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San Diego Padres

DFS Stack Tips From the King for July 1: San Diego Sizzle

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

The Padres may be the top DFS stack of the night. Jeff Samardzija has a 5.18 road ERA and has allowed five earned runs in each of his past two starts. The Padres are the fifth-best hitting team in the National League over the past week. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5700 on DraftKings) hit .383 with five homers and 15 RBI in June. Manny Machado tore it up to the tune of a .314 BA with 11 HRs and 29 RBI and is an essential part of your Padres DFS stack. Eric Hosmer was at .314 with 27 RBI. Ian Kinsler hit .309 in June and can be a DFS stack punt play at 3300. Franmil Reyes must be considered at 4400.

You should take a DFS stack shot with the Reds against Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser, who had pitched really well in relief before a shaky first turn in the rotation. Yasiel Puig (4,700) is hitting .326 with five homers, 15 RBI and four steals over the past 15 days. Joey Votto (4300) is hitting .361 with six RBI and nine runs scored over the same span. Eugenio Suarez (4000) hit a monster HR on Sunday and also consider Jesse Winker at 4000 for the lefty/righty split. Scooter Gennett should be locked in for your DFS stack at 3,900 if he is in the lineup.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast With The King And the Weatherman

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette get into the full MLB schedule on the 7/1 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the Monday slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Making pitching decisions will not be easy as there are only 10 hurlers to pick from on a short slate and most of them are not appealing.

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

The big question is whether to spend up for Mike Minor on a five-game main slate. No other pitcher really provides confidence that he will deliver a quality performance. Logan Allen is the top alternative so far, but we have only seen two starts from him with differing results.

MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

The Padres may be the best stack of the night, as many of their bats have been hot lately and they should provide good offense against Jeff Samardzija. The Brewers-Reds matchup should also provide a lot of offense and you can build stacks from both lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 6/29: Main Slate Breakdown

5 years ago

written by

For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will provide a game by game DFS breakdown for the six game main slate on Draftkings and FanDuel, and I also provide some preferred stacks.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

Over/Under: 12.5

Implied Run Total – LAD: 6.83 Runs

Implied Run Total – COL: 5.67 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Colorado tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying a .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both sides. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Max Muncy $4400 FD|$5400 DK. Cody Bellinger $5100 FD|$5800 DK. Matt Beaty $2800 FD| $3700 DK. Alex Verdugo $3800 FD |$4700 DK.

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight at home. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both sides. Rockies batters are slashing .368 wOBA, .187 ISO, and .497 SLG over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays: Ian Desmond $2900 FD | $4600 DK. Charlie Blackmon $4400 FD | $5500 DK. Nolan Arenado $4100 FD | $5000 DK. Greg Hampson $2700 FD | $3200 DK.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – PIT: 3.80 Runs

Implied Run Total – MIL: 5.70 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Pittsburgh Pirates – Jordan Lyles (RHP) on the mound tonight in Milwaukee. Lyles is sporting a 3.64 ERA, 3.67 FIP, and 4.74 SIERA on the season. He has true splits, carrying a .367 wOBA, .500 SLG, and .367 OBP to left handed batters. He has been particularly bad on the road against lefties. Pirates batters are slashing to a respectable .376 wOBA, .226 ISO, and .532 SLG against right handed batters over the last few weeks.

Milwaukee Brewers – Brandon Woodruff (RHP) on the mound for the Brewers tonight. He has a 4.01 ERA, 3.07 FIP, and 3.53 SIERA on the season. Woodruff has true splits, carrying a .335 wOBA, .441 SLG, and .341 OBP against left handed batters this season. Brewers batters are currently slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and have a .402 SLG. They are hitting slightly below their season average over the last two weeks. Jordan Lyles is awful on the road vs. lefties and Milwaukee bats have been a bit pedestrian lately. I think the Brewers crack things open tonight and score some runs.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Moustakas $3700 FD | $4700 DK. Yasmani Grandal $3300 FD | $4400 DK. Christian Yelich $4500 FD | $5700 DK. Eric Thames $2700 FD | $4200 DK

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – SEA: 3.20 Runs

Implied Run Total – HOU: 6.30 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Seattle Mariners – Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) on the mound in Houston. He carries a 5.11 ERA, 5.55 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Kikuchi has fairly similar splits and struggles quite a bit on the road. Kikuchi carries a .361 wOBA, .505 SLG, and .354 OBP against right handed batters. Everyone is waiting for the Astros to really break out again and I think this is a good spot for them to do so. Seattle batters are slashing to a .333 wOBA, .173 ISO, and .441 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting close to their season average.

