Prop Bets

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Suns/Bucks Finals and as you already know I love it. I know this is not the NBA front office wanted but seeing two “underdogs” get to the finals when almost everyone was saying Nets or Sixers and Lakers or Clippers was great drama. Even if the games themselves were sometimes not great. The landscape slightly changes when it comes to the props as Giannis exceeded all of our wildest expectations coming back from injury.

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Plays NBA Finals 7.8 and see what we have top work with.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Plays NBA Finals 7.8

Rapidfire:

Selections: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Chris Paul

A healthy Giannis changes the usage rates for the Bucks massively and they were embarrassed in game one so I expect ABC to take game two on his shoulders in any way possible. I will take him with the bonus points against Devin Booker who I will always say can take over a contest but does not NEED to do with the Suns being a complete team. In that same vein Jrue Holiday gets an almost 11% usage rate decrease with Giannis on the floor and the bonus for him is even smaller than it was in game one. CP3 is also playing amazing ball in every facet, so in what is essentially a pick’em Chris Paul is my guy.

More or Less:

Devin Booker: Under Khris Middleton: Under

It really seems like I am picking on Booker, but I promise you he is one of my absolute favorite players. The points props have never really adjusted to where I think it should be with CP3 on the court. I have been recommending the under in pretty much every game and in five of the last six games it has been the under. Middleton has been collecting about two and a half more rebounds per game in his last 10 games and regression is beginning to kick in. Over the last three contests he has not to exceeded seven boards in two of them and on the season he is a six rebounds per game guy. Add the Giannis factor to the mix and the under feels like the right way to go.

More or Less: Let’s get a little crazy

Alright, this is a just for fun, throw a few bucks at it and see what happens. I will not overkill the analysis on an 8-man parlay. Lopez was still being used with Giannis on the court and Mikal Bridges may get an extra shot or two with Saric’s five minutes or so per game being opened up. Everyone else I have spoken about or hinted at. Do not play this one and expect to win. It is merely a crazy play for the hell of it.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Plays NBA Finals 7.8. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight NBA Finals 7.6.

There was no way that I was going to miss tackling game one of this Suns/Bucks finals contest. With Giannis doubtful there are several props that look like solid spots to take advantage of this evening so let us take a look and make a little cash along the way.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight NBA Finals 7.6.

More or Less: 3.6x ROI

Devin Booker: Under/Khris Middleton: Over

I have been staying with the under for Booker when the Suns are at full strength and more often than not it pays off. It is not that I do not think he can I just do not think he will need to. The Suns have a ton of guys who can produce on the offensive side of the ball and I think the Suns handle this one pretty easily this evening. Add in that booker has only exceeded that number once in his last five and that was their lone loss against the Clippers and it all adds up to the under. Khris Middleton, on the other hand NEEDS to do it for a chance to win. I expect CP3 to be on Jrue and when he drives he will be met by Ayton under the glass. That leaves Middleton and his mid-range game being the de-facto primary option.

Rapidfire: 3x ROI

Picks: Khris Middleton, DeAndre Ayton

If you read my showdown article you already know Ayton is my guy tonight. The Suns will not make the same mistakes that the Hawks did when it comes to being aggressive on the glass and if you watched game six, while the Bucks won they completely went away from being aggressive on the glass with Portis and Lopez and opted to stay spread out and let Jrue drive to the rim all night. Yes, it worked but that was a terrible choice from a scheme standpoint and if they do that again Ayton is going to end up with 20 boards tonight. I already discussed the whole Khris v Booker scenario. I like Khris straight up so if you want to give me 1.5 points on top of that I will take it 10 times out of 10 in this situation.

Rapidfire: 5x ROI

Picks: Middleton, Ayton, Holiday

Let’s talk Jrue v Paul since we have already talked about the other two. If you are feeling a little froggy and want to take on a riskier play with a five times return on your investment here you go. I expect that Jrue will find it much more difficult to drive to the basket than he did against the Hawks and ultimately have some issue scoring due to that. At a certain point that will result in a change of game plan where instead of driving to score he will do so to bring the defense in and he is going to distribute to guys like Middleton, Lopez, and Connaughton for open mid-range/ 3-point shots. His points will be down but his assists will be up in that situation.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight NBA Finals 7.6. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.30.

