Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets and our February 9, 2021, NBA & NCAAB Predictions!
Glad to see you and I hope that your sports betting endeavors are going well. It’s been difficult handicapping professional sporting contests but if you’ve been tailing me, listening to my show, or read my books then you have been making money.
Cash with Flash Best Bets has 2020-2021 season-long totals of 66-53-1 for NFL football, 48-21 in NCAAF, 39-29 for NCAAB, 15-9 in NHL, 51-31-1 in the NBA, and 39-13 for tennis this season.
Had you wagered $100 dollars on each pick we offered you’d be ahead of the game by about $8100 since September 8, 2020. That’s not too shabby.
Yesterday was a rough, 1-3 day, but all things considered, things are going very well at Cash with Flash Best Bets. Especially this February and we’re looking to keep that momentum going tonight!
You probably discovered this column February 8, 2021 and missed a Sunday where we went 42-13 over our NFL and Australian Open wagers. I would love to put a day like that on loop but sports betting doesn’t work that way.
I say this in my books and I guess it’s worth repeating; you should never blindly follow anyone and especially not a professional handicapper no matter their reputation or their record.
What you want to do is catch a handicapper on a heater and then hop off the train when the good times are about to end, count your winnings, and wait until the capper gets back on track. How will you know these things? By tailing and keeping track.
You likely won’t hear that very often but that’s what makes Cash with Flash so unique in this business.
1). Charlotte Hornets +4.5
2). New York Knicks +3.6
3). Utah Jazz +2.7
4). Chicago Bulls +2.5
5). Houston +1.9
1). Charlotte Hornets (14-10-1) +4.3
2). New York Knicks (12-13) +3.6
3). Utah Jazz (17-7) +2.9
4). Chicago Bulls (13-10) +2.5
5). Houston Rockets (10-13) +1.9
1). Brooklyn Nets (18-7 over record) +7.7
2). Denver Nuggets (16-6 over record) +5.8
3). Milwaukee Bucks (13-9-1 over record) +4.3
4). Detroit Pistons (13-10) +3.7
5). Sacramento Kings (14-9) +3.5
We have seven games on the NBA schedule but we’re only interested in a couple of contests for tonight.
I like the total as the best bet for this NBA game and 229.5 points is probably a bit too low for this game. It opened on the board at 232 points and I suspect this game will end at about 232 or so and maybe even higher. These two sides are two of the worst defenses in the NBA and I expect the teams to play fast as Brooklyn is one of the fastest-paced teams in the NBA. Kevin Durant has been ruled out for tonight but Kyrie Irving and James Harden should provide enough spark to get the job done. Play the OVER in this one!
These two NBA teams played last night with a combined score of 205 points and Vegas has 230 points on the board for tonight’s game. I don’t expect that many points at all and what I do expect is two teams with slim playoff hopes battling it out for the second consecutive night. LaMarcus Aldridge and Lonnie Walker IV are both listed as out for this one and the Warriors will miss James Wiseman on this cold February evening. These teams play fast enough for a high scoring affair but I think they will fall a bit short of 230 points. Play the UNDER in this one!
1). Colgate +10.2
2). Morehead State +8.3
3). Drake +8.3
4). Wright State +7.9
5). UC Riverside +7.2
1). Colgate (5-3) +10.2
2). Morehead State (14-5) +8.3
3). Drake (14-2) +8.3
4). Wright State (12-7) +7.9
5). UC Riverside (8-3-1) +7.2
1). American University (3-1 over) +13.9
2). Long Beach State (6-2 over) +11.4
3). Cal Baptist (9-3 over) +9.6
4). Georgia Tech (8-5-2 over) +9.5
5). NC Central (4-2 over) +9.4
There are quite a few NCAAB games tonight and we’ll take a look at one of them and see how we fare. You must stay out ahead of injuries plus coronavirus concerns and the best website I know for this would be Newsday.
New Mexico isn’t a very good basketball team and is just 1-11 in the Mountain West and up against a Colorado State side that is having a great season and a victory tonight could find them sitting atop the conference standings. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS after a loss and they’ve found a way to lose three straight. Colorado State is riding a two-game winning streak and while I think they win the game tonight, the Rams turn the ball over too much and that’s just too many points for a conference matchup. Take the points and go with the Lobos to cover the spread tonight.
The Razorbacks are one of the best teams in the country and they face a Kentucky side that has lost four of its last five games and is 2-5 ATS at Rupp Arena this season. The Wildcats rank 279 in the country in turnover percentage and Arkansas is too good a team to not take advantage of so many miscues. The Razorbacks also have the better and slightly more experienced bench and that will lead Arkansas to victory tonight. Go with Arkansas in this one.
Cash with Flash Best Bets is obviously not offering any picks at the moment but that doesn’t mean that we sit idly by as we wait for the respective leagues to resume play.
Sports handicapping is a fulltime occupation and while we here at Cash with Flash Best Bets are enjoying not having to begin the day at 3:00 am ET, Cash with Flash Best Bets is still preparing for the start of the MLB season.
