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Prop Plays

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28

David Stowe 3 years ago

written by David Stowe

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

CLAIM OFFER

NBA variance is getting a little too high for my liking so I say it is time to switch over to MLB. At the end of the day these articles are meant to give you an edge so I am not going to recommend plays that can bomb simply due to a team being in desperation mode. Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28

More or Less: Cubs at Brewers

Peralta: OVER Hendricks: OVER

If you have read the starting rotation article that Adam put out you would have seen that Freddy Peralta is in a smash spot again the cubs with a 36% K rate and struck out 10 versus Arizona in his last appearance and the Cubs are striking out at an alarming rate. We get a little extra wind benefit but that is more for reducing the chances for home runs but I’ll take that extra edge as the cherry on top. Hendricks is a pretty simple under for me. His stuff isn’t scary. He will get you six innings, pitch to contact, and get a lot of ground ball outs, but the Brewers are bottom three overall in K/9 on the year with 9.82 including 11.33 K/9 in the last three games so while not as confident I am willing to take the over. If you choose the other way I completely understand.

More or Less: Baltimore at Houston

Greinke: OVER Hays: UNDER

It is sad to see this number for Zack. I was lucky enough to be living in northeast Kansas when he came on to the scene and I got to watch him shred every single lineup he faced with that nasty slider of his. While I still contend that is his best pitch he throws his splitter a good deal more now. Lucky for him he gets the MLB’s perennial doormat in the Orioles who are batting .216 with 497 K’s against righties including a disgustingly bad .154 average and 30 K’s in three games against the Astros. It is in that same vein that I see Hays as an under. Additionally, over his last 10 games, he has only reached on multiple at-bats three times.

Home Run Derby: Star Shootout

Let’s just have a little fun here and target some long balls. Ohtani is Ohtani, that needs no explainer. He is just amazing. Altuve is going against Thomas Eshelman, a guy who Baltimore did not even care enough to take out as he was hammered for six earned over four innings against these same Astros just five days ago so it is likely they are going to tee off. That was also the last homer Altuve hit. Finally, let us get a little Aaron Judge against Dylan Bundy who has allowed multiple home runs in 3 of his last seven starts and at least one in six of ten. My personal tolerance on this one is the over 1.5 for 5x return but one of the guy WILL hit a homer so if you want to be safe the over 0.5 is perfect.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

3 years ago 0 comments

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

CLAIM OFFER

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25.

We another one gamer tonight featuring the Hawks and Bucks so we’re going to be a little limited on our options but we will find some winners nonetheless. As for last night, well, I may have been a little off on what was going to happen with Zubac. My bad.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25

More or Less:

Giannis Antentekoumpo: Over Trae Young: Over

I honestly lamented over this one for a bit I am ultimately taking the over with Giannis. He had a few games this postseason where I was worried that he was going to disappoint yet again but he has gotten himself on track and aside from Clint Capela, the Hawks don’t really have anyone that can prevent him from getting his shots off. He’s taken no fewer than 20 attempts since game two against the Nets the expected pace of this series leads me to think that number will stay north of 25 for the duration. The Bucks have not been able to stop the pick and roll at any point and Trae Young is getting near a ridiculous 40% usage rate over his last five games. In those five games, he has scored less than 34 points only once and there is no reason for the Hawks to go away from what is working.

More or Less:

Giannis Antentokoumpo: Over Clint Capela: Over

Giannis we already touched on above. Capela has been one of my favorite DFS plays since back in his time with Houston and it never seemed like he got the love that he deserved in the analyst circles so I am thrilled to see that he is here finally being able to showcase what he can do. What that is specifically is Pick and Roll and snagging boards. At face value 13.5 is a really good number but the lack of Donte DiVincenzo on the Bucks is what leans me to the over. If you have been here with us at win daily for a while I know you heard us talk about how Donte was one of the best rebounding guards in the NBA. Team rebounding number took a huge hit when he went down by the tune of about seven total boards per game. That’s enough to bolster Capela’s floor to where I’m happy with 13.5.