Preferred DFS Plays – Daniel Vogelbach $3700 FD | $4000 DK. J.P. Crawford $3000 FD | $4200 DK.

Houston Astros – Justin Verlander (RHP) on the mound tonight at home. He carries a 2.67 ERA, 3.77 FIP, and 3.17 SIERA on the season. Verlander has a flyball rate of 46%, hard contact rate of 39%, and 1.65 HR/9. He has identical splits, carrying a .232 wOBA, .343 SLG, and 1.75 BABIP. Houston batters are hitting well above their season averages recently with a .448 wOBA, .337 ISO, and .647 SLG.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – ARI: 4.20

Implied Run Total – SFG: 3.30

Weather Concerns: N/A

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound in San Francisco tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing a .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both sides. Greinke gets a ballpark boost and has the clear advantage against a weak SFG offense. Arizona batters are slashing to a .272 wOBA, .127 ISO, and .349 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Ketel Marte $4100 FD | $5200 DK. Eduardo Escobar $4200 FD | $4800 DK. Christian Walker $3000 FD | $4000 DK.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing to a .307 wOBA, .178 ISO, and .418 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – N/A

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – OAK: 4.40 Runs

Implied Run Total – LAA: 5.10 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Oakland Athletics – Brett Anderson (LHP) is on the mound in Anaheim tonight. Anderson has a 4.26 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 5.44 SIERA on the season. He is a ground ball pitcher with a hefty 52% GB rate. Anderson carries a .295 wOBA .383 SLG, and .304 OBP against him on the road. Oakland batters are slashing to a .371 wOBA, .273 ISO, and .580 SLG to left handed pitching over the last few weeks.

Los Angeles Angels – Tyler Skaggs (LHP) is on the mound for the Angels this evening. He carries a 4.30 ERA, 4.25 FIP, and 4.40 SIERA on the year. Skaggs tends to be hot and cold and the last time he faced the A’s he ended up getting hit around a bit. The A’s lineup is full of right handed power and Skaggs is carrying a .310 wOBA, .407 SLG, and 318 OBP to them on the year. Angels batters are slashing .to a 266 wOBA, .073 ISO, and .305 SLG over the last two weeks, They are hitting well below their season averages over the last two weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Trout $4700 FD | $5600 DK. Shohei Ohtani $4100 FD | $5100 DK. Albert Pujols $3000 FD | $3900 DK. Kole Calhoun $3200 FD | $4300 DK.

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – STL: 3.71 Runs

Implied Run Total – SDP: 4.29 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

St. Louis Cardinals – Dakota Hudson (RHP) takes the mound in San Diego. He has a 3.36 ERA, 4.67 FIP, and 4.72 SIERA on the season. Hudson struggles mightily against left handed batters, carrying a 386 wOBA, .532 SLG, and .396 OBP so far this season. He has a massive ground ball rate of 62% and an extremely low fly ball rate of 17%. Cardinals batters are slashing .283 wOBA, .123 wOBA, and 74 WRC+. They have struggled all season with right handed pitching.

Preferred DFS Plays – Dakota Hudson $8400 FD | $6900 DK.

San Diego Padres – Chris Paddack (RHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He has a 3.18 ERA, 3.99 FIP, and 3.87 SIERA this season. Paddack has a 45% hard contact rate and 40% fly ball rate. He has identical splits, carrying a .261 wOBA, .370 SLG, and .257 OBP against both sides this season. The Cardinals have struggled a ton against righties as of late and Paddack certainly has the arm talent to get the QS and win against this porous Cardinals lineup. The only concern I have is Paddack is not an innings eater, averaging four or five IP per game. Padres batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .214 ISO, and .493 SLG against right handed pitching over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Chris Paddack $8100 FD | $8300 DK. Fernando Tatis Jr. $4000 FD | $5500 DK. Manny Machado $3900 FD | $4900 DK. Franmil Reyes $2800 FD | $4100 DK.