My book “Betting Baseball 101: Winning at the Sportsbook and Daily Fantasy Baseball” has just been released on Kindle and the paperback should be available sometime this weekend. If you do buy the book, please leave a review!!
Win Daily Sports and Cash with Flash Best Bets is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and get ready to make some Cash with Flash!!
Below is a short excerpt from Chapter Seven of the book and this strategy is something that you can begin today.
The Three Team Strategy
Something I find useful, especially early in the season, is limiting my action to just three teams.
The idea behind this system is to only focus on three teams and bet every game that these three teams are involved in.
Essentially you are chasing information about only these three teams and of course, you will have to handicap the opposing team. You are free to bet for or against your three teams of choice but you want to wager on just those three teams for at least the first thirty days of the new season.
Two things are going to happen; you will become an expert and know as much about your three teams as the most diehard fan and after maybe thirty days or so you will have handicapped nearly every MLB team.
The secret is to keep a notebook and track not only your three teams but every team that you handicap throughout the season. This is done so that you can become more knowledgeable about the teams and this should help make it easier to spot value.
Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests there’s no time like the present to get started. There is a ton of information available that you can use to prepare for a hopefully happy and profitable MLB betting season.
Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests checking the MLB win totals of your three chosen teams to examine, schedules, new additions and the pitching staff of each team.
The most important thing to do is get started. We have at least another month as well as the benefit of some Spring Training games to go on.
The NHL season may be on hold, but Phil “Cash with Flash” Naessens and Zak from Puck Picks are still talking hockey. Join them as they discuss handicapping tips and much more.
What are the key stats used during your handicapping process?
Zak Puck Picks: As we discussed in the previous post, the last ten games and record against the team they are playing are the first places I look. This is to see a bit of history to see if one team has the edge on the other. An example of this would be when the Calgary Flames lost twenty-nine straight games in Anaheim at the Honda Centre. The key stats I look at is goals for and against and their ranking in their league, power-play goals for and power-play percentage, penalty kill goals against and penalty kill percentage, and when they come out, the starting goalie stats in their latest starts and against their opponent.
Cash with Flash: My key to hockey handicapping is goaltending and special teams. I use Corsica Hockey for the goaltending and the stats I use are Expected Save Percentage (xSV%), Delta Save Percentage (dSV%) and Goals Saved Above Average (GSAA) are more than sufficient to determine what goaltender I want to support or who I want to attack.
The NHL website for the power-play and penalty-kill units is great and I like to go back ten games and see what power-play units are hot and which ones aren’t. The same for penalty-kill units.
What was the best lesson you’ve learned thus far this season?
Zak’s Puck Picks: We have heard how important special teams are, but the special team stats are such a big help in determining game outcomes for such a small fraction of the game time. I have also learned how much the team on paper doesn’t mean anything. The injuries to Pittsburgh, Columbus, and Minnesota, and their ability to stay on win streaks have been surprising. I have learned through that to follow the trends and winning streaks rather than the injuries. Coaching plays a big role in the game today.
Cash with Flash: What I learned this season is not to undervalue teams like the Columbus Blue Jackets. I watched them early in the season, saw how awful they were and wrote them off. That was a big mistake because they will likely reach the playoffs and I lost out on several opportunities because I didn’t believe that they were good.
How important are winning and losing streaks in your handicapping process?
Zak’s Puck Picks: Winning and losing streaks are big. I like to focus more on streaks team vs team rather than individual team streaks, especially when looking at over/under. However, if two teams have played close games against each other current winning and losing streak could give an edge to one side or the other that night. I like to play DFS as well, I like to look at players that are on streaks. Sometimes players like Nathan McKinnon or Austin Matthews, or even goalies like Mikko Koskinen or Jussi Saros can single-handedly win games for a team. Just look back to Leon Draisaitl’s four-goal performance or Mika Zibanejad’s five-goal performance this season. Both of them were on hot streaks going into those games.
Cash with Flash: The NHL is a team sport and of course we must consider winning and losing streaks. At the end of the day, it’s still about the value and it goes back to what we discussed earlier this week. I’m looking for teams either -150 or below and under +150 so I would absolutely consider a team on a winning streak or to pick on a team with a losing streak but only if these teams provide value.
What are you guys doing to fill the handicapping void?
I am taking in as many Podcasts and radio shows discussing the NHL as I can st stay sharp for the upcoming Playoffs. I am also beginning to train for some fundraising runs coming up later on this summer. I am hoping to do a 5km run for the Humane Society with my Greyhound Houston in July and a 10km run to raise money for the fire department later in the summer. I just finished building an office for my wife to work at home and am looking into a computer set up. Hopefully, this will lead to the ability for me to provide more podcasts and video content for faster consumption!
Cash with Flash: I stick to my three teams for each sport I handicap and continue to journal as much info as possible. Since my entire professional career revolves around the world of sport, I’m taking things day by day and hoping for a speedy resolution to this crisis for one and all.
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.