More or Less:

I like throwing one crazy parlay in so that you guys/gals can have some fun so here you go. Most of them are self-explanatory but Middleton and Collins are two that I’ll touch on. Middleton’s 3-point shooting has gone down by close to .100 points since the playoffs started and three made seems to be about as much as you’re gonna get. I can not say with absolute certainty but based on the numbers he appears to have taken over some of the rebounding responsibilities from the Donta injuries and may just find himself out of position and taking shots that he is not really comfortable with so I will lean under here. The Collins under has nothing to do with Collins surprisingly. I am simply playing the narrative that Capela is going to be the dominant force under the rim tonight and it does not make a ton of sense to take overs on rebounds for both players when they directly eat into each other’s stats

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NBA Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

CLAIM OFFER

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24.

We only have one game tonight so I will keep it short and sweet. We know that the Clippers are in desperation mode without Kawhi, CP3 is back and he will surely have a chip on his shoulder, and Devin Booker is what we all thoght he was and the rest of the world finally sees it. So let’s dive into the Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24

More or Less:

Paul George: Under DeAndre Ayton: Over

I’m looking at both of these and it honestly seems off on both sides. George is running the show for the Clippers but with CP3, I expect the defense of the Suns to be a notch better and they would be crazy to not lock him down and force the ancillary players to make the plays needed to win. I’d be good even with this line as low as 28.5 so if it shifts you can still take it. Ayton 10.5 rebounds is just plain silly. That is the kind of line I think he could get by half against the likes of Ivica Zubac and the shell of Boogie Cousins. That line should be as high as 13.5. You’ll have some wiggle if either line shifts closer to lock.

Rapidfire:

Picks: Booker and Ayton

I already touched on my reasoning with Paul George and Booker is an absolute beast who is finally getting his time to shine. I actually like Booker a little more for scoring with CP3 back on the court. He’s the best facilitator in the league (don’t @ me) and it’s no shock to me that the Suns are here this season after adding him. The Clippers chose to go small in game two and Zubac got the start, played 34 minutes, and while he looked fine the Clippers came up short. Nothing is telling me that he is secure in his workload in a series where they could go down 0-3 and he has had more games where he has played less than 10 minutes (4) than he has played more than 20 (1) in his last 10 games. Monkey Knife Fight made a mistake and it needs to be jumped on before it is removed.

More or Less:

Since we’re looking at a one-game slate it’s tough to find a ton of plays that do not repeat so let us have a little fun. If you want to throw five bucks on a lotto ticket this one will give you a 35x ROI if you hit it. I already talked George, Booker, Ayton, and Paul. The roles are set for those guys. Bridges has a tough line but if George struggles due to pressure he will make mental errors and Bridges has sticky fingers recording 13 steals in his last 10 games and has nine blocks in that same stretch. If the ghost of Playoff P rears its ugly head again 2.5 blocks/steal is easily attainable. On that same note, someone will need to pick up the slack and Reggie Jackson has taken no less than seven three point attempts since Kawhi has gone down and that volume will increase with desperation. Have some fun, throw down a few ducketts and see what happens.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 5.26

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Back on the grind with another day’s worth of Monkey Knife Fight plays for you to help line your pockets with a little walking-around money. I’ve had a couple of our subscribers ask so I am going to go ahead and have articles for multiple sports to tickle whatever fancy you may have for the time being. A cornucopia of selections if you will. We have some fantastic data that we can take advantage of in our sports betting section so why not take advantage of it?

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 5.26

More or Less:

Embiid: Under, Westbrook: Over

I was pretty quick to tell folks to pump the brakes for DFS when it comes to Westy in the playoffs but that doesn’t mean he still doesn’t have value and when it comes to this assist total please sign me up all day. The triple double are gone now that it is the postseason but the assist totals are as great as ever. Russ is about as close as you can get to a lock for 12+ assists a game. On the other side Joel Embiid is a big reason why those rebound totals are not there but while I feel fine saying he can give us 30 tonight, I think 33 is just a touch too high. It looks like it is Tobias Time this series as he took 29 shots in game one and I do not see why they would change what works. The 76’ers are by far the better team in my opinion also and if they manage to get ahead big in game two they won’t risk leaving the big man out there longer that necessary.

More or Less:

Embiid: Under, Beal: Over

Already gave my thoughts on Embiid. But as far as Beal goes we’re getting him at almost a full point under his average, in what is close to a must win situation. He could very easily clear 30 shots tonight and play 40+ minutes.