Dwehrj08’s Favorite DFS Plays

Top Pitchers

Chris Paddack (Not an innings eater so tread carefully)
Dakota Hudson
Zack Greinke

Top Stacks

Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
For good measure I will most definitely have exposure to Coors, as should you. This game isn’t my top priority but the implied run total here just simply cannot be ignored.

Home Run Call of Day: Matt Olson (OAK)

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Daily On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/13

Louis Cangiano 6 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

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Updated 6:49 pm EST

This is a list of the hottest batters over the last week. Check out those Tampa Bay bats! Stack these Tampa Bay batters as they’re hotter than any team around. The three, four, five batters have extremely high upsides. The Tampa Bay Rays are favored by -135 with a 9 under/over.

Updated 6:15 pm EST

J.A. Happ is my favorite pitcher of the night. Happ faces one batter that worries me, Tim Anderson. Every other batter either exhibits poor recent form or unimpressive BvP stats against Happ. This should be a strike out bonanza for Happ. Remember that list of cold batters I discussed about Toronto? Well, five of Chicago’s batters also showed up on that list. These players included: Cordell, Rondon, Alonso, Abreu and Sanchez. Happ is a solid GPP play and I love his upside tonight against a strike out prone White Sox team – regardless of the hitters park.

Updated 5:59 pm EST

Mike Tauchman could be solid value in the nine hole within a Yankees stack that I am very confident in. The Yankees are facing, Former Yankee Ivan Nova. Nova has struggled all year and is pitching in a park that is ranked 2nd in the league allowing 1.352 HR/game. The Yankees could very well tee off here against their former teammate who they are now facing for the second time this season. All lefties are in play for the New York Yankees who are favored by -175 with a 10 under/over.

Updated 5:30 pm EST

Okay, this is interesting. I looked up a list of the coldest batters over the last week. One teams major batters stood out, the Toronto Blue Jays. Cavan Biggio, Justin Smoak, Rowdy Tellez, Randal Grichuk (NS), Eric Sogard, Teoscar Hernandez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ALL come in on the very bottom of this list! I’m investing in Gabriel Ynoa as a long shot GPP punt. This is my riskiest play of the day and I am only investing in Ynoa to gain the salary flexibility to afford all/most Coors bats. High risk, high reward.

I’ve only included the first page but the following page includes Eric Sogard, Teoscar Hernandez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as well.
ESPN.com

Updated 5 :10 pm EST

Strahm comes off the 10-day DL tonight into a very tough match up against the Colorado Rockies. Strahm actually exhibits reverse splits as he allows a .353 BA opposing lefties and a .225 BA to opposing righties. The long ball numbers are clearly with the right handed batters but regardless I do think the majority of Colorado’s bats are in play tonight. Coors Field is allowing 1.444 runs per games which ranks highest in the league.

The San Diego Padres are my favorite stack of the night. Jon Gray had a tough recent outing allowing four earned runs and a .348 OBA over five innings to the New York Mets. Tonight he faces a Padres team that has solid BvP stats in relatively high sample sizes. Hunter Renfroe and Will Myers are batting a combined 16 – 37 with six home runs against Gray. The Padres are slight underdogs with an 11.5 under/over in one of the best home run stadiums (if not the best) in the league. This will be the third time that Gray will have faced SD so far this season and the second time in Coors. On the road, Gray pitched well against SD but in his most recent game vs. the Padres in Coors, Gray allowed two homers off eight hits over six innings.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/12: Let Loose on Lynn

Wes Anderson 6 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Chicago Cubs

The ColoradoRockies’ Antonio Senzatela is struggling this season with a slate high 5.43SIERA. The Rockies’ right-hander is producing just a 16.29% whiff rate and willbe pitching in hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight. Senzatela has particularlystruggled with lefties this season with a .416 wOBA and a 1.93 HR/9 allowed tothem.

