5-6 lefties tonight which should signal doom for Mejia. My main target here is Austin Meadows ($4.2k) who has a .627 slugging % against sinkers this year. Brandon Lowe ($4.8k) and Ji-Man Choi ($4.1k) are also guys that have had success against sinkers with hard hit rates near or greater than 50% and wOBA’s close .400. Love the spot for the Rays tonight.

The other team that really stands out the most to me right now are the San Francisco Giants. They get a dream match-up tonight against a pitcher that has struggled all year and it’s only gotten worse of late.

Over the past month Will Crowe has been dreadful. He has a 5.85 xFIP that is pretty close to being in line with his ERA of 5.49 so we know what we’re getting is a pretty bad pitcher. During that same time period is he’s also given up 5 homers. He’s just giving up way too much hard contact and way too many fly balls.

His hard hit rate on the year is sitting at 41%. If you are giving up hard hits 40% of the time while only having a 20% K rate, you have almost no path to being a successful pitcher. In looking at his splits, he’s been pretty bad to both sides of the plate as the ISO is north of .200.

He gives up a slightly higher amount of fly balls to lefties so I’ll want to make sure I cram in a dirt cheap LaMonte Wade ($2.8k) who will most likely be leading off.

Two other guys that will be keys to my lineup are Yastrzemski ($3.8k) and Dickerson ($2.7k). Both guys are cheap and profile extremely well against the fastball and changeup mix they’ll see from Crowe. Other guys in this lineup that are cheap that will give you flexibility are Wilmer Flores ($3.8k) and Thario Estrada ($3.3k).

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

The Rays and Giants fit very well together tonight and they will be where my focus on offense will be. The Giants cheap pieces will help to grab both the Rays expensive and productive pieces but will also help to get one of the top pitchers. I like the idea tonight of pairing both Rodon and Gilbert together.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports . Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 7/3 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s seven-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:15PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Weather is not a huge issue tonight (as much as it is for the day games), so let’s dive right in!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Clayton Kershaw ($11,000)

Kershaw is the only top MLB DFS arm we should really consider tonight, since there’s a $2,500 drop off to the next available SP (LAA RHP Alex Cobb at $8,500 — someone we can consider as a GPP pivot). Adam Strangis explains in the 7/3 Starting Rotation article why anchoring cash game lineups to Kershaw makes a lot of sense, and we can probably use the same rationale for single-entry GPP. Kershaw’s K rate is high enough that the elevated pricing on FD isn’t a dealbreaker, and the Nationals do have some K potential in their lineup.

Best GPP Value: Jake Odorizzi ($7,200)

The Indians aren’t pushovers, but Odorizzi has been pretty effective this season with and xFIP under 4.00 and a K rate over a batter an inning. Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ and they rank just 21st against the fastball — Odorizzi’s number one pitch in both effectiveness and usage. He’s a slight favorite, has averaged over 30 FD per outing over his last four starts, and his price allows us to roster basically any hitters we want in the high total games in Coors Field and/or Oakland.

Contrarian GPP Play: Alex Cobb ($8,500)

He’s a contrarian play because the price is still a little higher than we’d like to play on a slate where Odorizzi is much cheaper, but his upside is just as high. Cobb sports a 2.79 xFIP this season and the Orioles aren’t especially great at knocking around RHPs. There’s risk here, as we know this crew in Baltimore can manufacture a few runs with that potent top 4 — but if Cobb can get through that group a couple times without major incident, he’s got a great shot at eclipsing his 30 point FD projections and total of about 30 FD points. 40-45 FD points (helped by a QS and win) isn’t unrealistic,

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs. COL LHP Kyle Freeland

This lineup is filled with lefty mashers, and it’s a group that really came alive in extra innings last night — something I believe they’ll carry over into tonight’s matchup. You really can’t go wrong with Nolan Arenado ($4,400), Paul Goldschmidt ($4,300), Tyler O’Neill ($4,000 – DTD, finger) and Harrison Bader ($3,200) as your power four, with Tommy Edman ($3,700) Dylan Carlson ($3,400), Yadier Molina ($3,500) and Paul DeJong ($3,800) as your main alternates. The Rockies are all in play as well — especially Trevor Story ($4,400) , C.J. Cron ($3,900) and a cheap Yonathan Daza ($3,100 — though it will be hard to stack the entire game.

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants vs. ARI RHP Jacob Faria

The Giants were my value stack last night against the A’s, and while they did score 6 runs, they didn’t break the slate. Once again, they have enormous upside tonight with these hitters against “Journeyman Jake” Faria and his hittable ensemble of pitches: LaMonte Wade ($2,900), Mike Yastrzemski ($3,200), Buster Posey ($3,100) Alex Dickerson ($2,500), Brandon Crawford ($3,000). There are some other bats to be considered (Steven Duggar at $2,800 and a very cheap Donovan Solano at $2,300), but I’m most interested in the above four for MLB DFS.

Contrarian Stack: Oakland Athletics vs. BOS RHP Garrett Richards

There’s a great deal of leverage in stacking this entire game and fading Coors hitters, but let’s start with the Athletics bats we like: Tony Kemp ($2,800), Matt Olson ($3,700), Jed Lowrie ($3,300) and Matt Chapman ($3,600). For Boston, the top hitters are J.D. Martinez ($4,200), Kike Hernandez ($3,600), Xander Bogaerts ($3,700) and Hunter Renfroe ($3,500). Again — both sides are fine here, but the Athletics will be severely under-owned against a bad RHP, and that’s a spot I really like considering their above-average 104 wRC+ and .317 wOBA. The Sox do well against LHP (.331 wOBA, 105 wRC+), but they’re priced a little higher.

Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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San Francisco Giants

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Osvaldo Bido vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Bobby Miller vs. Kansas City Royals

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Matthew Liberatore

San Francisco Giants vs. Cookie Carrasco

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Clayton Kershaw vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Cleveland Guardians

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Kyle Muller

San Francisco Giants vs. Josiah Gray

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zack Wheeler vs. Cincinnati Reds

Alex Cobb vs. Kansas City Royals

Hunter Green vs. Philadelphia Phillies

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Dean Kremer

Baltimore Orioles vs. Clarke Schmidt

San Francisco Giants vs. Brad Keller

MLB DFS Summary

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,100)

Best GPP Play: Robbie Ray ($10,800)

Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,000)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: San Francisco Giants

GPP Value Stack: Cincinnati Reds

GPP Value Stack #2: Seattle Mariners

Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Chicago White Sox, Baltimore Orioles

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($11,500)

Best GPP Value: Luis Garcia ($7,900)

Contrarian GPP Play: Dylan Cease ($8,900)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

GPP Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

GPP Stack #2: Houston Astros

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Main Slate Breakdown

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Clayton Kershaw ($11,000)

Best GPP Value: Jake Odorizzi ($7,200)

Contrarian GPP Play: Alex Cobb ($8,500)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs. COL LHP Kyle Freeland

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants vs. ARI RHP Jacob Faria

Contrarian Stack: Oakland Athletics vs. BOS RHP Garrett Richards

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