Oh NBA every time I think it is time to leave you pull me back in. With the injuries on the Clippers side of the ball tonight we have some opportunities to take advantage of so I am gonna give you guys/gals at least one more set of NBA picks.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.30

Rapidfire:

Selections: Paul George/DeAndre Ayton

My choices here are pretty simple. The Clippers are getting thinner by the moment and Paul George will have to pick up even more of the workload because of it. Devin Booker is a beast but they are far healthier and with guys like Ayton, George, and even Bridges and Crowder to a certain degree sharing in the offensive responsibilities so the likelier outcome is George exceeds the 2.5 point handicap here. The Zubac v Ayton is even simpler. If Zubac plays he’s playing with a knee injury that makes him a game-time decision. If a guy is a GTD in this scenario they are severely limited and someone that I want to target. Worst case scenario in my opinion is that he sits and you get a refund on your contest.

More or Less:

Devin Booker: Over Ivica Zubac: Under

I picked George over Booker so I think the under 28.5 speaks for itself. Can Booker do it? Absolutely, he is a beast and I’m glad he gets to finally shine for the casual NBA fan. But I just do not think that he will need to on a full health Suns roster against a depleted Clippers team. I think CP3 is going to take advantage of the Ayton mismatch and the distribution will go underneath all night. Zubac’s knee is going to be a problem if he plays as I mentioned above. I’m leaning under for him across the board.

More or Less:

Selections: Paul George, DeAndre Ayton, Marcus Morris Sr

Bringing it all together now with this final rapidfire. George is going to need to do far more than Booker if the Clippers have any chance at winning so I think we will be seeing a monster performance from George tonight. Chris Paul should do well but given he is the distributor and I think Ayton will be his primary target whenever CP3 gets an assist to Ayton it gives an advantage to DeAndre. Add in the rebound and I would take the big man even without the advantage. Morris is another Zubac special and I am getting 7.5 fantasy points. I prefer well rounded players over shooters when given an opportunity and you add in the Morris may play 40 minutes Morris over Reggie Jackson is a clear no brainer for me.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.30. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

NBA variance is getting a little too high for my liking so I say it is time to switch over to MLB. At the end of the day these articles are meant to give you an edge so I am not going to recommend plays that can bomb simply due to a team being in desperation mode. Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28

More or Less: Cubs at Brewers

Peralta: OVER Hendricks: OVER

If you have read the starting rotation article that Adam put out you would have seen that Freddy Peralta is in a smash spot again the cubs with a 36% K rate and struck out 10 versus Arizona in his last appearance and the Cubs are striking out at an alarming rate. We get a little extra wind benefit but that is more for reducing the chances for home runs but I’ll take that extra edge as the cherry on top. Hendricks is a pretty simple under for me. His stuff isn’t scary. He will get you six innings, pitch to contact, and get a lot of ground ball outs, but the Brewers are bottom three overall in K/9 on the year with 9.82 including 11.33 K/9 in the last three games so while not as confident I am willing to take the over. If you choose the other way I completely understand.

More or Less: Baltimore at Houston

Greinke: OVER Hays: UNDER

It is sad to see this number for Zack. I was lucky enough to be living in northeast Kansas when he came on to the scene and I got to watch him shred every single lineup he faced with that nasty slider of his. While I still contend that is his best pitch he throws his splitter a good deal more now. Lucky for him he gets the MLB’s perennial doormat in the Orioles who are batting .216 with 497 K’s against righties including a disgustingly bad .154 average and 30 K’s in three games against the Astros. It is in that same vein that I see Hays as an under. Additionally, over his last 10 games, he has only reached on multiple at-bats three times.

Home Run Derby: Star Shootout

Let’s just have a little fun here and target some long balls. Ohtani is Ohtani, that needs no explainer. He is just amazing. Altuve is going against Thomas Eshelman, a guy who Baltimore did not even care enough to take out as he was hammered for six earned over four innings against these same Astros just five days ago so it is likely they are going to tee off. That was also the last homer Altuve hit. Finally, let us get a little Aaron Judge against Dylan Bundy who has allowed multiple home runs in 3 of his last seven starts and at least one in six of ten. My personal tolerance on this one is the over 1.5 for 5x return but one of the guy WILL hit a homer so if you want to be safe the over 0.5 is perfect.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 6.28. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25.

We another one gamer tonight featuring the Hawks and Bucks so we’re going to be a little limited on our options but we will find some winners nonetheless. As for last night, well, I may have been a little off on what was going to happen with Zubac. My bad.