So, start your Cubs stack with Anthony Rizzo (FanDuel: $4,700, DraftKings: $5,600). The power hitting left-handed first baseman has a .301 ISO and a .418 wOBA versus righties this season. But also consider that Senzatela is primarily a fastball pitcher as he has thrown that pitch on 64.6% of the time. That also plays into Rizzo’s strong suit. The first baseman has a .315 ISO this season against the fastball.

Otherleft-handed bats to consider are: Kyle Schwarber (FanDuel: $3,900, DraftKings:$5,000) and Carlos Gonzalez (FanDuel: $3,300, DraftKings: $3,300). Both outfieldershave ISOs greater than .220 against righties this season.

Of course, you can pick from some of the right-handed sticks as well as Kris Bryant (FanDuel: $4,500, DraftKings: $5,500), Javy Baez (FanDuel: $4,300, DraftKings: $5,500) and Willson Contreras (FanDuel: $3,900, DraftKings: $5,200) are always in play.

The Cubs will likely be the chalk on Wednesday but for good reasons. Load up on Chicago bats.

Cleveland Indians

The Cincinnati Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani is a pitcher you definitely want to stack against whenever he takes the bump. The veteran right-hander is allowing a 43.2% flyball rate that has resulted in 2.12 HR/9 so far in 2019. DeSclafani has really struggled with left-handed batters. The Reds’ starter is allowing a .414 wOBA, a 44.8% hard contact rate and 2.93 HR/9 to the lefty sticks this season.

Your Cleveland build will start with Carlos Santana (FanDuel: $3,500, DraftKings: $4,600) and Francisco Lindor (FanDuel: $3,900, DraftKings: $5,200). Both of these lefty sticks have ISOs over .245 against right-handed pitching this season.

Over theirlast seven the Cleveland offense has a .313 ISO and a .343 wOBA. So feel freeto make this a three or four man stack and include the likes of Jose Ramirez (FanDuel:$3,100, DraftKings: $3,500) and Jake Bauers (FanDuel: $2,600, DraftKings: $3,200).

Boston Red Sox

Texas’ Lance Lynn has a respectable 4.39 ERA this season but is getting hit hard. Most notably, he is allowing a 42.1% hard contact rate to RHBs

The Boston build, of course, will need to include Mookie Betts (FanDuel: $4,200, DraftKings: $4,400). The Red Sox outfielder homered on Tuesday and has a .222 ISO against right-handed pitching in 2019. Also keep in mind that the Rangers’ Lynn is throwing his fastball almost 49% of the time. This is a bonus for Betts, as he has a .256 ISO against such pitch this season.

Also consider Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $4,000, DraftKings: $4,300), as he has a .363 wOBA versus righties. J.D. Martinez (FanDuel: $4,000, DraftKings: $4,500) owns a .324 batting average against fastballs this season, so he clearly needs to be in your player pool as well. Rafael Devers (FanDuel: $3,800, DraftKings: $4,100) also has killed the fastball this season, with a .256 ISO. You can use Andrew Benintendi (FanDuel: $3,600, DraftKings: $4,000) as well.

The Red Sox should provide plenty of hard contact againstLynn.

Other Stacks to Consider: Colorado Rockies, Minnesota Twins.

Value Stacks: Baltimore Orioles (FanDuel), Toronto Blue Jays (FanDuel), San Diego Padres (FanDuel), Cincinnati Reds (FanDuel/DraftKings).

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Stacks for 6/4: Milwaukee Mashers

