pgatour

Sanderson Farms: Initial Picks

This week the PGA Tour arrives in Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship. Similar to last week, there isn’t a ton of talent in the field, but there is certainly a talent upgrade relative to last week. We have plenty more content coming from Antonio and Steven, and of course, the PGA Livestream is every Tuesday Night @windailysports and on YouTube so please tune into that and subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast. Here are my Sanderson Farms: Initial Picks.

Sam Burns (9800) – This range is probably where I will be starting most of my lineups, but I will certainly have a couple shares of Scheffler, Im and Zalatoris (more on this on the Tuesday Livestream and Win Daily Podcast).  I prefer more balance this week so my core will feature guys like Burns and Redman.  Last week I had Burns in DFS and outright, but a disappointing Saturday took him out of contention.  He rebounded nicely on Sunday and I think he has plenty of win equity in a field that features similar talent.  Burns finished 45^th here last year, but finished 3^rd in 2019.

Doc Redman (9700) – One thing you’ll notice if you follow golf is that great ball strikers tend to have success on any style course, even ones where the course benefits longer hitters.  Doc isn’t a hammer with the driver like Burns or Scheffler, but he’s a great ball striker and he’s an elite player in this field.

Luke List (9000) – Another guy I had heavy in DFS and outright last week and he finished Top 10.  Not too bad.  He missed the cut here last year and didn’t play Sanderson in 2017 or 2018, but he did finish 2^nd in 2017.   A long hitter who can be hit or miss, but I’ll play the upside.

Cameron Davis (8100) – A perfect course fit and a guy who has been making cuts at an impressive rate.  This guy is probably mispriced a bit and I expect him to make the cut and be in the conversation over the weekend.  I already have an outright on Davis at 45 to 1.

Tom Lewis (7700) – Put this one in the ‘gut play’ category as his recent form doesn’t make me feel warm and fuzzy.  With that said, post pandemic, I saw him get red hot at the WGC (2^nd place finish) and at less than 5% expected ownership, he can win you a GPP.  Lewis SG metrics aren’t great but he does gain strokes on most of the field on Bermudagrass.

Stewart Cink (7600) – A guy I’ve been fitting into lineups for well over a year now, he’s just constantly overlooked.  With a relative lack of talent in the field, I’ll take the guy who finished 1^st a few weeks back at Safeway and who had a 28^th place finish his last time on this track.  Cink is yet another Bermudagrass specialist. 

Nick Taylor (7400) – Taylor hasn’t been very good this year, but he’s generally good OTT and on APP and has some upside at this price.  Don’t grab too many shares, but Taylor is in my player pool. 

J.B. Holmes (7000) – no idea what to expect from Holmes, as injuries have plagued him for quite some time.  With that said, he’s got the pedigree to compete on Sunday if he captures some of his old form.  Made the cut and finished 46^th at Safeway, so at least we know he’s not in bad form. At this price, you need to take a shot in at least one lineup.

Tom Hoge (6900) – great with his irons and perhaps an underrated player.  He can really get hot and cold and that can lead to one too many missed cuts to make you comfortable.  However, he appears to have gained some consistency lately and I think he’s a great value if you need to dip into this range. 

Adam Schenk (6700) – A couple months back I had Schenk as the WinDaily SW and he hasn’t missed a cut since (coincidence?).  His weekend finishes aren’t exactly impressive but this guy appears to be a free square when it comes to making cuts.  He finished 7^th here in 2019 and has made the cut all three times he’s played Sanderson.

Kelly Kraft (6400) – shout out to Mr. Joel Schrek @draftmasterflex for finding this gem last week.  This guy was full of eagles or birdie streaks last week and there’s no reason not to take another shot if you need to get down to this price range. 

Secret Weapon (sub7k/less than 5%) – Another solid hit last week, particularly due to a great Sunday which included an eagle and a birdie streak.  The SW hasn’t missed a cut, ever.  The run will end at some point, but all aboard the Secret Weapon Freight Train!