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25

More or Less:

Giannis Antentekoumpo: Over Trae Young: Over

I honestly lamented over this one for a bit I am ultimately taking the over with Giannis. He had a few games this postseason where I was worried that he was going to disappoint yet again but he has gotten himself on track and aside from Clint Capela, the Hawks don’t really have anyone that can prevent him from getting his shots off. He’s taken no fewer than 20 attempts since game two against the Nets the expected pace of this series leads me to think that number will stay north of 25 for the duration. The Bucks have not been able to stop the pick and roll at any point and Trae Young is getting near a ridiculous 40% usage rate over his last five games. In those five games, he has scored less than 34 points only once and there is no reason for the Hawks to go away from what is working.

More or Less:

Giannis Antentokoumpo: Over Clint Capela: Over

Giannis we already touched on above. Capela has been one of my favorite DFS plays since back in his time with Houston and it never seemed like he got the love that he deserved in the analyst circles so I am thrilled to see that he is here finally being able to showcase what he can do. What that is specifically is Pick and Roll and snagging boards. At face value 13.5 is a really good number but the lack of Donte DiVincenzo on the Bucks is what leans me to the over. If you have been here with us at win daily for a while I know you heard us talk about how Donte was one of the best rebounding guards in the NBA. Team rebounding number took a huge hit when he went down by the tune of about seven total boards per game. That’s enough to bolster Capela’s floor to where I’m happy with 13.5.

More or Less:

I like throwing one crazy parlay in so that you guys/gals can have some fun so here you go. Most of them are self-explanatory but Middleton and Collins are two that I’ll touch on. Middleton’s 3-point shooting has gone down by close to .100 points since the playoffs started and three made seems to be about as much as you’re gonna get. I can not say with absolute certainty but based on the numbers he appears to have taken over some of the rebounding responsibilities from the Donta injuries and may just find himself out of position and taking shots that he is not really comfortable with so I will lean under here. The Collins under has nothing to do with Collins surprisingly. I am simply playing the narrative that Capela is going to be the dominant force under the rim tonight and it does not make a ton of sense to take overs on rebounds for both players when they directly eat into each other’s stats

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.25. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Now let’s take a look at Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24.

We only have one game tonight so I will keep it short and sweet. We know that the Clippers are in desperation mode without Kawhi, CP3 is back and he will surely have a chip on his shoulder, and Devin Booker is what we all thoght he was and the rest of the world finally sees it. So let’s dive into the Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24

More or Less:

Paul George: Under DeAndre Ayton: Over

I’m looking at both of these and it honestly seems off on both sides. George is running the show for the Clippers but with CP3, I expect the defense of the Suns to be a notch better and they would be crazy to not lock him down and force the ancillary players to make the plays needed to win. I’d be good even with this line as low as 28.5 so if it shifts you can still take it. Ayton 10.5 rebounds is just plain silly. That is the kind of line I think he could get by half against the likes of Ivica Zubac and the shell of Boogie Cousins. That line should be as high as 13.5. You’ll have some wiggle if either line shifts closer to lock.

Rapidfire:

Picks: Booker and Ayton

I already touched on my reasoning with Paul George and Booker is an absolute beast who is finally getting his time to shine. I actually like Booker a little more for scoring with CP3 back on the court. He’s the best facilitator in the league (don’t @ me) and it’s no shock to me that the Suns are here this season after adding him. The Clippers chose to go small in game two and Zubac got the start, played 34 minutes, and while he looked fine the Clippers came up short. Nothing is telling me that he is secure in his workload in a series where they could go down 0-3 and he has had more games where he has played less than 10 minutes (4) than he has played more than 20 (1) in his last 10 games. Monkey Knife Fight made a mistake and it needs to be jumped on before it is removed.

More or Less:

Since we’re looking at a one-game slate it’s tough to find a ton of plays that do not repeat so let us have a little fun. If you want to throw five bucks on a lotto ticket this one will give you a 35x ROI if you hit it. I already talked George, Booker, Ayton, and Paul. The roles are set for those guys. Bridges has a tough line but if George struggles due to pressure he will make mental errors and Bridges has sticky fingers recording 13 steals in his last 10 games and has nine blocks in that same stretch. If the ghost of Playoff P rears its ugly head again 2.5 blocks/steal is easily attainable. On that same note, someone will need to pick up the slack and Reggie Jackson has taken no less than seven three point attempts since Kawhi has gone down and that volume will increase with desperation. Have some fun, throw down a few ducketts and see what happens.

Extra Plays***

If I see anything else I like I’ll be sure to put it into our Discord before tip.

Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife NBA Fight Plays 6.24. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!