Mark Paquette 6 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Brewers: Facing the Brewers at home is a scary proposition for any MLB pitcher. They own the fourth best ISO at .218, the sixth best wOBA of .341 and their OPS of .812 ranks fifth in the league. Christian Yelich has 17 HRs in 76 ABs and his OPS is 1.597. Good luck to Pablo Lopez and the Marlins bullpen tonight.
Cubs: The wind looks to be out of the southwest around 10-15 mph tonight at Wrigley and blows out to center. Temperatures in the 70s and a somewhat muggy air mass (dewpoints near 60) will help the baseball carry well too. Look for the Cubs bats to be able to elevate the ball against Rockies starter Jeff Hoffman.
Dodgers: Tonight will be Taylor Clarke’s fifth big league appearance and his fourth start. The Dodgers lefties, including a well-rested Cody Bellinger, may make it a night he would like to forget.
Padres: The pitcher the Padres face, Jerad Eickhoff, suddenly has big problems with the long ball. In his last 18.1 innings, he has given up 10 HRs. Strangely, he had given up no HRs over his first 30 innings pitched this year.
Yankees: Soft-tossing lefty Clayton Richard gets the assignment tonight. Fire-up the normal assortment of righty bats that smash lefties (Sanchez, Hicks, Torres).
Rangers: They would be higher on this list as they face the Orioles and their atrocious bullpen. However, they are facing Dylan Bundy, who is coming off a really good May, a month where he held opposing batters to a .195 batting average and a 2.64 ERA. Also, the Rangers will be missing their biggest bat in Joey Gallo, who is on the IL.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview

Jason Mezrahi 6 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview – Written by Adam Zibuda

The 2019 MLB season has technically already started, with two games between the Mariners and Athletics taking place in Japan, where the Mariners got their season started off to a nice undefeated 2-0. Opening day however, is now just under a week away and we will see the first pitch thrown on the mainland on Thursday March 28th. To say that the MLB DFS industry is buzzing would be an understatement as the sites are gearing up to one of the biggest MLB seasons ever due to the legalization of sports betting taking place across the states.

There has been no shortage of massive free agent contracts this MLB offseason, with Mike Trout taking the cake with his absurd $430M deal for 12 years with the Angels. Bryce Harper joined in on the fun as well, signing with the Phillies for a lengthy 13-year deal worth $330M. Marwin Gonzalez also signed with the Minnesota Twins for 2 years and $21M while Manny Machado joined the elite contract ranks with his 10 year $300M signing, albeit with the lowly Padres who do not project to be much better in 2019.

The Boston Red Sox are bringing back most of their roster from their 2018 championship run, and should be contenders when October rolls around. The Atlanta Braves are a young and talented team, but might not have enough of a well-rounded roster to really compete when it counts. A couple of other teams that I am excited to watch in 2019 are the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Dodgers, and the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Astros have the bats and the pitching to get it done, which is tough to do in MLB today as plenty of teams have secured the bats but really lack the arm talent to compete down the stretch. The Astros will almost definitely be playing in October this season. The Dodgers got shown up by Boston in the World Series last year, but they will come back hungry this season and look to return to baseball’s biggest stage. The Brewers do not get nearly the press and attention as the Sox, Astros, and Dodgers, but they are a sneaky team that has some serious potential this year. They have depth at nearly every position, along with the talent to potentially dominate their NL Central opponents.

With quite the eventful offseason, the 2019 MLB season is shaping up to live up to all of the hype, and the DFS industry will flourish right alongside.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

