Jacobs Above Average Plays started the week off with a bang, sweeping his plays last night! The work never stops to make sure Jacob’s Above Average Plays are always stellar and that they keep winning you money!
Take Boston Bruins (to win in regulation) -150 vs LA Kings (7:00 pm EST, Tuesday 17 December 2019)
Before we start, let me explain what a bet “to win in regulation” is. The team you choose must win in the first 60 minutes. If a game goes to overtime, we have a loser.
Boston is a way above average team when playing at home. They have won in regulation at home in all but three games this year, and they’ve been an above-average team on both ends of the ice. Their defense is dependent on the above-average goalie, Tuukka Rask. He is only allowing two goals per game, and Boston has won thirteen of his twenty starts. Having a reliable goalie like Rask is what allows the Bruins to continuously attack the other end of the ice. So far, that style of play has worked. The Bruins are 21-13 straight up in all games this year. As the home favorite, they have won twelve of eighteen games. Boston is taking on a Kings team that is one of the worst teams on the road in the league. Overall, on the road: They have won only four of eighteen games. As an underdog, they are even worse – winning only three of sixteen games. The one area the Kings shine is above average offensive shots on goal. They rank second in the NHL in shots on goal per game at thirty-four shots per game. However, most of these shots were made as they were trying to play catch up at the end of games, so I wouldn’t say they are really above average in shots on goal. Ride with Boston to win in the first sixty minutes at a much better price of -150.
Take Sacramento Kings -4.5 vs Charlotte Hornets (7:10 pm EST, Tuesday 17 December 2019) This game features two teams with wildly different outcomes in their last games. One an above-average team in the playoff hunt, the other is floundering. Sacramento went into Golden State last week and totally laid the hammer. They played above average, shooting just over 60% from the floor. However, their fast tempo led to an above-average amount of turnovers. They turned the ball over twenty-nine times in that game! They overcame that poor performance, scoring ten three-pointers out of twenty-two attempts. In Charlotte’s last game, they were blown out – I mean really blown out. Their less than impressive offense was on display in all its glory. The Hornets own the league’s 26th worst offense, only scoring 104.5 points per game. They rank 24th in rebounding, only grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game and the rank 18th in assists with 23.6 assists per game. They have no above-average scorers nor defenders, and I truly believe they are worse than people assume. A short three-game win streak made them look like an above-average team but that ended last game, providing a lower line as the public is a real victim to recency bias. Sacramento has covered the spread in fifteen of it’s last twenty games and is also 11-4 against the spread on the road. Charlotte has only won three times in their last ten games versus the Pacific Division, and I think that trend continues today. Take the Kings, playing above average, to get the road cover.