More or Less:

Randle: Over, Young: Over

Randle has not looked great from the field. Maybe it is just nerves, maybe it is the standard “defense is tougher in the playoffs”. Whatever the reason the last two games he has shot almost 175 points lower from the field over his seasonal average (.275 vs .452). If he takes 23 shots like he did the other night and improves his % only to .350% he clears 25 points and while Atlanta is improved with Capela underneath Randle is still a stud. Trae on the other hand we know he’s gonna shoot all night. he plays 35-40 minutes and takes 25-30 shots and this line is at least five points off. At least.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 5.26.I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 5.25

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 5.25

More or Less: Celtics at Brooklyn

Tatum: Over Durant: Over

When we sat down to watch game one of this series the last thing any of us expect was the game ending with a 197 total yet that is what we got. I know that I repeat myself over and over again when I say that defense tightens up in the playoff but game one was a bit of a fluke Durant led the Nets taking 25 shots and scored 32 points on what was honestly not the best shooting performance (10-25/.400 FG%. Season FG% .532). Harden looks more than happy taking a step back and letting Kyrie and KD handle the load so I expect 22-25 shots again tonight. Tatum just flat out looked bad finishing with 6-20 and an abysmal .300 FG%, over .150 lower than his .456 FG% average on the season. I expect both of these guys to be way closer to the mean now that they are settling in for the series.

More or Less: Lakers at Suns

Devin Booker: Over Lebron James: Under

Call me a hater all you want but Lebron simply does not have to function in the same takeover fashion with the Lakers as he did with the Cavs and all flops aside, he is dinged up, a year older, and he has more miles on his body than anyone else in the NBA right now. Add a stifling Suns defense to the mix and I do not expect him to reach his seasonal average of 25 points. For those of you who don’t know, the other guy is Devin Booker. He is good at basketball and has been for years. Most people just never watched him play because the Suns have been garbage for years. CP3 is almost certainly still hurting whether or not he is on the injury report so my expectation is even more of the usage will get passed to Devin and if you’re telling me Devin is going to shoot the ball 26+ times a game 29 points is the bare minimum I would expect him to score.

More or Less: Star Shootout All Day

Tatum: Over Doncic: Over

I already talked about Tatum but just a quick reminder it is him, Kemba, and Evan Fournier as the main scoring threats. There is no Jaelyn Brown in case you’ve forgotten. Now on to Luka. YOU PLAY PRIMARY BALL HANDLERS AGAINST THE CLIPPERS, PERIOD. “Playoff P” is back so I only expect things to get worse from here from a defensive perspective for the Clippers as the entire starting 5 finished with a combined real +/- of -70 and not a single starter was better than -6. Luka can and will continue to carry this Mavericks team on his back and while guys like Porzingis and Hardaway Jr can provide some scoring on their own we all know who’s show it is.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 5.25.I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight Plays 5.3

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 MLB season! MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more.

Back on the grind with another day’s worth of Monkey Knife Fight plays for you to help line your pockets with a little walking-around money. I’ve had a couple of our subscribers ask so I am going to mix the article up with some plays from multiple sports. A cornucopia of selections if you will. We have some fantastic data that we can take advantage of in our sports betting section so why not take advantage of it?

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight Plays 5.3

More or Less: Dodgers at Cubs

Cubs still lead the the league in terms of strikeout at 10.07 K/9. Walker Buehler has struck out 10.51 per 9 innings over the last 5 seasons in over 500 innings of work. Over his last two games he has come into form striking out 9 and 10 batters respectively against the Padres and Reds. Hendricks is well, let’s just say struggling in the early going. In five starts he has failed to get past the 4th inning in three of them and failed to strike out more than four in three of them, and is near the bottom of the MLB in nearly every measurable category. Now he gets to face the monstrous Dodgers lineup who average 5.38 runs per game on the road and a .800 team OPS against righties.

Buehler: Over 7.5 Hendricks: Under 4.5

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight Plays 5.3

More or Less:

This just in, it looks like the Royals are good at baseball again and a big reason for that is that no batter has a whiff rate higher than 36% including six guys below 24%. Only the Astros strike out less and at home KC is at a minuscule 7.00 K/9. Out of his last three seasons, Civale is also looking at the worst metrics of his career including hard-hit rate, strikeout rate, walk rate, and chase rate. For those reasons, I like Santana plus 1.5 bases+walks. He is one of the sub 24% whiff rate guys I mentioned at 22.9% and in his last ten games, he’s exceeded that number 7 times. And my favorite if you read these regularly for the kicker is the 15mph wind blowing out to right field. Love me some physics.

Civale: Under 5.5 Santana: Over: 1.5

More or Less: Pacers at Wizards

This one may change based on one piece of info. It all hinges on Malcolm Brogdon’s status. I think he plays tonight and if he does Levert will now be relegated to the 3rd option at best with Sabonis not missing a beat after a brief absence. No way the Pacers don’t lean on the mismatch under the glass. Brogdon is also one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA so I think the Pacers will opt to put him on the guy who can actually shoot from the perimeter.

Beal: Under 31.5 Levert: Under 22.5

Extra Plays***

As you guys/gals know the plays will change throughout the day. If and when they do I’ll post more plays in discord so we can take advantage of line movement. Make sure to join us on the WinDaily Discord chat so you don’t miss out.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight Plays 5.3. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 4.28

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Wind, wind, and more wind for the 10 MLB games that we have to choose from on Monkey Knife Fight. If you have read any of my MLB articles in the past you will know that I may just put more value in wind conditions than just about anyone. If you would like to know why here’s an interesting article from Forbes where you can dip your toe into the science. https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2018/10/23/understanding-the-meteorology-of-a-fly-ball-may-help-baseball-teams/?sh=72cd679b6a5c. Once you wrap up here pop on over there and you’ll gain an understanding as to why I value it so much. Ok, I am done nerding out, let’s dive into our Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28

More or Less: Athletics at Rays

Bizarro world here but you are seeing this correctly, I am taking the under 8.5 K’s on Glasnow and the over on Irving’s 3.5 K’s. The A’s are one of the best teams on this young season with making contact and they are sitting at 11th in strikeouts averaging 8.8 K’s per 9 innings. Rays on the other hand are bottom five sitting just under 10 strikeouts per game and a strikeout percentage of 32.7% against left handed pitching. No props out elsewhere but I’d imagine the number for Glasnow will be lower than 8.5 when they come out.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28

More or Less: Red Sox at Mets

Don’t kill me here, Degrom is the best pitcher in baseball with a bullet. By no means do I think he’s going to get rocked. I just don’t think he will K 11 batters. The Red Sox are top five in the following categories: Slugging (1st), OBP (3rd), Babip (1st), OPS (1st), ISO (5th), Strikeouts (5th), and Extra Base Hits (1st). Add the wind blowing out to right around 10 MPH and I’ll go under just this once. Mets bats are nowhere near as potent on the season sitting near the bottom in almost every power category but one thing they are good at is not striking out sitting at 3rd on the season with 8.17 K’s per nine innings. Pivetta is far from a strikeout artist only exceeding 4 strikeouts once in four appearances and that was against one the worst offensive teams in baseball in the Orioles so the under feels pretty good here.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28

Home Run Derby:

With a 9.5 implied run total and climbing, favorable wind conditions, and a gas can arm in Erick Fedde against a Blue Jays offense that just put nine on the Natinals (bonus points if you get that) last night and this will be my target for offense this morning. I’m going to lead it with Vlad Jr who was the main reason for those nine runs blasting three HR’s. After that you can pick your poison but I’m going to opt for Bo Bichette and Trea Turner. Bichette is sitting at a .231 ISO and 41% hard hit rate against righties . Trea is turning it on lately hitting four home runs in his last eight games including two last night and he is smashing Left Handed pitchers albeit a small sample with three of his six homers in 19 plate appearances. My preference is to stick with the .5 HR’s but your mileage may vary. I never go beyond the 1.5 HR just due to the variance that comes from home runs.

Extra Plays***

As you guys/gals know the plays will change throughout the day. If and when they do I’ll post more plays in discord so we can take advantage of line movement. Make sure to join us at windailysports.com/chat so you don’t miss out.

This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.28. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 4.12

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Happy Monday Morning ladies and gentlemen! We have a nice windy 14 game slate ahead of us that we should have some fun with. We’ll have a little fun with the bats but at the end of the day you have people trying to hit a round ball traveling close to 100 mph with a cylindrical stick so while you will see some hitting props on here I tend to lean towards pitchers when choosing plays.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.12

More or Less: Rangers at Rays

The two top aces and most prolific strikeout pitchers on the board today against two of the most strikeout prone teams in the early part of the 2021 season. It feels like a trap but I’m falling for it. I don’t really think I need to say all that much about either Tyler Glasnow or Gerrit Cole. If you don’t know who they are I don’t really know why you’re reading this. Take the overs and have some fun.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.12

More or Less: Indians at White Sox

This prop feels like a trap. Triston Mckenzie is an absolute top young army but way more young than top at this point. He only pitched 3.2 in his first outing on the 5th and it looks like Cleveland is going to take their time getting him going this season. It doesn’t help much that in the 58 pitches he threw he managed to walk four. He can rack up K’s with the best of them, I just don’t know if he’s in long enough. Carlos Rodon on the other hand looked great in his first game striking out 9 and in his last stint as a starter in 2019 he struck out no less than 5 batters in all seven starts. I don’t expect him to have as strong of an outing against Cleveland but I feel pretty good about him fanning 5 today.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.12

More or Less:

With a 10+ run implied total, wind blowing out to dead center hard, JD Martinez fresh off of a three home run game, and the team with the highest average launch angle in the league in the Minnesota Twins the home run derby for this game is the perfect fit. My usual stance is to just take the 0.5 goal and take the money but I’m feeling a little froggy given the combination of circumstances in this game. It’s likely I end up taking the 1.5 goal to triple my return. I’ve been trying to talk myself out of it but I just don’t see a scenario where Happ or Perez slows down either of these offenses today.

Extra Plays***

I will be putting out extra plays as I see them in our discord chat so be sure to pop in there from time to time to see what pops up. As lines change so does the value.

This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.12. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 4.8

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Did you miss me? Sure you did. I hate to have kept you all waiting for so long but I promise you it’ll be worth it. We have six games to choose from as of right now and one of the things I like to do when it comes to MLB is to target wind conditions when choosing hit props. It is by no means a guarantee but the slightest edges make a huge difference over the long term. I won’t melt your face with the math but a 10 mph wind can add or subtract over 30 feet to the distance of a fly ball. Enough chit-chat, here is my Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8

More or Less: Cubs at Pirates

Both the Pirates and the Cubs have been at the bottom of the barrel when it comes to K-rate over the last few seasons in the MLB and they have started 2021 in the same way. Cubs have struck out 48 times in five games thus fast including striking out seven times against Tyler Anderson in his first start. Jake Arrieta is a little tougher, but with the Pirates sporting a 26.9% K-rate in the early part of this season I’m willing to take the chance. If you were so inclined to take the under on Jake I would not argue with you but I think he will throw his 85 pitches, get his 5-6 innings and get his 5 K’s and call it a day.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8

Home Run Derby: Brewers at Cardinals

This is one of those situations where I’m using the wind to my advantage. It’s projected to be blowing out to left field at around 13mph and you are giving me guys like Yelich, Arenoda, Cain, and Arenado to choose from. Sign me up for that. I don’t get cute with my risk and I’ll stick with my 1.5x return for a home run but if you wanted 3x your investment for two homers I think you are in a reasonable spot to take advantage. I just think the return isn’t worth the risk for the 3 HR prop so stay away from that. I know the Brewers have started a little slow but I have all the confidence in the world that they’ll get on track.

Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.8

More or Less: Diamondbacks at Rockies

Gray had a freak incident in his first start against the Dodger and had to leave the game in the 6th with full body cramping. Even with the issue he fanned seven against one of the most prolific offenses in the MLB and now he gets a Diamondbacks team with a .631 OPS and they were just skunked 8-0 in their last game against Colorado. When it comes to Merrill Kelly…well…did I mention Colorado put up 8 runs on Arizona last night? Did I mention how many they scored the night before? Also 8 runs. Colorado is 4th in the MLB in slugging with a .465 and 9th best in strikeouts only striking out 8.83 per game on average. Kelly will be a target of mine down the road in DFS but he was smashed in his first outing against the Padres giving up three earned in four innings only striking out four batters and walking three batters. I do not expect a much different result against the Rockies in Colorado.

This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.8. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

Monkey Knife Fight Plays Super Bowl LV 02.07.2021

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

It’s the end of the road ladies and gentlemen and what a ride it has been. It is safe to say that we have never experienced anything quite like 2020 in fantasy sports and beyond. Now that we have turned the page on the year that was let’s finish this NFL season with a bang as the Kansas City Chiefs play essentially what is a road game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Tampa. Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NBA season! MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more. Enough wasting your time Let’s look at our Monkey Knife Fight Plays Super Bowl LV 02.07.2021.

This is the point where I usually put a note in telling you to avoid high risk plays so that you can remain profitable over the long term but it’s the Super Bowl, lets have some fun today! Additionally to avoid having the specific plays change minutes after I post this article I’m going to give you players that I like and where I see their props hitting so that you can take the over or under respectively. Don’t fret though I’m gonna have a couple of high risk YOLO plays at the bottom that I’m going to have a little fun with.

I’m working largely with what I’ve been provided. There are many more plays that I would like to recommend today but the player pool is pretty limited for tomorrows contest. No worries though, we’ll cash no matter what.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays Super Bowl LV 02.07.2021

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

Tom Brady:

Monkey Knife Fight’s passing yards are going the wrong way in my opinion, they opened at 301.5 and have already gone up to 305.5 . I know Bruce Arians loves to air it out but in my opinion the only way that Tampa wins this game is by a run heavy approach where they can shorten the game and reduce the number of possessions Patrick Mahomes has to work with. Our model has Brady at 285 passing yards so take advantage of the public pushing the number in the opposite direction.

Buccaneers Pass Catchers:

The side effect that comes with our quarterbacks being so severely projected over what we are seeing with our models is that the pass catchers are also way over what we are expecting in this contest. Shockingly, Mike Evans is only about a yard over our projections ( Stix 68.2 vs. MKF 69.5) respectively so it may be a good idea to wait on some movement before you make a play with Evans one way or another. To this point they haven’t given is any other Bucs receiving yard props to use so I have nothing else to really add to this right now.

Leonard Fournette:

Right now there is a pretty big discrepancy between sites like DK Sportsbook and Monkey Knife Fight where the yardage prop is 59.5 on MKF and 48.5 on DK. I’m inclined to go under 59.5 rushing yards on MKF and here’s why. I do expect Tampa to run the ball a good bit more but Ronald Jones still saw a 54% to 45% snap share advantage after being gone for two weeks. I know we all want to crown Fournette, but the truth is that while Jones is there and not in the doghouse he gets more work than Fournette in running situations.

Kansas City Chiefs:

Patrick Mahomes:

With the expectation that Tampa will try to control the clock with the run game as much as possible we can also infer that Patrick Mahomes will additionally receive fewer opportunities to add to his yardage totals. Our models are giving us a 302 yard passing total. Much like Tom Brady‘s prop on Monkey Knife Fight Mahomes is being juiced way too high by the rest of the public as seen by the 335.5 yard prop. I think this one will likely stay put but if the public keeps taking the over this number could exceed 340 by game time. I know it is ugly and unsexy but I will be going under on passing yards by both QB’s.

Chiefs Pass Catchers:

Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are each sitting at 101.5 and 103.5 receiving yards respectively on Monkey Knife Fight where Stix’s model has Hill 14 yards less at 87.5 and Kelce with 19 less receiving yards at 84.5. This would make sense given the how many people are pushing the over on this game. I know it is the Chiefs, but the Buccaneers have been one of the elite defensed in the NFL for the majority of the season and actually do have the right defensive player to put up a good fight. Combine that with the expectation that this game will be a bit grindier than usual and I’ll be the boring guy who wins with the unders Sunday.

Super Bowl LV Yolo Play:

More or Less (5 of 5) 20x return:

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Monkey Knife Fight Plays Super Bowl LV 02.07.2021. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

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Monkey Knife Fight Plays Super Bowl LV 02.07.2021

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

Tom Brady:

Buccaneers Pass Catchers:

Leonard Fournette:

Kansas City Chiefs:

Patrick Mahomes:

Chiefs Pass Catchers:

Super Bowl LV Yolo Play:

More or Less (5 of 5) 20x return:

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