New Faces in New Places

Joel Bartilotta 6 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

New Faces in New Places: Bryce Harper, PHI (OF): Harper was obviously the biggest move in the offseason, as he signed a 13-year $330-million deal with the Philadelphia Phillies. While many believe that Citizens Bank Park is more hitter-friendly than National’s Park, the numbers say otherwise. In fact, Nationals Park actually ranked third in total runs last season while Citizens Bank sat 13th in scoring. They were both fantastic parks for home runs though, with Washington sitting fifth in total homers while Philly sat in fourth. That means that this is a rather neutral move for Harper and that makes it tough to know what you’re going to get. The reason for that is Harper’s volatility. In fact, his career-best marks are a .330 average and 42 home runs while his career-lows are 13 homers and a .243 average. His numbers last year were actually somewhere right in the middle, as he collected 34 home runs to go along with a disappointing .249 average. All this makes Harper a risky bet in fantasy but he has the upside to be the best player in baseball if it’s all clicking. Manny Machado, SD (SS/3B): Machado was the second-biggest move in the offseason, as he took his talents to the beautiful city of San Diego. While he definitely moved to a tougher park, it really shouldn’t alter his value much. In fact, if you track all of his homers, only a few of them wouldn’t have gotten out at Petco Park. This isn’t the pitcher’s haven it once was either, with Petco Park ranking 13th in runs, 16th in homers and ninth in total hits last season. This is a guy who has at least 24 home runs and 86 RBI in four-straight seasons and it seems likely that he’ll land somewhere around 30 homers and 100 RBI in what should be another great season. Jean Segura, PHI (SS): Segura has moved around a lot recently and it’s hard to understand why. The versatile shortstop has played in Milwaukee, Seattle and Arizona in the last four years and will now suit up for the Philadelphia Phillies. This might actually be the best lineup he’s hit in and one has to wonder where he’ll hit in the batting order. That could be a huge part of his value, as he could be one of the best shortstops in the league if he leads-off or bats second in this much-improved lineup. What really makes Segura valuable is his speed-average combo. Not only does he have at least 20 steals in six-straight seasons, but he’s also hit at least .294 in four of those years. The only times he didn’t approach a .300 average is when he was dealing with the death of his son. It’s not just the speed-average combo either, as Segura is averaging 14 home runs per year across his last three seasons. Those are numbers you don’t see from many shortstops and he could be a great buy in fantasy at an affordable price. Robinson Cano, NYM (1B/2B): Cano is back in The Big Apple but he’s suiting up for the Mets this time. After a disappointing stretch in Seattle, New York decided to swallow up the majority of his monster contract and gamble on a late-career resurgence. His spring training numbers indicate he’s ready to do just that, with Cano collecting a .475 average and 1.212 OPS in 40 spring training at-bats. The demise of Cano is slightly overexaggerated too. Not only has Cano reached at least a .271 average in all 14 seasons he’s played, but he’s also posted an OPS of .778 or higher in all but one season. While his power numbers definitely dropped off with the Mariners, Cano is still a great bet to accrue a .280 average and 20-25 home runs. With all that said, Cano moves from a tough ballpark to an absolute desert. In fact, Citi Field was the lowest-scoring ballpark in the majors last season. Daniel Murphy, COL (1B/2B): Murphy probably saw the biggest increase in value with this move to Colorado. The reason for that is his absurd hitting profile. In fact, Murphy owns a .320 career BABIP and a 6.3 percent K-rate. That simply means he has some of the best bat-on-ball skills of any player in the majors and that becomes particularly intriguing in this ballpark. Not only does Coors Field post a BABIP north of .300 nearly every single year, it has led the majors in total hits in 14-straight seasons. Hitting in this ballpark is a godsend for a player like Murphy, who has ranked top-10 in total hits in four of the last five seasons. J.T. Realmuto, PHI (C): Is this yet another Phillie? Yeah, it is, because the Phillies went crazy in the offseason. This may have been their most underrated move though. Realmuto actually ranked as the top catcher in fantasy last season and he did that in one of the toughest ballparks in the majors. Not only did Marlins Park surrender the second-fewest runs last season, it allowed the fewest homers in the league too. It really shows in Realmuto’s splits, as he posted a .249 average and .682 OPS at home the last three years. On the road, Realmuto generated a .318 average and .887 OPS in the same span. Needless to say, Realmuto is ecstatic to be leaving that terrible ballpark and even worse lineup. Getting such a boost in ballpark and lineup makes Realmuto one of the players to watch this season and he could truly become a superstar if he continues those road numbers for a full season in one of the best lineups in baseball. Nelson Cruz, MIN (DH): Cruz is simply one of the most underrated players in baseball. Where that’s truly evident is in his power numbers, as he ranks top-five in both home runs and RBI over the last decade. In fact, Cruz is averaging 33.8 home runs in that 10-year span while hitting at least 37 dingers in five-straight seasons. He actually did that damage in Seattle, which is a ballpark that ranked 27th in total runs last season. He now gets to hit in Target Field, which ranked 16th in total runs last year. They’re pretty much on par in terms of home runs but Cruz could be in for another 35-homer season as long as he stays healthy.

6 years ago 0 comments

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San Diego Padres

DFS Stack Tips From the King for July 1: San Diego Sizzle

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast With The King And the Weatherman

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes